T. Rowe Price (TROW)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $103.88 | Market Cap: $22.8 BilSector: Financials | Industry: Asset Management & Custody Banks
T. Rowe Price (TROW)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $103.88Market Cap: $22.8 BilSector: FinancialsIndustry: Asset Management & Custody Banks
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 14%, Dividend Yield is 5.1%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 10%, FCF Yield is 5.2% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -31%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -69% | Key risksTROW key risks include [1] significant pressure on its traditional active management business model due to the industry-wide shift to lower-cost passive funds, Show more. |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -14% | ||
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 21%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16% | ||
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 29% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, Sustainable Finance, and Digital & Alternative Assets. Themes include Wealth Management Technology, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 14%, Dividend Yield is 5.1%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 10%, FCF Yield is 5.2% |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -14% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 21%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 29% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, Sustainable Finance, and Digital & Alternative Assets. Themes include Wealth Management Technology, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -31%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -69% |
| Key risksTROW key risks include [1] significant pressure on its traditional active management business model due to the industry-wide shift to lower-cost passive funds, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
TROW Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key points explaining the -1.1% stock movement for T. Rowe Price (TROW) from approximately August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025:
1. T. Rowe Price experienced significant net client outflows during Q3 2025, amounting to $7.9 billion. This was primarily driven by continued withdrawals from U.S. equity strategies, indicating challenges in retaining client assets.
2. The company's effective fee rate declined to 39.1 basis points in Q3 2025. This reduction from the prior quarter was attributed to a shift towards lower-priced investment products and ongoing mutual fund outflows, impacting revenue generation per asset.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| TROW Return | 28% | 35% | -42% | 3% | 10% | -3% | 10% |
| Peers Return | 23% | 45% | -8% | 9% | 30% | 22% | 182% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| TROW Win Rate | 67% | 75% | 42% | 50% | 58% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 63% | 65% | 52% | 45% | 67% | 60% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| TROW Max Drawdown | -29% | -2% | -49% | -16% | -4% | -28% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -43% | -3% | -31% | -20% | -8% | -18% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: BLK, SCHW, MS, AMP, STT. See TROW Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | TROW | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -60.5% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 153.3% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -38.6% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 62.8% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 137 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -32.7% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 48.6% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 380 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -67.7% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 209.4% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 657 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to MS, GS, BLK, BK, STT
In The Past
T. Rowe Price's stock fell -60.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 8/31/2021. A -60.5% loss requires a 153.3% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to TROW. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WU | Western Union | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.6% | 14.6% | -0.4% |
| 11212025 | COIN | Coinbase Global | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| 11142025 | PYPL | PayPal | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -4.2% | -4.2% | -7.5% |
| 11142025 | V | Visa | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 4.4% | 4.4% | -2.7% |
| 11072025 | WD | Walker & Dunlop | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -10.5% | -10.5% | -11.0% |
| 09302022 | TROW | T. Rowe Price | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 9.9% | 4.3% | -6.6% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WU | Western Union | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.6% | 14.6% | -0.4% |
| 11212025 | COIN | Coinbase Global | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| 11142025 | PYPL | PayPal | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -4.2% | -4.2% | -7.5% |
| 11142025 | V | Visa | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 4.4% | 4.4% | -2.7% |
| 11072025 | WD | Walker & Dunlop | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -10.5% | -10.5% | -11.0% |
| 09302022 | TROW | T. Rowe Price | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 9.9% | 4.3% | -6.6% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for T. Rowe Price
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 151.08 |
| Mkt Cap | 106.2 |
| Rev LTM | 20,256 |
| Op Inc LTM | 5,077 |
| FCF LTM | -114 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 2,551 |
| CFO LTM | 369 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 2,881 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 13.4% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 6.5% |
| Rev Chg Q | 15.3% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 3.6% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 33.8% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 34.2% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.9% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 7.7% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 21.8% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 5.1% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 18.6% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 106.2 |
| P/S | 3.5 |
| P/EBIT | 11.0 |
| P/E | 15.1 |
| P/CFO | 0.5 |
| Total Yield | 7.2% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.6% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 4.0% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | -0.3 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 8.8% |
| 3M Rtn | 2.9% |
| 6M Rtn | 12.7% |
| 12M Rtn | 15.5% |
| 3Y Rtn | 63.2% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 8.1% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 0.4% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 0.3% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 1.8% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -9.7% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Investment management services | 6,460 | ||||
| Administrative, distribution, and servicing fees | 574 | ||||
| Capital allocation-based income | -54 | ||||
| Investment advisory fees | 5,969 | 7,098 | 5,693 | 5,112 | |
| Administrative fees | 454 | 402 | 385 | ||
| Distribution and servicing fees | 120 | 111 | 120 | ||
| Total | 6,460 | 6,488 | 7,672 | 6,207 | 5,618 |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 10/31/2025 | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.3% |
| 8/1/2025 | 1.6% | 2.6% | 6.1% |
| 5/2/2025 | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% |
| 2/5/2025 | -4.2% | -5.6% | -14.4% |
| 11/1/2024 | 2.0% | 9.3% | 12.5% |
| 7/26/2024 | -3.0% | -3.0% | -5.1% |
| 4/26/2024 | 4.8% | 2.1% | 8.6% |
| 2/8/2024 | -0.7% | -3.1% | 7.5% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 8 | 10 | 8 |
| # Negative | 7 | 5 | 7 |
| Median Positive | 3.7% | 2.4% | 5.4% |
| Median Negative | -4.2% | -3.1% | -6.3% |
| Max Positive | 8.3% | 9.3% | 12.5% |
| Max Negative | -4.7% | -5.6% | -14.4% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10312025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8012025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5022025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2142025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11012024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 7262024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 4262024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2162024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 10272023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 7282023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5022023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2152023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 10272022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 7282022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 4282022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2242022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |