Allbirds (BIRD)
Market Price (2/27/2026): $2.98 | Market Cap: $24.3 MilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Apparel Retail
Allbirds (BIRD)
Market Price (2/27/2026): $2.98Market Cap: $24.3 MilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Apparel Retail
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -44% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -119%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -167% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -82 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -51% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Sustainable Consumption, and E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include Eco-friendly Products, Circular Fashion, Show more. | Meaningful short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 12.18, Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 11% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 80% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -22%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -20%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -23% | ||
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -39%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -41% | ||
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -347% | ||
| Key risksBIRD key risks include [1] persistent financial underperformance and shrinking brand distinction, Show more. |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -44% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Sustainable Consumption, and E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include Eco-friendly Products, Circular Fashion, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -119%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -167% |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 12.18, Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 11% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -82 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -51% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 80% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -22%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -20%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -23% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -39%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -41% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -347% |
| Key risksBIRD key risks include [1] persistent financial underperformance and shrinking brand distinction, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
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1. Continued Revenue Decline and Weakened Financial Outlook. Allbirds reported a 23.3% year-over-year decrease in Q3 2025 net revenue, reaching $33.0 million, which fell short of analyst estimates. This financial underperformance led the company to lower its full-year 2025 revenue guidance to between $161 million and $166 million, a reduction from its prior range of $165 million to $180 million, reflecting ongoing sales softness and diminished growth expectations.
2. Strategic Failure of Retail Footprint and Extensive Store Closures. As a significant operational shift, Allbirds announced on January 28, 2026, its decision to close all remaining full-price stores in the United States by the end of February 2026. This measure aims to reduce costs and redirect resources to more profitable e-commerce and wholesale channels, acknowledging the struggles of its physical retail strategy and the unprofitability of these locations.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -66.9% change in BIRD stock from 10/31/2025 to 2/26/2026 was primarily driven by a -64.5% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 10312025 | 2262026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 9.00 | 2.98 | -66.9% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 171 | 161 | -5.9% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.4 | 0.2 | -64.5% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 8 | 8 | -0.9% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -66.9% |
Market Drivers
10/31/2025 to 2/26/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| BIRD | -66.9% | |
| Market (SPY) | 1.1% | 31.2% |
| Sector (XLY) | -2.4% | 34.8% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -70.4% change in BIRD stock from 7/31/2025 to 2/26/2026 was primarily driven by a -65.8% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 7312025 | 2262026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 10.08 | 2.98 | -70.4% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 183 | 161 | -12.0% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.4 | 0.2 | -65.8% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 8 | 8 | -1.8% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -70.4% |
Market Drivers
7/31/2025 to 2/26/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| BIRD | -70.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 9.4% | 25.2% |
| Sector (XLY) | 5.9% | 29.3% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -53.1% change in BIRD stock from 1/31/2025 to 2/26/2026 was primarily driven by a -37.8% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 1312025 | 2262026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 6.35 | 2.98 | -53.1% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 206 | 161 | -22.0% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.2 | 0.2 | -37.8% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 8 | 8 | -3.3% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -53.1% |
Market Drivers
1/31/2025 to 2/26/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| BIRD | -53.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | 15.5% | 39.7% |
| Sector (XLY) | 1.5% | 40.7% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -94.6% change in BIRD stock from 1/31/2023 to 2/26/2026 was primarily driven by a -88.5% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 1312023 | 2262026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 55.00 | 2.98 | -94.6% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 311 | 161 | -48.3% |
| P/S Multiple | 1.3 | 0.2 | -88.5% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 7 | 8 | -8.6% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -94.6% |
Market Drivers
1/31/2023 to 2/26/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| BIRD | -94.6% | |
| Market (SPY) | 75.9% | 35.1% |
| Sector (XLY) | 61.2% | 33.5% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| BIRD Return | -48% | -84% | -49% | -72% | -41% | -31% | -100% |
| Peers Return | 28% | -28% | 28% | 39% | -29% | 4% | 22% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 1% | 85% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| BIRD Win Rate | 0% | 25% | 58% | 17% | 33% | 0% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 62% | 35% | 58% | 57% | 38% | 60% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 100% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| BIRD Max Drawdown | -55% | -85% | -72% | -72% | -43% | -34% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -12% | -51% | -18% | -21% | -49% | -7% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -1% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: DECK, CROX, ONON, VFC, LULU.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 2/26/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | BIRD | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -97.7% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 4211.9% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
Compare to DECK, CROX, ONON, VFC, LULU
In The Past
Allbirds's stock fell -97.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/3/2021. A -97.7% loss requires a 4211.9% gain to breakeven.
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About Allbirds (BIRD)
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Everlane for sustainable shoes
- The Lululemon of eco-friendly, comfortable shoes
- Patagonia for everyday footwear
AI Analysis | Feedback
```html- Footwear: Allbirds offers a range of comfortable and sustainable shoes, including sneakers, everyday shoes, running shoes, and boots, crafted primarily from natural materials like merino wool, eucalyptus tree fiber, and sugarcane.
- Apparel: The company also provides a collection of clothing items such as t-shirts, sweaters, jackets, and socks, designed with a focus on sustainable and natural fibers.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Allbirds (BIRD) primarily sells its products directly to individual consumers rather than to other companies. As a direct-to-consumer (DTC) brand, its major customers are the end-users of its footwear and apparel.
Allbirds serves the following categories of individual customers:
- Environmentally Conscious Consumers: A significant portion of Allbirds' customer base is drawn to its strong emphasis on sustainability, use of natural and recycled materials (like merino wool, eucalyptus, and sugarcane), and commitment to reducing its carbon footprint. These customers prioritize ethical sourcing and eco-friendly products.
- Comfort Seekers: Allbirds products, particularly its shoes, are renowned for their comfort, lightweight design, and breathability. This category includes individuals looking for comfortable, functional footwear for everyday wear, travel, or casual professional environments.
- Minimalist Style Enthusiasts: The brand's aesthetic is characterized by clean lines, simple designs, and a lack of overt branding. Customers in this category appreciate understated, versatile, and modern styles that easily integrate into various wardrobes and lifestyles, often overlapping with urban professionals or those with a preference for capsule wardrobes.
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- Lenzing AG (Symbol: LNZ)
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Joe Vernachio, Chief Executive Officer Joe Vernachio was appointed CEO of Allbirds in March 2024. He has prior experience as Chief Operating Officer at Allbirds. The average tenure of the management team at Allbirds is 2.3 years.
Annie Mitchell, Chief Financial Officer Annie Mitchell has served as Chief Financial Officer of Allbirds since April 2023. Before joining Allbirds, she was the Vice President of Finance and Insights for Gymshark from June 2021 to March 2023. Prior to that, Mitchell spent nearly ten years at Adidas, where her roles included Senior Vice President of Finance and Chief Financial Officer for Adidas North America from August 2017 to March 2021. She also held various finance and planning positions in other consumer and retail businesses for a decade. Mitchell holds a B.A. in Economics and an M.B.A. and M.Sc. in Finance.
Joey Zwillinger, Co-Founder & Board Member Joey Zwillinger co-founded Allbirds and served as its CEO until 2024, leading its IPO in 2021. He is also the CEO and co-founder of Biologica, a pre-launch company in women's health, and a Founding General Partner at Good Friends, a venture capital firm. Earlier in his career, Zwillinger was a Vice President at the biotech firm Terravia (formerly Solazyme), where he led its renewable chemical business. He also held advisory and investment roles at Industry Ventures, Deloitte Consulting, and Goldman Sachs. He holds a B.S. in Industrial Engineering and an MBA from Wharton.
Benny Joseph, Chief Technology and Supply Chain Officer Benny Joseph has been the Chief Technology Officer at Allbirds since October 2020, having previously served as Head of Engineering since 2017. Before his time at Allbirds, he founded GoodApril, which was acquired by Intuit in 2013. Following the acquisition, he became the Director of Engineering for TurboTax at Intuit until 2017.
Kelly Olmstead, Chief Marketing Officer Kelly Olmstead was promoted to Chief Marketing Officer in December 2023. She brings over 25 years of experience in the sporting goods, footwear, and apparel industries, encompassing marketing strategy, digital marketing, brand communications, public relations, and social media. Prior to joining Allbirds in 2023, she was the Chief Marketing Officer at Hanna Andersson. She also spent two decades with Adidas, where she was responsible for leading brand, retail, and digital marketing for North America.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The public company Allbirds (symbol: BIRD) faces several significant risks to its business, primarily stemming from intense market competition, ongoing financial underperformance, and challenges related to its sustainable supply chain and strategic execution.
1. Intense Competition and Ongoing Financial Underperformance
Allbirds operates in an "extremely high" competitive landscape, facing pressure from both established footwear giants like Nike and Adidas, and agile niche sustainable brands such as Rothy's and Veja. This intense rivalry is directly impacting Allbirds' financial outlook, as evidenced by downward revisions in its net revenue guidance and consistent year-over-year revenue declines. The company reported an adjusted EBITDA loss of $60.4 million for the full year 2022, exceeding its own guidance. Furthermore, it incurred an EBITDA loss of $94 million over the past 12 months as of June 2024. Allbirds' stock has also seen a dramatic decline in market valuation since its IPO. Challenges include low repeat purchases, high marketing expenses, and a shrinking brand distinction, all of which limit sustained profitability and market expansion in a saturated footwear market where consumers have numerous alternatives.
2. Reliance on Sustainable Supply Chain and High Material Costs
Allbirds' core commitment to using sustainable, high-quality materials, particularly regenerative Merino wool, presents a notable business risk. This specialized material requirement limits the pool of qualified suppliers, granting those suppliers greater pricing power. The dependency on specific natural fiber sources, often tied to particular geographies like New Zealand for Merino wool, concentrates supply chain risk. Such a focus on sustainable materials and environmentally friendly manufacturing processes can increase the cost of revenue and potentially hinder growth. There have also been concerns raised about the durability of products made from these sustainable materials, impacting customer loyalty.
3. Execution Risks of Strategic Transformation and Product Strategy
Allbirds initiated a "strategic transformation plan" in response to its financial challenges, aiming to reignite growth, improve costs, and drive profitability. However, the successful execution of this plan, including efforts to maintain or grow revenue, reduce costs, and accurately forecast demand, remains a significant risk. A key acknowledged issue was the company's "overemphasis on non-core products and underinvestment in its core products," which negatively impacted sales as these new offerings had narrower appeal than expected. The effectiveness of new product launches in driving future business growth is uncertain, especially given lowered full-year guidance and ongoing revenue declines. The company is also evaluating transitions in its international go-to-market strategy and optimizing U.S. stores, which introduces further execution risks.
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The clear emerging threat to Allbirds is the widespread and accelerating adoption of sustainable materials and comfort-focused designs by major, well-capitalized athletic and lifestyle footwear brands (e.g., Nike, Adidas, Hoka, On Running). These incumbent companies are leveraging their vast research and development resources, global supply chains, superior marketing budgets, and extensive distribution networks to develop and heavily promote product lines that directly compete with Allbirds' core value propositions. This trend is effectively commoditizing the "sustainable comfort" niche that Allbirds pioneered, eroding its unique selling proposition, diminishing its market differentiation, and making it increasingly difficult for Allbirds to justify its premium pricing and achieve sustainable growth against competitors with significantly greater scale and resources.
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Allbirds (symbol: BIRD) primarily operates in the footwear and apparel markets, with a strong emphasis on sustainable products. The addressable markets for their main products and services are significant on a global scale.
Global Footwear Market
- The global footwear market was valued at approximately USD 463.87 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow to USD 789.52 billion by 2032. Other estimates place the 2024 global footwear market size at around USD 700.90 billion, with a projection to reach USD 1100.38 billion by 2032. Another report valued the global footwear market at USD 409.5 billion in 2022, projected to reach USD 725.1 billion by 2032.
- The global sustainable footwear market is a more specific addressable market for Allbirds, projected to reach approximately USD 12.3 billion in 2024.
Global Apparel Market
- The global apparel market size was valued at approximately USD 1.75 trillion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 2.31 trillion by 2032. Another source states the global apparel market is valued at $1.84 trillion in 2025.
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Here are 3-5 expected drivers of future revenue growth for Allbirds (BIRD) over the next 2-3 years:
- Product Innovation and New Product Launches: Allbirds is heavily focused on revitalizing its brand through continuous product innovation and the introduction of new styles. The company has launched new products like the Tree Glider and Lounger Lift, with plans for over 15 new product styles and innovative offerings such as the M0.0NSHOT Zero, a net-zero carbon shoe. These new assortments are expected to drive top-line growth in the latter half of 2025 and beyond.
- International Expansion through Distributor Models: Allbirds is strategically shifting to a distributor model in several international markets, including regions in Latin America and Mainland Europe. This approach aims to expand the company's global awareness and reach, reduce fixed costs, and enable profitable, scalable growth in these new territories.
- Enhanced Marketing Strategy and Brand Building: The company has initiated significant marketing strategies designed to build long-term brand equity and increase sales. These efforts include a partnership with OBB Media for premium digital content and a shift towards influencer collaborations, emphasizing product utility and brand activations. Allbirds plans to invest in upper-funnel marketing ahead of new product launches in 2025.
- Improved Customer Experience and Renewed Wholesale Strategy: Allbirds is focused on enhancing its customer experience across all touchpoints. This includes a relaunched website in July 2025 to refine the online shopping journey and the implementation of a renewed wholesale strategy, aiming for presence in approximately 150 specialty retail stores by spring 2026. These initiatives are intended to drive increased customer engagement and sales.
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Share Repurchases
- Allbirds has not engaged in significant share repurchases over the last 3-5 years.
- The company's 5-Year Share Buyback Ratio was -2.40%, and the Buyback Yield was -3.52%, indicating no repurchases or net share issuance.
Share Issuance
- Allbirds went public in September 2021 with an Initial Public Offering (IPO) at $15 per share, offering 16,346,154 shares of Class A common stock and raising capital for general corporate purposes, including working capital and capital expenditures.
- In June 2025, Allbirds established an At-the-Market (ATM) program, allowing the sale of up to $50 million of Class A common stock.
- A 1-for-20 reverse stock split of Class A and Class B common stock was executed on September 4, 2024, to regain compliance with Nasdaq's minimum bid price requirement.
Inbound Investments
- In September 2020, Allbirds closed a $100 million Series E funding round, led by Franklin Templeton, with participation from T. Rowe Price, Baillie Gifford, TDM Growth Partners, and Rockefeller Capital Management. The capital was intended to support new product categories, international business expansion, and brick-and-mortar store growth.
- In June 2025, the company secured a new $75 million asset-based revolving credit facility with Second Avenue Capital Partners, which replaced a previous $50 million facility, to optimize working capital and enhance financial flexibility.
Outbound Investments
- No significant outbound investments have been reported by Allbirds in the last 3-5 years.
Capital Expenditures
- Allbirds' capital expenditures were -$3.04 million in the last 12 months, and $728,000 for the quarter ending June 2025.
- The company has historically invested in building a foundation for materials and product innovation, global reach, and cross-channel distribution, including store fleet expansion and international growth.
- More recently, capital expenditure focus includes a store refresh program that commenced in the second quarter of 2025 and a broad-based website redesign slated for July 2025.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Date | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Allbirds Earnings Notes | 12/16/2025 | |
| Allbirds Stock Plummets -47% With 11-Day Losing Streak | 11/21/2025 | |
| Allbirds Stock 10-Day Losing Spree: Stock Falls -47% | 11/20/2025 | |
| Allbirds Stock In Shambles: Down -43% With 9-Day Losing Streak | 11/19/2025 | |
| Is Allbirds Stock Built to Withstand More Downside? | 10/17/2025 |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
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Research & Analysis
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 70.15 |
| Mkt Cap | 12.4 |
| Rev LTM | 4,708 |
| Op Inc LTM | 699 |
| FCF LTM | 502 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 701 |
| CFO LTM | 589 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 821 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 4.2% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 9.3% |
| Rev Chg Q | 4.3% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.0% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 17.0% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 16.3% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.3% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 15.6% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 16.4% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 11.1% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 11.6% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 12.4 |
| P/S | 1.6 |
| P/EBIT | 13.2 |
| P/E | 14.6 |
| P/CFO | 14.2 |
| Total Yield | 2.7% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 4.2% |
| D/E | 0.2 |
| Net D/E | 0.2 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 2.2% |
| 3M Rtn | 9.3% |
| 6M Rtn | 3.9% |
| 12M Rtn | -19.1% |
| 3Y Rtn | -18.1% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 3.2% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 13.0% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -1.7% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -34.4% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -91.5% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $2.98 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 0.0 | |
| First Trading Date | 11/03/2021 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -75.8% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $3.80 | $6.58 |
| DMA Trend | down | down |
| Distance from DMA | -21.6% | -54.7% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 47.6% | 92.7% |
| Downside Capture | 283.12 | 303.04 |
| Upside Capture | -62.59 | 178.37 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 28.7% | 40.0% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 1.70 | 1.17 | 1.95 | 1.75 | 1.93 | 2.16 |
| Up Beta | 3.55 | 2.10 | 5.20 | 3.13 | 1.50 | 1.64 |
| Down Beta | 0.50 | 0.63 | 1.26 | 0.97 | 1.73 | 2.15 |
| Up Capture | 137% | -27% | -116% | 2% | 364% | 727% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 11 | 22 | 34 | 71 | 142 | 430 |
| Stock +ve Days | 9 | 15 | 21 | 53 | 117 | 353 |
| Down Capture | 307% | 277% | 308% | 247% | 162% | 113% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 9 | 19 | 27 | 54 | 109 | 321 |
| Stock -ve Days | 11 | 25 | 39 | 70 | 131 | 382 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with BIRD | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BIRD | -54.2% | 92.6% | -0.42 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 8.9% | 24.1% | 0.30 | 41.6% |
| Equity (SPY) | 17.1% | 19.4% | 0.69 | 39.8% |
| Gold (GLD) | 79.3% | 25.7% | 2.25 | -0.2% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 10.9% | 16.8% | 0.45 | 12.1% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 6.6% | 16.6% | 0.21 | 31.6% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -23.4% | 45.1% | -0.46 | 24.8% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with BIRD | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BIRD | -65.0% | 91.4% | -0.91 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 7.5% | 23.8% | 0.28 | 40.5% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.6% | 17.0% | 0.63 | 39.2% |
| Gold (GLD) | 23.6% | 17.2% | 1.12 | 1.6% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 10.8% | 19.0% | 0.45 | 8.2% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.3% | 18.8% | 0.19 | 34.6% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 4.0% | 57.0% | 0.29 | 19.8% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with BIRD | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BIRD | -40.9% | 91.4% | -0.91 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 13.6% | 21.9% | 0.57 | 40.5% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.5% | 17.9% | 0.74 | 39.2% |
| Gold (GLD) | 15.1% | 15.6% | 0.81 | 1.6% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.5% | 17.6% | 0.40 | 8.2% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 6.6% | 20.7% | 0.28 | 34.6% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 66.3% | 66.8% | 1.06 | 19.8% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/6/2025 | -21.2% | -27.2% | -34.7% |
| 8/7/2025 | -29.3% | -28.7% | -38.1% |
| 3/11/2025 | -13.1% | -13.8% | -18.7% |
| 11/6/2024 | -21.7% | -25.4% | -29.5% |
| 8/7/2024 | 2.9% | 6.1% | -12.4% |
| 3/12/2024 | -19.3% | -27.0% | -32.6% |
| 11/8/2023 | -24.2% | -14.5% | 11.6% |
| 8/8/2023 | 29.7% | 7.0% | -1.6% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| # Negative | 12 | 10 | 11 |
| Median Positive | 16.3% | 6.7% | 11.6% |
| Median Negative | -19.3% | -21.0% | -28.4% |
| Max Positive | 29.7% | 9.1% | 14.2% |
| Max Negative | -47.0% | -55.1% | -48.7% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 09/30/2025 | 11/07/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/08/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/09/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 03/12/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/07/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/08/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/09/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 03/13/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/09/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/09/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/10/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 03/10/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/09/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/09/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/11/2022 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2021 | 03/16/2022 | 10-K |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mitchell, Ann | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 12042025 | 4.87 | 1,837 | 8,948 | 375,903 | Form |
| 2 | Vernachio, Joseph | Chief Executive Officer | Direct | Sell | 12042025 | 4.87 | 4,384 | 21,334 | 437,888 | Form |
| 3 | Mitchell, Ann | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 9042025 | 6.37 | 2,188 | 13,938 | 500,032 | Form |
| 4 | Vernachio, Joseph | Chief Executive Officer | Direct | Sell | 9042025 | 6.37 | 3,666 | 23,352 | 601,111 | Form |
| 5 | Vernachio, Joseph | Chief Executive Officer | Direct | Sell | 6052025 | 7.15 | 4,450 | 31,818 | 700,929 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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