Allbirds (BIRD)
Market Price (6/18/2026): $5.63 | Market Cap: $47.1 MilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Apparel Retail
Allbirds (BIRD)
Market Price (6/18/2026): $5.63Market Cap: $47.1 MilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Apparel Retail
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Sustainable Consumption, and E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include Eco-friendly Products, Circular Fashion, Show more. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -88%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -149% Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 12% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -75 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -49% Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -20%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -20%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -15% Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -36%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -38% Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -173% High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 592% Key risksBIRD key risks include [1] persistent financial underperformance and shrinking brand distinction, Show more. |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Sustainable Consumption, and E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include Eco-friendly Products, Circular Fashion, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -88%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -149% |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 12% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -75 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -49% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -20%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -20%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -15% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -36%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -38% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -173% |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 592% |
| Key risksBIRD key risks include [1] persistent financial underperformance and shrinking brand distinction, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
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Allbirds (BIRD) stock has gained about 95% since 2/28/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Strategic Pivot to AI Infrastructure: Allbirds' stock gained significantly following the announcement in mid-April 2026 of a definitive agreement for a $50 million convertible financing facility to pivot its business to AI compute infrastructure and rebrand as "NewBird AI". The stock "exploded by more than 350%" in a single session in April 2026, jumping from under $3 to approximately $17, reflecting strong investor enthusiasm for the shift from a struggling footwear brand to a high-growth AI opportunity. The company's long-term vision is to become a GPU-as-a-Service and AI-native cloud solutions provider.
2. Divestiture of Footwear Business: The company entered into an Asset Purchase Agreement to sell its traditional footwear business and the "Allbirds" intellectual property to American Exchange Group for an estimated $39 million. This move, formally closed on June 17, 2026, allowed Allbirds (now Smartbird, Inc.) to shed a business that had seen sales decline by nearly 50% between fiscal years 2022 and 2025, dropping from $298 million to $152 million, and to fully focus on its new AI strategy.
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Allbirds (BIRD) stock has gained about 95% since 2/28/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Strategic Pivot to AI Infrastructure: Allbirds' stock gained significantly following the announcement in mid-April 2026 of a definitive agreement for a $50 million convertible financing facility to pivot its business to AI compute infrastructure and rebrand as "NewBird AI". The stock "exploded by more than 350%" in a single session in April 2026, jumping from under $3 to approximately $17, reflecting strong investor enthusiasm for the shift from a struggling footwear brand to a high-growth AI opportunity. The company's long-term vision is to become a GPU-as-a-Service and AI-native cloud solutions provider.
2. Divestiture of Footwear Business: The company entered into an Asset Purchase Agreement to sell its traditional footwear business and the "Allbirds" intellectual property to American Exchange Group for an estimated $39 million. This move, formally closed on June 17, 2026, allowed Allbirds (now Smartbird, Inc.) to shed a business that had seen sales decline by nearly 50% between fiscal years 2022 and 2025, dropping from $298 million to $152 million, and to fully focus on its new AI strategy.
3. Enhanced Capital and Liquidity for New Venture: To fund its pivot, the company initially secured a $50 million convertible financing facility expected to close in fiscal Q2 2026. Further bolstering its financial position, Smartbird expanded this facility to a total of up to $100 million on June 15, 2026. This substantial capital infusion provides the necessary liquidity to acquire high-performance GPU infrastructure and scale its managed AI compute services, supporting the new business model.
4. New Leadership Aligned with AI Strategy: On June 17, 2026, the company appointed Nadia Carlsten, an experienced leader in AI infrastructure from Amazon Web Services, SandboxAQ, and DCAI, as its new President, CEO, and board member. This leadership change, which saw outgoing CEO Joe Vernachio step down, signaled a clear and dedicated commitment to the new AI infrastructure business, reinforcing investor confidence in the strategic direction.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 93.0% change in BIRD stock from 2/28/2026 to 6/17/2026 was primarily driven by a 108.1% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 2282026 | 6172026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 2.84 | 5.48 | 93.0% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 161 | 152 | -5.1% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.1 | 0.3 | 108.1% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 8 | 8 | -2.3% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 93.0% |
Market Drivers
2/28/2026 to 6/17/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| BIRD | 93.0% | |
| Market (SPY) | 8.3% | 9.5% |
| Sector (XLY) | -1.0% | 13.7% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 8.3% change in BIRD stock from 11/30/2025 to 6/17/2026 was primarily driven by a 16.8% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 11302025 | 6172026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 5.06 | 5.48 | 8.3% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 161 | 152 | -5.1% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.3 | 0.3 | 16.8% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 8 | 8 | -2.3% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 8.3% |
Market Drivers
11/30/2025 to 6/17/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| BIRD | 8.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | 9.0% | 8.9% |
| Sector (XLY) | -1.9% | 12.2% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -22.3% change in BIRD stock from 5/31/2025 to 6/17/2026 was primarily driven by a -16.5% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 5312025 | 6172026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 7.05 | 5.48 | -22.3% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 183 | 152 | -16.5% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.3 | 0.3 | -3.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 8 | 8 | -4.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -22.3% |
Market Drivers
5/31/2025 to 6/17/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| BIRD | -22.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | 27.2% | 8.9% |
| Sector (XLY) | 8.9% | 11.2% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -76.8% change in BIRD stock from 5/31/2023 to 6/17/2026 was primarily driven by a -50.9% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 5312023 | 6172026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 23.60 | 5.48 | -76.8% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 289 | 152 | -47.3% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.6 | 0.3 | -50.9% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 8 | 8 | -10.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -76.8% |
Market Drivers
5/31/2023 to 6/17/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| BIRD | -76.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | 84.3% | 11.0% |
| Sector (XLY) | 56.1% | 11.7% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| BIRD Return | -48% | -84% | -49% | -72% | -41% | -4% | -99% |
| Peers Return | 28% | -28% | 28% | 39% | -29% | -2% | 15% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 10% | 100% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| BIRD Win Rate | 0% | 25% | 58% | 17% | 33% | 33% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 62% | 35% | 58% | 57% | 38% | 47% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| BIRD Max Drawdown | - | -86% | -79% | -73% | -68% | -78% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -26% | -53% | -34% | -34% | -55% | -31% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: DECK, CROX, ONON, VFC, LULU.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 6/17/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | BIRD | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -37.3% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 59.6% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 39 days | 79 days |
In The Past
Allbirds's stock fell -37.3% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 59.6% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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| Event | BIRD | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -37.3% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 59.6% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 39 days | 79 days |
In The Past
Allbirds's stock fell -37.3% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 59.6% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Allbirds (BIRD)
Allbirds, Inc. (BIRD) is a San Francisco-based company that designs, manufactures, and sells footwear and apparel products. Incorporated in 2015, the company operates in the consumer goods sector, known for its focus on comfortable, often eco-conscious, products for men and women.
The company's core offering includes a diverse range of footwear, such as running shoes, everyday sneakers, high-tops, slip-ons, boat shoes, flats, weather-repellent shoes, and sandals. Beyond footwear, Allbirds also provides various apparel items, including activewear, tops, bottoms, dresses, sweaters, underwear, and socks. These products are distributed to customers globally through the company's own physical retail stores in the United States and internationally, as well as through its direct-to-consumer online platform.
```AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 1-3 brief analogies for Allbirds (BIRD):
- Allbirds is like the Everlane of comfortable, everyday shoes and casual apparel.
- Think of Allbirds as a modern, digitally-native brand similar to Warby Parker, but for comfortable footwear and casual clothing.
- Allbirds is a softer, more casual Nike or Adidas, specializing in comfortable, everyday footwear and apparel.
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- Footwear: Allbirds offers a variety of shoes including running shoes, everyday sneakers, high-tops, slip-ons, boat shoes, flats, weather repellent shoes, and sandals.
- Apparel: The company sells clothing products such as activewear, tops, bottoms, dresses, sweaters, underwear, and socks.
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Allbirds (symbol: BIRD) primarily sells its footwear and apparel products directly to individual consumers (Business-to-Consumer or B2C) through its retail stores and online channels.
The company serves the following categories of individual customers:
- Environmentally Conscious Consumers: Individuals who prioritize sustainability, natural materials (like merino wool, eucalyptus fiber, sugarcane), and eco-friendly manufacturing practices in their purchasing decisions. Allbirds' brand messaging strongly resonates with this demographic.
- Comfort-Seeking Individuals: Customers who value comfort, lightweight design, and ease of wear in their everyday footwear and apparel. Allbirds' products are often marketed for their comfort and softness.
- Casual Lifestyle Adherents / Modern Minimalists: Consumers looking for versatile, minimalist, and stylish products that fit a casual yet sophisticated lifestyle. This includes those seeking comfortable and adaptable items for daily wear, travel, or relaxed professional environments.
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Joe Vernachio, Chief Executive Officer
Joe Vernachio was appointed Chief Executive Officer of Allbirds in March 2024. Prior to this role, he served as the company's Chief Operating Officer. He holds an A.S. in Forest Sciences and Biology from Paul Smith's College.
Annie Mitchell, Chief Financial Officer
Annie Mitchell joined Allbirds as Chief Financial Officer, effective April 24, 2023. Her background includes extensive finance experience in the retail industry. She was previously Vice President of Finance and Insights at Gymshark. Before that, she spent ten years at Adidas, where she held various senior financial roles, including Senior Vice President of Finance for Adidas North America. She also spent a decade in finance and planning functions with other consumer and retail businesses.
Tim Brown, Co-founder
Tim Brown co-founded Allbirds in 2015. He is recognized for being the creative vision behind the brand. Before co-founding Allbirds, Brown had a six-year career as a professional soccer player, notably being part of the New Zealand team that qualified for the 2010 World Cup. He pursued his passion for making shoes while still playing, which evolved into Allbirds. He studied design at the University of Cincinnati and earned a Master's in Management from the London School of Economics. His initial idea for a sustainable wool sneaker was successfully funded through a Kickstarter campaign in 2014, raising $119,000 in five days.
Joey Zwillinger, Co-founder
Joey Zwillinger co-founded Allbirds in 2015 with Tim Brown. He served as CEO until March 2024, leading the company through its IPO in 2021. Zwillinger is currently a non-employee director at Allbirds. He is also the co-founder and CEO of Biologica, a pre-launch women's health company. Additionally, he is a Founding General Partner at Good Friends, an early-stage venture capital firm he co-founded with the founders of Warby Parker. Earlier in his career, Zwillinger was a Vice President at the biotech firm Terravia (formerly Solazyme), where he led its renewable chemical business. His professional background also includes advisory and investment roles at Industry Ventures, Deloitte Consulting, and Goldman Sachs. He holds an MBA from Wharton and a background in biotech engineering and sustainable materials.
Kelly Olmstead, Chief Marketing Officer
Kelly Olmstead was promoted to Chief Marketing Officer at Allbirds in January 2024, with the appointment effective December 2023. She brings over 25 years of experience in the sporting goods, footwear, and apparel industry. Prior to joining Allbirds in 2023, she was the Chief Marketing Officer at Hanna Andersson. She also spent two decades at Adidas, where she was responsible for leading brand, retail, and digital marketing for North America.
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The public company Allbirds (symbol: BIRD) faces several significant risks to its business operations and future profitability.
- Declining Revenue and Persistent Unprofitability: Allbirds has consistently reported significant financial losses, including a full-year 2022 adjusted EBITDA loss of $60.4 million, exceeding its guidance. The company has incurred substantial net losses since going public, with a reported net loss of US$93.1 million in 2024 and US$152.5 million in 2023. Revenue has been declining year-over-year, with a 25.3% fall in 2024 to US$189.8 million and a 25.31% decline over the past year as of April 2025. This sustained lack of profitability and revenue contraction poses a severe risk to its long-term viability and ability to fund operations, highlighted by a cash burn rate suggesting a short cash runway of approximately 7 months as of March 2025.
- Intense Competition and Loss of Brand Differentiation: The footwear and apparel market is highly competitive, and Allbirds has struggled to maintain its unique appeal and attract a wider audience beyond its eco-conscious core. Competitors are increasingly offering sustainable products with diverse styles, leading to a waning in Allbirds' popularity and necessitating heavy discounting, which negatively impacts gross margins. This intense market pressure makes it difficult for Allbirds to command premium pricing and grow sales volumes.
- Ineffective Product and Retail Expansion Strategy: Allbirds' strategy of rapid expansion, including opening numerous retail stores and diversifying into non-core products like activewear and performance running shoes, proved largely unsuccessful. This overemphasis on products outside its core DNA led to underinvestment in popular core offerings and failed to resonate with consumers. Consequently, the company has undertaken a strategic transformation, including closing most of its U.S. full-price stores by February 2026, to redirect resources towards e-commerce and wholesale partnerships in pursuit of more capital-efficient growth. This indicates significant challenges in its past growth and operational strategies.
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The aggressive expansion and increasing sophistication of sustainable and eco-friendly product lines by large, established footwear and apparel companies (e.g., Nike, Adidas, H&M, Zara). These initiatives directly target Allbirds' core differentiation around natural and sustainable materials, potentially diluting its unique selling proposition and allowing larger players to leverage economies of scale and marketing reach to offer competitive products.
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The addressable markets for Allbirds' main products are as follows:
- Global Footwear Market: The global footwear market was estimated at USD 476.83 billion in 2025.
- U.S. Footwear Market: The United States footwear market size was valued at USD 97.16 billion in 2025.
- Global Apparel Market: The global apparel market was worth USD 1.84 trillion in 2025.
- U.S. Apparel Market: The United States apparel market was valued at USD 365.70 billion in 2025.
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Allbirds (BIRD) is implementing a strategic transformation to reignite revenue growth over the next 2-3 years, focusing on several key areas:
- Enhanced E-commerce Platform: The company is shifting resources and emphasis towards its e-commerce platform by closing remaining full-price U.S. retail stores. This move is designed to achieve greater reach, flexibility, and operating leverage for the brand.
- Expansion of Wholesale Partnerships: Alongside its e-commerce focus, Allbirds is prioritizing the growth of its wholesale partnerships to broaden its distribution and reach new customers efficiently.
- Growing International Distribution: Allbirds is committed to expanding its international presence through distribution channels, with the long-term profitability and scalability of this segment depending on successful new partnerships.
- Product Innovation and New Product Launches: A core driver for future revenue is the launch of new products and continued product innovation. Allbirds plans to introduce more than 15 new styles, with an initial fall product lineup, and has seen success with recent innovations like the Wool Runner 2.
- New Marketing Strategy: The company has initiated a new marketing strategy, anchored by its "Allbirds by Nature" brand platform. This approach aims to build long-term brand equity and is crucial for driving brand awareness and acquiring new customers.
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Share Issuance
- Allbirds completed an Initial Public Offering (IPO) in 2021, issuing 23,221,152 shares of Class A common stock at $15.00 per share, generating gross proceeds of approximately $348.3 million.
- The IPO included the full exercise of the underwriters' option to purchase an additional 3,028,845 shares of Class A common stock.
- As of June 30, 2025, proceeds from the issuance of common stock under an employee stock purchase plan amounted to $67 (in what is likely thousands of dollars) in the first half of 2025 and $150 (in what is likely thousands of dollars) in the first half of 2024.
- Allbirds entered into a sales agreement as of June 30, 2025, allowing it to issue up to $50 million in Class A common stock to enhance its capital structure and financial flexibility.
Capital Expenditures
- Capital expenditures were reported as -$24 million in 2021, -$31 million in 2022, -$11 million in 2023, and -$4 million in 2024.
- Future capital expenditures are expected to include systems implementations and existing retail stores.
- The company is optimizing cash and capital efficiency, with plans to close 10-15 U.S. retail stores in 2024 and transition to a distributor model in international markets, describing these actions as "capital-light".
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Date | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Allbirds Earnings Notes | 12/16/2025 | |
| Allbirds Stock Plummets -47% With 11-Day Losing Streak | 11/21/2025 | |
| Allbirds Stock 10-Day Losing Spree: Stock Falls -47% | 11/20/2025 | |
| Allbirds Stock In Shambles: Down -43% With 9-Day Losing Streak | 11/19/2025 | |
| Is Allbirds Stock Built to Withstand More Downside? | 10/17/2025 |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 71.72 |
| Mkt Cap | 9.7 |
| Rev LTM | 4,749 |
| Op Inc LTM | 736 |
| FCF LTM | 574 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 663 |
| CFO LTM | 684 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 782 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 2.6% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 6.0% |
| Rev Chg Q | 2.6% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 0.6% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | 13.5% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | 5.2% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 15.8% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 16.2% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 15.1% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 17.7% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 10.8% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 13.2% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $5.48 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 0.0 | |
| First Trading Date | 11/03/2021 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -67.7% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $5.41 | $4.92 |
| DMA Trend | down | up |
| Distance from DMA | 1.4% | 11.5% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 1,176.5% | 594.3% |
| Downside Capture | 315.99 | 338.85 |
| Upside Capture | 387.70 | 169.17 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 10.3% | 9.3% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 1.30 | 14.95 | 8.84 | 6.58 | 4.74 | 2.60 |
| Up Beta | 3.97 | 10.09 | 3.94 | 6.38 | 5.15 | 2.05 |
| Down Beta | -0.81 | 2.87 | 2.12 | 1.90 | 1.83 | 1.89 |
| Up Capture | -274% | 628% | 810% | 401% | 433% | 1374% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 13 | 28 | 36 | 67 | 141 | 432 |
| Stock +ve Days | 5 | 11 | 23 | 46 | 104 | 341 |
| Down Capture | 657% | 938% | 375% | 269% | 206% | 114% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 7 | 13 | 27 | 57 | 109 | 318 |
| Stock -ve Days | 15 | 30 | 40 | 77 | 143 | 398 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with BIRD | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BIRD | -49.5% | 594.3% | 0.63 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 8.8% | 18.5% | 0.32 | 10.8% |
| Equity (SPY) | 24.5% | 12.4% | 1.48 | 8.4% |
| Gold (GLD) | 24.7% | 27.5% | 0.79 | -2.9% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 22.7% | 18.9% | 0.95 | -1.0% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 10.6% | 13.8% | 0.49 | 0.2% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -38.7% | 42.4% | -1.04 | 5.3% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with BIRD | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BIRD | -60.5% | 288.4% | 0.10 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 6.9% | 23.8% | 0.25 | 15.0% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.4% | 17.1% | 0.61 | 13.8% |
| Gold (GLD) | 16.9% | 18.3% | 0.75 | -1.7% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 7.5% | 19.4% | 0.29 | 2.0% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 1.9% | 18.9% | 0.00 | 10.3% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 12.3% | 54.2% | 0.42 | 6.9% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with BIRD | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BIRD | -37.1% | 288.4% | 0.10 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 12.4% | 22.1% | 0.52 | 15.0% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.2% | 18.0% | 0.72 | 13.8% |
| Gold (GLD) | 12.4% | 16.1% | 0.63 | -1.7% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 5.9% | 18.0% | 0.26 | 2.0% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.3% | 20.7% | 0.22 | 10.3% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 60.4% | 66.8% | 1.00 | 6.9% |
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Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Updated 6/17/2026| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/6/2025 | -21.2% | -27.2% | -34.7% |
| 8/7/2025 | -29.3% | -28.7% | -38.1% |
| 5/8/2025 | -3.0% | 20.1% | 86.5% |
| 3/11/2025 | -13.1% | -13.8% | -18.7% |
| 11/6/2024 | -21.7% | -25.4% | -29.5% |
| 8/7/2024 | 2.9% | 6.1% | -12.4% |
| 5/8/2024 | -3.8% | 16.0% | -13.4% |
| 3/12/2024 | -19.3% | -27.0% | -32.6% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 2 | 6 | 5 |
| # Negative | 15 | 11 | 12 |
| Median Positive | 16.3% | 8.1% | 11.6% |
| Median Negative | -16.5% | -16.6% | -28.2% |
| Max Positive | 29.7% | 20.1% | 86.5% |
| Max Negative | -47.0% | -55.1% | -48.7% |
| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/6/2025 | -21.2% | -27.2% | -34.7% |
| 8/7/2025 | -29.3% | -28.7% | -38.1% |
| 5/8/2025 | -3.0% | 20.1% | 86.5% |
| 3/11/2025 | -13.1% | -13.8% | -18.7% |
| 11/6/2024 | -21.7% | -25.4% | -29.5% |
| 8/7/2024 | 2.9% | 6.1% | -12.4% |
| 5/8/2024 | -3.8% | 16.0% | -13.4% |
| 3/12/2024 | -19.3% | -27.0% | -32.6% |
| 11/8/2023 | -24.2% | -14.5% | 11.6% |
| 8/8/2023 | 29.7% | 7.0% | -1.6% |
| 5/9/2023 | -8.1% | -9.6% | 0.7% |
| 3/9/2023 | -47.0% | -55.1% | -48.7% |
| 11/8/2022 | -10.4% | 6.4% | 2.1% |
| 8/8/2022 | -19.2% | -8.3% | -28.4% |
| 5/10/2022 | -11.7% | 9.1% | 14.2% |
| 2/23/2022 | -0.2% | -14.4% | -28.1% |
| 11/30/2021 | -16.5% | -16.6% | -17.1% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 2 | 6 | 5 |
| # Negative | 15 | 11 | 12 |
| Median Positive | 16.3% | 8.1% | 11.6% |
| Median Negative | -16.5% | -16.6% | -28.2% |
| Max Positive | 29.7% | 20.1% | 86.5% |
| Max Negative | -47.0% | -55.1% | -48.7% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2025 | 03/31/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/07/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/08/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/09/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 03/12/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/07/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/08/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/09/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 03/13/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/09/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/09/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/10/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 03/10/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/09/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/09/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/11/2022 | 10-Q |
| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2025 | 03/31/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/07/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/08/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/09/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 03/12/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/07/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/08/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/09/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 03/13/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/09/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/09/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/10/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 03/10/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/09/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/09/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/11/2022 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2021 | 03/16/2022 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2021 | 12/07/2021 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2021 | 11/04/2021 | 424B4 |
Insider Activity
Updated 6/3/2026| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mitchell, Ann | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 6032026 | 4.52 | 1,587 | 7,174 | 344,400 | Form |
| 2 | Vernachio, Joseph | Chief Executive Officer | Direct | Sell | 6032026 | 4.47 | 3,359 | 15,007 | 367,298 | Form |
| 3 | Vernachio, Joseph | Chief Executive Officer | Direct | Sell | 3032026 | 2.69 | 4,413 | 11,872 | 230,206 | Form |
| 4 | Mitchell, Ann | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 3032026 | 2.70 | 2,200 | 5,931 | 202,097 | Form |
| 5 | Mitchell, Ann | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 12042025 | 4.87 | 1,837 | 8,948 | 375,903 | Form |
| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mitchell, Ann | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 6032026 | 4.52 | 1,587 | 7,174 | 344,400 | Form |
| 2 | Vernachio, Joseph | Chief Executive Officer | Direct | Sell | 6032026 | 4.47 | 3,359 | 15,007 | 367,298 | Form |
| 3 | Vernachio, Joseph | Chief Executive Officer | Direct | Sell | 3032026 | 2.69 | 4,413 | 11,872 | 230,206 | Form |
| 4 | Mitchell, Ann | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 3032026 | 2.70 | 2,200 | 5,931 | 202,097 | Form |
| 5 | Mitchell, Ann | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 12042025 | 4.87 | 1,837 | 8,948 | 375,903 | Form |
| 6 | Vernachio, Joseph | Chief Executive Officer | Direct | Sell | 12042025 | 4.87 | 4,384 | 21,334 | 437,888 | Form |
| 7 | Mitchell, Ann | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 9042025 | 6.37 | 2,188 | 13,938 | 500,032 | Form |
| 8 | Vernachio, Joseph | Chief Executive Officer | Direct | Sell | 9042025 | 6.37 | 3,666 | 23,352 | 601,111 | Form |
| 9 | Vernachio, Joseph | Chief Executive Officer | Direct | Sell | 6052025 | 7.15 | 4,450 | 31,818 | 700,929 | Form |
| 10 | Mitchell, Ann | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 6052025 | 7.12 | 2,146 | 15,280 | 574,484 | Form |
Industry Resources
| Consumer Discretionary Resources |
| Retail Dive |
| Business of Fashion (BoF) |
| WWD (Women's Wear Daily) |
| National Retail Federation (NRF) |
| McKinsey & Company - Consumer |
| Mintel Consumer Trends |
| Apparel Retail Resources |
| Apparel News |
| Just Style |
| Sourcing Journal |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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