Flanigan'S Enterprises (BDL)
Market Price (12/22/2025): $29.6 | Market Cap: $55.0 MilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Restaurants
Flanigan'S Enterprises (BDL)
Market Price (12/22/2025): $29.6Market Cap: $55.0 MilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Restaurants
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.7%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 5.5%, FCF Yield is 8.2% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -31%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -66% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 52% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Experiential Retail. | Key risksBDL key risks include [1] its limited geographic expansion and heavy market concentration in South Florida and [2] low net profit margins combined with volatile free cash flow. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.7%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 5.5%, FCF Yield is 8.2% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Experiential Retail. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -31%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -66% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 52% |
| Key risksBDL key risks include [1] its limited geographic expansion and heavy market concentration in South Florida and [2] low net profit margins combined with volatile free cash flow. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
BDL Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
For Flanigan's Enterprises (BDL), the stock experienced a notable decline, with a -3.41% change observed on December 19, 2025. Several factors likely contributed to this movement:
1. Slight Decrease in Full-Year Sales
Despite an overall increase in revenue, Flanigan's Enterprises reported a slight decrease in total sales for the full year ended September 27, 2025, totaling $1.08 million compared to $1.11 million in the prior year. This modest decline in sales could suggest underlying challenges in business momentum, potentially impacting investor confidence.
2. Persistent Inflationary Pressures and Rising Operating Costs
The company continued to face significant inflationary headwinds, leading to increased food, liquor, wage, utility, and insurance costs. While Flanigan's implemented menu price increases, these rising operating expenses could have squeezed profit margins and raised investor concerns about future profitability, contributing to a negative outlook.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| BDL Return | -8% | 56% | -14% | 1% | 0% | 17% | 46% |
| Peers Return | 14% | 5% | -6% | 31% | 52% | -2% | 119% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| BDL Win Rate | 50% | 67% | 42% | 58% | 50% | 42% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 62% | 52% | 38% | 58% | 62% | 45% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| BDL Max Drawdown | -59% | -6% | -17% | -1% | -5% | -8% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -67% | -13% | -28% | -3% | -19% | -20% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: DRI, TXRH, EAT, CAKE, BLMN.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/19/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | BDL | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -42.5% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 74.0% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -60.4% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 152.8% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 306 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -31.8% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 46.7% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1,286 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -76.4% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 324.4% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1,546 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to BH, RICK, BRCB, CCHH, MCD
In The Past
Flanigan'S Enterprises's stock fell -42.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 7/6/2021. A -42.5% loss requires a 74.0% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Can Flanigan'S Enterprises Stock Recover If Markets Fall? | Return |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to BDL. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BBWI | Bath & Body Works | Dip Buy | DB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider BuyingBuying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 13.7% | 13.7% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | HRB | H&R Block | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.8% | 5.8% | -0.1% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.6% | 3.6% | -4.4% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 18.4% | 18.4% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | MTN | Vail Resorts | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 11.9% | 11.9% | -1.6% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BBWI | Bath & Body Works | Dip Buy | DB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider BuyingBuying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 13.7% | 13.7% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | HRB | H&R Block | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.8% | 5.8% | -0.1% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.6% | 3.6% | -4.4% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 18.4% | 18.4% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | MTN | Vail Resorts | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 11.9% | 11.9% | -1.6% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Flanigan'S Enterprises
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 100.73 |
| Mkt Cap | 4.6 |
| Rev LTM | 4,774 |
| Op Inc LTM | 383 |
| FCF LTM | 249 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 188 |
| CFO LTM | 529 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 412 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 9.0% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 8.6% |
| Rev Chg Q | 10.0% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.3% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 7.8% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 6.7% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.0% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 10.7% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 9.2% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 5.1% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 4.0% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 4.6 |
| P/S | 0.9 |
| P/EBIT | 12.3 |
| P/E | 15.1 |
| P/CFO | 8.3 |
| Total Yield | 7.3% |
| Dividend Yield | 1.5% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 4.9% |
| D/E | 0.6 |
| Net D/E | 0.4 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 8.8% |
| 3M Rtn | 2.5% |
| 6M Rtn | -13.5% |
| 12M Rtn | 7.0% |
| 3Y Rtn | 65.0% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 9.2% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -0.6% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -26.2% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -4.4% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -16.3% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 12192025 | 10-K 9/28/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8122025 | 10-Q 6/28/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5192025 | 10-Q 3/29/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2112025 | 10-Q 12/28/2024 |
| 9302024 | 12272024 | 10-K 9/28/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8132024 | 10-Q 6/29/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5142024 | 10-Q 3/30/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2132024 | 10-Q 12/30/2023 |
| 9302023 | 12292023 | 10-K 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8152023 | 10-Q 7/1/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5162023 | 10-Q 4/1/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3152023 | 10-Q 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 1182023 | 10-K 10/1/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8162022 | 10-Q 7/2/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5242022 | 10-Q 4/2/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2222022 | 10-Q 1/1/2022 |
External Quote Links
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