Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.1%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -16%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -56%
 
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -102%
  
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 37%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 29%
  
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 28%
  
4 Capital ratio is >2x the minimum of 6%
Tier 1 Capital / Risk Wtd Assets RatioTier 1 Capital / Risk-Weighted Assets is a common measure of financial strength for a bank. It reflects how much equity there is relative to assets where assets are weighted based on riskiness. Low ratios indicate the bank is highly vulnerable to even small changes in the value of their risk assets. is 16%
  
5 Uninsured deposits are low
Uninsured Deposits Ratio %Fraction of deposits that exceed the insurance deposit thresholds. For example, the FDIC protects deposits up to $250K. A high uninsured deposits ratio indicates large accounts and greater potential exposure to bank run risk. is 6.5%
  
6 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Online Banking & Lending, Digital Payments, and Wealth Management Technology.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.1%
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -102%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 37%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 29%
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 28%
4 Capital ratio is >2x the minimum of 6%
Tier 1 Capital / Risk Wtd Assets RatioTier 1 Capital / Risk-Weighted Assets is a common measure of financial strength for a bank. It reflects how much equity there is relative to assets where assets are weighted based on riskiness. Low ratios indicate the bank is highly vulnerable to even small changes in the value of their risk assets. is 16%
5 Uninsured deposits are low
Uninsured Deposits Ratio %Fraction of deposits that exceed the insurance deposit thresholds. For example, the FDIC protects deposits up to $250K. A high uninsured deposits ratio indicates large accounts and greater potential exposure to bank run risk. is 6.5%
6 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Online Banking & Lending, Digital Payments, and Wealth Management Technology.
7 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -16%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -56%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

BANF Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points highlighting why BancFirst's (BANF) stock moved by approximately -16% between August 31, 2025, and December 4, 2025: 1. BancFirst Missed Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Estimates.

BancFirst reported its third-quarter 2025 earnings on October 17, 2025, with a net income of $62.7 million, or $1.85 per diluted share. This performance missed analysts' estimates, which often leads to a negative market reaction and a decline in stock price. 2. Widespread Concerns Over Regional Bank Credit Quality.

During the period, broader market fears intensified regarding the credit quality of U.S. regional banks, especially concerning their exposure to commercial real estate (CRE) loans and isolated incidents of loan fraud at other institutions. These concerns raised the specter of increased loan loss provisions and diminished profitability across the regional banking sector, affecting investor sentiment for companies like BancFirst.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
BANF Return-3%23%27%12%23%-4%101%
Peers Return-2%12%-18%18%1%19%28%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
BANF Win Rate58%50%75%50%50%70% 
Peers Win Rate22%25%28%35%27%51% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
BANF Max Drawdown-56%-7%0%-18%-16%-14% 
Peers Max Drawdown-19%-2%-23%-16%-10%-7% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: NEWT, ATLO, AVBC, LSBK, NU.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventBANFS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-38.8%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven63.4%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven552 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-57.1%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven133.1%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven294 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-24.9%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven33.2%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven752 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-59.8%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven148.5%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven2776 days1480 days

Compare to NEWT, ATLO, AVBC, LSBK, NU


In The Past

BancFirst's stock fell -38.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 8/15/2022. A -38.8% loss requires a 63.4% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About BancFirst (BANF)

Better Bets than BancFirst (BANF)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to BANF. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%
BANF_9302022_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%09302022BANFBancFirstQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-6.2%-1.2%-19.2%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%
BANF_9302022_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%09302022BANFBancFirstQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-6.2%-1.2%-19.2%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for BancFirst

Peers to compare with:

Financials

BANFNEWTATLOAVBCLSBKNUMedian
NameBancFirstNewtekOneAmes Nat.Avidia B.Lake Sho.Nu  
Mkt Price111.2111.3121.9516.4715.0917.4416.95
Mkt Cap3.70.30.2--84.22.0
Rev LTM6732696090268,967180
Op Inc LTM-------
FCF LTM196-52020-843,65712
FCF 3Y Avg224-22916-52,31716
CFO LTM248-51920-443,94112
CFO 3Y Avg257-22818-52,50618

Growth & Margins

BANFNEWTATLOAVBCLSBKNUMedian
NameBancFirstNewtekOneAmes Nat.Avidia B.Lake Sho.Nu  
Rev Chg LTM8.7%21.8%13.1%-2.1%23.7%13.1%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg9.2%31.6%-2.3%-0.0%70.1%9.2%
Rev Chg Q7.2%20.7%19.4%-16.5%20.4%19.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.8%4.7%4.6%-4.0%5.0%4.6%
Op Mgn LTM-------
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-------
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-------
CFO/Rev LTM36.8%-193.4%33.7%-4.2%17.4%44.0%25.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg40.5%-91.8%31.7%-19.2%37.8%31.7%
FCF/Rev LTM29.1%-193.4%33.0%-8.3%15.3%40.8%22.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg35.3%-91.9%27.6%-17.8%34.9%27.6%

Valuation

BANFNEWTATLOAVBCLSBKNUMedian
NameBancFirstNewtekOneAmes Nat.Avidia B.Lake Sho.Nu  
Mkt Cap3.70.30.2--84.22.0
P/S6.31.12.7--7.44.5
P/EBIT-------
P/E17.74.911.6--28.814.7
P/CFO17.0-0.67.9--16.812.3
Total Yield7.1%20.2%13.5%--3.5%10.3%
Dividend Yield1.5%0.0%4.9%--0.0%0.7%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg6.5%-76.1%9.6%--4.3%5.4%
D/E0.02.60.2--0.00.1
Net D/E-1.01.8-4.5---0.4-0.7

Returns

BANFNEWTATLOAVBCLSBKNUMedian
NameBancFirstNewtekOneAmes Nat.Avidia B.Lake Sho.Nu  
1M Rtn2.8%9.4%5.5%7.2%7.0%8.1%7.1%
3M Rtn-16.4%-6.0%13.0%9.1%13.4%17.0%11.1%
6M Rtn-8.1%10.7%29.3%--46.1%20.0%
12M Rtn-10.3%-14.3%32.6%--49.4%11.1%
3Y Rtn14.9%-24.8%8.7%--291.0%11.8%
1M Excs Rtn2.8%9.4%5.5%7.2%7.1%8.2%7.1%
3M Excs Rtn-23.5%-12.1%4.9%1.3%9.3%11.9%3.1%
6M Excs Rtn-22.8%-4.0%14.6%--31.3%5.3%
12M Excs Rtn-24.1%-30.2%21.1%--25.6%-1.5%
3Y Excs Rtn-56.2%-94.1%-60.5%--240.5%-58.4%

FDIC Bank Data

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
BancFirst Community Banks7,0136,8865,8215,5284,998
BancFirst Metropolitan Banks3,5993,4122,6282,7302,806
Executive, Operations & Support1,3081,4731,2021,074951
Pegasus1,2811,4041,046920738
Worthington600541   
Other Financial Services12217272137102
Eliminations-1,550-1,501-1,363-1,175-1,030
Total12,37212,3889,4069,2128,566


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity836,038
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120250.7%
Average Daily Volume107,721
Days-to-Cover Short Interest7.76
Basic Shares Quantity33,310,290
Short % of Basic Shares2.5%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251107202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025805202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025509202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024228202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241105202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024806202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024507202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023227202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231106202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023804202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023509202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022224202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221104202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022805202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022506202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021225202210-K 12/31/2021