Tearsheet

BayFirst Financial (BAFN)


Market Price (12/5/2025): $7.91 | Market Cap: $32.7 Mil
Sector: Financials | Industry: Regional Banks

BayFirst Financial (BAFN)


Market Price (12/5/2025): $7.91
Market Cap: $32.7 Mil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Regional Banks

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 18%, Dividend Yield is 2.3%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 14%, FCF Yield is 562%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -70%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -121%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.1%
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -36%
  
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 409%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 409%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Online Banking & Lending, and Digital Payments.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 18%, Dividend Yield is 2.3%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 14%, FCF Yield is 562%
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -36%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 409%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 409%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Online Banking & Lending, and Digital Payments.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -70%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -121%
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.1%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

BAFN Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are key points explaining the -12.4% stock movement for BayFirst Financial (BAFN) from approximately August 31, 2025, to December 5, 2025:

1. Significant Net Loss in Q3 2025: BayFirst Financial reported a substantial net loss of $18.9 million in the third quarter of 2025, a dramatic increase compared to a loss of $1.2 million in the second quarter of 2025 and a profit of $1.1 million in the third quarter of 2024.

2. Strategic Shift and Restructuring Charges: The company is undergoing a strategic restructuring, transitioning away from its SBA 7(a) lending business towards a traditional community banking model. This strategic shift included a $7.3 million restructuring charge in Q3 2025. This transition followed the discontinuation of the Bolt SBA 7(a) Loan Program around August 2025 due to an increase in bad loans.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
BAFN Return---25%-20%5%-40%-63%
Peers Return-2%12%-18%18%1%21%29%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%17%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
BAFN Win Rate-0%50%33%50%40% 
Peers Win Rate22%25%28%35%27%51% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
BAFN Max Drawdown---31%-45%-14%-50% 
Peers Max Drawdown-19%-2%-23%-16%-10%-7% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: NEWT, ATLO, AVBC, LSBK, NU.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/4/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventBAFNS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-63.7%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven175.6%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days

Compare to NEWT, ATLO, AVBC, LSBK, NU


In The Past

BayFirst Financial's stock fell -63.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/10/2021. A -63.7% loss requires a 175.6% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

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Asset Allocation

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About BayFirst Financial (BAFN)

Better Bets than BayFirst Financial (BAFN)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to BAFN. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.5%7.5%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
15.2%15.2%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.5%-2.5%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-6.2%-6.2%-11.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.5%7.5%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
15.2%15.2%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.5%-2.5%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-6.2%-6.2%-11.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for BayFirst Financial

Peers to compare with:

Financials

BAFNNEWTATLOAVBCLSBKNUMedian
NameBayFirst.NewtekOneAmes Nat.Avidia B.Lake Sho.Nu  
Mkt Price7.9011.2322.1016.6915.0217.6515.86
Mkt Cap0.00.30.2--85.20.2
Rev LTM802696090268,96785
Op Inc LTM-------
FCF LTM325-52020-843,65712
FCF 3Y Avg418-22916-52,31716
CFO LTM326-51920-443,94112
CFO 3Y Avg423-22818-52,50618

Growth & Margins

BAFNNEWTATLOAVBCLSBKNUMedian
NameBayFirst.NewtekOneAmes Nat.Avidia B.Lake Sho.Nu  
Rev Chg LTM-3.1%21.8%13.1%-2.1%23.7%13.1%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg26.3%31.6%-2.3%-0.0%70.1%26.3%
Rev Chg Q9.0%20.7%19.4%-16.5%20.4%19.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.2%4.7%4.6%-4.0%5.0%4.6%
Op Mgn LTM-------
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-------
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-------
CFO/Rev LTM409.2%-193.4%33.7%-4.2%17.4%44.0%25.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg551.6%-91.8%31.7%-19.2%37.8%31.7%
FCF/Rev LTM408.5%-193.4%33.0%-8.3%15.3%40.8%24.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg544.8%-91.9%27.6%-17.8%34.9%27.6%

Valuation

BAFNNEWTATLOAVBCLSBKNUMedian
NameBayFirst.NewtekOneAmes Nat.Avidia B.Lake Sho.Nu  
Mkt Cap0.00.30.2--85.20.2
P/S0.71.12.7--7.41.9
P/EBIT-------
P/E6.24.911.6--28.88.9
P/CFO0.2-0.67.9--16.84.0
Total Yield18.4%20.2%13.5%--3.5%16.0%
Dividend Yield2.3%0.0%4.9%--0.0%1.1%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg789.1%-76.1%9.6%--4.3%6.9%
D/E1.12.60.2--0.00.6
Net D/E-0.41.8-4.5---0.4-0.4

Returns

BAFNNEWTATLOAVBCLSBKNUMedian
NameBayFirst.NewtekOneAmes Nat.Avidia B.Lake Sho.Nu  
1M Rtn-8.7%7.1%6.9%10.6%6.1%11.7%7.0%
3M Rtn-11.2%-7.4%11.0%8.1%14.1%18.7%9.5%
6M Rtn-48.7%9.8%29.9%--45.7%19.9%
12M Rtn-39.4%-15.4%31.8%--47.1%8.2%
3Y Rtn-48.5%-25.5%11.1%--334.7%-7.2%
1M Excs Rtn-9.9%5.8%5.7%9.3%4.9%10.4%5.7%
3M Excs Rtn-18.0%-10.8%4.8%4.8%8.8%13.9%4.8%
6M Excs Rtn-64.2%-5.6%14.5%--30.3%4.4%
12M Excs Rtn-53.0%-30.1%18.5%--33.7%-5.8%
3Y Excs Rtn-121.0%-96.9%-60.7%--241.1%-78.8%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single Segment795856  
Banking   3839
Residential Mortgage   9432
Total79585613171


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity14,290
Short Interest: % Change Since 1031202556.8%
Average Daily Volume6,775
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.11
Basic Shares Quantity4,131,670
Short % of Basic Shares0.3%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025811202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025513202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024325202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241113202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024812202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024513202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023328202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231113202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023811202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023515202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022328202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221110202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022812202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022513202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021331202210-K 12/31/2021
93020211216202110-Q 9/30/2021