Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.0%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.9%, FCF Yield is 10%
Short seller report
Hindenburg Research report on 6/4/2024.
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -26%
 
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 43%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 40%
 
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 33%
 
4 Capital ratio is >2x the minimum of 6%
Tier 1 Capital / Risk Wtd Assets RatioTier 1 Capital / Risk-Weighted Assets is a common measure of financial strength for a bank. It reflects how much equity there is relative to assets where assets are weighted based on riskiness. Low ratios indicate the bank is highly vulnerable to even small changes in the value of their risk assets. is 12%
 
5 Uninsured deposits are low
Uninsured Deposits Ratio %Fraction of deposits that exceed the insurance deposit thresholds. For example, the FDIC protects deposits up to $250K. A high uninsured deposits ratio indicates large accounts and greater potential exposure to bank run risk. is 14%
 
6 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Online Banking & Lending, Digital Payments, and Wealth Management Technology.
 
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.0%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.9%, FCF Yield is 10%
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -26%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 43%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 40%
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 33%
4 Capital ratio is >2x the minimum of 6%
Tier 1 Capital / Risk Wtd Assets RatioTier 1 Capital / Risk-Weighted Assets is a common measure of financial strength for a bank. It reflects how much equity there is relative to assets where assets are weighted based on riskiness. Low ratios indicate the bank is highly vulnerable to even small changes in the value of their risk assets. is 12%
5 Uninsured deposits are low
Uninsured Deposits Ratio %Fraction of deposits that exceed the insurance deposit thresholds. For example, the FDIC protects deposits up to $250K. A high uninsured deposits ratio indicates large accounts and greater potential exposure to bank run risk. is 14%
6 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Online Banking & Lending, Digital Payments, and Wealth Management Technology.
7 Short seller report
Hindenburg Research report on 6/4/2024.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

AX Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Between approximately August 31, 2025, and December 4, 2025, Axos Financial (AX) experienced a stock movement of approximately -7.9%. While the company reported generally positive financial results during this period, several factors likely contributed to the decline from its peak.

1. Correction from All-Time Highs: Axos Financial's stock reached an all-time high of $93.84 on September 4, 2025. The subsequent -7.9% movement can be attributed to a natural market correction or profit-taking after the stock achieved a significant peak.

2. Potential for Net Interest Margin (NIM) Compression: Despite strong net interest income reported in previous quarters, concerns about potential future compression in net interest margins remained a key risk for the company. There was also an acknowledgment of a risk of higher funding costs, which could put pressure on NIM if loan growth accelerates.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
AX Return24%49%-32%43%28%17%169%
Peers Return-2%12%-18%18%1%19%28%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
AX Win Rate58%75%50%50%58%50% 
Peers Win Rate22%25%28%35%27%51% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
AX Max Drawdown-52%-2%-39%-13%-11%-19% 
Peers Max Drawdown-19%-2%-23%-16%-10%-7% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: NEWT, ATLO, AVBC, LSBK, NU.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventAXS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-46.3%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven86.3%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven245 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-52.1%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven108.7%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven231 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-45.6%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven83.7%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven532 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-57.7%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven136.5%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven281 days1480 days

Compare to NEWT, ATLO, AVBC, LSBK, NU


In The Past

Axos Financial's stock fell -46.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/24/2021. A -46.3% loss requires a 86.3% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Axos Financial (AX)

Better Bets than Axos Financial (AX)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to AX. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%
AX_8312024_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%08312024AXAxos FinancialQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-3.8%31.4%-18.8%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%
AX_8312024_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%08312024AXAxos FinancialQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-3.8%31.4%-18.8%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Axos Financial

Peers to compare with:

Financials

AXNEWTATLOAVBCLSBKNUMedian
NameAxos Fin.NewtekOneAmes Nat.Avidia B.Lake Sho.Nu  
Mkt Price84.0311.3121.9516.4715.0917.4416.95
Mkt Cap4.70.30.2--84.22.5
Rev LTM1,2452696090268,967180
Op Inc LTM-------
FCF LTM492-52020-843,65712
FCF 3Y Avg306-22916-52,31716
CFO LTM538-51920-443,94112
CFO 3Y Avg347-22818-52,50618

Growth & Margins

AXNEWTATLOAVBCLSBKNUMedian
NameAxos Fin.NewtekOneAmes Nat.Avidia B.Lake Sho.Nu  
Rev Chg LTM8.4%21.8%13.1%-2.1%23.7%13.1%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg19.1%31.6%-2.3%-0.0%70.1%19.1%
Rev Chg Q0.9%20.7%19.4%-16.5%20.4%19.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.2%4.7%4.6%-4.0%5.0%4.6%
Op Mgn LTM-------
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-------
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-------
CFO/Rev LTM43.2%-193.4%33.7%-4.2%17.4%44.0%25.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg30.1%-91.8%31.7%-19.2%37.8%30.1%
FCF/Rev LTM39.6%-193.4%33.0%-8.3%15.3%40.8%24.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg26.5%-91.9%27.6%-17.8%34.9%26.5%

Valuation

AXNEWTATLOAVBCLSBKNUMedian
NameAxos Fin.NewtekOneAmes Nat.Avidia B.Lake Sho.Nu  
Mkt Cap4.70.30.2--84.22.5
P/S3.81.12.7--7.43.2
P/EBIT-------
P/E11.14.911.6--28.811.3
P/CFO8.9-0.67.9--16.88.4
Total Yield9.0%20.2%13.5%--3.5%11.3%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%4.9%--0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg8.1%-76.1%9.6%--4.3%6.2%
D/E0.32.60.2--0.00.2
Net D/E-0.31.8-4.5---0.4-0.3

Returns

AXNEWTATLOAVBCLSBKNUMedian
NameAxos Fin.NewtekOneAmes Nat.Avidia B.Lake Sho.Nu  
1M Rtn5.9%9.4%5.5%7.2%7.0%8.1%7.1%
3M Rtn-7.1%-6.0%13.0%9.1%13.4%17.0%11.1%
6M Rtn20.2%10.7%29.3%--46.1%24.8%
12M Rtn5.0%-14.3%32.6%--49.4%18.8%
3Y Rtn113.9%-24.8%8.7%--291.0%61.3%
1M Excs Rtn5.9%9.4%5.5%7.2%7.1%8.2%7.1%
3M Excs Rtn-14.1%-12.1%4.9%1.3%9.3%11.9%3.1%
6M Excs Rtn5.5%-4.0%14.6%--31.3%10.0%
12M Excs Rtn-12.1%-30.2%21.1%--25.6%4.5%
3Y Excs Rtn43.7%-94.1%-60.5%--240.5%-8.4%

FDIC Bank Data

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment

$ Mil20252024202320222021
Banking Business22,16619,39616,00312,74513,019
Securities Business Segment6498991,3291,451737
Corporate/Eliminations4053707096
Total22,85520,34817,40114,26613,852


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity2,038,071
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120256.3%
Average Daily Volume284,595
Days-to-Cover Short Interest7.16
Basic Shares Quantity56,512,587
Short % of Basic Shares3.6%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251030202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025821202510-K 6/30/2025
3312025430202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024128202510-Q 12/31/2024
93020241030202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024822202410-K 6/30/2024
3312024430202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023130202410-Q 12/31/2023
93020231026202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023829202310-K 6/30/2023
3312023427202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022126202310-Q 12/31/2022
93020221028202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022908202210-K 6/30/2022
3312022428202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021127202210-Q 12/31/2021