Tearsheet

Avalon (AWX)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $2.68 | Market Cap: $10.4 Mil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Environmental & Facilities Services

Avalon (AWX)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $2.68
Market Cap: $10.4 Mil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Environmental & Facilities Services

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -31%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -17%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -79%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 319%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Battery Technology & Metals, and Renewable Energy Transition. Themes include Rare Earth Elements, Advanced Battery Components, Show more.
  Expensive valuation multiples
P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 82x
2   Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -6.4%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -12%
3   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.0%
4   High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 102%
0 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -31%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Battery Technology & Metals, and Renewable Energy Transition. Themes include Rare Earth Elements, Advanced Battery Components, Show more.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -17%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -79%
3 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 319%
4 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 82x
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -6.4%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -12%
6 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.0%
7 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 102%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

AWX Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points explaining the approximate 6% stock movement for Avalon (AWX) from August 31, 2025, to today: 1. Avalon Holdings Corporation announced strong third-quarter 2025 financial results.

The company reported increased net operating revenues of $25.7 million for Q3 2025, up from $24.2 million in Q3 2024. Net income attributable to common shareholders also rose to $1.9 million, or $0.49 per share, compared to $1.8 million, or $0.47 per share, in the third quarter of the previous year. These positive earnings were released on November 7, 2025, and likely contributed to a positive stock movement.

2. Investor sentiment improved, contributing to significant stock appreciation.

Investor sentiment for AWX improved, leading to an 18% rise in the stock by November 14, 2025, indicating growing confidence among investors. This enhanced sentiment likely played a role in the stock's overall positive trajectory during the period.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
AWX Return35%39%-24%-13%62%-30%40%
Peers Return59%-9%23%13%46%18%244%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
AWX Win Rate50%50%33%42%50%40% 
Peers Win Rate38%37%40%42%42%50% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
AWX Max Drawdown-39%-2%-30%-32%-15%-39% 
Peers Max Drawdown-35%-27%-22%-15%-5%-25% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: CWST, GEO, CECO, FTEK, YDDL.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventAWXS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-66.7%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven200.0%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-40.4%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven67.8%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven179 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-81.9%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven451.1%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-90.9%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven1002.0%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days1480 days

Compare to CWST, GEO, CECO, FTEK, YDDL


In The Past

Avalon's stock fell -66.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 8/12/2021. A -66.7% loss requires a 200.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Avalon (AWX)

Better Bets than Avalon (AWX)

Latest Trefis Analyses

TitleTopic
0DASHBOARDS 
1How Low Can Avalon Stock Really Go?Return
Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to AWX. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.3%7.3%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.3%2.3%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.6%1.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
2.2%2.2%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.3%7.3%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.3%2.3%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.6%1.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
2.2%2.2%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Avalon

Peers to compare with:

Financials

AWXCWSTGEOCECOFTEKYDDLMedian
NameAvalon Casella .GEO CECO Env.Fuel TechOne and . 
Mkt Price2.6895.6817.1054.501.835.2511.17
Mkt Cap0.06.12.41.90.1-1.9
Rev LTM781,7952,53171825-718
Op Inc LTM29327948-4-48
FCF LTM-07826-173-3
FCF 3Y Avg-17414713-0-13
CFO LTM2343208-23-3
CFO 3Y Avg3271257250-25

Growth & Margins

AWXCWSTGEOCECOFTEKYDDLMedian
NameAvalon Casella .GEO CECO Env.Fuel TechOne and . 
Rev Chg LTM-6.4%20.5%4.4%29.9%-5.7%-4.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg3.1%19.6%3.1%21.9%-2.0%-3.1%
Rev Chg Q-12.2%17.9%13.1%45.8%-4.6%-13.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-3.5%4.3%3.2%9.5%-1.4%-3.2%
Op Mgn LTM2.2%5.2%11.0%6.7%-17.7%-5.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg1.5%6.9%13.3%7.0%-12.7%-6.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.8%-0.5%-0.5%-0.3%0.5%--0.5%
CFO/Rev LTM2.3%19.1%8.2%-0.3%11.9%-8.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg3.2%18.2%10.5%4.8%0.7%-4.8%
FCF/Rev LTM-0.5%4.4%1.0%-2.4%10.7%-1.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-0.8%5.2%6.0%2.8%-0.7%-2.8%

Valuation

AWXCWSTGEOCECOFTEKYDDLMedian
NameAvalon Casella .GEO CECO Env.Fuel TechOne and . 
Mkt Cap0.06.12.41.90.1-1.9
P/S0.13.41.12.53.8-2.5
P/EBIT5.673.15.918.6-60.7-5.9
P/E82.3394.811.934.9-31.0-34.9
P/CFO5.317.613.6-796.831.8-13.6
Total Yield1.2%0.3%8.4%2.9%-3.2%-1.2%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%-0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-6.2%1.4%11.3%2.5%-2.4%-1.4%
D/E3.60.20.60.10.0-0.2
Net D/E3.20.20.50.1-0.3-0.2

Returns

AWXCWSTGEOCECOFTEKYDDLMedian
NameAvalon Casella .GEO CECO Env.Fuel TechOne and . 
1M Rtn-1.5%7.8%1.7%4.8%-30.7%22.0%3.3%
3M Rtn9.8%0.1%-18.7%17.4%-36.0%-0.1%
6M Rtn9.8%-18.3%-36.2%104.0%9.6%-9.6%
12M Rtn-14.9%-16.0%-36.5%68.9%77.7%--14.9%
3Y Rtn-7.2%10.4%49.6%346.7%27.1%-27.1%
1M Excs Rtn-1.4%7.9%1.8%4.8%-30.6%22.0%3.3%
3M Excs Rtn2.9%-5.2%-24.5%6.4%-42.0%--5.2%
6M Excs Rtn-4.9%-33.0%-50.9%89.2%-5.1%--5.1%
12M Excs Rtn-31.2%-29.0%-53.6%56.5%57.5%--29.0%
3Y Excs Rtn-78.8%-60.1%-5.6%272.5%-30.9%--30.9%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity41,413
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-16.7%
Average Daily Volume43,332
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1
Basic Shares Quantity3,899,000
Short % of Basic Shares1.1%

Returns Analyses

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025808202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025507202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024320202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241108202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024808202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024508202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023321202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231109202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023811202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023510202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022323202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221110202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022812202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022512202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021310202210-K 12/31/2021
93020211112202110-Q 9/30/2021