Mission Produce (AVO)
Market Price (5/3/2026): $13.805 | Market Cap: $975.2 MilSector: Consumer Staples | Industry: Food Distributors
Mission Produce (AVO)
Market Price (5/3/2026): $13.805Market Cap: $975.2 MilSector: Consumer StaplesIndustry: Food Distributors
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 33% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Health & Wellness Trends, and Vegan & Alternative Foods. Themes include Functional Foods & Beverages, Vegan Products, Show more. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -20%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -54% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -17% Key risksAVO key risks include [1] a heavy business dependency on the avocado market and [2] geopolitical and tariff exposure from sourcing in key regions like Mexico and Peru. |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 33% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Health & Wellness Trends, and Vegan & Alternative Foods. Themes include Functional Foods & Beverages, Vegan Products, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -20%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -54% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -17% |
| Key risksAVO key risks include [1] a heavy business dependency on the avocado market and [2] geopolitical and tariff exposure from sourcing in key regions like Mexico and Peru. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Strong Q1 Fiscal 2026 Performance Exceeding Revenue and Adjusted Earnings Expectations. Mission Produce reported robust avocado volume growth of 14% in its fiscal first quarter ended January 31, 2026. Despite a 17% year-over-year revenue decrease to $278.6 million due to a 30% decline in per-unit avocado sales prices, this revenue figure still surpassed analyst estimates. Additionally, the company achieved an adjusted net income of $0.10 per diluted share, which was flat year-over-year and exceeded the consensus estimate of $0.07 per share. Gross margin also expanded by 190 basis points to 11.3%, driven by improved performance in the Marketing & Distribution segment.
2. Strategic Acquisition of Calavo Growers. The ongoing, pending acquisition of Calavo Growers, anticipated to close in fiscal Q3 2026, is a significant growth driver. This acquisition is expected to expand Mission Produce's avocado platform, diversify its product portfolio into prepared foods, and generate at least $25 million in annual synergies, enhancing the company's long-term value and market position.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 2.6% change in AVO stock from 1/31/2026 to 5/3/2026 was primarily driven by a 13.0% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 1312026 | 5032026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 13.46 | 13.80 | 2.6% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1,391 | 1,336 | -4.0% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 2.7% | 2.5% | -8.5% |
| P/E Multiple | 26.1 | 29.5 | 13.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 73 | 71 | 3.4% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 2.6% |
Market Drivers
1/31/2026 to 5/3/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| AVO | 2.6% | |
| Market (SPY) | 3.6% | 8.1% |
| Sector (XLP) | 1.4% | 4.9% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 19.8% change in AVO stock from 10/31/2025 to 5/3/2026 was primarily driven by a 42.5% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 10312025 | 5032026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 11.52 | 13.80 | 19.8% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1,427 | 1,336 | -6.4% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 2.7% | 2.5% | -9.3% |
| P/E Multiple | 20.7 | 29.5 | 42.5% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 70 | 71 | -0.9% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 19.8% |
Market Drivers
10/31/2025 to 5/3/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| AVO | 19.9% | |
| Market (SPY) | 5.5% | 6.7% |
| Sector (XLP) | 11.9% | 16.0% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 31.8% change in AVO stock from 4/30/2025 to 5/3/2026 was primarily driven by a 60.9% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 4302025 | 5032026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 10.47 | 13.80 | 31.8% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1,310 | 1,336 | 1.9% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 3.1% | 2.5% | -20.0% |
| P/E Multiple | 18.3 | 29.5 | 60.9% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 71 | 71 | 0.5% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 31.8% |
Market Drivers
4/30/2025 to 5/3/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| AVO | 31.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | 30.4% | 11.1% |
| Sector (XLP) | 5.7% | 24.3% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 21.2% change in AVO stock from 4/30/2023 to 5/3/2026 was primarily driven by a 28.1% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 4302023 | 5032026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 11.39 | 13.80 | 21.2% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1,043 | 1,336 | 28.1% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.8 | 0.7 | -5.4% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 71 | 71 | 0.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 21.2% |
Market Drivers
4/30/2023 to 5/3/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| AVO | 21.2% | |
| Market (SPY) | 78.7% | 22.4% |
| Sector (XLP) | 17.9% | 28.3% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| AVO Return | 4% | -26% | -13% | 42% | -19% | 19% | -8% |
| Peers Return | 0% | -1% | 8% | 27% | 6% | 17% | 69% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 5% | 92% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| AVO Win Rate | 58% | 42% | 42% | 58% | 50% | 75% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 48% | 45% | 55% | 62% | 57% | 75% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| AVO Max Drawdown | -0% | -26% | -27% | -5% | -32% | -0% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -17% | -20% | -19% | -10% | -12% | -5% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -7% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: SYY, CHEF, CVGW, USFD, PFGC.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 5/1/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | AVO | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -18.7% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 23.0% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 63 days | 79 days |
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -29.6% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 42.1% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 106 days | 24 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -14.8% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 17.4% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 75 days | 31 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -27.1% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 37.2% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 150 days | 427 days |
In The Past
Mission Produce's stock fell -18.7% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 23.0% gain to breakeven.
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| Event | AVO | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -29.6% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 42.1% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 106 days | 24 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -27.1% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 37.2% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 150 days | 427 days |
In The Past
Mission Produce's stock fell -18.7% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 23.0% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Mission Produce (AVO)
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are a few analogies for Mission Produce (AVO):
The Chiquita or Dole of avocados.
Like Perdue Farms, but for avocados instead of chickens.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Avocados: The primary product, which the company sources, produces, packages, and distributes to customers globally.
- Ripening Services: A value-added service where avocados are ripened to the desired stage for consumption.
- Bagging Services: Custom packaging of avocados into bags for retail and other customer needs.
- Custom Packing Services: Tailored packing solutions for avocados beyond standard options.
- Logistical Management Services: Coordination and oversight of the supply chain to ensure efficient delivery of avocados.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Mission Produce (AVO) primarily sells its products to other companies. Its major customers fall into the following categories:
- Retail customers
- Wholesale customers
- Foodservice customers
AI Analysis | Feedback
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Stephen J. Barnard, Chief Executive Officer
Stephen J. Barnard co-founded Mission Produce in 1983 and has served as its Chief Executive Officer since 1988. Prior to founding Mission Produce, he worked in the lettuce and avocado divisions of Santa Clara Produce, Inc.
Bryan Giles, Chief Financial Officer
Bryan Giles has over 20 years of management experience in finance, accounting, and auditing. Before joining Mission Produce, he held multiple capacities, including Vice President of Finance & Administration and Vice President of Finance – MSS Technology Group, at Tecom Industries Inc., a division of Smiths Group. He previously oversaw a group of military technology companies with approximately $200 million in revenues at Smiths Group. Giles began his career at Deloitte & Touche.
John Pawlowski, President and Chief Operating Officer
John Pawlowski joined Mission Produce in April 2024 as President and Chief Operating Officer, bringing over 25 years of experience in the global food and foodservice industry. Prior to Mission, he was the President and COO of Lipari Foods, a leading independent distributor, where he was responsible for leading M&A and organic growth strategies. He also spent more than 16 years at J.M. Smucker, with his roles culminating as Vice President of International.
Joanne Wu, General Counsel and Secretary
Joanne Wu has over fifteen years of experience in public company representation, securities law, corporate governance, M&A, and managing legal departments. Her career includes both in-house and private practice positions.
Anita Lemos, Vice President of Human Resources
Anita Lemos provides executive strategy for human resources functions, including staffing, leadership development, employee relations, and compensation and benefits. She also spearheaded the Mission Produce Foundation.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The key risks to Mission Produce (AVO) are primarily associated with the inherent nature of its agricultural product, its global supply chain, and market dynamics.
- Agricultural and Climate-Related Risks: Mission Produce's business is highly susceptible to risks inherent in agricultural production, particularly concerning avocados. These risks include adverse weather conditions such as droughts, freezes, excessive rainfall, and natural disasters, which can significantly impact crop yields, quality, and supply continuity. Pests and diseases also pose a significant threat, capable of devastating crops, reducing yields, and increasing production costs. Furthermore, avocado farming is water-intensive, making the company vulnerable to water scarcity and stress, which can lead to reduced flowering, fruiting, and increased tree mortality. Climate change is expected to exacerbate these challenges, potentially reducing areas suitable for avocado cultivation.
- Market Price Volatility and Competition: The avocado market is characterized by price volatility, which can significantly impact Mission Produce's revenue and profitability. Fluctuations in avocado prices are driven by supply and demand imbalances, agricultural yields from various regions, and shifts in consumer preferences. For example, recent periods have shown strong avocado volume growth alongside significant pricing pressure, with average prices per pound dropping. Intense competition from other avocado producers and distributors further contributes to margin pressure and affects market share.
- Supply Chain Disruptions and Geopolitical/Regulatory Risks: As an international company involved in sourcing and distributing avocados globally, Mission Produce faces substantial risks related to supply chain disruptions. These disruptions can arise from various factors, including geopolitical events, trade barriers, changes in import/export regulations, tariffs, and transportation challenges in key growing or distribution regions. For instance, anticipated declines in supply from crucial sourcing regions like Mexico can pose significant risks to the company's revenue growth. The company's heavy reliance on avocados as its primary product amplifies its vulnerability to these external factors.
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Addressable Markets for Mission Produce (AVO)
Mission Produce's primary addressable market is the global avocado market, which encompasses their core business of sourcing, producing, packaging, and distributing avocados, along with related value-added services such as ripening, bagging, custom packing, and logistical management. The company also has offerings in mangos and blueberries.
Avocados
The global avocado market was valued at approximately USD 15.83 billion in 2023 and is projected to reach USD 26.04 billion by 2030, demonstrating a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 7.4% from 2024 to 2030. Other estimates place the global market value at around USD 16 billion in 2023, expected to hit USD 30 billion by 2032 with a CAGR of nearly 7.5% between 2024 and 2032. The fresh avocado segment constitutes the largest portion of this market, accounting for approximately 77.91% of the revenue in 2023.
Regional Market Sizes for Avocados:
- North America (U.S.): North America holds a significant share of the global avocado market, accounting for 45.0% of the total revenue in 2022. In 2025, the total avocado volume in the U.S. market is anticipated to surpass 3 billion pounds. The value of U.S. fresh avocado imports reached a record-breaking $3.87 billion USD in 2024. The U.S. market is projected to lead globally in terms of revenue by 2030, with an estimated value of USD 4,796.5 million.
- Europe: Europe accounted for 28.0% of the global avocado market in 2025. The European avocado market generated a revenue of USD 3,414.5 million in 2023 and is expected to reach an estimated US$ 6,111.0 million by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 8.7% from 2024 to 2030. Annual consumption in the European avocado market has surpassed 1.07 million tons.
- Asia Pacific: The Asia Pacific avocado market is a fast-growing region, projected to reach USD 6,431.3 million by 2030, with a CAGR of 10.5% from 2024 to 2030. It represented 26.3% of the worldwide market share in 2025. In 2024, the Asia Pacific avocado market size was USD 3576.09 million and is expected to grow at a CAGR of 11.7% from 2024 to 2031. The market volume for Asia-Pacific is projected to reach 1.7 million tons and $2.7 billion by 2035.
Mangos and Blueberries
Mission Produce has strategically diversified its product offerings to include mangos and blueberries, leveraging its existing ripening and distribution expertise. While avocados remain their main product, these additional fruits contribute to their broader addressable market in the fresh produce sector. Specific addressable market sizes for mangos and blueberries as they relate directly to Mission Produce's distribution capabilities were not readily available in the provided search results.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 3-5 expected drivers of future revenue growth for Mission Produce (AVO) over the next 2-3 years:
- Increased Avocado Volume and Market Penetration: Mission Produce anticipates revenue growth through increased avocado volumes and greater market penetration, particularly in North America, Europe, and Asia. The company aims to boost household avocado penetration to 73-75% over the next 2-3 years.
- Expansion into New Geographic Markets: The company is strategically expanding its global presence and distribution network. This includes strengthening its footprint in Europe and Asia, as well as establishing new domestic operations, such as the expansion into Miami to directly serve customers in Florida and the Southeast U.S.
- Product Diversification, especially with Mangoes and Blueberries: Mission Produce is actively diversifying its product portfolio beyond avocados. The company has successfully expanded into premium mangoes and blueberries, with a focus on growing market share in these categories through initiatives like new product innovations and custom ripe programs for mangoes.
- Strategic Acquisition of Calavo Growers: The pending acquisition of Calavo Growers is a significant driver, expected to expand Mission Produce's avocado platform, diversify its product offerings further into categories like tomatoes, papayas, and prepared foods, and generate at least $25 million in expected annual synergies.
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Share Repurchases
- In the first quarter of fiscal year 2025, Mission Produce executed $5.2 million in share repurchases, with approximately $14 million remaining on the board authorization for future repurchases.
- The company initiated a share repurchase program in fiscal year 2024.
Inbound Investments
- Globalharvest Holdings Venture Ltd, a ten percent owner of Mission Produce, Inc., purchased 985,704 shares of the company's common stock on January 15, 2026, for a total value of $11,591,250.
- Between November 4-11, 2025, Globalharvest Holdings Venture Ltd aggressively purchased 156,725 shares valued at approximately $1.88 million.
- Over the 90 days prior to January 20, 2026, Mission Produce experienced significant insider buying activity, with a net value exceeding $30 million, primarily from Globalharvest Holdings Venture Ltd.
Outbound Investments
- Mission Produce entered into an agreement to acquire Calavo Growers in a cash-and-stock transaction valued at approximately $430 million, with the deal expected to close by the end of August 2026.
- This acquisition is anticipated to expand Mission's Mexican packing footprint, diversify its produce portfolio to include tomatoes and papayas, and allow entry into the prepared foods segment, particularly with ready-made guacamole.
Capital Expenditures
- Capital expenditures for the fiscal year ended October 31, 2025, were $51.4 million, an increase from $32.2 million in fiscal year 2024.
- These expenditures primarily focused on avocado orchard development, pre-production orchard maintenance and land improvements, packhouse construction in Guatemala, and pre-production land development and blueberry plant cultivation in Peru.
- Management projects capital expenditures to decrease to approximately $40 million in fiscal year 2026, with roughly $20 million allocated for maintenance as Peruvian orchard investments near completion.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Date | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Mission Produce Stock Pre-Market (-6.2%): Acquiring Rival CVGW in $430M Deal | 01/15/2026 | |
| Mission Produce Earnings Notes | 12/16/2025 | |
| With Mission Produce Stock Surging, Have You Considered The Downside? | 10/17/2025 | |
| Mission Produce (AVO) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | 08/08/2025 | |
| Mission Produce (AVO) Debt Comparison | 08/08/2025 | |
| Mission Produce (AVO) EBITDA Comparison | 08/08/2025 | |
| Mission Produce (AVO) Net Income Comparison | 08/08/2025 | |
| Mission Produce (AVO) Revenue Comparison | 08/08/2025 | |
| Mission Produce (AVO) Operating Income Comparison | 08/08/2025 | |
| Mission Produce (AVO) Tax Expense Comparison | 08/08/2025 |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select ideas related to AVO.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04102026 | ELF | e.l.f. Beauty | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -1.8% | -1.8% | -6.2% |
| 04022026 | IPAR | Interparfums | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.7% | 0.7% | -0.3% |
| 04022026 | COKE | Coca-Cola Consolidated | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 5.5% | 5.5% | -5.2% |
| 03272026 | MZTI | Marzetti | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -5.0% | -5.0% | -8.6% |
| 03272026 | TAP | Molson Coors Beverage | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -1.5% | -1.5% | -2.3% |
| 02062026 | AVO | Mission Produce | Insider | Insider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | -1.2% | -1.2% | -15.8% |
Research & Analysis
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 76.39 |
| Mkt Cap | 8.4 |
| Rev LTM | 21,841 |
| Op Inc LTM | 510 |
| FCF LTM | 437 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 368 |
| CFO LTM | 703 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 604 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 3.8% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 5.2% |
| Rev Chg Q | 4.0% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.0% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | 0.1% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | 25.6% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 3.4% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 3.2% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.0% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 3.0% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 3.3% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 2.3% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 2.0% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 8.4 |
| P/S | 0.6 |
| P/Op Inc | 16.7 |
| P/EBIT | 16.6 |
| P/E | 30.9 |
| P/CFO | 14.2 |
| Total Yield | 3.3% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 4.6% |
| D/E | 0.3 |
| Net D/E | 0.3 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 4.8% |
| 3M Rtn | 6.9% |
| 6M Rtn | 24.0% |
| 12M Rtn | 19.4% |
| 3Y Rtn | 32.0% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -6.0% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 2.7% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 19.6% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -8.9% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -42.1% |
FDA Approved Drugs Data
Expand for More| Post-Approval Fwd Returns | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FDA App # | Brand Name | Generic Name | Dosage Form | FDA Approval | 3M Rtn | 6M Rtn | 1Y Rtn | 2Y Rtn | Total Rtn |
| NDA211843 | THIOLA EC | tiopronin | tablet, delayed release | 6282019 | |||||
| ANDA206211 | POTASSIUM IODIDE | potassium iodide | solution | 3242016 | |||||
| ANDA090756 | CARBINOXAMINE MALEATE | carbinoxamine maleate | tablet | 5272011 | |||||
| ANDA078974 | GABAPENTIN | gabapentin | solution | 2182011 | |||||
| ANDA091396 | PREDNISOLONE SODIUM PHOSPHATE | prednisolone sodium phosphate | solution | 9132010 | |||||
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marketing and Distribution | 1,153 | 890 | 1,016 | 872 | 847 |
| Blueberries | 76 | 52 | 11 | ||
| International Farming | 65 | 90 | 19 | 20 | 15 |
| Intercompany eliminations | -58 | -79 | |||
| Total | 1,235 | 954 | 1,046 | 892 | 862 |
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marketing and Distribution | 61 | ||||
| Blueberries | 19 | ||||
| Elimination of intersegment profit | -1 | ||||
| International Farming | -13 | ||||
| Total | 66 |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $13.81 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 1.0 | |
| First Trading Date | 10/09/2020 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -10.0% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $13.77 | $12.74 |
| DMA Trend | up | up |
| Distance from DMA | 0.3% | 8.4% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 40.9% | 33.6% |
| Downside Capture | 0.56 | 0.08 |
| Upside Capture | 85.64 | 43.24 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 7.7% | 11.5% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.61 | 0.33 | 0.21 | 0.16 | 0.30 | 0.54 |
| Up Beta | -0.15 | -0.28 | -0.24 | 0.09 | 0.59 | 0.62 |
| Down Beta | -0.63 | -1.71 | -1.26 | -0.79 | -0.10 | 0.39 |
| Up Capture | 76% | 95% | 84% | 74% | 34% | 23% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 15 | 22 | 31 | 66 | 141 | 428 |
| Stock +ve Days | 15 | 25 | 38 | 80 | 148 | 389 |
| Down Capture | 485% | 121% | 68% | 27% | 16% | 81% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 4 | 18 | 30 | 56 | 108 | 321 |
| Stock -ve Days | 6 | 17 | 25 | 42 | 97 | 349 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with AVO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AVO | 34.1% | 33.5% | 0.92 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLP) | 5.7% | 12.6% | 0.17 | 24.3% |
| Equity (SPY) | 30.6% | 12.5% | 1.88 | 10.8% |
| Gold (GLD) | 39.5% | 27.2% | 1.20 | 0.9% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 51.5% | 17.9% | 2.20 | -4.7% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 13.1% | 13.5% | 0.67 | 20.9% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -17.1% | 42.2% | -0.33 | 4.9% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with AVO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AVO | -6.9% | 35.7% | -0.12 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLP) | 6.9% | 13.2% | 0.30 | 29.6% |
| Equity (SPY) | 12.8% | 17.1% | 0.59 | 27.6% |
| Gold (GLD) | 20.5% | 17.9% | 0.94 | 3.5% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 14.3% | 19.1% | 0.61 | 3.0% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 3.5% | 18.8% | 0.09 | 31.5% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 7.7% | 56.2% | 0.35 | 10.8% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with AVO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AVO | 1.2% | 36.0% | 0.15 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLP) | 7.8% | 14.7% | 0.40 | 27.4% |
| Equity (SPY) | 14.9% | 17.9% | 0.71 | 27.1% |
| Gold (GLD) | 13.6% | 15.9% | 0.71 | 4.0% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 9.7% | 17.7% | 0.46 | 3.4% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.7% | 20.7% | 0.24 | 29.8% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 67.7% | 66.9% | 1.07 | 12.2% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 3/12/2026 | -8.2% | -5.2% | 11.3% |
| 12/18/2025 | 0.5% | -11.1% | -0.1% |
| 9/8/2025 | 1.6% | -0.2% | -9.6% |
| 6/5/2025 | 5.0% | 15.6% | 14.8% |
| 3/10/2025 | -13.2% | -13.5% | -17.2% |
| 11/5/2024 | 10.1% | 13.2% | 4.9% |
| 6/6/2024 | -2.5% | -8.7% | -15.4% |
| 3/11/2024 | 12.1% | 11.8% | 7.1% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 11 | 8 | 9 |
| # Negative | 9 | 12 | 11 |
| Median Positive | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.1% |
| Median Negative | -8.5% | -7.0% | -9.3% |
| Max Positive | 12.1% | 15.6% | 33.3% |
| Max Negative | -15.2% | -20.5% | -19.5% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 01/31/2026 | 03/12/2026 | 10-Q |
| 10/31/2025 | 12/18/2025 | 10-K |
| 07/31/2025 | 09/08/2025 | 10-Q |
| 04/30/2025 | 06/05/2025 | 10-Q |
| 01/31/2025 | 03/10/2025 | 10-Q |
| 10/31/2024 | 12/19/2024 | 10-K |
| 07/31/2024 | 09/09/2024 | 10-Q |
| 04/30/2024 | 06/06/2024 | 10-Q |
| 01/31/2024 | 03/11/2024 | 10-Q |
| 10/31/2023 | 12/21/2023 | 10-K |
| 07/31/2023 | 09/11/2023 | 10-Q |
| 04/30/2023 | 06/08/2023 | 10-Q |
| 01/31/2023 | 03/09/2023 | 10-Q |
| 10/31/2022 | 12/22/2022 | 10-K |
| 07/31/2022 | 09/08/2022 | 10-Q |
| 04/30/2022 | 06/08/2022 | 10-Q |
Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]
Latest: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 3/12/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q2 2026 Avocado Industry Volume Growth | 10.0% | 12.5% | 15.0% | ||||
| Q2 2026 Pricing Change | -0.35 | -0.33 | -0.3 | ||||
| 2026 Capital Expenditures | 40.00 Mil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 40.00 Mil for 2026 | |||
Prior: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 12/18/2025
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q1 2026 Avocado Industry Volume Growth | 10.0% | -33.3% | -5.0% | Lowered | Guidance: 15.0% for Q4 2025 | ||
| Q1 2026 Avocado Pricing Change | -0.25 | 11.1% | -2.5% | Lowered | Guidance: -0.23 for Q4 2025 | ||
| 2026 Capital Expenditures | 40.00 Mil | -23.8% | Lowered | Guidance: 52.50 Mil for 2025 | |||
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Globalharvest, Holdings Venture Ltd | Direct | Buy | 3182026 | 11.94 | 3,695 | 44,118 | 119,299,429 | Form | |
| 2 | Globalharvest, Holdings Venture Ltd | Direct | Buy | 3172026 | 11.87 | 176,765 | 2,098,201 | 118,556,159 | Form | |
| 3 | Globalharvest, Holdings Venture Ltd | Direct | Buy | 3172026 | 11.99 | 40,509 | 485,703 | 117,635,293 | Form | |
| 4 | Globalharvest, Holdings Venture Ltd | Direct | Buy | 1232026 | 13.80 | 71,750 | 990,150 | 134,834,390 | Form | |
| 5 | Globalharvest, Holdings Venture Ltd | Direct | Buy | 1232026 | 12.92 | 237,270 | 3,065,528 | 125,309,245 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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