Tearsheet

Mission Produce (AVO)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $12.12 | Market Cap: $848.4 Mil
Sector: Consumer Staples | Industry: Food Distributors

Mission Produce (AVO)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $12.12
Market Cap: $848.4 Mil
Sector: Consumer Staples
Industry: Food Distributors

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 25%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -9.9%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -98%
 
1 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -26%
  
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 37%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Health & Wellness Trends, and Vegan & Alternative Foods. Themes include Functional Foods & Beverages, Vegan Products, Show more.
  
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 25%
1 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -26%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 37%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Health & Wellness Trends, and Vegan & Alternative Foods. Themes include Functional Foods & Beverages, Vegan Products, Show more.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -9.9%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -98%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

AVO Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. Lower average per-unit avocado sales prices: Mission Produce's fiscal third quarter 2025 results indicated a 5% decrease in average per-unit sales prices for avocados. This reduction occurred despite an increase in avocado volume sold, primarily attributed to higher industry volumes.

2. Anticipated tariff impacts: A risk highlighted in the summary of the Q3 2025 earnings call was the anticipated impact of tariffs, projected to cost approximately $10 million annually on avocado and mango imports to the U.S.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
AVO Return-4%-26%-13%42%-16%-19%
Peers Return-7%25%-16%-13%26%-5%0%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
AVO Win Rate100%58%42%42%58%50% 
Peers Win Rate50%42%37%42%45%42% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
AVO Max Drawdown--0%-26%-27%-5%-32% 
Peers Max Drawdown-53%-16%-23%-29%-11%-16% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: SYY, CHEF, CVGW, MTEX, FIT.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventAVOS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-62.7%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven168.2%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-7.5%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven8.1%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven34 days148 days

Compare to SYY, CHEF, CVGW, MTEX, FIT


In The Past

Mission Produce's stock fell -62.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/11/2021. A -62.7% loss requires a 168.2% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Mission Produce (AVO)

Better Bets than Mission Produce (AVO)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to AVO. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BF-B_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025BF-BBrown-FormanDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
3.1%3.1%0.0%
CPB_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025CPBCampbell'sDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-1.9%-1.9%-1.9%
ENR_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025ENREnergizerDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
-5.3%-5.3%-5.3%
FLO_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FLOFlowers FoodsDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.5%3.5%-1.6%
CLX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CLXCloroxDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.1%2.1%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BF-B_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025BF-BBrown-FormanDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
3.1%3.1%0.0%
CPB_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025CPBCampbell'sDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-1.9%-1.9%-1.9%
ENR_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025ENREnergizerDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
-5.3%-5.3%-5.3%
FLO_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FLOFlowers FoodsDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.5%3.5%-1.6%
CLX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CLXCloroxDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.1%2.1%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Mission Produce

Peers to compare with:

Financials

AVOSYYCHEFCVGWMTEXFITMedian
NameMission .Sysco Chefs' W.Calavo G.MannatechFitness . 
Mkt Price12.1273.3660.3020.249.15-20.24
Mkt Cap0.835.12.30.40.0-0.8
Rev LTM1,42782,0354,041694113-1,427
Op Inc LTM663,08114824-1-66
FCF LTM131,5998729-3-29
FCF 3Y Avg141,924367-4-14
CFO LTM592,54312830-2-59
CFO 3Y Avg612,7658712-3-61

Growth & Margins

AVOSYYCHEFCVGWMTEXFITMedian
NameMission .Sysco Chefs' W.Calavo G.MannatechFitness . 
Rev Chg LTM25.3%2.9%8.9%9.5%-7.7%-8.9%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg12.2%4.8%19.9%21.0%-8.2%-12.2%
Rev Chg Q10.4%3.2%9.6%-0.4%-7.4%-3.2%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.4%0.8%2.3%-0.1%-1.8%-0.8%
Op Mgn LTM4.6%3.8%3.7%3.5%-0.5%-3.7%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg3.1%3.9%3.2%3.8%-0.8%-3.2%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.2%-0.0%0.1%-0.1%-0.3%--0.0%
CFO/Rev LTM4.2%3.1%3.2%4.3%-1.8%-3.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg5.2%3.5%2.3%1.1%-2.4%-2.3%
FCF/Rev LTM0.9%1.9%2.1%4.1%-2.6%-1.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg0.9%2.4%0.9%-0.7%-3.0%-0.9%

Valuation

AVOSYYCHEFCVGWMTEXFITMedian
NameMission .Sysco Chefs' W.Calavo G.MannatechFitness . 
Mkt Cap0.835.12.30.40.0-0.8
P/S0.60.50.60.70.2-0.6
P/EBIT11.213.115.220.7-6.7-13.1
P/E21.021.730.230.0-4.5-21.7
P/CFO13.815.517.515.8-8.7-15.5
Total Yield4.8%7.2%3.3%5.6%-22.0%-4.8%
Dividend Yield0.0%2.6%0.0%2.3%0.0%-0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg2.1%5.2%0.9%1.8%-21.0%-1.8%
D/E0.30.40.40.10.4-0.4
Net D/E0.20.30.4-0.10.0-0.2

Returns

AVOSYYCHEFCVGWMTEXFITMedian
NameMission .Sysco Chefs' W.Calavo G.MannatechFitness . 
1M Rtn3.6%0.6%-0.7%-8.8%-2.3%--0.7%
3M Rtn-3.3%-8.9%-5.5%-25.5%-3.3%--5.5%
6M Rtn14.6%2.0%-2.6%-23.0%-11.7%--2.6%
12M Rtn-8.2%-5.2%34.0%-24.1%1.9%--5.2%
3Y Rtn-22.6%-6.8%55.6%-38.1%-57.5%--22.6%
1M Excs Rtn3.6%0.7%-0.7%-8.8%-2.3%--0.7%
3M Excs Rtn-8.0%-15.9%-12.9%-30.5%-6.6%--12.9%
6M Excs Rtn-0.2%-12.7%-17.3%-37.7%-26.4%--17.3%
12M Excs Rtn-22.4%-15.8%21.3%-38.1%-5.9%--15.8%
3Y Excs Rtn-98.0%-80.2%-14.7%-113.1%-132.1%--98.0%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity1,848,962
Short Interest: % Change Since 1031202516.8%
Average Daily Volume340,249
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5.43
Basic Shares Quantity70,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares2.6%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
7312025908202510-Q 7/31/2025
4302025605202510-Q 4/30/2025
1312025310202510-Q 1/31/2025
103120241219202410-K 10/31/2024
7312024909202410-Q 7/31/2024
4302024606202410-Q 4/30/2024
1312024311202410-Q 1/31/2024
103120231221202310-K 10/31/2023
7312023911202310-Q 7/31/2023
4302023608202310-Q 4/30/2023
1312023309202310-Q 1/31/2023
103120221222202210-K 10/31/2022
7312022908202210-Q 7/31/2022
4302022608202210-Q 4/30/2022
1312022310202210-Q 1/31/2022
103120211222202110-K 10/31/2021