Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 15%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 11%, FCF Yield is 60%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 298%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 30%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -0.2%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 146%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 144%
 
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Online Banking & Lending.
 
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 15%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 11%, FCF Yield is 60%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 30%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 146%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 144%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Online Banking & Lending.
4 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 298%
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -0.2%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

ATLC Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. Impact of potential CFPB regulations on late fees. Recent rules enacted by the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB), which are expected to limit late fees charged to consumers, are anticipated to significantly impact the revenue recognized on Atlanticus's receivables.

2. Rising interest expenses and increased cost of borrowing. The company has experienced substantial increases in interest expense, climbing 56.7% year-over-year in Q2 2024 and continuing into Q4 2024, primarily due to higher outstanding debt and increased borrowing costs, which pressured earnings.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
ATLC Return173%190%-63%48%44%1%528%
Peers Return1%28%-19%13%20%7%52%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
ATLC Win Rate50%83%25%50%33%40% 
Peers Win Rate46%54%29%38%44%42% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
ATLC Max Drawdown-41%-8%-68%-16%-39%-23% 
Peers Max Drawdown-37%-6%-24%-18%-9%-19% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: PRAA, GFCX, SUIG, AXP, COF.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventATLCS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-74.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven298.4%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-68.5%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven217.8%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven47 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-48.9%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven95.7%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven129 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-95.7%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven2244.1%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven4467 days1480 days

Compare to PRAA, GFCX, SUIG, AXP, COF


In The Past

Atlanticus's stock fell -74.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/3/2021. A -74.9% loss requires a 298.4% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

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Asset Allocation

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About Atlanticus (ATLC)

Better Bets than Atlanticus (ATLC)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to ATLC. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Atlanticus

Peers to compare with:

Financials

ATLCPRAAGFCXSUIGAXPCOFMedian
NameAtlantic.PRA GoodFait.Sui American.Capital . 
Mkt Price58.6517.09-2.02368.13227.2458.65
Mkt Cap0.90.7--254.7145.273.0
Rev LTM3421,142-470,42848,2311,142
Op Inc LTM-207----207
FCF LTM493-62-618,94420,845493
FCF 3Y Avg458-69--016,90421,063458
CFO LTM499-58-621,13922,335499
CFO 3Y Avg463-65--018,80122,259463

Growth & Margins

ATLCPRAAGFCXSUIGAXPCOFMedian
NameAtlantic.PRA GoodFait.Sui American.Capital . 
Rev Chg LTM30.4%15.8%-76.6%9.1%25.4%25.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-0.2%5.2%-0.3%11.6%13.4%5.2%
Rev Chg Q39.8%1.4%-250.4%10.8%54.4%39.8%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM8.0%0.4%-49.0%2.6%12.7%8.0%
Op Mgn LTM-18.1%----18.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-10.4%----10.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM--0.8%-----0.8%
CFO/Rev LTM145.8%-5.0%-158.3%30.0%46.3%46.3%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg163.1%-6.4%--15.0%29.2%55.1%29.2%
FCF/Rev LTM143.9%-5.4%-158.3%26.9%43.2%43.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg161.3%-6.9%--15.0%26.3%52.2%26.3%

Valuation

ATLCPRAAGFCXSUIGAXPCOFMedian
NameAtlantic.PRA GoodFait.Sui American.Capital . 
Mkt Cap0.90.7--254.7145.273.0
P/S2.40.5--3.32.82.6
P/EBIT-2.5----2.5
P/E6.76.3--21.896.014.3
P/CFO1.7-10.1--10.96.13.9
Total Yield14.8%15.8%--4.6%2.0%9.7%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%--0.0%0.9%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg80.4%-9.7%--10.7%36.3%23.5%
D/E3.46.3--0.30.41.9
Net D/E3.05.9--0.0-0.11.5

Returns

ATLCPRAAGFCXSUIGAXPCOFMedian
NameAtlantic.PRA GoodFait.Sui American.Capital . 
1M Rtn4.1%16.7%--29.1%1.8%2.9%2.9%
3M Rtn-12.6%1.2%--67.1%14.0%3.1%1.2%
6M Rtn19.9%18.8%--25.0%18.6%19.4%
12M Rtn-5.8%-16.6%--23.2%23.0%8.6%
3Y Rtn106.4%-50.5%--143.8%145.0%125.1%
1M Excs Rtn4.2%16.7%--29.1%1.8%2.9%2.9%
3M Excs Rtn-20.0%-4.6%--72.5%6.3%-4.6%-4.6%
6M Excs Rtn5.2%4.0%--10.3%3.9%4.6%
12M Excs Rtn-12.9%-32.9%--8.6%6.3%-3.3%
3Y Excs Rtn40.2%-121.8%--80.5%67.6%53.9%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Credit as a Service (CaaS)1,1161,011713  
Auto Finance4036353333
Credit and Other Investments   530423
Total1,1561,047748563455


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Credit as a Service (CaaS)2,6032,2951,860  
Auto Finance10493848380
Credit and Other Investments   1,125856
Total2,7062,3881,9441,207936


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity421,821
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120258.5%
Average Daily Volume77,191
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5.46
Basic Shares Quantity15,124,000
Short % of Basic Shares2.8%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025807202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024313202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241107202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024808202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024510202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023304202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231109202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023809202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023509202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022315202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221108202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022809202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022510202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021315202210-K 12/31/2021
93020211112202110-Q 9/30/2021