Appian (APPN)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $36.365 | Market Cap: $2.7 BilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Systems Software
Appian (APPN)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $36.365Market Cap: $2.7 BilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: Systems Software
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -44%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -72% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 123x |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Automation & Robotics, Cloud Computing, and Artificial Intelligence. Themes include Process / Warehouse Automation, Show more. | Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.5% | |
| Key risksAPPN key risks include [1] its challenging path to sustained profitability due to high operating costs, Show more. |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Automation & Robotics, Cloud Computing, and Artificial Intelligence. Themes include Process / Warehouse Automation, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -44%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -72% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 123x |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.5% |
| Key risksAPPN key risks include [1] its challenging path to sustained profitability due to high operating costs, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
APPN Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Appian (APPN) experienced an approximate 18.3% stock movement, primarily driven by strong financial performance and positive market sentiment in late 2025. The key factors influencing this movement include:
1. Strong Q3 2025 Earnings Beat. Appian reported robust third-quarter 2025 financial results, with total revenue reaching $187 million, significantly surpassing analyst expectations of $174.2 million. Additionally, the company's adjusted earnings per share of $0.32 substantially exceeded the analyst forecast of $0.05.
2. Raised Full-Year 2025 Guidance. Following its impressive Q3 performance, Appian increased its full-year 2025 guidance for adjusted earnings per share to a range of $0.50 to $0.54 (up from $0.28 to $0.36) and projected total revenue between $711 million and $715 million (compared to the previous range of $695 million to $703 million), signaling strong management confidence.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| APPN Return | 324% | -60% | -50% | 16% | -12% | 10% | -5% |
| Peers Return | 48% | 17% | -35% | 61% | 44% | 6% | 177% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| APPN Win Rate | 58% | 25% | 25% | 58% | 58% | 42% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 68% | 55% | 27% | 63% | 67% | 47% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| APPN Max Drawdown | -18% | -60% | -51% | -4% | -29% | -22% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -20% | -12% | -43% | -5% | -8% | -23% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: NOW, PEGA, MSFT, CRM, IBM. See APPN Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | APPN | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -86.8% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 655.9% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -50.5% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 101.8% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 179 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -46.6% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 87.3% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 288 days | 120 days |
Compare to ORCL, IBM, CRM, NOW, PEGA
In The Past
Appian's stock fell -86.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/27/2021. A -86.8% loss requires a 655.9% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | |||
| Appian Earnings Notes | |||
| Appian Stock Dips 11% In One Week, Now Is Not The Time To Buy The Stock | Buy or Fear | ||
| Can Appian Stock Recover If Markets Fall? | Return | ||
| Where Does Appian Stock Rank Among Competitors? | Peer Comparison | ||
| APPN Dip Buy Analysis | |||
| Appian Total Shareholder Return (TSR): -12.4% in 2024 and -20.3% 3-yr compounded annual returns (below peer average) | |||
| Appian Market Price | Market Price | ||
| Appian (APPN) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | Financials | ||
| Appian (APPN) Net Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| Appian (APPN) Operating Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| ARTICLES | |||
| Appian Stock To $27? | December 12th, 2025 | ||
| With Appian Stock Sliding, Have You Assessed The Risk? | December 12th, 2025 |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to APPN. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 10.4% | 10.4% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 10.7% | 10.7% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 12.2% | 12.2% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 4.2% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 13.6% | 13.6% | 0.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 10.4% | 10.4% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 10.7% | 10.7% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 12.2% | 12.2% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 4.2% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 13.6% | 13.6% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Appian
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 207.10 |
| Mkt Cap | 138.4 |
| Rev LTM | 26,492 |
| Op Inc LTM | 5,318 |
| FCF LTM | 7,880 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 7,201 |
| CFO LTM | 9,162 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 7,946 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 15.8% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 12.5% |
| Rev Chg Q | 17.9% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 3.8% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 17.6% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 13.8% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.7% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 29.5% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 26.6% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 25.7% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 23.6% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 138.4 |
| P/S | 5.9 |
| P/EBIT | 29.5 |
| P/E | 34.6 |
| P/CFO | 24.2 |
| Total Yield | 3.2% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.3% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 3.4% |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | -0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -2.1% |
| 3M Rtn | 2.3% |
| 6M Rtn | 4.0% |
| 12M Rtn | 1.4% |
| 3Y Rtn | 101.1% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -2.8% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -0.4% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -8.4% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -8.0% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 25.9% |
Comparison Analyses
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/6/2025 | 30.8% | 55.6% | 46.7% |
| 8/7/2025 | 8.3% | 10.2% | 13.4% |
| 5/8/2025 | 5.3% | 8.4% | 5.8% |
| 2/19/2025 | 16.2% | 4.2% | -6.2% |
| 11/7/2024 | 2.6% | -1.4% | 0.4% |
| 8/1/2024 | -20.3% | -26.8% | -12.1% |
| 5/2/2024 | -15.5% | -12.6% | -22.7% |
| 2/15/2024 | 12.7% | -1.2% | 8.4% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 14 | 8 | 13 |
| # Negative | 10 | 16 | 11 |
| Median Positive | 5.2% | 10.3% | 8.4% |
| Median Negative | -11.5% | -11.4% | -20.7% |
| Max Positive | 30.8% | 55.6% | 109.3% |
| Max Negative | -22.4% | -28.2% | -43.5% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11062025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8072025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5082025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2192025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11072024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8012024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5022024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2152024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11022023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8032023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5092023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2162023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11032022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8042022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5052022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2172022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |