Tearsheet

AppLovin (APP)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $657.485 | Market Cap: $222.6 Bil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Application Software

AppLovin (APP)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $657.485
Market Cap: $222.6 Bil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Application Software

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 86%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 37x, P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 74x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 72x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 86x
1 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 52%
Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 125%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 51%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 51%, CFO LTM is 3.4 Bil, FCF LTM is 3.4 Bil
Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.0%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital Advertising, Social Media & Creator Economy, and Digital Content & Streaming. Themes include Ad-Tech Platforms, Show more.
Short seller report
Muddy Waters Research report on 3/27/2025.
4  Key risks
APP key risks include [1] ongoing government investigations (SEC, Show more.
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 86%
1 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 52%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 51%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 51%, CFO LTM is 3.4 Bil, FCF LTM is 3.4 Bil
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital Advertising, Social Media & Creator Economy, and Digital Content & Streaming. Themes include Ad-Tech Platforms, Show more.
4 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 37x, P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 74x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 72x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 86x
5 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 125%
6 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.0%
7 Short seller report
Muddy Waters Research report on 3/27/2025.
8 Key risks
APP key risks include [1] ongoing government investigations (SEC, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

APP Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. Strategic Pivot to Pure-Play Ad-Tech. AppLovin completed the strategic divestiture of its mobile gaming division in early 2025, notably selling it to Tripledot Studios for $900 million. This transformation allowed the company to focus exclusively on its high-margin advertising technology platform, pivoting to a "hyper-scalable ad-tech AI flywheel" model.

2. Exceptional Financial Performance. The company reported robust financial results, with Q3 2025 revenue soaring 68% year-over-year to $1.41 billion, surpassing analyst estimates. Net income nearly doubled, increasing 92% to $836 million, and adjusted EBITDA margins consistently exceeded 80%. This strong performance included significant free cash flow generation and a positive outlook for Q4 2025.

3. Advancements in AXON AI Engine. AppLovin's proprietary AXON AI engine, including its AXON 2.0 version, served as a primary growth driver. This advanced AI optimized ad targeting and performance across mobile and e-commerce, capable of processing over 2 million ad auctions per second and leveraging predictive analytics and real-time optimization to enhance efficiency and scalability.

4. Expansion into New High-Growth Verticals and Multi-Channel Advertising. AppLovin actively expanded its AI-powered solutions beyond gaming into other high-growth sectors such as e-commerce, fintech, automotive, and Connected TV (CTV). This diversification, partly driven by the acquisition of Wurl, significantly broadened its total addressable market and revenue streams.

5. Shareholder-Friendly Capital Allocation and Strong Investor Confidence. AppLovin's board of directors increased its share repurchase authorization by an additional $3.2 billion in Q3 2025, signaling confidence in the company's future. The stock also exhibited strong institutional confidence, with 73.7% institutional ownership, and received positive analyst sentiment, including a "Strong Buy" consensus rating with favorable price targets.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
APP Return-89%278%713%109%
Peers Return-1%-62%46%16%47%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
APP Win Rate75%8%83%83%58% 
Peers Win Rate75%47%32%63%50%50% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
APP Max Drawdown-90%-8%-4%-32% 
Peers Max Drawdown-31%-73%-26%-34%-31% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: U, TTD, META, APPS, MGNI.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventAPPS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-91.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven1134.9%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven629 days464 days

Compare to ADSK, HIT, BMR, BTTC, CCC


In The Past

AppLovin's stock fell -91.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/11/2021. A -91.9% loss requires a 1134.9% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About AppLovin (APP)

Better Bets than AppLovin (APP)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to APP. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
10.4%10.4%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
10.7%10.7%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
12.2%12.2%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
4.2%4.2%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
13.6%13.6%0.0%
APP_7312024_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%07312024APPAppLovinQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
375.1%406.7%-12.9%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
10.4%10.4%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
10.7%10.7%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
12.2%12.2%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
4.2%4.2%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
13.6%13.6%0.0%
APP_7312024_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%07312024APPAppLovinQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
375.1%406.7%-12.9%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for AppLovin

Peers to compare with:

Financials

APPUTTDMETAAPPSMGNIMedian
NameAppLovin Unity So.Trade De.Meta Pla.Digital .Magnite  
Mkt Price657.1343.7837.17649.505.1016.7040.48
Mkt Cap222.518.618.11,634.80.62.418.4
Rev LTM6,6321,8042,791189,4575257032,297
Op Inc LTM3,480-49652881,895-2386307
FCF LTM3,35839167844,84116161535
FCF 3Y Avg1,98522460045,04412164412
CFO LTM3,358414881107,57445222647
CFO 3Y Avg1,99426873185,51338215499

Growth & Margins

APPUTTDMETAAPPSMGNIMedian
NameAppLovin Unity So.Trade De.Meta Pla.Digital .Magnite  
Rev Chg LTM86.4%-8.2%20.8%21.3%6.8%6.3%13.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg36.0%16.7%23.5%17.3%-10.9%7.7%17.0%
Rev Chg Q68.2%5.4%17.7%26.2%18.2%10.8%18.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM9.4%1.4%4.2%6.0%4.3%2.6%4.2%
Op Mgn LTM52.5%-27.5%18.9%43.2%-4.3%12.2%15.6%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg35.7%-38.2%14.6%37.4%-5.9%-5.2%4.7%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM4.1%0.4%1.2%-0.8%4.2%1.1%1.2%
CFO/Rev LTM50.6%22.9%31.6%56.8%8.6%31.7%31.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg42.9%14.2%32.0%54.0%6.6%32.8%32.4%
FCF/Rev LTM50.6%21.7%24.3%23.7%3.0%22.9%23.3%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg42.6%12.0%26.6%29.0%1.7%25.0%25.8%

Valuation

APPUTTDMETAAPPSMGNIMedian
NameAppLovin Unity So.Trade De.Meta Pla.Digital .Magnite  
Mkt Cap222.518.618.11,634.80.62.418.4
P/S36.79.48.69.81.34.49.0
P/EBIT74.3-43.045.321.7-19.036.729.2
P/E85.9-39.054.531.6-9.053.742.7
P/CFO72.441.127.117.215.514.022.2
Total Yield1.2%-2.6%1.8%3.5%-11.1%1.9%1.5%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.3%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg3.9%1.8%1.8%3.6%0.1%10.0%2.7%
D/E0.00.10.00.00.60.20.1
Net D/E0.00.0-0.00.00.50.00.0

Returns

APPUTTDMETAAPPSMGNIMedian
NameAppLovin Unity So.Trade De.Meta Pla.Digital .Magnite  
1M Rtn21.9%19.4%-7.6%8.0%7.8%25.0%13.7%
3M Rtn8.3%-3.9%-18.1%-16.1%-1.7%-30.0%-10.0%
6M Rtn90.8%83.1%-45.9%-6.5%-24.3%-11.3%-8.9%
12M Rtn94.5%77.5%-72.5%5.2%249.3%0.8%41.4%
3Y Rtn6,591.8%51.0%-19.5%447.6%-66.5%47.9%49.5%
1M Excs Rtn21.1%18.7%-8.3%7.2%7.1%24.3%12.9%
3M Excs Rtn4.4%-5.0%-16.7%-18.0%-5.8%-31.4%-11.3%
6M Excs Rtn78.4%70.7%-58.2%-18.9%-36.7%-23.6%-21.3%
12M Excs Rtn91.4%68.1%-83.0%-6.0%245.6%-9.7%31.0%
3Y Excs Rtn5,973.0%-38.8%-92.9%401.7%-137.0%-22.1%-30.5%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil2024202320222021
Advertising1,8421,049674 
Apps1,4411,7682,119 
Business Revenue   711
Consumer Revenue   740
Total3,2832,8172,7931,451


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity14,866,419
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-9.3%
Average Daily Volume3,876,985
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.83
Basic Shares Quantity338,531,000
Short % of Basic Shares4.4%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/5/20250.7%-5.2%11.8%
8/6/202512.0%14.3%25.5%
5/7/202511.9%24.1%37.7%
2/12/202524.0%18.3%-23.0%
11/6/202446.3%68.5%138.2%
8/7/202414.2%26.0%25.9%
5/8/202414.4%13.6%10.7%
2/14/202424.8%23.3%34.7%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive141612
# Negative537
Median Positive21.7%23.5%32.3%
Median Negative-4.6%-16.9%-20.8%
Max Positive46.3%68.5%138.2%
Max Negative-14.8%-25.4%-31.5%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251105202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025806202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025507202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024227202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241106202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024807202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024508202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023226202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231108202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023809202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023510202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022228202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221110202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022812202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022513202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021311202210-K 12/31/2021