Unity Software (U)
Market Price (12/20/2025): $46.48 | Market Cap: $19.7 BilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Application Software
Unity Software (U)
Market Price (12/20/2025): $46.48Market Cap: $19.7 BilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: Application Software
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 23%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 22% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -27%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -28% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -496 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -28% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Digital Content & Streaming, and Metaverse. Themes include Gaming Content & Platforms, Augmented Reality, Show more. | Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 101%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 109% | |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -8.2% | ||
| Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 22% | ||
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 109% | ||
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -6.4% | ||
| Key risksU key risks include [1] a persistent inability to achieve profitability amid declining revenues and [2] a significant trust deficit with its developer community stemming from past strategic blunders. |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 23%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 22% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Digital Content & Streaming, and Metaverse. Themes include Gaming Content & Platforms, Augmented Reality, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -27%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -28% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -496 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -28% |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 101%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 109% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -8.2% |
| Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 22% |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 109% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -6.4% |
| Key risksU key risks include [1] a persistent inability to achieve profitability amid declining revenues and [2] a significant trust deficit with its developer community stemming from past strategic blunders. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
U Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key points for why Unity Software's stock moved by approximately 17.8% during the period from late August 2025 to December 2025:
1. Strong Q3 2025 Earnings Beat: Unity Software's stock surged as much as 17.7% on November 5, 2025, following its third-quarter earnings report, which significantly surpassed Wall Street's expectations for both adjusted earnings per share and revenue. The company reported adjusted earnings per share of $0.20, beating the estimate of $0.17, and revenue increased 5% year-over-year to $471 million, exceeding the consensus forecast of $450 million.
2. Robust Performance in Grow Segment and AI-Powered Vector Platform: The company's "Grow" segment, which includes its advertising network, saw an increase in revenue, largely driven by the strong performance of its digital-marketing unit and the success of its AI-powered Vector platform. This indicated that Unity's strategic focus on its advertising business and AI initiatives was yielding positive results.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| U Return | � | -7% | -80% | 43% | -45% | 98% | � |
| Peers Return | � | � | -52% | 97% | 162% | 47% | � |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| U Win Rate | 100% | 42% | 33% | 58% | 33% | 67% | |
| Peers Win Rate | � | 68% | 22% | 68% | 70% | 57% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| U Max Drawdown | � | -47% | -85% | -13% | -66% | -25% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | � | � | -58% | -6% | -13% | -20% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: APP, RBLX, ADSK, GOOGL, MSFT. See U Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/19/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | U | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -89.3% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 835.4% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -16.3% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 19.4% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 10 days | 148 days |
Compare to FICO, MANH, DOX, BMR, GLOO
In The Past
Unity Software's stock fell -89.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/18/2021. A -89.3% loss requires a 835.4% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to U. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 15.3% | 15.3% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 10.2% | 10.2% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.6% | 14.6% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.6% | 9.6% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 8.4% | 8.4% | 0.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 15.3% | 15.3% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 10.2% | 10.2% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.6% | 14.6% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.6% | 9.6% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 8.4% | 8.4% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Unity Software
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 303.62 |
| Mkt Cap | 154.1 |
| Rev LTM | 6,760 |
| Op Inc LTM | 2,562 |
| FCF LTM | 2,721 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 1,837 |
| CFO LTM | 2,757 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,879 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 15.6% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 15.0% |
| Rev Chg Q | 18.2% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 4.3% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 28.0% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 26.0% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.8% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 35.3% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 32.2% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 26.3% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 24.2% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 154.1 |
| P/S | 11.6 |
| P/EBIT | 26.1 |
| P/E | 32.2 |
| P/CFO | 35.6 |
| Total Yield | 1.4% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 2.7% |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | -0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 4.0% |
| 3M Rtn | -2.6% |
| 6M Rtn | 43.4% |
| 12M Rtn | 51.3% |
| 3Y Rtn | 151.4% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 1.1% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -4.2% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 29.9% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 32.8% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 49.3% |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/5/2025 | 18.1% | 15.6% | 27.6% |
| 8/6/2025 | -6.0% | 9.9% | 18.4% |
| 5/7/2025 | -3.1% | 3.0% | 16.3% |
| 2/20/2025 | 30.4% | 23.5% | -2.0% |
| 11/7/2024 | -7.7% | -15.2% | 23.3% |
| 8/8/2024 | 8.2% | 13.6% | 19.6% |
| 5/9/2024 | -10.2% | -8.6% | -25.6% |
| 2/26/2024 | -6.1% | -18.3% | -19.2% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 11 | 14 | 11 |
| # Negative | 10 | 7 | 10 |
| Median Positive | 12.9% | 13.9% | 25.2% |
| Median Negative | -6.9% | -16.3% | -18.8% |
| Max Positive | 30.4% | 54.8% | 57.8% |
| Max Negative | -37.0% | -21.5% | -38.1% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11052025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8062025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5072025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2212025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11072024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8082024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5092024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2292024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11092023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8022023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5102023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2272023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11092022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8092022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5102022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2222022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
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