Tearsheet

American Public Education (APEI)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $37.64 | Market Cap: $680.2 Mil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Education Services

American Public Education (APEI)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $37.64
Market Cap: $680.2 Mil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Education Services

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -4.6%, Dist 3Y High is -4.6%
Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 74%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 47%
  Key risks
APEI key risks include [1] its heavy dependence on government funding, Show more.
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Future of Education. Themes include Online Higher Education, Workforce Upskilling, and Adult & Lifelong Learning.
  
0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 47%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Future of Education. Themes include Online Higher Education, Workforce Upskilling, and Adult & Lifelong Learning.
3 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -4.6%, Dist 3Y High is -4.6%
4 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 74%
5 Key risks
APEI key risks include [1] its heavy dependence on government funding, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

APEI Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. American Public Education reported exceptional third-quarter 2025 financial results on November 10, 2025, significantly exceeding analyst expectations for both earnings per share (EPS) and revenue. The company's EPS of $0.30 notably surpassed consensus estimates, with some reports indicating a surprise of over 400%, and consolidated revenue increased 7% year-over-year to $163.2 million, also exceeding forecasts.



2. The company demonstrated strong profitability and significant margin expansion in Q3 2025. Net income available to common stockholders surged 660% to $5.6 million compared to the prior year, and Adjusted EBITDA increased 60% to $20.7 million, driven by higher revenue and a 424 basis point margin expansion.



Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
APEI Return11%-27%-45%-21%124%74%37%
Peers Return-14%-2%19%46%42%-5%99%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
APEI Win Rate50%42%33%42%67%75% 
Peers Win Rate42%45%52%62%52%52% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
APEI Max Drawdown-28%-38%-63%-68%0%-11% 
Peers Max Drawdown-40%-22%-18%-8%-9%-16% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ATGE, STRA, LRN, LOPE, PRDO.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventAPEIS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-90.0%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven897.9%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven832 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-29.6%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven42.0%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven61 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-52.5%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven110.6%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-39.1%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven64.3%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven135 days1480 days

Compare to LOPE, FCHL, GV, MH, MKTR


In The Past

American Public Education's stock fell -90.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/19/2021. A -90.0% loss requires a 897.9% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About American Public Education (APEI)

Better Bets than American Public Education (APEI)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to APEI. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
12.8%12.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.4%5.4%-0.1%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.2%3.2%-4.4%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.5%15.5%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.3%15.3%-1.6%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
12.8%12.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.4%5.4%-0.1%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.2%3.2%-4.4%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.5%15.5%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.3%15.3%-1.6%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for American Public Education

Peers to compare with:

Financials

APEIATGESTRALRNLOPEPRDOMedian
NameAmerican.Adtalem .Strategi.Stride Grand Ca.Perdoceo. 
Mkt Price37.67100.0081.4366.14165.8928.8773.78
Mkt Cap0.73.61.82.94.61.92.4
Rev LTM6551,8331,2562,4751,0918111,173
Op Inc LTM58358182441297227262
FCF LTM60323132312242195218
FCF 3Y Avg31243109223223159191
CFO LTM75379175379279203241
CFO 3Y Avg48288149287262166214

Growth & Margins

APEIATGESTRALRNLOPEPRDOMedian
NameAmerican.Adtalem .Strategi.Stride Grand Ca.Perdoceo. 
Rev Chg LTM6.7%12.2%3.7%17.3%7.0%24.2%9.6%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg2.6%8.2%5.6%13.1%6.5%7.1%6.8%
Rev Chg Q6.6%10.8%4.6%12.7%9.6%24.8%10.2%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.6%2.5%1.1%2.9%2.1%5.5%2.3%
Op Mgn LTM8.9%19.5%14.5%17.8%27.2%27.9%18.7%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg4.9%17.1%12.0%14.1%26.6%28.2%15.6%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM1.3%0.3%1.0%0.4%0.1%-0.8%0.3%
CFO/Rev LTM11.5%20.7%13.9%15.3%25.6%25.0%18.0%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg7.6%17.3%12.4%13.1%25.8%22.7%15.2%
FCF/Rev LTM9.2%17.6%10.5%12.6%22.2%24.0%15.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg4.8%14.5%9.0%10.1%21.8%21.7%12.3%

Valuation

APEIATGESTRALRNLOPEPRDOMedian
NameAmerican.Adtalem .Strategi.Stride Grand Ca.Perdoceo. 
Mkt Cap0.73.61.82.94.61.92.4
P/S1.13.01.52.65.63.02.8
P/EBIT-15.510.715.319.211.215.3
P/E22.322.117.020.528.815.621.3
P/CFO9.514.711.117.021.812.013.4
Total Yield4.5%4.5%8.9%4.9%3.5%7.9%4.7%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%3.0%0.0%0.0%1.5%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-7.9%5.4%6.1%5.1%10.0%6.1%
D/E-0.10.10.10.00.00.1
Net D/E-0.1-0.0-0.0-0.0-0.2-0.0

Returns

APEIATGESTRALRNLOPEPRDOMedian
NameAmerican.Adtalem .Strategi.Stride Grand Ca.Perdoceo. 
1M Rtn13.7%6.6%6.3%5.4%1.7%-3.7%5.8%
3M Rtn4.8%-26.5%0.1%-52.3%-20.6%-17.8%-19.2%
6M Rtn28.7%-19.7%-1.8%-54.3%-11.9%-9.7%-10.8%
12M Rtn65.6%10.8%-16.0%-38.5%-0.2%7.7%3.8%
3Y Rtn183.0%177.7%10.4%102.6%58.3%126.0%114.3%
1M Excs Rtn12.9%5.9%5.5%4.7%1.0%-4.4%5.1%
3M Excs Rtn2.3%-29.7%-2.5%-54.4%-22.0%-19.7%-20.9%
6M Excs Rtn16.3%-32.1%-14.2%-66.7%-24.3%-22.1%-23.2%
12M Excs Rtn57.9%1.6%-26.4%-48.8%-11.6%-3.5%-7.6%
3Y Excs Rtn112.7%98.0%-56.5%34.7%-7.2%54.8%44.7%

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Rasmussen University (RU) Segment221301429  
Corporate and Other167141117  
American Public University System (APUS) Segment109114127  
Hondros College of Nursing (HCN) Segment6060524849
American Public Education   323306
Total557615726371355


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity1,805,639
Short Interest: % Change Since 1115202528.0%
Average Daily Volume292,864
Days-to-Cover Short Interest6.17
Basic Shares Quantity18,070,000
Short % of Basic Shares10.0%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/10/20254.9%0.5%12.2%
8/6/2025-7.9%-7.0%0.2%
3/6/202522.1%9.6%14.2%
11/12/202414.6%10.6%29.2%
8/6/2024-27.9%-18.8%-9.5%
3/5/202436.9%7.9%21.4%
11/7/202327.9%38.4%93.5%
8/8/202312.5%3.4%-5.2%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive101211
# Negative867
Median Positive13.5%8.8%13.3%
Median Negative-8.9%-12.9%-10.1%
Max Positive36.9%38.4%93.5%
Max Negative-50.8%-56.5%-44.2%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251110202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025806202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025512202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024306202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241112202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024806202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024507202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023305202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231107202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023808202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023509202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022314202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221108202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022809202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022510202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021302202210-K 12/31/2021