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American Public Education (APEI)


Market Price (5/20/2026): $53.58 | Market Cap: $979.5 Mil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Education Services

American Public Education (APEI)


Market Price (5/20/2026): $53.58
Market Cap: $979.5 Mil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Education Services

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%

Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 7.5%

Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 43%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Future of Education. Themes include Online Higher Education, Workforce Upskilling, and Adult & Lifelong Learning.

Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 12%

Key risks
APEI key risks include [1] its heavy dependence on government funding, Show more.

0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%
1 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 7.5%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 43%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Future of Education. Themes include Online Higher Education, Workforce Upskilling, and Adult & Lifelong Learning.
4 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 12%
5 Key risks
APEI key risks include [1] its heavy dependence on government funding, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

American Public Education (APEI) stock has gained about 30% since 1/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Strong Q1 2026 Earnings Beat and Upgraded Full-Year Guidance. American Public Education significantly exceeded analyst expectations in its first-quarter 2026 financial results, reporting diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.94, which beat the consensus estimate of $0.61 by $0.33. Revenue for the quarter reached $174.7 million, surpassing the consensus of $173.73 million and representing a 6.2% year-over-year increase, or 8.7% excluding the divested Graduate School USA revenue. Net income more than doubled to $17.7 million, a 137.6% increase from Q1 2025. This strong performance led management to raise its full-year 2026 guidance, with projected revenue increasing to $686.0-$696.0 million and diluted EPS to $2.33-$2.68.

2. Robust Enrollment Growth and Strong Segment Performance. The company demonstrated solid operational momentum through increased enrollments across its key segments. The Health+ segment saw an 11.0% year-over-year revenue growth to $85.4 million, driven by an 8% increase in enrollment. Simultaneously, the Military+ segment recorded a 6.5% rise in revenue to $89.4 million, with net course registrations growing 4.0% to approximately 106,600. This broad-based enrollment expansion underscores continued demand for APEI's educational offerings and contributed to improved profitability, with the Military+ segment achieving a 36% EBITDA margin.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 28.2% change in APEI stock from 1/31/2026 to 5/19/2026 was primarily driven by a 25.7% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)13120265192026Change
Stock Price ($)41.7853.5628.2%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)6556590.7%
Net Income Margin (%)4.9%6.1%25.7%
P/E Multiple23.724.22.5%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1818-1.2%
Cumulative Contribution28.2%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

1/31/2026 to 5/19/2026
ReturnCorrelation
APEI28.2% 
Market (SPY)6.3%6.6%
Sector (XLY)-4.9%9.4%

Fundamental Drivers

The 59.9% change in APEI stock from 10/31/2025 to 5/19/2026 was primarily driven by a 38.1% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)103120255192026Change
Stock Price ($)33.4953.5659.9%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)6456592.2%
Net Income Margin (%)4.4%6.1%38.1%
P/E Multiple21.124.214.8%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1818-1.4%
Cumulative Contribution59.9%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

10/31/2025 to 5/19/2026
ReturnCorrelation
APEI59.9% 
Market (SPY)8.2%15.0%
Sector (XLY)-3.7%20.2%

Fundamental Drivers

The 127.9% change in APEI stock from 4/30/2025 to 5/19/2026 was primarily driven by a 137.6% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)43020255192026Change
Stock Price ($)23.5053.56127.9%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)6256595.5%
Net Income Margin (%)2.6%6.1%137.6%
P/E Multiple25.824.2-6.0%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1818-3.2%
Cumulative Contribution127.9%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

4/30/2025 to 5/19/2026
ReturnCorrelation
APEI127.9% 
Market (SPY)33.8%9.4%
Sector (XLY)17.5%10.9%

Fundamental Drivers

The 839.6% change in APEI stock from 4/30/2023 to 5/19/2026 was primarily driven by a 737.4% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)43020235192026Change
Stock Price ($)5.7053.56839.6%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)6066598.7%
P/S Multiple0.21.5737.4%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)19183.2%
Cumulative Contribution839.6%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

4/30/2023 to 5/19/2026
ReturnCorrelation
APEI839.6% 
Market (SPY)83.3%21.3%
Sector (XLY)59.4%19.3%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
APEI Return-27%-45%-21%124%75%44%79%
Peers Return5%12%50%52%-7%21%206%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%8%97%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
APEI Win Rate42%33%42%67%75%80% 
Peers Win Rate43%53%62%53%52%64% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%60% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
APEI Max Drawdown-51%-66%-71%-41%-22%-13% 
Peers Max Drawdown-31%-30%-24%-22%-38%-15% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: STRA, LRN, LOPE, PRDO, UTI.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 5/19/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventAPEIS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-14.0%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven16.3%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven1 days79 days
2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind
  % Loss-27.0%-7.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven37.1%8.5%
  Time to Breakeven91 days18 days
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-13.9%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven16.1%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven15 days24 days
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-69.3%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven226.0%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven260 days31 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-64.6%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven182.3%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven822 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-22.1%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven28.4%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven6 days140 days

Compare to STRA, LRN, LOPE, PRDO, UTI

In The Past

American Public Education's stock fell -14.0% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 16.3% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventAPEIS&P 500
2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind
  % Loss-27.0%-7.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven37.1%8.5%
  Time to Breakeven91 days18 days
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-69.3%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven226.0%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven260 days31 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-64.6%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven182.3%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven822 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-22.1%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven28.4%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven6 days140 days
2016-2017 Trump Reflation Bond Selloff
  % Loss-23.1%-3.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven30.0%3.9%
  Time to Breakeven2 days6 days
2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare
  % Loss-35.3%-12.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven54.7%13.9%
  Time to Breakeven75 days62 days
2014-2016 Oil Price Collapse
  % Loss-52.3%-6.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven109.5%7.3%
  Time to Breakeven176 days15 days
2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion
  % Loss-36.7%-17.9%
  % Gain to Breakeven58.1%21.8%
  Time to Breakeven5259 days123 days
2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis
  % Loss-39.1%-53.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven64.3%114.4%
  Time to Breakeven135 days1085 days

Compare to STRA, LRN, LOPE, PRDO, UTI

In The Past

American Public Education's stock fell -14.0% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 16.3% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About American Public Education (APEI)

American Public Education, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides online and campus-based postsecondary education. The company operates through three segments: American Public University System, Rasmussen University, and Hondros College of Nursing. It offers 130 degree programs and 111 certificate programs in various fields of study, including business administration, health science, technology, criminal justice, education, and liberal arts, as well as national security, military studies, intelligence, and homeland security. The company also provides nursing-and health sciences-focused postsecondary education, diploma in practical nursing, an associate degree in nursing, and an associate degree in medical laboratory technology. American Public Education, Inc. was incorporated in 1991 and is headquartered in Charles Town, West Virginia.

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1. The University of Phoenix for military personnel and healthcare professionals. 2. A multi-brand online and career-focused education provider, similar to a modern Kaplan University or Strayer University.

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  • Online and Campus-Based Degree Programs: APEI offers a diverse portfolio of undergraduate and graduate degree programs across various fields, including business, technology, and liberal arts.
  • Certificate Programs: The company provides specialized certificate programs designed to offer targeted knowledge and skills in numerous academic and vocational areas.
  • Nursing and Health Sciences Programs: APEI delivers focused postsecondary education in nursing and health sciences, including diplomas and associate degrees in practical nursing, registered nursing, and medical laboratory technology.

AI Analysis | Feedback

American Public Education, Inc. (APEI) primarily sells its educational services to individuals.

The company serves the following categories of customers:

  1. Military and Public Service Personnel: APEI has a strong focus on serving current and former military members, veterans, and individuals in the national security, intelligence, and homeland security sectors, offering programs tailored to their needs and career paths.
  2. Healthcare Professionals and Students: Through institutions like Hondros College of Nursing and Rasmussen University, APEI provides education for individuals pursuing careers in nursing and other health sciences fields, including practical nursing, associate degrees in nursing, and medical laboratory technology.
  3. Working Adults and Career Changers: The company's online and campus-based programs in fields such as business administration, technology, criminal justice, education, and liberal arts attract working adults seeking to advance their careers, acquire new skills, or complete a degree while balancing professional and personal commitments.

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Angela Selden, Chief Executive Officer

Angela Selden was appointed CEO of APEI in September 2019. She brings over 30 years of experience in technology and technology-enabled services, having worked in both private-equity and publicly traded environments, with deep expertise in executing business transformation initiatives for Fortune 500 clients. Prior to APEI, Ms. Selden served as CEO and board member of DIGARC, an education technology provider. She was also CEO of Workforce Insight, CEO and Executive Co-Chairman of Arise Virtual Solutions, and interim CEO of Skybridge Americas. Earlier in her career, Ms. Selden spent 18 years at Accenture, where she was a Managing Partner.

Edward Codispoti, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Edward Codispoti joined American Public Education, Inc. as Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, effective October 20, 2025. He brings more than 25 years of financial leadership experience across various industries. Most recently, he served as Chief Financial Officer of NV5 Global, Inc., a global provider of technology and engineering consulting solutions, from June 2019 to October 2025.

Gary Janson, Senior Vice President, Chief Strategy and Growth Officer

Gary Janson joined APEI in November 2022. He has 30 years of experience in the education and training sector. For 16 years, Mr. Janson worked as an independent consultant, where he advised clients on operating strategy, financial analysis, fundraising, regulatory compliance, acquisitions, and divestitures. He has also served as a board member for several education companies and is currently on the board of Triumph Higher Education Group.

James Kenigsberg, Interim Chief Innovation and Technology Officer

James Kenigsberg was appointed as APEI's interim Chief Innovation and Technology Officer on August 11, 2025. He has over two decades of experience leading technology strategies in education. Mr. Kenigsberg was the founding Chief Technology Officer at 2U, Inc., where he helped scale the company from a startup in 2008 to a global edtech leader. He has also served as a strategic advisor to various high-growth startups and education-focused companies, including Udemy and Andela. Earlier in his career, Mr. Kenigsberg was Vice President of Application Development at The Princeton Review.

Steve Somers, Senior Vice President of Strategy and Corporate Development

Steve Somers joined APEI in June 2020 and is responsible for advancing the company's business strategy and corporate development initiatives. He has nearly 10 years of experience in the education industry, most recently serving as Vice President of Corporate Development at Kaplan, Inc., where he executed over 15 deals. Previously, he was Vice President of Corporate Development, Investor Relations & Treasury at Rosetta Stone, where he helped expand the language business through two acquisitions and enter the literacy business with the acquisition of Lexia Learning. Before his time in the education sector, Mr. Somers led M&A and investor relations at SunCom Wireless, where he led its sale to T-Mobile, and at GSI Commerce, which was later sold to eBay.

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Key Risks to American Public Education (APEI):

  1. Regulatory Compliance and Dependence on Federal Funding: American Public Education operates in a highly regulated sector and faces significant challenges in complying with various federal and state regulations, including the "90/10 Rule" and financial responsibility standards. Non-compliance could lead to sanctions or the loss of eligibility to participate in federal student financial aid programs, which would materially impact the company's operations and financial health. Additionally, APEI's reliance on federal appropriations and budgetary allocations, particularly for its military and veteran students, exposes it to risks associated with government shutdowns and changes in federal policy. The federal government shutdown in October-November 2025, for instance, negatively impacted tuition assistance registrations and revenue for the American Public University System (APUS) segment. The 90/10 rule percentage for APUS was 89% in 2025, leaving a narrow buffer before potential Title IV eligibility issues could arise if trends worsen.
  2. Competitive Pressures: The postsecondary education market is intensely competitive, with APEI facing ongoing threats from a wide array of institutions, including other for-profit online education companies and non-profit universities expanding their digital footprints. This heightened competition can lead to increased student acquisition costs and necessitate substantial investments in marketing, program development, and technology to maintain market share and attract new enrollments.
  3. Execution Risks Related to Strategic Initiatives and Operational Changes: APEI is currently undergoing significant strategic and operational transformations, including the planned consolidation of its subsidiary institutions—American Public University System, Rasmussen University, and Hondros College of Nursing—into a single entity. These initiatives carry inherent execution risks such as potential operational disruptions, challenges in integration, and the possibility that the anticipated benefits, like cost savings or revenue synergies, may not be fully realized. Furthermore, the transition of Rasmussen University's IT functions and potential challenges associated with campus expansions or new campus openings present additional operational hurdles.

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Proliferation of Alternative Credentialing and Skills-Based Education: The rapid growth of non-degree educational pathways, such as specialized bootcamps, industry-recognized certifications (e.g., from major tech companies like Google or AWS), and employer-sponsored training programs, presents a clear emerging threat. These alternatives often offer faster, more affordable, and highly focused routes to acquiring job-ready skills in high-demand fields, directly competing with and potentially eroding demand for traditional degree and certificate programs offered by APEI in areas like technology, business, and health sciences.

Disruptive Impact of Generative Artificial Intelligence (AI) in Education: The emergence and widespread adoption of generative AI tools, such as large language models, pose several significant threats. These tools challenge traditional academic integrity and assessment methods, requiring a fundamental shift in curriculum design and evaluation. Furthermore, AI-powered platforms could enable highly personalized and adaptive learning experiences, potentially offering more effective or engaging alternatives to APEI's existing online course delivery. AI also lowers the barrier to entry for new education providers by automating content creation, while simultaneously accelerating shifts in workforce skill demands, potentially diminishing the relevance of some existing degree programs without continuous and rapid curriculum adaptation.

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The addressable markets for American Public Education (APEI)'s main products and services are primarily within the U.S. and can be sized as follows:

  • U.S. Higher Education Market (Overall, including online and campus-based): This market was projected to reach a valuation of USD 218.27 billion in 2024 and is anticipated to reach USD 668.33 billion by 2033. The U.S. higher education market generated a revenue of USD 192,918.6 million in 2023 and is expected to reach USD 370,409.0 million by 2030.
  • U.S. Online Education Market: The U.S. e-learning market exceeded US$ 128.37 billion in 2024 and is expected to grow to US$ 278.27 billion by 2033, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 8.83% between 2025 and 2033. Another source states the United States e-learning market is expected to reach USD 278.3 Billion by 2032.
  • U.S. Traditional Classroom-Based (Campus-based) Higher Education Market: Traditional classroom-based learning was the largest revenue-generating mode in the U.S. higher education market in 2023, holding a 70.68% share of the USD 192,918.6 million total market, which equates to approximately USD 136.3 billion.
  • U.S. Nursing Education Market: The U.S. nursing education market size reached USD 9.7 billion in 2024, growing from USD 9.5 billion in 2023. This market is anticipated to grow at a CAGR of 5.3% between 2025 and 2034. It was valued at USD 10,889.02 million in 2025 and is expected to increase to USD 13,760.45 million by 2032. Additionally, nursing education programs generate more than $8.5 billion in annual revenue and are projected to be worth $14.57 billion by 2030.
  • U.S. Healthcare Education Market (includes health sciences): The U.S. healthcare education market is expected to reach USD 61.44 billion by 2028, growing from USD 39.24 billion in 2023, at a CAGR of 9.4% during the forecast period.

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For American Public Education, Inc. (APEI), the expected drivers of future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years include:

  1. Continued Growth of Rasmussen University and Hondros College of Nursing: Both Rasmussen University and Hondros College of Nursing have demonstrated strong revenue growth, with Rasmussen's revenue increasing by 14% and Hondros' by 11% in 2025. The lifting of growth restrictions by the Department of Education on Rasmussen College is expected to enable further expansion and diversification.
  2. New Campus Expansion: APEI plans to expand its physical footprint by launching new campuses. Specifically, a new Rasmussen campus is slated for Orlando in the second quarter of 2026, and a Hondros campus in Detroit is planned for the first quarter of 2027. This expansion is anticipated to contribute to increased student enrollment and, consequently, higher revenue.
  3. Increased Enrollment and Course Registrations: The company anticipates continued growth in net course registrations, particularly at the American Public University System (APUS), driven by students utilizing Tuition Assistance (TA) and Veterans Affairs (VA) education funding. Overall enrollment growth across its institutions, such as the 8.9% enrollment increase at Rasmussen contributing to its revenue growth, is a key focus. Analysts also foresee heightened enrollment by 2026.
  4. Strategic Initiatives and Operational Efficiencies: APEI is focusing on strategic initiatives, including investments in curriculum modernization, faculty salary increments, and improved student experiences, which are expected to enhance academic quality and student success, thereby attracting and retaining students. The company's strategic realignment to a two-segment reporting structure (APU Global and RU Health+) and efforts to achieve operational efficiencies are also aimed at simplifying and strengthening the business for sustained growth.

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Share Repurchases

  • American Public Education, Inc. (APEI) authorized a new $50 million share repurchase program during its fourth-quarter 2025 earnings call in March 2026. This program represents approximately 6% of the company's shares outstanding.
  • No share repurchases were made in the second quarter of 2025, despite an open authorization.

Share Issuance

  • In February 2021, APEI announced the pricing of a public offering of 3,200,000 shares of common stock at $25.00 per share, expecting gross proceeds of approximately $80 million. The company also granted underwriters a 30-day option to purchase up to an additional 480,000 shares.
  • The net proceeds from this offering were intended for general corporate purposes, including working capital and capital expenditures, and potentially to fund costs associated with the acquisition of Rasmussen University.
  • As of March 10, 2026, the total number of common stock shares outstanding was 18,380,439.

Outbound Investments

  • In 2021, APEI acquired Rasmussen University for $329 million, comprising $300 million in cash and $29 million in non-voting preferred stock.
  • The company acquired Graduate School USA (G.S.USA) in 2022 for $1 million.
  • American Public Education completed the sale of Graduate School USA (GSUSA) in 2025. This sale, along with the release of restricted cash, fully funded the redemption of approximately $43 million of preferred stock, leading to annual savings of $6 million from eliminated dividend payments.

Capital Expenditures

  • APEI projects capital expenditures for fiscal year 2026 to be between $28 million and $32 million, focused on enhancing operational capabilities and educational offerings. This includes plans for new campus openings, such as a Rasmussen campus in Orlando and a Hondros campus in Detroit, with each new campus costing approximately $3.5 million to open.
  • For the full year 2025, anticipated capital expenditures were in the range of $15 million to $17 million.
  • Capital expenditures totaled $7.6 million in the first half of 2025, compared to $11.4 million in the first half of 2024. The company guided for $20 million in CapEx (upper end) for the full year 2024.

Better Bets vs. American Public Education (APEI)

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Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

APEISTRALRNLOPEPRDOUTIMedian
NameAmerican.Strategi.Stride Grand Ca.Perdoceo.Universa. 
Mkt Price53.5680.0490.19159.5033.8936.0866.80
Mkt Cap1.01.73.84.32.12.02.1
Rev LTM6591,2712,5361,126855869997
Op Inc LTM6219846131123555216
FCF LTM741743442602211197
FCF 3Y Avg5213824323818135160
CFO LTM8821841529423082224
CFO 3Y Avg6917930927718881183

Growth & Margins

APEISTRALRNLOPEPRDOUTIMedian
NameAmerican.Strategi.Stride Grand Ca.Perdoceo.Universa. 
Rev Chg LTM3.8%3.0%10.9%7.4%17.7%11.0%9.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg3.1%6.2%11.9%7.1%6.8%21.2%7.0%
Rev Chg Q6.2%0.8%2.7%6.7%4.1%6.7%5.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.6%0.2%0.7%1.8%1.0%1.6%1.3%
Op Inc Chg LTM38.1%21.1%22.4%10.7%8.2%-29.1%15.9%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg1,751.3%54.5%44.1%9.8%11.1%71.6%49.3%
Op Mgn LTM9.4%15.6%18.2%27.6%27.5%6.3%16.9%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg7.2%13.7%15.4%26.9%28.8%7.2%14.6%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM1.1%0.1%-0.2%0.2%0.8%-2.0%0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM13.4%17.2%16.4%26.1%26.8%9.5%16.8%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg10.8%14.6%13.3%26.4%24.8%10.4%14.0%
FCF/Rev LTM11.2%13.7%13.6%23.1%25.8%0.1%13.6%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg8.2%11.2%10.5%22.6%23.9%4.7%10.8%

Valuation

APEISTRALRNLOPEPRDOUTIMedian
NameAmerican.Strategi.Stride Grand Ca.Perdoceo.Universa. 
Mkt Cap1.01.73.84.32.12.02.1
P/S1.51.41.53.82.52.31.9
P/Op Inc15.98.88.313.79.036.011.4
P/EBIT17.68.89.213.69.032.711.4
P/E24.213.312.419.412.446.516.4
P/CFO11.17.99.214.59.224.110.2
Total Yield4.1%10.7%8.1%5.2%9.8%2.1%6.6%
Dividend Yield0.0%3.3%0.0%0.0%1.8%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg11.2%6.9%6.3%5.3%11.1%3.0%6.6%
D/E0.20.10.10.00.10.20.1
Net D/E-0.1-0.0-0.1-0.0-0.30.1-0.1

Returns

APEISTRALRNLOPEPRDOUTIMedian
NameAmerican.Strategi.Stride Grand Ca.Perdoceo.Universa. 
1M Rtn-11.6%-3.8%-8.4%-8.8%-6.7%-5.7%-7.5%
3M Rtn20.9%6.3%7.7%-1.8%7.1%16.2%7.4%
6M Rtn60.2%4.4%39.7%-2.8%15.5%24.6%20.1%
12M Rtn82.3%-9.0%-42.5%-19.4%10.1%3.7%-2.7%
3Y Rtn752.9%11.3%116.0%43.7%189.9%465.5%153.0%
1M Excs Rtn-15.4%-7.2%-12.3%-12.1%-10.4%-8.8%-11.3%
3M Excs Rtn14.2%-1.6%0.2%-11.8%-0.3%8.8%-0.0%
6M Excs Rtn46.5%-7.7%31.5%-14.1%0.8%13.3%7.0%
12M Excs Rtn68.9%-32.1%-65.0%-42.6%-13.3%-19.2%-25.7%
3Y Excs Rtn813.5%-70.2%36.9%-30.6%123.3%439.5%80.1%

Comparison Analyses

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Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
American Public University System (APUS) Segment317    
Rasmussen University (RU) Segment216    
Hondros College of Nursing (HCN) Segment67    
Corporate and Other24    
Total625    


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
American Public University System (APUS) Segment89    
Hondros College of Nursing (HCN) Segment-1    
Rasmussen University (RU) Segment-22    
Corporate and Other-33    
Total33    


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$53.56 
Market Cap ($ Bil)1.0 
First Trading Date11/09/2007 
Distance from 52W High-12.0% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$56.15$41.82
DMA Trendupup
Distance from DMA-4.6%28.1%
 3M1YR
Volatility53.9%42.5%
Downside Capture26.7617.58
Upside Capture90.0385.04
Correlation (SPY)8.0%11.9%
APEI Betas & Captures as of 4/30/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta0.630.110.170.460.300.92
Up Beta-0.00-0.13-0.050.420.340.56
Down Beta5.600.620.110.200.000.72
Up Capture64%78%96%128%86%527%
Bmk +ve Days15223166141428
Stock +ve Days17283971144397
Down Capture594%-59%-47%-4%-21%99%
Bmk -ve Days4183056108321
Stock -ve Days5152554106350

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with APEI
APEI88.4%42.7%1.60-
Sector ETF (XLY)6.6%18.1%0.2113.3%
Equity (SPY)25.0%12.1%1.5512.2%
Gold (GLD)40.0%26.8%1.233.4%
Commodities (DBC)49.4%18.5%2.03-8.4%
Real Estate (VNQ)9.7%13.4%0.4511.0%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-25.6%41.9%-0.59-0.3%

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Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with APEI
APEI13.6%64.3%0.48-
Sector ETF (XLY)7.5%23.7%0.2718.8%
Equity (SPY)14.2%17.0%0.6521.0%
Gold (GLD)19.3%18.0%0.872.0%
Commodities (DBC)11.0%19.4%0.453.1%
Real Estate (VNQ)4.0%18.8%0.1120.1%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)9.4%55.6%0.389.8%

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Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with APEI
APEI7.0%58.9%0.37-
Sector ETF (XLY)12.3%22.0%0.5121.6%
Equity (SPY)15.3%17.9%0.7324.1%
Gold (GLD)13.0%16.0%0.67-1.8%
Commodities (DBC)8.4%17.9%0.385.3%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.1%20.7%0.2118.8%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)67.2%66.9%1.064.7%

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Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date4302026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity2.2 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 4152026-6.7%
Average Daily Volume0.2 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest9.3 days
Basic Shares Quantity18.3 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares12.2%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
3/12/202621.2%14.6%20.3%
11/10/20254.9%0.5%12.2%
8/6/2025-7.9%-7.0%0.2%
3/6/202522.1%9.6%14.2%
11/12/202414.6%10.6%29.2%
8/6/2024-27.9%-18.8%-9.5%
3/5/202436.9%7.9%21.4%
11/7/202327.9%38.4%93.5%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive111211
# Negative767
Median Positive14.6%8.8%14.2%
Median Negative-9.9%-12.9%-10.1%
Max Positive36.9%38.4%93.5%
Max Negative-50.8%-56.5%-44.2%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
03/31/202605/11/202610-Q
12/31/202503/12/202610-K
09/30/202511/10/202510-Q
06/30/202508/06/202510-Q
03/31/202505/12/202510-Q
12/31/202403/06/202510-K
09/30/202411/12/202410-Q
06/30/202408/06/202410-Q
03/31/202405/07/202410-Q
12/31/202303/05/202410-K
09/30/202311/07/202310-Q
06/30/202308/08/202310-Q
03/31/202305/09/202310-Q
12/31/202203/14/202310-K
09/30/202211/08/202210-Q
06/30/202208/09/202210-Q

Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]

Latest: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 5/11/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q2 2026 Revenue170.00 Mil171.00 Mil172.00 Mil  Higher New
Q2 2026 Net Income6.50 Mil7.00 Mil7.50 Mil  Higher New
Q2 2026 Adjusted EBITDA16.50 Mil17.25 Mil18.00 Mil  Higher New
Q2 2026 Diluted Earnings per Share0.340.360.39  Higher New
2026 Revenue686.00 Mil691.00 Mil696.00 Mil0.1% RaisedGuidance: 690.00 Mil for 2026
2026 Net Income44.90 Mil48.25 Mil51.60 Mil8.5% RaisedGuidance: 44.45 Mil for 2026
2026 Adjusted EBITDA93.00 Mil97.50 Mil102.00 Mil1.6% RaisedGuidance: 96.00 Mil for 2026
2026 Diluted Earnings per Share2.332.52.688.4% RaisedGuidance: 2.31 for 2026
2026 Capital Expenditures28.00 Mil30.00 Mil32.00 Mil0 AffirmedGuidance: 30.00 Mil for 2026

Prior: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 3/12/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q1 2026 Revenue173.00 Mil174.00 Mil175.00 Mil14.7% Higher NewActual: 151.75 Mil for Q4 2025
Q1 2026 Adjusted EBITDA25.50 Mil26.25 Mil27.00 Mil29.6% Higher NewActual: 20.25 Mil for Q4 2025
Q1 2026 Diluted Earnings per Share0.580.610.6458.4% Higher NewActual: 0.39 for Q4 2025
2026 Revenue685.00 Mil690.00 Mil695.00 Mil7.5% Higher NewActual: 642.00 Mil for 2025
2026 Adjusted EBITDA91.50 Mil96.00 Mil100.50 Mil24.7% Higher NewActual: 77.00 Mil for 2025
2026 Capital Expenditures28.00 Mil30.00 Mil32.00 Mil87.5% Higher NewActual: 16.00 Mil for 2025

Insider Activity

Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Fernandes, Nuno SPresident, APUSDirectSell515202653.344,500240,0304,191,191Form
2325, Capital LlcDirectSell323202653.7865,0003,495,46144,969,594Form
3325, Capital LlcDirectSell323202654.7695,5125,230,61549,355,144Form
4Fernandes, Nuno SPresident, APUSDirectSell320202654.081,10059,4884,492,696Form
5325, Capital LlcDirectSell318202655.4163,5003,518,70055,232,287Form