Tearsheet

American Public Education (APEI)


Market Price (4/16/2026): $57.82 | Market Cap: $1.0 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Education Services

American Public Education (APEI)


Market Price (4/16/2026): $57.82
Market Cap: $1.0 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Education Services

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 44%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Future of Education. Themes include Online Higher Education, Workforce Upskilling, and Adult & Lifelong Learning.

Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -1.3%, Dist 3Y High is -1.3%

Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 13%

Stock price has recently run up significantly
12M Rtn12 month market price return is 140%

Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -3.5%

Key risks
APEI key risks include [1] its heavy dependence on government funding, Show more.

0 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 44%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Future of Education. Themes include Online Higher Education, Workforce Upskilling, and Adult & Lifelong Learning.
2 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -1.3%, Dist 3Y High is -1.3%
3 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 13%
4 Stock price has recently run up significantly
12M Rtn12 month market price return is 140%
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -3.5%
6 Key risks
APEI key risks include [1] its heavy dependence on government funding, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

American Public Education (APEI) stock has gained about 55% since 12/31/2025 because of the following key factors:

1. Strong Q4 2025 Financial Results and Upbeat 2026 Guidance.

American Public Education reported robust financial performance for the fourth quarter of 2025, with diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.67, significantly surpassing the consensus estimate of $0.39 by $0.28. The company's revenue also exceeded expectations, reaching $158.3 million against analyst estimates ranging from $151.61 million to $151.81 million. This positive momentum was further fueled by optimistic guidance for the first quarter of 2026, projecting EPS between $0.58 and $0.64 (compared to a consensus of $0.55-$0.61) and revenue of $173 million to $175 million (versus a $166.4 million consensus). The full-year 2026 outlook also indicated continued growth, with anticipated revenue between $685 million and $695 million, a notable increase from the prior 2025 range of $640 million to $644 million.

2. Upgrades in Analyst Ratings and Price Targets.

Following the strong earnings report and positive outlook, several financial analysts revised their ratings and increased price targets for APEI, signaling heightened confidence in the company's future performance. For instance, Zacks Research upgraded American Public Education from a "hold" to a "strong-buy" rating on January 12, 2026. B. Riley Financial raised its price target from $40.00 to $53.00 on January 27, 2026, and further to $57.00 by March 13, 2026. Similarly, DA Davidson boosted its price target from $43.00 to $48.00 on February 4, 2026, then again to $58.00 on March 16, 2026. This collective bullish sentiment from analysts contributed to a consensus rating of "Moderate Buy" to "Strong Buy" and an average price target that climbed to approximately $55.50 to $57.33.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 52.9% change in APEI stock from 12/31/2025 to 4/15/2026 was primarily driven by a 54.9% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)123120254152026Change
Stock Price ($)37.8057.8052.9%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)655649-0.9%
Net Income Margin (%)4.9%4.9%-0.2%
P/E Multiple21.433.154.9%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1818-0.2%
Cumulative Contribution52.9%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/31/2025 to 4/15/2026
ReturnCorrelation
APEI52.9% 
Market (SPY)-5.4%8.7%
Sector (XLY)-1.0%16.2%

Fundamental Drivers

The 46.4% change in APEI stock from 9/30/2025 to 4/15/2026 was primarily driven by a 33.3% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)93020254152026Change
Stock Price ($)39.4757.8046.4%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)6456490.7%
Net Income Margin (%)4.4%4.9%9.5%
P/E Multiple24.933.133.3%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1818-0.4%
Cumulative Contribution46.4%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

9/30/2025 to 4/15/2026
ReturnCorrelation
APEI46.4% 
Market (SPY)-2.9%11.3%
Sector (XLY)-1.2%15.4%

Fundamental Drivers

The 159.0% change in APEI stock from 3/31/2025 to 4/15/2026 was primarily driven by a 88.5% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)33120254152026Change
Stock Price ($)22.3257.80159.0%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)6256493.9%
Net Income Margin (%)2.6%4.9%88.5%
P/E Multiple24.533.135.3%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1818-2.3%
Cumulative Contribution159.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

3/31/2025 to 4/15/2026
ReturnCorrelation
APEI159.0% 
Market (SPY)16.3%21.9%
Sector (XLY)20.4%21.1%

Fundamental Drivers

The 966.4% change in APEI stock from 3/31/2023 to 4/15/2026 was primarily driven by a 855.5% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)33120234152026Change
Stock Price ($)5.4257.80966.4%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)6066497.0%
P/S Multiple0.21.6855.5%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)19184.3%
Cumulative Contribution966.4%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

3/31/2023 to 4/15/2026
ReturnCorrelation
APEI966.4% 
Market (SPY)63.3%21.0%
Sector (XLY)61.7%18.6%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
APEI Return-27%-45%-21%124%75%52%88%
Peers Return-2%19%46%42%-4%12%160%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%2%85%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
APEI Win Rate42%33%42%67%75%100% 
Peers Win Rate45%52%62%52%52%60% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%50% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
APEI Max Drawdown-38%-63%-68%0%-11%-4% 
Peers Max Drawdown-22%-18%-8%-9%-16%-5% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-1%-25%-1%-2%-15%-7% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: ATGE, STRA, LRN, LOPE, PRDO.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 4/15/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventAPEIS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-90.0%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven897.9%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven832 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-29.6%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven42.0%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven61 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-52.5%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven110.6%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven2,324 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-39.1%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven64.3%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven135 days1,480 days

Compare to ATGE, STRA, LRN, LOPE, PRDO

In The Past

American Public Education's stock fell -90.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/19/2021. A -90.0% loss requires a 897.9% gain to breakeven.

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About American Public Education (APEI)

American Public Education, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides online and campus-based postsecondary education. The company operates through three segments: American Public University System, Rasmussen University, and Hondros College of Nursing. It offers 130 degree programs and 111 certificate programs in various fields of study, including business administration, health science, technology, criminal justice, education, and liberal arts, as well as national security, military studies, intelligence, and homeland security. The company also provides nursing-and health sciences-focused postsecondary education, diploma in practical nursing, an associate degree in nursing, and an associate degree in medical laboratory technology. American Public Education, Inc. was incorporated in 1991 and is headquartered in Charles Town, West Virginia.

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1. The University of Phoenix for military personnel and healthcare professionals. 2. A multi-brand online and career-focused education provider, similar to a modern Kaplan University or Strayer University.

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  • Online and Campus-Based Degree Programs: APEI offers a diverse portfolio of undergraduate and graduate degree programs across various fields, including business, technology, and liberal arts.
  • Certificate Programs: The company provides specialized certificate programs designed to offer targeted knowledge and skills in numerous academic and vocational areas.
  • Nursing and Health Sciences Programs: APEI delivers focused postsecondary education in nursing and health sciences, including diplomas and associate degrees in practical nursing, registered nursing, and medical laboratory technology.

AI Analysis | Feedback

American Public Education, Inc. (APEI) primarily sells its educational services to individuals.

The company serves the following categories of customers:

  1. Military and Public Service Personnel: APEI has a strong focus on serving current and former military members, veterans, and individuals in the national security, intelligence, and homeland security sectors, offering programs tailored to their needs and career paths.
  2. Healthcare Professionals and Students: Through institutions like Hondros College of Nursing and Rasmussen University, APEI provides education for individuals pursuing careers in nursing and other health sciences fields, including practical nursing, associate degrees in nursing, and medical laboratory technology.
  3. Working Adults and Career Changers: The company's online and campus-based programs in fields such as business administration, technology, criminal justice, education, and liberal arts attract working adults seeking to advance their careers, acquire new skills, or complete a degree while balancing professional and personal commitments.

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Angela Selden, Chief Executive Officer

Angela Selden was appointed CEO of APEI in September 2019. She brings over 30 years of experience in technology and technology-enabled services, having worked in both private-equity and publicly traded environments, with deep expertise in executing business transformation initiatives for Fortune 500 clients. Prior to APEI, Ms. Selden served as CEO and board member of DIGARC, an education technology provider. She was also CEO of Workforce Insight, CEO and Executive Co-Chairman of Arise Virtual Solutions, and interim CEO of Skybridge Americas. Earlier in her career, Ms. Selden spent 18 years at Accenture, where she was a Managing Partner.

Edward Codispoti, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Edward Codispoti joined American Public Education, Inc. as Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, effective October 20, 2025. He brings more than 25 years of financial leadership experience across various industries. Most recently, he served as Chief Financial Officer of NV5 Global, Inc., a global provider of technology and engineering consulting solutions, from June 2019 to October 2025.

Gary Janson, Senior Vice President, Chief Strategy and Growth Officer

Gary Janson joined APEI in November 2022. He has 30 years of experience in the education and training sector. For 16 years, Mr. Janson worked as an independent consultant, where he advised clients on operating strategy, financial analysis, fundraising, regulatory compliance, acquisitions, and divestitures. He has also served as a board member for several education companies and is currently on the board of Triumph Higher Education Group.

James Kenigsberg, Interim Chief Innovation and Technology Officer

James Kenigsberg was appointed as APEI's interim Chief Innovation and Technology Officer on August 11, 2025. He has over two decades of experience leading technology strategies in education. Mr. Kenigsberg was the founding Chief Technology Officer at 2U, Inc., where he helped scale the company from a startup in 2008 to a global edtech leader. He has also served as a strategic advisor to various high-growth startups and education-focused companies, including Udemy and Andela. Earlier in his career, Mr. Kenigsberg was Vice President of Application Development at The Princeton Review.

Steve Somers, Senior Vice President of Strategy and Corporate Development

Steve Somers joined APEI in June 2020 and is responsible for advancing the company's business strategy and corporate development initiatives. He has nearly 10 years of experience in the education industry, most recently serving as Vice President of Corporate Development at Kaplan, Inc., where he executed over 15 deals. Previously, he was Vice President of Corporate Development, Investor Relations & Treasury at Rosetta Stone, where he helped expand the language business through two acquisitions and enter the literacy business with the acquisition of Lexia Learning. Before his time in the education sector, Mr. Somers led M&A and investor relations at SunCom Wireless, where he led its sale to T-Mobile, and at GSI Commerce, which was later sold to eBay.

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Key Risks to American Public Education (APEI):

  1. Regulatory Compliance and Dependence on Federal Funding: American Public Education operates in a highly regulated sector and faces significant challenges in complying with various federal and state regulations, including the "90/10 Rule" and financial responsibility standards. Non-compliance could lead to sanctions or the loss of eligibility to participate in federal student financial aid programs, which would materially impact the company's operations and financial health. Additionally, APEI's reliance on federal appropriations and budgetary allocations, particularly for its military and veteran students, exposes it to risks associated with government shutdowns and changes in federal policy. The federal government shutdown in October-November 2025, for instance, negatively impacted tuition assistance registrations and revenue for the American Public University System (APUS) segment. The 90/10 rule percentage for APUS was 89% in 2025, leaving a narrow buffer before potential Title IV eligibility issues could arise if trends worsen.
  2. Competitive Pressures: The postsecondary education market is intensely competitive, with APEI facing ongoing threats from a wide array of institutions, including other for-profit online education companies and non-profit universities expanding their digital footprints. This heightened competition can lead to increased student acquisition costs and necessitate substantial investments in marketing, program development, and technology to maintain market share and attract new enrollments.
  3. Execution Risks Related to Strategic Initiatives and Operational Changes: APEI is currently undergoing significant strategic and operational transformations, including the planned consolidation of its subsidiary institutions—American Public University System, Rasmussen University, and Hondros College of Nursing—into a single entity. These initiatives carry inherent execution risks such as potential operational disruptions, challenges in integration, and the possibility that the anticipated benefits, like cost savings or revenue synergies, may not be fully realized. Furthermore, the transition of Rasmussen University's IT functions and potential challenges associated with campus expansions or new campus openings present additional operational hurdles.

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Proliferation of Alternative Credentialing and Skills-Based Education: The rapid growth of non-degree educational pathways, such as specialized bootcamps, industry-recognized certifications (e.g., from major tech companies like Google or AWS), and employer-sponsored training programs, presents a clear emerging threat. These alternatives often offer faster, more affordable, and highly focused routes to acquiring job-ready skills in high-demand fields, directly competing with and potentially eroding demand for traditional degree and certificate programs offered by APEI in areas like technology, business, and health sciences.

Disruptive Impact of Generative Artificial Intelligence (AI) in Education: The emergence and widespread adoption of generative AI tools, such as large language models, pose several significant threats. These tools challenge traditional academic integrity and assessment methods, requiring a fundamental shift in curriculum design and evaluation. Furthermore, AI-powered platforms could enable highly personalized and adaptive learning experiences, potentially offering more effective or engaging alternatives to APEI's existing online course delivery. AI also lowers the barrier to entry for new education providers by automating content creation, while simultaneously accelerating shifts in workforce skill demands, potentially diminishing the relevance of some existing degree programs without continuous and rapid curriculum adaptation.

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The addressable markets for American Public Education (APEI)'s main products and services are primarily within the U.S. and can be sized as follows:

  • U.S. Higher Education Market (Overall, including online and campus-based): This market was projected to reach a valuation of USD 218.27 billion in 2024 and is anticipated to reach USD 668.33 billion by 2033. The U.S. higher education market generated a revenue of USD 192,918.6 million in 2023 and is expected to reach USD 370,409.0 million by 2030.
  • U.S. Online Education Market: The U.S. e-learning market exceeded US$ 128.37 billion in 2024 and is expected to grow to US$ 278.27 billion by 2033, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 8.83% between 2025 and 2033. Another source states the United States e-learning market is expected to reach USD 278.3 Billion by 2032.
  • U.S. Traditional Classroom-Based (Campus-based) Higher Education Market: Traditional classroom-based learning was the largest revenue-generating mode in the U.S. higher education market in 2023, holding a 70.68% share of the USD 192,918.6 million total market, which equates to approximately USD 136.3 billion.
  • U.S. Nursing Education Market: The U.S. nursing education market size reached USD 9.7 billion in 2024, growing from USD 9.5 billion in 2023. This market is anticipated to grow at a CAGR of 5.3% between 2025 and 2034. It was valued at USD 10,889.02 million in 2025 and is expected to increase to USD 13,760.45 million by 2032. Additionally, nursing education programs generate more than $8.5 billion in annual revenue and are projected to be worth $14.57 billion by 2030.
  • U.S. Healthcare Education Market (includes health sciences): The U.S. healthcare education market is expected to reach USD 61.44 billion by 2028, growing from USD 39.24 billion in 2023, at a CAGR of 9.4% during the forecast period.

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For American Public Education, Inc. (APEI), the expected drivers of future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years include:

  1. Continued Growth of Rasmussen University and Hondros College of Nursing: Both Rasmussen University and Hondros College of Nursing have demonstrated strong revenue growth, with Rasmussen's revenue increasing by 14% and Hondros' by 11% in 2025. The lifting of growth restrictions by the Department of Education on Rasmussen College is expected to enable further expansion and diversification.
  2. New Campus Expansion: APEI plans to expand its physical footprint by launching new campuses. Specifically, a new Rasmussen campus is slated for Orlando in the second quarter of 2026, and a Hondros campus in Detroit is planned for the first quarter of 2027. This expansion is anticipated to contribute to increased student enrollment and, consequently, higher revenue.
  3. Increased Enrollment and Course Registrations: The company anticipates continued growth in net course registrations, particularly at the American Public University System (APUS), driven by students utilizing Tuition Assistance (TA) and Veterans Affairs (VA) education funding. Overall enrollment growth across its institutions, such as the 8.9% enrollment increase at Rasmussen contributing to its revenue growth, is a key focus. Analysts also foresee heightened enrollment by 2026.
  4. Strategic Initiatives and Operational Efficiencies: APEI is focusing on strategic initiatives, including investments in curriculum modernization, faculty salary increments, and improved student experiences, which are expected to enhance academic quality and student success, thereby attracting and retaining students. The company's strategic realignment to a two-segment reporting structure (APU Global and RU Health+) and efforts to achieve operational efficiencies are also aimed at simplifying and strengthening the business for sustained growth.

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Share Repurchases

  • American Public Education, Inc. (APEI) authorized a new $50 million share repurchase program during its fourth-quarter 2025 earnings call in March 2026. This program represents approximately 6% of the company's shares outstanding.
  • No share repurchases were made in the second quarter of 2025, despite an open authorization.

Share Issuance

  • In February 2021, APEI announced the pricing of a public offering of 3,200,000 shares of common stock at $25.00 per share, expecting gross proceeds of approximately $80 million. The company also granted underwriters a 30-day option to purchase up to an additional 480,000 shares.
  • The net proceeds from this offering were intended for general corporate purposes, including working capital and capital expenditures, and potentially to fund costs associated with the acquisition of Rasmussen University.
  • As of March 10, 2026, the total number of common stock shares outstanding was 18,380,439.

Outbound Investments

  • In 2021, APEI acquired Rasmussen University for $329 million, comprising $300 million in cash and $29 million in non-voting preferred stock.
  • The company acquired Graduate School USA (G.S.USA) in 2022 for $1 million.
  • American Public Education completed the sale of Graduate School USA (GSUSA) in 2025. This sale, along with the release of restricted cash, fully funded the redemption of approximately $43 million of preferred stock, leading to annual savings of $6 million from eliminated dividend payments.

Capital Expenditures

  • APEI projects capital expenditures for fiscal year 2026 to be between $28 million and $32 million, focused on enhancing operational capabilities and educational offerings. This includes plans for new campus openings, such as a Rasmussen campus in Orlando and a Hondros campus in Detroit, with each new campus costing approximately $3.5 million to open.
  • For the full year 2025, anticipated capital expenditures were in the range of $15 million to $17 million.
  • Capital expenditures totaled $7.6 million in the first half of 2025, compared to $11.4 million in the first half of 2024. The company guided for $20 million in CapEx (upper end) for the full year 2024.

Better Bets vs. American Public Education (APEI)

Latest Trefis Analyses

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Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

APEIATGESTRALRNLOPEPRDOMedian
NameAmerican.Adtalem .Strategi.Stride Grand Ca.Perdoceo. 
Mkt Price57.80-80.4294.01169.9835.1280.42
Mkt Cap1.0-1.84.04.72.22.2
Rev LTM649-1,2682,5191,1068461,106
Op Inc LTM54-196463303225225
FCF LTM46-154179239217179
FCF 3Y Avg35-121199230160160
CFO LTM62-198248273225225
CFO 3Y Avg52-162263269166166

Growth & Margins

APEIATGESTRALRNLOPEPRDOMedian
NameAmerican.Adtalem .Strategi.Stride Grand Ca.Perdoceo. 
Rev Chg LTM3.9%-4.0%14.9%7.1%24.2%7.1%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg2.3%-6.0%12.7%6.7%7.4%6.7%
Rev Chg Q-3.5%-3.8%7.5%5.3%20.0%5.3%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-0.9%-0.9%1.8%1.4%4.3%1.4%
Op Mgn LTM8.3%-15.5%18.4%27.4%26.7%18.4%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg5.9%-12.8%14.9%26.7%28.6%14.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.6%-1.0%0.6%0.2%-1.3%0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM9.5%-15.6%9.8%24.7%26.6%15.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg8.3%-13.3%12.0%26.1%22.0%13.3%
FCF/Rev LTM7.1%-12.1%7.1%21.6%25.6%12.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg5.6%-9.9%9.0%22.2%21.2%9.9%

Valuation

APEIATGESTRALRNLOPEPRDOMedian
NameAmerican.Adtalem .Strategi.Stride Grand Ca.Perdoceo. 
Mkt Cap1.0-1.84.04.72.22.2
P/S1.6-1.41.64.22.61.6
P/EBIT21.8-9.19.515.110.010.0
P/E33.1-14.112.721.614.014.1
P/CFO16.9-9.016.417.19.916.4
Total Yield3.0%-10.3%7.9%4.6%8.8%7.9%
Dividend Yield0.0%-3.2%0.0%0.0%1.7%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg10.8%-6.1%6.2%5.2%9.9%6.2%
D/E0.2-0.10.10.00.10.1
Net D/E-0.0--0.0-0.0-0.0-0.2-0.0

Returns

APEIATGESTRALRNLOPEPRDOMedian
NameAmerican.Adtalem .Strategi.Stride Grand Ca.Perdoceo. 
1M Rtn4.4%-1.5%13.3%4.4%1.3%4.4%
3M Rtn48.7%--3.4%33.6%-4.1%13.9%13.9%
6M Rtn53.3%-2.4%-35.7%-19.6%1.1%1.1%
12M Rtn139.6%-5.4%-31.7%-4.4%38.0%5.4%
3Y Rtn814.6%--7.0%145.4%41.9%174.7%145.4%
1M Excs Rtn-0.4%--3.4%8.5%-0.4%-3.5%-0.4%
3M Excs Rtn43.8%--4.2%35.3%-3.4%10.8%10.8%
6M Excs Rtn49.8%--1.5%-40.7%-23.7%-2.7%-2.7%
12M Excs Rtn114.9%--24.5%-61.2%-32.3%7.6%-24.5%
3Y Excs Rtn891.6%--76.2%75.0%-23.0%108.0%75.0%

Comparison Analyses

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Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
American Public University System (APUS) Segment317    
Rasmussen University (RU) Segment216    
Hondros College of Nursing (HCN) Segment67    
Corporate and Other24    
Total625    


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
American Public University System (APUS) Segment89    
Hondros College of Nursing (HCN) Segment-1    
Rasmussen University (RU) Segment-22    
Corporate and Other-33    
Total33    


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$57.80 
Market Cap ($ Bil)1.0 
First Trading Date11/09/2007 
Distance from 52W High-1.3% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$50.31$38.62
DMA Trendupup
Distance from DMA14.9%49.7%
 3M1YR
Volatility52.1%43.8%
Downside Capture-0.43-0.08
Upside Capture170.8998.26
Correlation (SPY)5.2%12.6%
APEI Betas & Captures as of 3/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta0.090.160.360.410.510.92
Up Beta-1.230.001.121.120.610.57
Down Beta2.060.51-0.030.160.520.72
Up Capture124%141%187%94%89%560%
Bmk +ve Days7162765139424
Stock +ve Days12223564142391
Down Capture-183%-109%-82%-12%-11%97%
Bmk -ve Days12233358110323
Stock -ve Days10202862108354

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with APEI
APEI141.0%43.7%2.14-
Sector ETF (XLY)25.4%19.4%1.0413.1%
Equity (SPY)22.0%12.9%1.3612.7%
Gold (GLD)49.0%27.5%1.441.8%
Commodities (DBC)25.0%16.1%1.381.0%
Real Estate (VNQ)17.3%13.7%0.9214.1%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-10.4%42.6%-0.14-0.4%

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Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with APEI
APEI9.6%64.5%0.43-
Sector ETF (XLY)7.1%23.7%0.2618.6%
Equity (SPY)10.9%17.0%0.5020.9%
Gold (GLD)21.9%17.8%1.011.9%
Commodities (DBC)11.5%18.8%0.504.0%
Real Estate (VNQ)4.0%18.8%0.1220.1%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)5.1%56.5%0.319.1%

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Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with APEI
APEI11.1%59.0%0.44-
Sector ETF (XLY)12.8%22.0%0.5321.6%
Equity (SPY)13.8%17.9%0.6724.3%
Gold (GLD)14.3%15.9%0.75-1.9%
Commodities (DBC)8.7%17.6%0.416.4%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.4%20.7%0.2218.8%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)67.8%66.9%1.074.5%

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Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date3312026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity2.4 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 315202646.5%
Average Daily Volume0.5 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5
Basic Shares Quantity18.1 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares13.5%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
3/12/202621.2%14.6%20.3%
11/10/20254.9%0.5%12.2%
8/6/2025-7.9%-7.0%0.2%
3/6/202522.1%9.6%14.2%
11/12/202414.6%10.6%29.2%
8/6/2024-27.9%-18.8%-9.5%
3/5/202436.9%7.9%21.4%
11/7/202327.9%38.4%93.5%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive111211
# Negative767
Median Positive14.6%8.8%14.2%
Median Negative-9.9%-12.9%-10.1%
Max Positive36.9%38.4%93.5%
Max Negative-50.8%-56.5%-44.2%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
12/31/202503/12/202610-K
09/30/202511/10/202510-Q
06/30/202508/06/202510-Q
03/31/202505/12/202510-Q
12/31/202403/06/202510-K
09/30/202411/12/202410-Q
06/30/202408/06/202410-Q
03/31/202405/07/202410-Q
12/31/202303/05/202410-K
09/30/202311/07/202310-Q
06/30/202308/08/202310-Q
03/31/202305/09/202310-Q
12/31/202203/14/202310-K
09/30/202211/08/202210-Q
06/30/202208/09/202210-Q
03/31/202205/10/202210-Q

Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]

Latest: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 3/12/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q1 2026 Revenue173.00 Mil174.00 Mil175.00 Mil14.7% Higher NewActual: 151.75 Mil for Q4 2025
Q1 2026 Adjusted EBITDA25.50 Mil26.25 Mil27.00 Mil29.6% Higher NewActual: 20.25 Mil for Q4 2025
Q1 2026 Diluted Earnings per Share0.580.610.6458.4% Higher NewActual: 0.39 for Q4 2025
2026 Revenue685.00 Mil690.00 Mil695.00 Mil7.5% Higher NewActual: 642.00 Mil for 2025
2026 Adjusted EBITDA91.50 Mil96.00 Mil100.50 Mil24.7% Higher NewActual: 77.00 Mil for 2025
2026 Capital Expenditures28.00 Mil30.00 Mil32.00 Mil87.5% Higher NewActual: 16.00 Mil for 2025

Prior: Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 11/10/2025

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q4 2025 APUS Net course registrations65,00069,70074,400   
Q4 2025 HCN Student enrollment 4,000    
Q4 2025 RU Student enrollment 15,900    
Q4 2025 Revenue150.00 Mil151.75 Mil153.50 Mil   
Q4 2025 Net Income5.90 Mil7.10 Mil8.30 Mil   
Q4 2025 Adjusted EBITDA18.50 Mil20.25 Mil22.00 Mil   
Q4 2025 EPS0.320.390.45   
2025 Revenue640.00 Mil642.00 Mil644.00 Mil-2.0% LoweredGuidance: 655.00 Mil for 2025
2025 Net Income17.20 Mil18.40 Mil19.60 Mil-12.4% LoweredGuidance: 21.00 Mil for 2025
2025 Adjusted EBITDA75.00 Mil77.00 Mil79.00 Mil-8.9% LoweredGuidance: 84.50 Mil for 2025
2025 Capital Expenditures15.00 Mil16.00 Mil17.00 Mil-20.0% LoweredGuidance: 20.00 Mil for 2025

Insider Activity

Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Fernandes, Nuno SPresident, APUSDirectSell1113202534.685,500190,7402,852,395Form
2Axenson, Tanya JoySVP, Chief HR OfficerDirectSell1113202534.7710,363360,3052,030,579Form
3325, Capital LlcDirectSell606202527.9627,523769,65041,915,733Form
4325, Capital LlcDirectSell606202528.21103,5222,920,44939,365,518Form
5325, Capital LlcDirectSell606202528.04214,3966,010,82833,110,774Form