Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.0%, Dividend Yield is 2.2%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.1%

Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 32%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Insurtech & AI in Insurance. Themes include AI for Fraud Detection, Digital Claims Processing, and AI for Underwriting & Risk Assessment.

Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -64%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -50%

Meaningful short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 10.43

Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -1.4%

Key risks
ERIE key risks include [1] a potential reduction of its 25% management fee due to the diminishing surplus and operating losses at its sole customer, Show more.

0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.0%, Dividend Yield is 2.2%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.1%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 32%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Insurtech & AI in Insurance. Themes include AI for Fraud Detection, Digital Claims Processing, and AI for Underwriting & Risk Assessment.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -64%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -50%
4 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 10.43
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -1.4%
6 Key risks
ERIE key risks include [1] a potential reduction of its 25% management fee due to the diminishing surplus and operating losses at its sole customer, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

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Erie Indemnity (ERIE) stock has lost about 10% since 12/31/2025 because of the following key factors:

1. Weaker-than-expected Fourth Quarter 2025 Financial Results.

Erie Indemnity's stock experienced a decline after the company reported its fourth-quarter 2025 results on February 23, 2026. The company's total operating revenue of $951 million missed Wall Street estimates, and adjusted earnings of $1.21 per share also fell below consensus forecasts, indicating unexpected margin or cost pressures during the quarter. This dual miss on both revenue and earnings prompted a negative market reaction, with shares falling 3.4% on the day of the announcement.

2. Announcement of CEO Retirement.

Further uncertainty was introduced with the announcement that CEO Timothy NeCastro plans to retire on December 31, 2026. This leadership transition adds a layer of concern for investors regarding future company direction and stability.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The -10.6% change in ERIE stock from 12/31/2025 to 4/8/2026 was primarily driven by a -13.6% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)123120254082026Change
Stock Price ($)283.52253.38-10.6%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)4,1534,149-0.1%
Net Income Margin (%)15.6%13.5%-13.6%
P/E Multiple20.220.93.5%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)46460.0%
Cumulative Contribution-10.6%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/31/2025 to 4/8/2026
ReturnCorrelation
ERIE-10.6% 
Market (SPY)-5.4%-5.2%
Sector (XLF)-6.5%35.8%

Fundamental Drivers

The -19.1% change in ERIE stock from 9/30/2025 to 4/8/2026 was primarily driven by a -12.1% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)93020254082026Change
Stock Price ($)313.34253.38-19.1%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)4,0764,1491.8%
Net Income Margin (%)15.3%13.5%-12.1%
P/E Multiple23.220.9-9.6%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)46460.0%
Cumulative Contribution-19.1%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

9/30/2025 to 4/8/2026
ReturnCorrelation
ERIE-19.1% 
Market (SPY)-2.9%-13.4%
Sector (XLF)-4.6%29.9%

Fundamental Drivers

The -38.1% change in ERIE stock from 3/31/2025 to 4/8/2026 was primarily driven by a -33.6% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)33120254082026Change
Stock Price ($)409.64253.38-38.1%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)3,8624,1497.4%
Net Income Margin (%)15.5%13.5%-13.3%
P/E Multiple31.520.9-33.6%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)46460.0%
Cumulative Contribution-38.1%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

3/31/2025 to 4/8/2026
ReturnCorrelation
ERIE-38.1% 
Market (SPY)16.3%19.0%
Sector (XLF)3.8%40.3%

Fundamental Drivers

The 15.4% change in ERIE stock from 3/31/2023 to 4/8/2026 was primarily driven by a 45.5% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)33120234082026Change
Stock Price ($)219.52253.3815.4%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)2,8514,14945.5%
Net Income Margin (%)10.5%13.5%28.7%
P/E Multiple34.020.9-38.4%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)46460.0%
Cumulative Contribution15.4%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

3/31/2023 to 4/8/2026
ReturnCorrelation
ERIE15.4% 
Market (SPY)63.3%17.3%
Sector (XLF)66.3%34.1%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
ERIE Return-20%32%37%25%-29%-12%12%
Peers Return24%-7%3%17%-4%-14%16%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%-3%76%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
ERIE Win Rate25%67%42%42%25%0% 
Peers Win Rate65%33%40%56%44%25% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%50% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
ERIE Max Drawdown-30%-16%-18%-2%-32%-17% 
Peers Max Drawdown-9%-21%-8%-1%-14%-23% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-1%-25%-1%-2%-15%-7% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: WTW, NP, EZRA, MRSH, AON.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 4/8/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventERIES&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-38.5%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven62.6%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven188 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-20.5%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven25.9%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven5 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-38.3%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven62.1%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1,053 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-53.4%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven114.6%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven615 days1,480 days

Compare to WTW, NP, EZRA, MRSH, AON

In The Past

Erie Indemnity's stock fell -38.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/9/2021. A -38.5% loss requires a 62.6% gain to breakeven.

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About Erie Indemnity (ERIE)

Erie Indemnity Company operates as a managing attorney-in-fact for the subscribers at the Erie Insurance Exchange in the United States. The company provides sales, underwriting, policy issuance, and renewal services for the policyholders on behalf of the Erie Insurance Exchange. It also offers sales related services, including agent compensation, and sales and advertising support services; and underwriting services comprise underwriting and policy processing; and other services consist of customer services and administrative support services, as well as information technology services. Erie Indemnity Company was incorporated in 1925 and is based in Erie, Pennsylvania.

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1. The ADP for insurance company operations.

2. A Conduent for an insurance exchange.

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  • Managing Attorney-in-Fact Services: Oversees and manages the operations and affairs for the subscribers at the Erie Insurance Exchange.
  • Sales & Marketing Support Services: Provides agent compensation, sales, and advertising support services for insurance product distribution.
  • Underwriting & Policy Processing Services: Manages the underwriting process and policy issuance and renewal for insurance policies.
  • Customer & Administrative Support Services: Offers customer service and general administrative support for the insurance exchange's operations.
  • Information Technology Services: Provides information technology infrastructure and support crucial for the exchange's operations.

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Erie Indemnity (ERIE) primarily sells its services to **Erie Insurance Exchange**.

Erie Indemnity operates as the managing attorney-in-fact for the subscribers at the Erie Insurance Exchange. In this capacity, Erie Indemnity provides a comprehensive suite of services to the Exchange, including sales, underwriting, policy issuance, renewal services, agent compensation, sales and advertising support, underwriting and policy processing, customer services, administrative support, and information technology services. The Erie Insurance Exchange is not a publicly traded company and therefore does not have a stock symbol.

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Timothy G. Necastro, President and Chief Executive Officer

Timothy G. Necastro has served as the President and Chief Executive Officer of Erie Indemnity since August 2016. He is scheduled to retire on December 31, 2026, marking the end of a 30-year career with the company, including a decade as CEO. Prior to his current role, Mr. Necastro held positions as President, CEO, and Director at Erie Family Life Insurance Co., Erie Insurance Co., and Erie Insurance Exchange (Investment Portfolio). He also worked as Finance Director at Plastek Group and as Senior Manager at Ernst & Young LLP. He earned his undergraduate degree from Gannon University.

Julie Marie Pelkowski, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Julie Marie Pelkowski was appointed Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, effective May 1, 2023, succeeding Greg Gutting. She joined Erie in 1998 as an internal auditor. Before her role as CFO, she served as Senior Vice President and Controller and was a co-lead for Erie's Destination 2025 corporate strategy program. Her career at Erie also includes positions as Financial Reporting Supervisor and Vice President, Financial Reporting. Ms. Pelkowski began her financial career in 1991 with Deloitte & Touche. She is a Certified Public Accountant (CPA) and holds a bachelor's degree in accounting from Clarion University of Pennsylvania.

Parthasarathy Srinivasa, Executive Vice President and Chief Information Officer

Parthasarathy Srinivasa is the Executive Vice President and Chief Information Officer of Erie Indemnity.

Douglas E. Smith, Executive Vice President, Sales and Products

Douglas E. Smith serves as the Executive Vice President, Sales and Products for Erie Indemnity.

Sean D. Dugan, Executive Vice President, Human Resources and Corporate Services

Sean D. Dugan is the Executive Vice President, Human Resources and Corporate Services. He was promoted to this role in December 2022.

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The key risks to Erie Indemnity (ERIE) primarily stem from its unique business model as a managing attorney-in-fact for the Erie Insurance Exchange.

  1. Heavy Dependence on Erie Insurance Exchange: Erie Indemnity's business model is fundamentally tied to the performance and growth of the Erie Insurance Exchange, which serves as its sole customer and primary source of revenue. The company earns management fees based on premiums written by the Exchange. Consequently, any adverse impact on the Exchange's growth, financial condition, underwriting appetite, product strategy, or ability to renew policies could significantly affect Erie Indemnity's financial results. This dependence limits Erie Indemnity's strategic flexibility and creates a concentration of business risk.
  2. Potential for Reduction in Management Fees and Related Litigation: The sustainability of the management fees Erie Indemnity charges the Exchange is a significant concern. Historically, the management fee can be up to 25% of premiums, and there have been instances where the fee was reduced. The Exchange's financial performance, particularly its underwriting losses and diminishing surplus, could lead to pressure to reduce these fees. Furthermore, Erie Indemnity has faced policyholder lawsuits challenging its management fee practices and alleging breaches of fiduciary duty, highlighting ongoing scrutiny of this revenue stream. A reduction in the management fee rate would directly impact Erie Indemnity's profitability.
  3. Competitive Market Landscape and Macroeconomic Headwinds Affecting the Exchange: While Erie Indemnity itself does not directly compete as a traditional insurer, the Erie Insurance Exchange operates in a highly competitive property and casualty insurance market. The Exchange faces competition from large national companies, regional insurers, and direct-to-consumer models. Intense competition, aggressive pricing, product innovation, and macroeconomic factors such as inflation, high unemployment, or recession can affect the Exchange's ability to attract and retain customers, thus impacting its premium growth. Additionally, the broader P&C insurance industry is susceptible to increasing frequency and severity of catastrophe losses due to climate change, and "social inflation" (rising litigation costs and larger jury awards), which indirectly pressure the Exchange's underwriting performance and, in turn, Erie Indemnity's fee revenue.

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  • The proliferation of direct-to-consumer and digital-first insurance providers (e.g., Geico, Lemonade, Root Insurance) is challenging the traditional agency-based distribution model. As Erie Indemnity provides sales support, agent compensation, and advertising services for the Erie Insurance Exchange, a significant shift in market share towards direct insurers could reduce the demand for these services or put pressure on the exchange's business model, indirectly impacting ERIE.
  • Rapid advancements in Insurtech and artificial intelligence (AI) are enabling the automation and streamlining of core insurance functions, including underwriting, policy processing, and customer service. Since Erie Indemnity provides these exact services (underwriting and policy processing, customer services, and information technology services), these technological developments pose a threat by potentially making traditional, human-intensive processes less competitive or by allowing insurers to perform these functions more efficiently in-house or through specialized tech providers.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The addressable market for Erie Indemnity Company's main products and services is the U.S. property and casualty insurance market. Erie Indemnity operates as a managing attorney-in-fact for the Erie Insurance Exchange, providing services for the sale, underwriting, policy issuance, and renewal of insurance products such as personal automobile, homeowners, multi-peril, workers' compensation, and commercial automobile insurance. The U.S. property and casualty insurance market was valued at approximately USD 1.10 trillion in 2025. It is projected to grow to about USD 1.33 trillion by 2030, exhibiting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 3.96%. Other estimates suggest the market could reach around USD 2.17 trillion by 2035, with a CAGR of 8.43% from 2026 to 2035. The market's expansion is driven by steady demand for auto and commercial insurance, as well as the increasing adoption of digital distribution channels and advanced risk management solutions.

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Erie Indemnity (ERIE) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key strategies:

  1. Growth in Direct Written Premiums and Policies In Force: Erie Indemnity's revenue is directly tied to the premium volume and policy growth of the Erie Insurance Exchange, from which it earns a 25% management fee. Direct written premiums for the Exchange grew by approximately 5% in the fourth quarter of 2025 and nearly 9% for the full year 2025, primarily due to prior rate actions. In Q1 2024, direct and assumed written premiums increased by 19%, with new business premiums growing by 32.4% and total policies in force increasing by 7.1%.
  2. Strategic Rate Actions and Price Increases: The company has demonstrated a focus on implementing rate increases, which have contributed to an increase in the average premium per policy. This strategy is reflected in the 9.6% increase in average premium per policy for the year 2025, driven by realized rate actions. Management anticipated a larger impact from these rate increases in 2024 and continued to see incremental improvement in profitability from them in Q1 2024.
  3. Expansion of Product Lines and Market Penetration: Erie Indemnity is concentrating on organic growth, including deepening its market penetration within existing operational areas and expanding its product lines, particularly in commercial insurance. This diversification aims to cater to a broader range of business needs and broaden revenue streams.
  4. Investment in Technology and New Product Rollouts: The company is investing in technology and launching new products to enhance its offerings and competitiveness. The "ErieSecure Auto" product, initially piloted in Ohio and scheduled for broader deployment in states like Pennsylvania, West Virginia, and Virginia by mid-2026, is aimed at improving growth and pricing competitiveness. Additionally, technology modernization initiatives, such as the rollout of Business Auto 2.0 with enhanced processing and features, are expected to be fully implemented by Q3 2025.
  5. Strengthening the Independent Agent Network: Erie Indemnity's strategy includes continuous investment in and support of its independent agent network, recognizing it as a significant competitive advantage. This approach helps to reach new customers and expand policyholder numbers. Growth in agent compensation, driven by base commission increases and higher incentive compensation linked to profitability, further supports this network.

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Share Repurchases

  • Erie Indemnity reported $0.00 in share buybacks as of December 31, 2025, and February 2026.
  • The company engages in the purchase of treasury stock to satisfy stock-based compensation awards.

Share Issuance

  • Erie Indemnity's shares outstanding saw minor fluctuations between 2021 and 2024, with 0.052 billion shares outstanding in 2024, a 0.01% increase from 2023.

Outbound Investments

  • In 2025, Erie Strategic Ventures made investments in Atomic and Feathery.

Capital Expenditures

  • Cash is primarily used to fund management operations, including the purchase and development of information technology, and other capital expenditures.
  • The company is focused on the rollout of its Erie Secure Auto product across new states to enhance its competitive position and improve customer acquisition.
  • Non-commission expenses in 2025 increased, driven in part by higher information technology costs.

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select ideas related to ERIE.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
HBAN_3312026_Insider_Buying_45D_2Buy_200K03312026HBANHuntington BancsharesInsiderInsider Buys 45DStrong Insider Buying
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0.0%0.0%0.0%
NP_3312026_Insider_Buying_45D_2Buy_200K03312026NPNeptune InsuranceInsiderInsider Buys 45DStrong Insider Buying
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0.0%0.0%0.0%
JKHY_3272026_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper03272026JKHYJack Henry & AssociatesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
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3.1%3.1%0.0%
MKTX_3202026_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield03202026MKTXMarketAxessDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-5.2%-5.2%-5.7%
RYAN_3202026_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE_V203202026RYANRyan SpecialtyInsiderInsider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider Buying
Companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
-2.7%-2.7%-8.5%

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

ERIEWTWNPEZRAMRSHAONMedian
NameErie Ind.Willis T.Neptune .Reliance.Marsh & .Aon  
Mkt Price253.38290.8225.960.18174.91329.76214.14
Mkt Cap11.727.63.6-85.471.027.6
Rev LTM4,1499,7081531226,98117,1816,928
Op Inc LTM-2,25778-96,2234,7092,257
FCF LTM-1,54654-35,0013,2181,546
FCF 3Y Avg-1,305--24,2763,0732,189
CFO LTM-1,77558-35,2923,4811,775
CFO 3Y Avg-1,544--24,6173,3172,430

Growth & Margins

ERIEWTWNPEZRAMRSHAONMedian
NameErie Ind.Willis T.Neptune .Reliance.Marsh & .Aon  
Rev Chg LTM7.4%-2.2%--11.6%10.3%9.4%7.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg13.4%3.1%-2.5%9.2%11.3%9.2%
Rev Chg Q-1.4%-3.3%--20.8%8.7%3.7%-1.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-0.1%-1.0%--5.2%2.0%0.9%-0.1%
Op Mgn LTM-23.2%50.6%-72.5%23.1%27.4%23.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-21.3%--44.1%23.4%27.9%22.3%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.1%--6.2%-0.2%0.8%-0.0%
CFO/Rev LTM-18.3%38.0%-24.9%19.6%20.3%19.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-15.9%--16.3%18.6%21.8%17.3%
FCF/Rev LTM-15.9%35.4%-25.2%18.5%18.7%18.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-13.4%--17.1%17.2%20.2%15.3%

Valuation

ERIEWTWNPEZRAMRSHAONMedian
NameErie Ind.Willis T.Neptune .Reliance.Marsh & .Aon  
Mkt Cap11.727.63.6-85.471.027.6
P/S2.82.823.4-3.24.13.2
P/EBIT-12.549.0-13.112.712.9
P/E20.917.290.7-20.519.220.5
P/CFO-15.661.5-16.120.418.3
Total Yield7.0%7.1%1.1%-6.9%6.1%6.9%
Dividend Yield2.2%1.3%0.0%-2.0%0.9%1.3%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-4.5%--4.5%4.4%4.5%
D/E0.00.20.1-0.30.20.2
Net D/E-0.00.10.1-0.20.20.1

Returns

ERIEWTWNPEZRAMRSHAONMedian
NameErie Ind.Willis T.Neptune .Reliance.Marsh & .Aon  
1M Rtn-0.3%-1.0%30.9%-17.5%-2.8%-0.9%-1.0%
3M Rtn-9.6%-11.9%-6.1%-31.4%-3.9%-5.6%-7.9%
6M Rtn-21.8%-14.9%-4.2%-31.4%-14.1%-9.4%-14.5%
12M Rtn-32.1%-2.6%-18.9%-31.4%-19.6%-7.7%-19.2%
3Y Rtn14.5%27.6%-18.9%-31.4%7.8%4.9%6.4%
1M Excs Rtn-0.1%-0.8%31.1%-17.3%-2.6%-0.7%-0.8%
3M Excs Rtn-8.4%-10.9%-4.1%-29.0%-2.9%-3.2%-6.2%
6M Excs Rtn-19.6%-16.9%-14.1%-32.0%-13.3%-10.1%-15.5%
12M Excs Rtn-68.3%-38.4%-52.6%-65.0%-56.6%-45.2%-54.6%
3Y Excs Rtn-49.6%-35.1%-83.9%-96.4%-55.1%-57.9%-56.5%

Comparison Analyses

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Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Management fee revenue - policy issuance and renewal services2,8942,4422,0881,9131,842
Administrative services reimbursement revenue806737668638609
Management fee revenue - administrative services6864585859
Investment income (loss)    33
Service agreement revenue    26
Total3,7693,2432,8142,6102,569


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$253.38 
Market Cap ($ Bil)11.7 
First Trading Date10/02/1995 
Distance from 52W High-39.1% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$260.93$301.12
DMA Trenddowndown
Distance from DMA-2.9%-15.9%
 3M1YR
Volatility32.9%31.7%
Downside Capture-0.130.17
Upside Capture-106.42-20.17
Correlation (SPY)-6.2%15.7%
ERIE Betas & Captures as of 3/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta-0.05-0.01-0.13-0.320.320.35
Up Beta1.611.411.280.530.660.60
Down Beta-1.35-0.32-0.08-0.470.110.15
Up Capture-46%-75%-85%-59%-11%8%
Bmk +ve Days7162765139424
Stock +ve Days9183064128400
Down Capture77%37%3%-18%51%53%
Bmk -ve Days12233358110323
Stock -ve Days13243362124349

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with ERIE
ERIE-34.8%31.8%-1.31-
Sector ETF (XLF)17.1%17.2%0.7539.8%
Equity (SPY)28.9%17.3%1.3516.4%
Gold (GLD)56.6%27.9%1.61-12.1%
Commodities (DBC)24.9%16.8%1.29-9.1%
Real Estate (VNQ)13.8%15.6%0.6339.7%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-14.5%44.2%-0.230.3%

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Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with ERIE
ERIE4.8%28.7%0.18-
Sector ETF (XLF)10.3%18.7%0.4338.0%
Equity (SPY)11.6%17.0%0.5330.0%
Gold (GLD)22.3%17.8%1.03-3.9%
Commodities (DBC)11.8%18.8%0.522.9%
Real Estate (VNQ)3.9%18.8%0.1131.8%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)4.0%56.5%0.299.8%

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Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with ERIE
ERIE13.0%28.8%0.47-
Sector ETF (XLF)12.9%22.2%0.5338.9%
Equity (SPY)13.9%17.9%0.6737.1%
Gold (GLD)14.1%15.9%0.74-1.6%
Commodities (DBC)8.4%17.6%0.406.4%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.1%20.7%0.2134.2%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)67.4%66.9%1.078.3%

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Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date3132026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity2.2 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 2282026-0.9%
Average Daily Volume0.2 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest10.4 days
Basic Shares Quantity46.2 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares4.8%

Earnings Returns History

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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
2/23/2026-2.6%1.1%-8.8%
10/30/2025-5.5%-9.1%-4.4%
8/7/20251.3%4.4%-4.6%
2/27/20255.7%11.1%1.4%
10/31/2024-7.5%-5.4%-2.6%
7/25/20248.7%13.5%26.3%
2/26/20249.9%16.3%14.6%
10/26/2023-6.4%-4.7%0.3%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive9129
# Negative10710
Median Positive4.5%8.6%10.8%
Median Negative-2.2%-5.4%-4.4%
Max Positive9.9%28.2%34.7%
Max Negative-8.6%-12.1%-9.3%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
12/31/202502/23/202610-K
09/30/202510/30/202510-Q
06/30/202508/07/202510-Q
03/31/202504/24/202510-Q
12/31/202402/27/202510-K
09/30/202410/31/202410-Q
06/30/202407/25/202410-Q
03/31/202404/25/202410-Q
12/31/202302/26/202410-K
09/30/202310/26/202310-Q
06/30/202307/27/202310-Q
03/31/202304/27/202310-Q
12/31/202203/01/202310-K
09/30/202210/27/202210-Q
06/30/202207/28/202210-Q
03/31/202204/28/202210-Q