Tearsheet

Amentum (AMTM)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $28.72 | Market Cap: $7.0 Bil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Diversified Support Services

Amentum (AMTM)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $28.72
Market Cap: $7.0 Bil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Diversified Support Services

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 27%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -4.8%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 65%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Advanced Aviation & Space, Sustainable Infrastructure, and Datacenter Power. Themes include Commercial Space Exploration, Show more.
  Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 36x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 110x
2   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.3%
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 27%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Advanced Aviation & Space, Sustainable Infrastructure, and Datacenter Power. Themes include Commercial Space Exploration, Show more.
2 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -4.8%
3 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 65%
4 Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 36x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 110x
5 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.3%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

AMTM Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points explaining Amentum's (AMTM) stock movement from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025:

**1. Strong Fourth Quarter Fiscal Year 2025 Financial Results and Positive Guidance.** Amentum announced robust fourth-quarter fiscal year 2025 results on November 24, 2025, reporting revenues of $3.93 billion, which surpassed consensus estimates of $3.60 billion. The company also posted an adjusted EBITDA of $300.0 million, exceeding the expected $283.0 million, and delivered free cash flow of $261.0 million, above expectations. This strong performance, along with an 11% increase in adjusted diluted earnings per share year-over-year, allowed the company to meet or exceed its guidance across all key metrics. Furthermore, Amentum's fiscal year 2026 guidance, particularly its approximately 3% organic growth outlook, was perceived positively by investors.

**2. Major Space Force Range Contract Award.** On August 18, 2025, Amentum, through its subsidiary Jacobs Technology Inc., secured a significant 10-year indefinite delivery/indefinite quantity (IDIQ) Space Force Range Contract (SFRC) from the United States Space Force (USSF), with a ceiling value of $4 billion. This contract, set to begin on December 1, 2025, involves providing systems engineering, cybersecurity, integration, logistics, sustainment, operations, and program management solutions to modernize the Launch and Test Range System (LTRS) across Eastern and Western Ranges.

**3. Other Significant Contract Wins.** Beyond the Space Force contract, Amentum secured additional substantial contracts. Notably, on November 12, 2025, the company won a U.S. Air Force Air Combat Command contract valued at up to $995 million for maintenance support of the MQ-9 Reaper drone program over five years. Amentum also obtained prime positions on a multi-billion pound Sellafield Decommissioning Framework in the UK by October 31, 2025.

**4. Multiple Analyst Upgrades and Raised Price Targets.** Following the positive earnings and contract announcements, several financial firms upgraded Amentum's stock ratings and significantly increased their price targets. On November 26, 2025, Morgan Stanley upgraded Amentum from Underweight to Equalweight and raised its price target to $35.00 from $20.00. On the same day, Citizens raised its price target to $35.00 from $30.00, and Truist Securities increased its target to $34.00 from $30.00. RBC Capital also lifted its price target to $30.00 from $26.00. Further bolstering investor confidence, Cantor Fitzgerald raised its price target to $40.00 from $35.00 on December 2, 2025, citing stronger-than-anticipated growth.

**5. Strategic Positioning in Key Growth Markets.** Analysts highlighted Amentum's strategic advantages in rapidly accelerating markets. Specifically, the company's strong incumbency as a leading government services provider, particularly its significant role in the commercial nuclear power sector (including projects like Savannah River and Sizewell C) and its management of 90% of America's nuclear infrastructure, was cited as a key growth driver. Truist Securities identified nuclear energy, digital infrastructure, and space systems as core growth segments contributing to Amentum's faster long-term organic growth outlook.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
AMTM Return-----37%37%
Peers Return19%25%4%33%23%-11%127%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
AMTM Win Rate----0%30% 
Peers Win Rate63%62%45%67%55%50% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
AMTM Max Drawdown------22% 
Peers Max Drawdown-33%-11%-17%-7%-3%-20% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: TRI, CBZ, CTAS, CPRT, LDOS.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

AMTM has limited trading history. Below is the Industrials sector ETF (XLI) in its place.

Unique KeyEventXLIS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-22.6%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven29.2%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven273 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-42.8%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven74.8%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven232 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-24.6%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven32.6%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven312 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-63.3%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven172.8%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1463 days1480 days

Compare to


In The Past

SPDR Select Sector Fund's stock fell -22.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/4/2022. A -22.6% loss requires a 29.2% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Amentum (AMTM)

Better Bets than Amentum (AMTM)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to AMTM. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.3%7.3%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.3%2.3%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.6%1.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
2.2%2.2%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.3%7.3%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.3%2.3%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.6%1.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
2.2%2.2%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Amentum

Peers to compare with:

Financials

AMTMTRICBZCTASCPRTLDOSMedian
NameAmentum Thomson .CBIZ Cintas Copart Leidos  
Mkt Price28.56134.3051.42184.7138.85188.4492.86
Mkt Cap6.960.43.274.537.624.130.8
Rev LTM12,6807,3762,67610,5574,64717,3328,966
Op Inc LTM3022,1282132,4171,6972,0411,869
FCF LTM1381,822861,7021,2311,3381,284
FCF 3Y Avg-1,8691131,5851,0131,1491,149
CFO LTM1602,4591042,1201,8001,5061,653
CFO 3Y Avg-2,4561311,9791,5461,3121,546

Growth & Margins

AMTMTRICBZCTASCPRTLDOSMedian
NameAmentum Thomson .CBIZ Cintas Copart Leidos  
Rev Chg LTM27.1%3.0%59.2%8.2%9.7%6.5%8.9%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-3.9%27.2%9.1%9.9%6.9%9.1%
Rev Chg Q66.2%3.4%58.1%8.7%5.2%6.7%7.7%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM12.6%0.8%10.5%2.1%1.2%1.6%1.9%
Op Mgn LTM2.4%28.9%7.9%22.9%36.5%11.8%17.3%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-26.9%9.4%21.8%37.3%10.3%21.8%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.2%2.3%-0.5%0.1%0.7%-0.1%-0.0%
CFO/Rev LTM1.3%33.3%3.9%20.1%38.7%8.7%14.4%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-34.6%7.2%20.2%36.2%8.0%20.2%
FCF/Rev LTM1.1%24.7%3.2%16.1%26.5%7.7%11.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-26.4%6.2%16.2%23.7%7.0%16.2%

Valuation

AMTMTRICBZCTASCPRTLDOSMedian
NameAmentum Thomson .CBIZ Cintas Copart Leidos  
Mkt Cap6.960.43.274.537.624.130.8
P/S0.59.51.27.810.21.44.6
P/EBIT14.529.413.434.228.011.821.2
P/E110.339.831.744.730.617.235.7
P/CFO35.928.431.639.026.416.130.0
Total Yield0.9%4.0%3.2%2.6%3.3%6.7%3.2%
Dividend Yield0.0%1.5%0.0%0.4%0.0%0.9%0.2%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-2.8%3.7%2.3%2.1%6.0%2.8%
D/E0.80.00.60.00.00.20.1
Net D/E0.70.00.60.0-0.10.20.1

Returns

AMTMTRICBZCTASCPRTLDOSMedian
NameAmentum Thomson .CBIZ Cintas Copart Leidos  
1M Rtn28.6%-13.4%-6.7%1.7%-9.7%-2.4%-4.5%
3M Rtn14.9%-24.0%-14.8%-9.9%-19.3%6.3%-12.4%
6M Rtn34.2%-30.9%-28.9%-18.4%-22.9%31.1%-20.6%
12M Rtn17.7%-17.3%-37.1%-16.4%-37.6%16.0%-16.9%
3Y Rtn-18.9%2.5%64.0%15.7%77.1%18.9%
1M Excs Rtn28.7%-13.3%-6.6%1.7%-9.6%-2.4%-4.5%
3M Excs Rtn12.8%-29.9%-19.6%-15.8%-27.6%0.4%-17.7%
6M Excs Rtn19.5%-45.6%-43.7%-33.1%-37.6%16.4%-35.4%
12M Excs Rtn3.7%-29.7%-51.3%-31.1%-52.3%1.6%-30.4%
3Y Excs Rtn--52.1%-68.1%-5.8%-53.4%8.2%-52.1%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity7,519,724
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-22.8%
Average Daily Volume1,260,105
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5.97
Basic Shares Quantity243,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares3.1%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025806202510-Q 6/27/2025
3312025507202510-Q 3/28/2025
12312024205202510-Q 12/27/2024
93020241217202410-K 9/27/2024
6302024909202410-12B/A 6/28/2024
123120235102024DRS/A 12/29/2023
9302023715202410-12B 9/29/2023