Amentum (AMTM)
Market Price (12/17/2025): $29.15 | Market Cap: $7.1 BilSector: Industrials | Industry: Diversified Support Services
Amentum (AMTM)
Market Price (12/17/2025): $29.15Market Cap: $7.1 BilSector: IndustrialsIndustry: Diversified Support Services
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 72% | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -4.8% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 88x |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Advanced Aviation & Space, Sustainable Infrastructure, and Datacenter Power. Themes include Commercial Space Exploration, Show more. | Key risksAMTM key risks include [1] its high leverage profile, Show more. |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 72% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Advanced Aviation & Space, Sustainable Infrastructure, and Datacenter Power. Themes include Commercial Space Exploration, Show more. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -4.8% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 88x |
| Key risksAMTM key risks include [1] its high leverage profile, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
AMTM Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are five key points highlighting why Amentum's (AMTM) stock experienced an upward movement during the approximate period from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025:
1. Major Merger Completion and Integration Impact
Amentum completed its merger with Jacobs' Critical Mission Solutions and Cyber and Intelligence businesses on September 27, 2024. This transformational combination created a significantly larger and more diversified global leader in advanced engineering and technology solutions, expected to generate an estimated $14 billion in revenue in fiscal year 2025. The integration and synergistic benefits of this merger continued to positively influence investor sentiment and the company's stock performance throughout 2025.
2. Affirmation of Strong Fiscal Year 2025 Guidance
Amentum reported its fiscal year 2024 results on December 16, 2024, and simultaneously affirmed its positive outlook for fiscal year 2025. This forward-looking guidance indicated management's confidence in continued financial growth and stability, which likely contributed to sustained investor interest and stock appreciation leading into and throughout the specified period.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| AMTM Return | � | � | � | � | � | 39% | � |
| Peers Return | 6% | -5% | 26% | 17% | 20% | -2% | 76% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| AMTM Win Rate | � | � | � | � | 0% | 42% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 53% | 53% | 60% | 62% | 68% | 55% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| AMTM Max Drawdown | � | � | � | � | � | -22% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -32% | -15% | -9% | -15% | -4% | -26% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: LDOS, BAH, CACI, SAIC, PSN.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
AMTM has limited trading history. Below is the Industrials sector ETF (XLI) in its place.
| Event | XLI | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -22.6% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 29.2% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 273 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -42.8% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 74.8% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 232 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -24.6% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 32.6% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 312 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -63.3% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 172.8% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1463 days | 1480 days |
Compare to
In The Past
SPDR Select Sector Fund's stock fell -22.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/4/2022. A -22.6% loss requires a 29.2% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Amentum Earnings Notes | ||
| Is Amentum Stock Built to Withstand a Pullback? | Return | |
| AMTM Dip Buy Analysis | ||
| Amentum (AMTM) Valuation Ratios Comparison | Financials | |
| Amentum (AMTM) Revenue Comparison | Financials |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to AMTM. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 19.8% | 19.8% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.2% | 2.2% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.9% | 5.9% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 4.2% | 4.2% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 19.8% | 19.8% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.2% | 2.2% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.9% | 5.9% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 4.2% | 4.2% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Amentum
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 94.53 |
| Mkt Cap | 8.5 |
| Rev LTM | 10,282 |
| Op Inc LTM | 660 |
| FCF LTM | 564 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 426 |
| CFO LTM | 613 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 474 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 4.5% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 10.0% |
| Rev Chg Q | 0.5% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 0.1% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 8.1% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 7.8% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 7.2% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 6.3% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 6.4% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 5.7% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 8.5 |
| P/S | 1.1 |
| P/EBIT | 12.8 |
| P/E | 19.5 |
| P/CFO | 14.8 |
| Total Yield | 5.6% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 4.4% |
| D/E | 0.3 |
| Net D/E | 0.2 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 1.2% |
| 3M Rtn | -0.5% |
| 6M Rtn | 10.7% |
| 12M Rtn | 6.4% |
| 3Y Rtn | 29.1% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 0.4% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -2.6% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -1.7% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -5.2% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -40.7% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Global Engineering Solutions (GES) | 6,407 | |||
| Digital Solutions (DS) | 1,981 | |||
| Single segment | 7,865 | |||
| Affiliate revenue | 7 | 12 | ||
| Critical Mission Solutions | 4,392 | 4,264 | ||
| Cyber & Intelligence | 784 | 816 | ||
| Total | 8,388 | 7,865 | 5,183 | 5,092 |
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Global Engineering Solutions (GES) | 459 | |||
| Digital Solutions (DS) | 159 | |||
| Utilization of fair market value adjustments | 5 | |||
| Non-controlling interests | -1 | |||
| Stock-based compensation (6) | -18 | |||
| Depreciation expense | -23 | |||
| Acquisition, transaction and integration costs | -62 | |||
| Amortization of intangibles | -228 | |||
| Critical Mission Solutions | 356 | 360 | ||
| Cyber & Intelligence | 49 | 79 | ||
| Other Expenses | -118 | -104 | ||
| Total | 291 | 287 | 335 |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/24/2025 | 18.2% | 12.6% | |
| 8/5/2025 | 1.7% | 1.3% | -4.5% |
| 5/6/2025 | -4.5% | -4.3% | -1.3% |
| 2/4/2025 | 10.6% | 1.1% | -10.6% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 3 | 3 | 0 |
| # Negative | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| Median Positive | 10.6% | 1.3% | |
| Median Negative | -4.5% | -4.3% | -4.5% |
| Max Positive | 18.2% | 12.6% | |
| Max Negative | -4.5% | -4.3% | -10.6% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11252025 | 10-K 10/3/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8062025 | 10-Q 6/27/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5072025 | 10-Q 3/28/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2052025 | 10-Q 12/27/2024 |
| 9302024 | 12172024 | 10-K 9/27/2024 |
| 6302024 | 9092024 | 10-12B/A 6/28/2024 |
| 12312023 | 5102024 | DRS/A 12/29/2023 |
| 9302023 | 7152024 | 10-12B 9/29/2023 |
External Quote Links
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| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |