Amgen (AMGN)
Market Price (12/21/2025): $326.31 | Market Cap: $175.6 BilSector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology
Amgen (AMGN)
Market Price (12/21/2025): $326.31Market Cap: $175.6 BilSector: Health CareIndustry: Biotechnology
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.8%, Dividend Yield is 2.9%, FCF Yield is 6.6% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -18%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -38% | Key risksAMGN key risks include [1] significant revenue erosion from imminent patent expirations and biosimilar competition for blockbuster drugs including Enbrel and Prolia, Show more. |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 24% | ||
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 36%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 32%, CFO LTM is 13 Bil, FCF LTM is 12 Bil | ||
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 28% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Biopharmaceutical Development, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.8%, Dividend Yield is 2.9%, FCF Yield is 6.6% |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 24% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 36%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 32%, CFO LTM is 13 Bil, FCF LTM is 12 Bil |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 28% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Biopharmaceutical Development, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -18%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -38% |
| Key risksAMGN key risks include [1] significant revenue erosion from imminent patent expirations and biosimilar competition for blockbuster drugs including Enbrel and Prolia, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
AMGN Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
1. Strong Q3 2025 Financial Results and Raised Outlook
Amgen reported robust third-quarter 2025 earnings on November 4, 2025, exceeding analyst expectations for both revenue and earnings per share. The company's total revenues increased by 12% to $9.6 billion compared to the third quarter of 2024, and GAAP earnings per share (EPS) rose by 14% to $5.93. Following this announcement, Amgen also raised its full-year 2025 financial guidance, projecting total revenues in the range of $35.8 billion to $36.6 billion, an increase from previous expectations.
2. Repatha's Positive Clinical Trial Results and Expanded Indication
In October 2025, Amgen announced that the Phase 3 VESALIUS-CV clinical trial for its cholesterol-lowering drug, Repatha, met its dual primary endpoints. The trial demonstrated that Repatha significantly reduced the risk of major adverse cardiovascular events in high-risk individuals. Earlier in the period, on August 25, 2025, Repatha also received an expanded indication for adults at increased risk for major adverse cardiovascular events due to uncontrolled LDL-C.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| AMGN Return | -2% | 2% | 20% | 13% | -7% | 29% | 63% |
| Peers Return | 6% | 23% | 18% | -15% | 4% | 17% | 58% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| AMGN Win Rate | 67% | 33% | 58% | 58% | 50% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 48% | 58% | 62% | 37% | 48% | 57% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| AMGN Max Drawdown | -24% | -10% | -2% | -17% | -8% | -1% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -26% | -7% | -8% | -23% | -10% | -14% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ABBV, JNJ, MRK, PFE, BMY. See AMGN Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/19/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | AMGN | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -26.7% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 36.5% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 215 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -24.6% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 32.6% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 46 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -19.5% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 24.3% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 109 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -47.3% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 89.8% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1,575 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to
In The Past
Amgen's stock fell -26.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/8/2022. A -26.7% loss requires a 36.5% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | |||
| Amgen Earnings Notes | |||
| Time To Buy Amgen Stock? | Buy or Fear | ||
| Does Amgen Stock Lead the Pack? | |||
| How Low Can Amgen Stock Really Go? | Return | ||
| Amgen vs United Therapeutics: Which Is A Better Investment? | Counter-Intuitive Comparisons | ||
| Better Bet Than AMGN Stock: Pay Less Than Amgen To Get More From MU, MCK | |||
| Better Bet Than AMGN Stock: Pay Less Than Amgen To Get More From MCK, UTHR | |||
| Better Bet Than AMGN Stock: Pay Less Than Amgen To Get More From UTHR, BMRN | |||
| Big Decline for AMGN, but Do UTHR's Margins and Growth Give It the Edge? | Counter-Intuitive Comparisons | ||
| Better Bet Than AMGN Stock: Pay Less Than Amgen To Get More From UTHR, BMRN, EXEL, HALO | Actionable | ||
| ARTICLES | |||
| How Does Amgen Stock Compare With Peers? | December 4th, 2025 | ||
| Amgen Stock To $450? | December 4th, 2025 | ||
| S&P 500 Stocks Trading At 52-Week High | November 27th, 2025 | ||
| Is United Therapeutics a Better Buy Than Amgen? | November 22nd, 2025 | ||
| Large Cap Stocks Trading At 52-Week High | November 19th, 2025 |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to AMGN. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 17.4% | 17.4% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -6.7% | -6.7% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 10.9% | 10.9% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 2.7% | 2.7% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 11.4% | 11.4% | -5.1% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 17.4% | 17.4% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -6.7% | -6.7% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 10.9% | 10.9% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 2.7% | 2.7% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 11.4% | 11.4% | -5.1% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Amgen
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 154.00 |
| Mkt Cap | 213.7 |
| Rev LTM | 61,215 |
| Op Inc LTM | 14,892 |
| FCF LTM | 14,176 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 13,642 |
| CFO LTM | 16,843 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 16,176 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 4.5% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 2.0% |
| Rev Chg Q | 5.2% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.3% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 24.3% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 24.5% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 1.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 30.6% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 29.9% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 26.1% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 25.4% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 213.7 |
| P/S | 4.4 |
| P/EBIT | 13.7 |
| P/E | 19.0 |
| P/CFO | 14.1 |
| Total Yield | 8.8% |
| Dividend Yield | 3.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 5.7% |
| D/E | 0.2 |
| Net D/E | 0.2 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 1.0% |
| 3M Rtn | 16.7% |
| 6M Rtn | 21.8% |
| 12M Rtn | 17.4% |
| 3Y Rtn | 13.8% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -1.2% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 15.2% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 10.5% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 2.7% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -58.5% |
Comparison Analyses
FDA Approved Drugs Data
Expand for More| Post-Approval Fwd Returns | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FDA App # | Brand Name | Generic Name | Dosage Form | FDA Approval | 3M Rtn | 6M Rtn | 1Y Rtn | 2Y Rtn | Total Rtn |
| NDA210745 | OTEZLA | apremilast | tablet | 8292025 | 20.9% | 14.6% | 14.6% | 14.6% | 14.6% |
| BLA761298 | PAVBLU | aflibercept-ayyh | injectable | 8232024 | -9.7% | -6.4% | -7.7% | 3.6% | 3.6% |
| BLA761333 | BKEMV | eculizumab-aeeb | injectable | 5282024 | 9.7% | -5.3% | -4.3% | 14.3% | 14.3% |
| BLA761344 | IMDELLTRA | tarlatamab-dlle | injectable | 5162024 | 3.4% | -5.3% | -10.7% | 9.0% | 9.0% |
| BLA761285 | WEZLANA | ustekinumab-auub | injectable | 10312023 | 24.0% | 8.8% | 27.1% | 21.6% | 37.3% |
| BLA761331 | WEZLANA | ustekinumab-auub | injectable | 10312023 | 24.0% | 8.8% | 27.1% | 21.6% | 37.3% |
| NDA214665 | LUMAKRAS | sotorasib | tablet | 5282021 | -5.6% | -14.1% | 10.8% | -2.7% | 58.7% |
| BLA761140 | RIABNI | rituximab-arrx | injectable | 12172020 | 7.3% | 6.4% | -0.1% | 23.9% | 67.0% |
| BLA761086 | AVSOLA | infliximab-axxq | injectable | 12062019 | -9.3% | -2.1% | 0.8% | -7.6% | 69.7% |
| BLA761073 | KANJINTI | trastuzumab-anns | vial | 6132019 | 10.6% | 35.4% | 26.7% | 46.3% | 127.6% |
| ... | |||||||||
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other products | 4,696 | 5,220 | 5,321 | 5,724 | 5,538 |
| Prolia | 4,048 | 3,628 | 3,248 | 2,763 | 2,672 |
| ENBREL | 3,697 | 4,117 | 4,465 | 4,996 | 5,226 |
| Otezla | 2,188 | 2,288 | 2,249 | 2,195 | 178 |
| XGEVA | 2,112 | 2,014 | 2,018 | 1,899 | 1,935 |
| Repatha | 1,635 | 1,296 | 1,117 | 887 | 661 |
| Nplate | 1,477 | 1,307 | 1,027 | 850 | |
| KYPROLIS | 1,403 | 1,247 | 1,108 | 1,065 | 1,044 |
| Aranesp | 1,362 | 1,421 | 1,480 | 1,568 | 1,729 |
| Other revenues | 1,280 | 1,522 | 1,682 | 1,184 | 1,158 |
| EVENITY | 1,160 | 787 | 530 | ||
| Vectibix | 984 | 893 | |||
| BLINCYTO | 861 | 583 | |||
| TEZSPIRE | 567 | ||||
| TEPEZZA | 448 | 0 | |||
| KRYSTEXXA | 272 | 0 | |||
| Neulasta | 1,734 | 2,293 | 3,221 | ||
| Total | 28,190 | 26,323 | 25,979 | 25,424 | 23,362 |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/4/2025 | 7.8% | 14.1% | 12.0% |
| 8/5/2025 | -5.1% | -5.0% | -5.9% |
| 5/1/2025 | -0.9% | -4.1% | 2.6% |
| 2/4/2025 | 6.5% | 2.6% | 10.9% |
| 10/30/2024 | 1.5% | 2.0% | -9.6% |
| 8/6/2024 | -5.0% | -1.7% | -0.7% |
| 5/2/2024 | 11.8% | 12.4% | 11.2% |
| 2/6/2024 | -6.4% | -8.1% | -13.0% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 9 | 11 | 10 |
| # Negative | 15 | 13 | 14 |
| Median Positive | 5.5% | 3.7% | 6.2% |
| Median Negative | -3.4% | -3.5% | -5.9% |
| Max Positive | 11.8% | 14.1% | 12.2% |
| Max Negative | -7.2% | -8.1% | -13.0% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11052025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8062025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5022025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2142025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10312024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8072024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5032024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2142024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 10312023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8042023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 4282023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2092023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11042022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8052022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 4282022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2162022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
Industry Resources
External Quote Links
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