AMC Networks (AMCX)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $8.95 | Market Cap: $395.0 MilSector: Communication Services | Industry: Movies & Entertainment
AMC Networks (AMCX)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $8.95Market Cap: $395.0 MilSector: Communication ServicesIndustry: Movies & Entertainment
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -93%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -129% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 352% |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 74% | Meaningful short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 10.22, Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 11% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -7.4%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -7.3%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -6.3% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 50% | Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -43% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Digital Content & Streaming. Themes include Video Streaming. |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12% |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 74% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 50% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Digital Content & Streaming. Themes include Video Streaming. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -93%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -129% |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 10.22, Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 11% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 352% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -7.4%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -7.3%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -6.3% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -43% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
AMCX Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
For the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025, AMC Networks (AMCX) experienced a notable stock movement. Here are key points that likely contributed to this change:
1. Continued Transition to a Streaming-Focused Company. AMC Networks reported accelerated streaming revenue growth in its third quarter 2025 results on November 7, 2025, with streaming expected to become its largest single source of domestic revenue for the year. This shift from a traditional cable networks business to a global streaming and technology-focused content company likely instilled investor confidence in the company's long-term strategy and adaptability.
2. Strong Free Cash Flow Generation. The company reiterated a healthy outlook for approximately $250 million in free cash flow for the full year 2025. This demonstration of strong financial health and operational effectiveness, even amidst industry transitions, is a significant positive for investors.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| AMCX Return | -9% | -4% | -55% | 20% | -47% | -11% | -78% |
| Peers Return | 2% | -4% | -22% | -15% | -1% | 12% | -28% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| AMCX Win Rate | 42% | 33% | 33% | 75% | 33% | 30% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 40% | 35% | 19% | 29% | 38% | 60% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| AMCX Max Drawdown | -48% | -6% | -58% | -36% | -61% | -44% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -41% | -11% | -25% | -29% | -20% | -13% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: DIS, SBGI, GTN, ANGX, DCR. See AMCX Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | AMCX | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -87.2% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 679.3% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -51.4% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 105.8% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 286 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -47.1% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 88.9% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 447 days | 120 days |
Compare to DIS, SBGI, GTN, ANGX, DCR
In The Past
AMC Networks's stock fell -87.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/12/2021. A -87.2% loss requires a 679.3% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to AMCX. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | PINS | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 2.9% | 2.9% | 0.0% | |
| 11212025 | TMUS | T-Mobile US | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.8% | 0.8% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | Z | Zillow | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| 11072025 | IRDM | Iridium Communications | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -0.5% | -0.5% | -5.6% |
| 10032025 | TTD | Trade Desk | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -22.5% | -22.5% | -25.6% |
| 12312021 | AMCX | AMC Networks | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | -14.4% | -54.5% | -58.0% |
| 09302020 | AMCX | AMC Networks | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | 115.1% | 88.5% | -15.1% |
| 03312020 | AMCX | AMC Networks | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 1.2% | 118.7% | -15.3% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | PINS | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 2.9% | 2.9% | 0.0% | |
| 11212025 | TMUS | T-Mobile US | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.8% | 0.8% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | Z | Zillow | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| 11072025 | IRDM | Iridium Communications | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -0.5% | -0.5% | -5.6% |
| 10032025 | TTD | Trade Desk | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -22.5% | -22.5% | -25.6% |
| 12312021 | AMCX | AMC Networks | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | -14.4% | -54.5% | -58.0% |
| 09302020 | AMCX | AMC Networks | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | 115.1% | 88.5% | -15.1% |
| 03312020 | AMCX | AMC Networks | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 1.2% | 118.7% | -15.3% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for AMC Networks
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 8.97 |
| Mkt Cap | 0.8 |
| Rev LTM | 3,337 |
| Op Inc LTM | 331 |
| FCF LTM | 270 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 330 |
| CFO LTM | 315 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 465 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -3.3% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -3.5% |
| Rev Chg Q | -6.3% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | -1.6% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 12.5% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 13.6% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -1.4% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 13.6% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 13.7% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 11.6% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 9.5% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 0.8 |
| P/S | 0.2 |
| P/EBIT | 3.3 |
| P/E | 1.7 |
| P/CFO | 2.4 |
| Total Yield | 3.9% |
| Dividend Yield | 3.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 43.5% |
| D/E | 4.8 |
| Net D/E | 3.5 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 4.8% |
| 3M Rtn | -0.2% |
| 6M Rtn | 29.0% |
| 12M Rtn | -6.0% |
| 3Y Rtn | -40.7% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 4.8% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -5.8% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 14.3% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -20.5% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -111.6% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11072025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8082025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5092025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2142025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11082024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8092024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5102024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2092024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11032023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8042023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5092023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2172023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11042022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8052022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5052022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2162022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |