Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -52%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -133%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -161%
Very low revenue
Rev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Aging Population & Chronic Disease, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Oncology Treatments, Targeted Therapies, Show more.
  Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -108 Mil
2   Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 161%
3   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -114%
4   High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 128%
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -52%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Aging Population & Chronic Disease, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Oncology Treatments, Targeted Therapies, Show more.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -133%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -161%
3 Very low revenue
Rev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0
4 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -108 Mil
5 Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 161%
6 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -114%
7 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 128%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

ALXO Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points for why ALX Oncology (ALXO) stock moved by 17.1% for the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 5, 2025: 1. Positive Data for Evorpacept in HER2+ Gastric Cancer: ALX Oncology presented updated data from its Phase 2 ASPEN-06 trial in the fourth quarter of 2025, including at the Society for Immunotherapy of Cancer (SITC) Annual Meeting on November 8, 2025. This data highlighted that evorpacept demonstrated compelling benefit, including a 65.0% objective response rate in patients with retained HER2+ and CD47-high gastric cancer, supporting CD47 expression as a key predictive biomarker for evorpacept's efficacy.

2. Advancement of Novel ALX2004 Program: The company announced on August 19, 2025, that it had dosed the first patient in its Phase 1 dose escalation trial evaluating ALX2004, a novel EGFR-targeted antibody-drug conjugate, for the treatment of EGFR-expressing solid tumors. Subsequent updates confirmed that the trial is actively enrolling patients in the second dose cohort and is on track to deliver initial safety data in the first half of 2026.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
ALXO Return--75%-48%32%-89%-18%-98%
Peers Return2%-1%6%8%-0%2%17%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%17%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
ALXO Win Rate80%33%50%58%33%30% 
Peers Win Rate13%8%13%12%10%90% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
ALXO Max Drawdown--75%-73%-63%-92%-76% 
Peers Max Drawdown-2%-5%0%-0%-1%-2% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: VRTX, AIXC, ALPS, BBOT, EVMN.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/4/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventALXOS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-95.2%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven1992.6%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-28.7%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven40.3%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days148 days

Compare to VRTX, AIXC, ALPS, BBOT, EVMN


In The Past

ALX Oncology's stock fell -95.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/1/2021. A -95.2% loss requires a 1992.6% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About ALX Oncology (ALXO)

Better Bets than ALX Oncology (ALXO)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to ALXO. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
10.0%10.0%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-7.7%-7.7%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.9%6.9%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
11.5%11.5%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
8.9%8.9%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
10.0%10.0%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-7.7%-7.7%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.9%6.9%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
11.5%11.5%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
8.9%8.9%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for ALX Oncology

Peers to compare with:

Financials

ALXOVRTXAIXCALPSBBOTEVMNMedian
NameALX Onco.Vertex P.AIxCryptoALPS BridgeBi.Evommune  
Mkt Price1.36458.852.601.1711.5221.907.06
Mkt Cap0.1117.3----58.7
Rev LTM011,7230-0100
Op Inc LTM-108-92-5--93-70-92
FCF LTM-973,337-6--60-64-60
FCF 3Y Avg-1142,064-10----10
CFO LTM-973,718-6--60-64-60
CFO 3Y Avg-1132,419-10----10

Growth & Margins

ALXOVRTXAIXCALPSBBOTEVMNMedian
NameALX Onco.Vertex P.AIxCryptoALPS BridgeBi.Evommune  
Rev Chg LTM-10.3%----10.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-10.5%----10.5%
Rev Chg Q-11.0%----11.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-2.7%----2.7%
Op Mgn LTM--0.8%----700.7%-350.7%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-26.2%----26.2%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-1.0%----1.0%
CFO/Rev LTM-31.7%----635.6%-302.0%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-23.1%----23.1%
FCF/Rev LTM-28.5%----636.5%-304.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-19.8%----19.8%

Valuation

ALXOVRTXAIXCALPSBBOTEVMNMedian
NameALX Onco.Vertex P.AIxCryptoALPS BridgeBi.Evommune  
Mkt Cap0.1117.3----58.7
P/S-8.6----8.6
P/EBIT-0.922.5----10.8
P/E-0.927.3----13.2
P/CFO-1.027.0----13.0
Total Yield-110.2%3.7%-----53.2%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%----0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-97.6%2.3%-----47.7%
D/E0.10.0----0.1
Net D/E-0.5-0.0-----0.3

Returns

ALXOVRTXAIXCALPSBBOTEVMNMedian
NameALX Onco.Vertex P.AIxCryptoALPS BridgeBi.Evommune  
1M Rtn-6.8%8.8%-23.2%-4.8%-2.0%
3M Rtn25.9%15.6%--14.3%-15.6%
6M Rtn159.0%3.4%----81.2%
12M Rtn-12.8%-1.1%-----7.0%
3Y Rtn-88.5%44.5%-----22.0%
1M Excs Rtn-8.1%7.5%-22.0%-6.1%-0.7%
3M Excs Rtn5.7%10.0%--10.6%-10.0%
6M Excs Rtn143.7%-12.1%----65.8%
12M Excs Rtn-31.4%-14.9%-----23.1%
3Y Excs Rtn-160.1%-28.4%-----94.3%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single Segment    5
Total    5


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single Segment243306380436 
Total243306380436 


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity1,780,683
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-3.5%
Average Daily Volume455,947
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.91
Basic Shares Quantity53,577,066
Short % of Basic Shares3.3%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251107202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025812202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024306202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241107202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024812202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024509202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023307202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231113202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023810202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023511202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022309202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221108202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022808202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022509202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021228202210-K 12/31/2021