Alexander's (ALX)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $216.02 | Market Cap: $1.1 BilSector: Real Estate | Industry: Retail REITs
Alexander's (ALX)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $216.02Market Cap: $1.1 BilSector: Real EstateIndustry: Retail REITs
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 11%, Dividend Yield is 7.7%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 6.6%, FCF Yield is 6.7% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -12%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -58% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 68% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 37%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 37% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -7.5%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -4.0% | |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 29% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Smart Buildings & Proptech, and Sustainable & Green Buildings. Themes include Building Management Systems, Real Estate Data Analytics, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 11%, Dividend Yield is 7.7%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 6.6%, FCF Yield is 6.7% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 37%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 37% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 29% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Smart Buildings & Proptech, and Sustainable & Green Buildings. Themes include Building Management Systems, Real Estate Data Analytics, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -12%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -58% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 68% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -7.5%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -4.0% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
ALX Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key points for the movement of Alexander's (ALX) stock by -4.4% during the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025: 1. 1. Q2 2025 Earnings Miss and Decline: Alexander's reported its Q2 2025 earnings on August 4, 2025, showing a decrease in net income to $6.1 million ($1.19 per diluted share) from $8.4 million ($1.63 per diluted share) in Q2 2024. Funds from Operations (FFO) also declined to $14.8 million ($2.88 per diluted share) from $17.0 million ($3.31 per diluted share) in Q2 2024, missing analyst estimates. This negative financial performance, just prior to the specified period, likely contributed to sustained downward pressure on the stock. 2. 2. Q3 2025 Net Income Decrease: On November 3, 2025, Alexander's announced its Q3 2025 financial results. While Funds from Operations (FFO) showed a slight increase and beat analyst estimates, the company reported a decrease in net income for the quarter ($6.0 million or $1.16 per diluted share vs. $6.7 million or $1.30 per diluted share in Q3 2024) and for the nine months ended September 30, 2025, compared to the prior year. This decline in net income could have signaled underlying challenges to investors. 3.
Show moreStock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| ALX Return | -10% | 0% | -9% | 6% | 1% | 16% | 2% |
| Peers Return | -26% | 48% | -8% | 11% | 13% | 2% | 30% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| ALX Win Rate | 42% | 42% | 42% | 58% | 58% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 42% | 75% | 47% | 50% | 57% | 56% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| ALX Max Drawdown | -30% | -5% | -18% | -25% | -2% | -7% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -54% | -5% | -27% | -17% | -8% | -14% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: O, FRT, GTY, WSR, SPG.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | ALX | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -49.0% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 95.9% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -36.3% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 57.0% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -32.9% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 49.0% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -71.7% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 253.8% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 2146 days | 1480 days |
Compare to O, FRT, GTY, WSR, SPG
In The Past
Alexander's's stock fell -49.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/12/2021. A -49.0% loss requires a 95.9% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to ALX. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | MPW | Medical Properties Trust | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | 8.5% | 8.5% | -5.8% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | MPW | Medical Properties Trust | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | 8.5% | 8.5% | -5.8% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Alexander's
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 77.98 |
| Mkt Cap | 5.0 |
| Rev LTM | 735 |
| Op Inc LTM | 283 |
| FCF LTM | 233 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 197 |
| CFO LTM | 364 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 345 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 5.2% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 5.9% |
| Rev Chg Q | 7.1% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.7% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 40.8% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 39.1% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 54.2% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 53.9% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 44.1% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 44.3% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 5.0 |
| P/S | 7.0 |
| P/EBIT | 15.2 |
| P/E | 26.2 |
| P/CFO | 14.7 |
| Total Yield | 8.8% |
| Dividend Yield | 4.7% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 7.1% |
| D/E | 0.6 |
| Net D/E | 0.6 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 2.7% |
| 3M Rtn | 1.5% |
| 6M Rtn | 6.0% |
| 12M Rtn | 0.9% |
| 3Y Rtn | 12.3% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 2.8% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -4.7% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -8.7% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -14.3% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -59.5% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11032025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8042025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5052025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2102025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11042024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8052024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5062024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2122024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 10302023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 7312023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5012023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2132023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 10312022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8012022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5022022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2142022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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