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Alerus Financial (ALRS)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $22.14 | Market Cap: $562.2 Mil
Sector: Financials | Industry: Regional Banks

Alerus Financial (ALRS)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $22.14
Market Cap: $562.2 Mil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Regional Banks

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 12%, Dividend Yield is 3.5%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 8.3%, FCF Yield is 8.5%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -4.0%, Dist 3Y High is -4.8%
 
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -58%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -18%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -66%
 
2 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 65%
  
3 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 22%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%
  
4 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 30%
  
5 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Online Banking & Lending, and Wealth Management Technology.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 12%, Dividend Yield is 3.5%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 8.3%, FCF Yield is 8.5%
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -58%
2 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 65%
3 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 22%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%
4 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 30%
5 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Online Banking & Lending, and Wealth Management Technology.
6 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -4.0%, Dist 3Y High is -4.8%
7 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -18%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -66%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

ALRS Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Alerus Financial (ALRS) experienced a 1.08% decline on October 31, 2025, despite reporting strong third-quarter 2025 earnings that beat analyst expectations. Here are some key points explaining the stock movement during the approximate period from August 31, 2025, to December 5, 2025:

1. Alerus Financial reported strong Q3 2025 earnings, surpassing both EPS and revenue forecasts. The company's earnings per share (EPS) was $0.66 against a forecast of $0.59, and revenue reached $72.5 million compared to a projected $71.41 million.

2. Despite the positive earnings, ALRS stock closed down 1.08% on October 31, 2025. This suggests that while the financial results were strong, other factors or investor sentiment led to a slight pullback in the stock price.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
ALRS Return23%9%-18%-0%-11%19%18%
Peers Return-2%12%-18%18%1%20%29%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%17%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
ALRS Win Rate58%50%33%42%50%60% 
Peers Win Rate22%25%28%35%27%51% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
ALRS Max Drawdown-33%-12%-26%-41%-17%-15% 
Peers Max Drawdown-19%-2%-23%-16%-10%-7% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: NEWT, ATLO, AVBC, LSBK, NU.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/4/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventALRSS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-63.4%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven172.9%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-33.2%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven49.7%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven218 days148 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-40.0%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven66.7%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven980 days1480 days

Compare to NEWT, ATLO, AVBC, LSBK, NU


In The Past

Alerus Financial's stock fell -63.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/5/2021. A -63.4% loss requires a 172.9% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Alerus Financial (ALRS)

Better Bets than Alerus Financial (ALRS)

Latest Trefis Analyses

TitleTopic
0DASHBOARDS 
1How Low Can Alerus Financial Stock Really Go?Return
Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to ALRS. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.5%7.5%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
15.2%15.2%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.5%-2.5%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-6.2%-6.2%-11.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.5%7.5%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
15.2%15.2%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.5%-2.5%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-6.2%-6.2%-11.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Alerus Financial

Peers to compare with:

Financials

ALRSNEWTATLOAVBCLSBKNUMedian
NameAlerus F.NewtekOneAmes Nat.Avidia B.Lake Sho.Nu  
Mkt Price22.2411.2422.1816.6714.9717.6217.15
Mkt Cap0.60.30.2--85.00.4
Rev LTM2812696090268,967180
Op Inc LTM-------
FCF LTM48-52020-843,65712
FCF 3Y Avg44-22916-52,31716
CFO LTM61-51920-443,94112
CFO 3Y Avg52-22818-52,50618

Growth & Margins

ALRSNEWTATLOAVBCLSBKNUMedian
NameAlerus F.NewtekOneAmes Nat.Avidia B.Lake Sho.Nu  
Rev Chg LTM65.5%21.8%13.1%-2.1%23.7%21.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg14.8%31.6%-2.3%-0.0%70.1%14.8%
Rev Chg Q42.5%20.7%19.4%-16.5%20.4%20.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM8.2%4.7%4.6%-4.0%5.0%4.7%
Op Mgn LTM-------
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-------
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-------
CFO/Rev LTM21.6%-193.4%33.7%-4.2%17.4%44.0%19.5%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg24.2%-91.8%31.7%-19.2%37.8%24.2%
FCF/Rev LTM17.1%-193.4%33.0%-8.3%15.3%40.8%16.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg20.6%-91.9%27.6%-17.8%34.9%20.6%

Valuation

ALRSNEWTATLOAVBCLSBKNUMedian
NameAlerus F.NewtekOneAmes Nat.Avidia B.Lake Sho.Nu  
Mkt Cap0.60.30.2--85.00.4
P/S2.01.12.7--7.42.3
P/EBIT-------
P/E11.14.911.6--28.711.4
P/CFO9.2-0.67.9--16.88.6
Total Yield12.5%20.2%13.5%--3.5%13.0%
Dividend Yield3.5%0.0%4.9%--0.0%1.8%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg10.5%-76.1%9.6%--4.3%6.9%
D/E0.52.60.2--0.00.4
Net D/E-0.61.8-4.5---0.4-0.5

Returns

ALRSNEWTATLOAVBCLSBKNUMedian
NameAlerus F.NewtekOneAmes Nat.Avidia B.Lake Sho.Nu  
1M Rtn6.3%7.1%7.3%10.5%5.8%11.5%7.2%
3M Rtn-1.5%-7.3%11.4%8.0%13.7%18.5%9.7%
6M Rtn7.6%9.9%30.4%--45.5%20.2%
12M Rtn6.0%-15.3%32.3%--46.8%19.2%
3Y Rtn9.4%-25.5%11.5%--334.0%10.4%
1M Excs Rtn5.0%5.9%6.0%9.2%4.5%10.3%6.0%
3M Excs Rtn-6.4%-10.7%5.2%4.7%8.5%13.8%5.0%
6M Excs Rtn-7.8%-5.5%14.9%--30.1%4.7%
12M Excs Rtn-9.2%-30.1%18.9%--33.5%4.9%
3Y Excs Rtn-66.1%-96.8%-60.5%--240.5%-63.3%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Banking84106939584
Retirement and benefit services6567726164
Wealth2221211716
Corporate Administration-3-2-2-4-2
Mortgage 19506427
Total168211234233189


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Banking3,8343,6983,2552,8282,260
Corporate Administration3527131010
Retirement and benefit services3441454839
Wealth54430
Mortgage 117612548
Total3,9083,7803,3933,0142,357


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity546,424
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-0.1%
Average Daily Volume62,725
Days-to-Cover Short Interest8.71
Basic Shares Quantity25,395,000
Short % of Basic Shares2.2%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251105202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025805202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025506202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024314202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241031202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024808202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024502202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023308202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231102202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023803202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023508202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022313202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221103202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022804202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022506202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021311202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Villalon AlanEVP & Chief Financial Officer8042025Buy21.212,35049,844224,550Form
1Wilson ForrestEVP & Chief Ret. Svcs. Officer5052025Buy19.935,00099,650283,086Form