Tearsheet

AirJoule Technologies (AIRJ)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $3.16 | Market Cap: $187.2 Mil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Building Products

AirJoule Technologies (AIRJ)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $3.16
Market Cap: $187.2 Mil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Building Products

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 14%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 9.6%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -121%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -141%
Very low revenue
Rev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -11%
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 10.87
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -13 Mil
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Renewable Energy Transition, and Sustainable Infrastructure. Themes include Wind Energy Development, Renewable Energy Equipment, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 14%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 9.6%
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -11%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Renewable Energy Transition, and Sustainable Infrastructure. Themes include Wind Energy Development, Renewable Energy Equipment, Show more.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -121%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -141%
4 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 10.87
5 Very low revenue
Rev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0
6 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -13 Mil

Valuation, Metrics & Events

AIRJ Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points highlighting why AirJoule Technologies (AIRJ) stock moved by -31.3% during the approximate time period from mid-November 2025 to early December 2025: 1. 1. Sustained Downtrend from Early November: The stock entered a significant downtrend starting November 3, 2025, which saw a total price decline of -46.64% leading up to December 2, 2025. This overarching negative trend provides the context for the -31.3% drop within the specified period. 2. 2. Overwhelming Bearish Technical Signals: As of December 2, 2025, AirJoule Technologies's overall moving average trend was strongly bearish, with four negative signals and no positive signals, indicating persistent downward pressure on the stock from a technical analysis perspective. 3.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
AIRJ Return---7%-26%-65%-72%
Peers Return41%55%-11%62%9%13%285%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
AIRJ Win Rate--70%100%50%60% 
Peers Win Rate65%63%43%63%55%54% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
AIRJ Max Drawdown---0%-52%-61% 
Peers Max Drawdown-37%-3%-37%-8%-12%-14% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: WMS, WTS, UFPI, GFF, TT.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventAIRJS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-4.1%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven4.2%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven204 days464 days

Compare to WMS, WTS, UFPI, GFF, TT


In The Past

AirJoule Technologies's stock fell -4.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/16/2023. A -4.1% loss requires a 4.2% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About AirJoule Technologies (AIRJ)

Better Bets than AirJoule Technologies (AIRJ)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to AIRJ. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.3%7.3%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.3%2.3%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.6%1.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
2.2%2.2%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.3%7.3%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.3%2.3%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.6%1.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
2.2%2.2%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for AirJoule Technologies

Peers to compare with:

Financials

AIRJWMSWTSUFPIGFFTTMedian
NameAirJoule.Advanced.Watts Wa.UFP Indu.Griffon Trane Te. 
Mkt Price3.16151.93274.9792.7274.57409.07122.33
Mkt Cap0.211.89.25.23.491.17.2
Rev LTM02,9872,3546,4532,51721,0512,752
Op Inc LTM-136674473964433,956445
FCF LTM-95293442722942,533319
FCF 3Y Avg-4943185413382,431494
CFO LTM-97413875443552,936465
CFO 3Y Avg-6933527673982,777693

Growth & Margins

AIRJWMSWTSUFPIGFFTTMedian
NameAirJoule.Advanced.Watts Wa.UFP Indu.Griffon Trane Te. 
Rev Chg LTM-2.5%4.2%-3.9%-3.4%8.6%2.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg--2.0%6.5%-12.5%-2.4%10.8%-2.0%
Rev Chg Q-8.7%12.5%-5.4%-5.3%5.5%5.5%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-2.3%3.0%-1.4%-1.3%1.5%1.5%
Op Mgn LTM-22.3%19.0%6.1%17.6%18.8%18.8%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-23.6%17.8%7.8%14.3%17.4%17.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.1%0.1%-0.3%1.2%0.4%0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM-24.8%16.4%8.4%14.1%13.9%14.1%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-23.8%16.0%10.9%15.2%14.4%15.2%
FCF/Rev LTM-17.7%14.6%4.2%11.7%12.0%12.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-17.0%14.4%7.6%12.8%12.6%12.8%

Valuation

AIRJWMSWTSUFPIGFFTTMedian
NameAirJoule.Advanced.Watts Wa.UFP Indu.Griffon Trane Te. 
Mkt Cap0.211.89.25.23.491.17.2
P/S-3.64.00.81.34.53.6
P/EBIT-21.915.521.612.115.324.015.4
P/E7.223.528.816.346.932.026.2
P/CFO-31.014.624.29.79.232.012.1
Total Yield13.9%4.7%4.2%7.7%3.3%4.0%4.4%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.5%0.7%1.6%1.2%0.9%0.8%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-4.8%4.5%8.5%12.8%3.4%4.8%
D/E0.00.10.00.10.50.00.1
Net D/E-0.10.1-0.0-0.10.50.00.0

Returns

AIRJWMSWTSUFPIGFFTTMedian
NameAirJoule.Advanced.Watts Wa.UFP Indu.Griffon Trane Te. 
1M Rtn-39.3%10.4%1.4%0.3%-0.4%-8.3%-0.0%
3M Rtn-31.2%7.1%-0.1%-5.4%-2.9%0.4%-1.5%
6M Rtn-22.0%34.6%15.3%-3.8%8.0%-5.0%2.1%
12M Rtn-61.3%12.9%29.6%-30.0%-9.0%0.1%-4.5%
3Y Rtn-68.3%61.7%76.1%15.6%127.9%136.2%68.9%
1M Excs Rtn-39.3%10.4%1.4%0.3%-0.4%-8.3%-0.0%
3M Excs Rtn-36.7%0.2%-6.9%-14.7%-11.5%-6.1%-9.2%
6M Excs Rtn-36.7%19.9%0.5%-18.5%-6.8%-19.7%-12.6%
12M Excs Rtn-72.1%-0.5%14.9%-44.2%-24.2%-14.4%-19.3%
3Y Excs Rtn-141.2%-7.3%12.7%-52.6%61.8%70.5%2.7%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity1,443,575
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-6.4%
Average Daily Volume132,773
Days-to-Cover Short Interest10.87
Basic Shares Quantity59,247,717
Short % of Basic Shares2.4%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025814202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025513202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024325202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241113202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024823202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024520202410-Q 3/31/2024
3312023823202410-Q/A 3/31/2023
123120221102024S-4/A 12/31/2022