AirJoule Technologies (AIRJ)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $3.16 | Market Cap: $187.2 MilSector: Industrials | Industry: Building Products
AirJoule Technologies (AIRJ)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $3.16Market Cap: $187.2 MilSector: IndustrialsIndustry: Building Products
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 14%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 9.6% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -121%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -141% | Very low revenueRev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0 |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -11% | Meaningful short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 10.87 | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -13 Mil |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Renewable Energy Transition, and Sustainable Infrastructure. Themes include Wind Energy Development, Renewable Energy Equipment, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 14%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 9.6% |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -11% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Renewable Energy Transition, and Sustainable Infrastructure. Themes include Wind Energy Development, Renewable Energy Equipment, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -121%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -141% |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 10.87 |
| Very low revenueRev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0 |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -13 Mil |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
AIRJ Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are five key points highlighting why AirJoule Technologies (AIRJ) stock moved by -31.3% during the approximate time period from mid-November 2025 to early December 2025: 1. 1. Sustained Downtrend from Early November: The stock entered a significant downtrend starting November 3, 2025, which saw a total price decline of -46.64% leading up to December 2, 2025. This overarching negative trend provides the context for the -31.3% drop within the specified period. 2. 2. Overwhelming Bearish Technical Signals: As of December 2, 2025, AirJoule Technologies's overall moving average trend was strongly bearish, with four negative signals and no positive signals, indicating persistent downward pressure on the stock from a technical analysis perspective. 3.
Show moreStock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| AIRJ Return | - | - | - | 7% | -26% | -65% | -72% |
| Peers Return | 41% | 55% | -11% | 62% | 9% | 13% | 285% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| AIRJ Win Rate | - | - | 70% | 100% | 50% | 60% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 65% | 63% | 43% | 63% | 55% | 54% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| AIRJ Max Drawdown | - | - | - | 0% | -52% | -61% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -37% | -3% | -37% | -8% | -12% | -14% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: WMS, WTS, UFPI, GFF, TT.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | AIRJ | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -4.1% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 4.2% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 204 days | 464 days |
Compare to WMS, WTS, UFPI, GFF, TT
In The Past
AirJoule Technologies's stock fell -4.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/16/2023. A -4.1% loss requires a 4.2% gain to breakeven.
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Is AirJoule Technologies Stock Built to Withstand More Downside? | Return |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to AIRJ. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 7.3% | 7.3% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.3% | 2.3% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.8% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 1.6% | 1.6% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 7.3% | 7.3% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.3% | 2.3% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.8% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 1.6% | 1.6% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for AirJoule Technologies
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 122.33 |
| Mkt Cap | 7.2 |
| Rev LTM | 2,752 |
| Op Inc LTM | 445 |
| FCF LTM | 319 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 494 |
| CFO LTM | 465 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 693 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 2.5% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -2.0% |
| Rev Chg Q | 5.5% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.5% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 18.8% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 17.4% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 14.1% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 15.2% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 12.0% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 12.8% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 7.2 |
| P/S | 3.6 |
| P/EBIT | 15.4 |
| P/E | 26.2 |
| P/CFO | 12.1 |
| Total Yield | 4.4% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.8% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 4.8% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | 0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -0.0% |
| 3M Rtn | -1.5% |
| 6M Rtn | 2.1% |
| 12M Rtn | -4.5% |
| 3Y Rtn | 68.9% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -0.0% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -9.2% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -12.6% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -19.3% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 2.7% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 6302025 | 8142025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5132025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3252025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11132024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8232024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5202024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 3312023 | 8232024 | 10-Q/A 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 1102024 | S-4/A 12/31/2022 |
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