ReAlpha Tech (AIRE)
Market Price (12/17/2025): $0.4616 | Market Cap: $37.7 MilSector: Real Estate | Industry: Real Estate Services
ReAlpha Tech (AIRE)
Market Price (12/17/2025): $0.4616Market Cap: $37.7 MilSector: Real EstateIndustry: Real Estate Services
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 811% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -124% | Penny stockMkt Price is 0.4 |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -44% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -14 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -341% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, Smart Buildings & Proptech, and Crypto & Blockchain. Themes include Travel & Leisure Tech, Show more. | Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 15x | |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -267%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -274% | ||
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 425% | ||
| Key risksAIRE key risks include [1] severe financial distress, Show more. |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 811% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -44% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, Smart Buildings & Proptech, and Crypto & Blockchain. Themes include Travel & Leisure Tech, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -124% |
| Penny stockMkt Price is 0.4 |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -14 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -341% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 15x |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -267%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -274% |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 425% |
| Key risksAIRE key risks include [1] severe financial distress, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
AIRE Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
**1. Strong Q2 2025 Revenue Growth and Strategic Expansion**
ReAlpha Tech reported a substantial 1,909% year-over-year revenue increase to $1.3 million in Q2 2025. This growth was accompanied by geographic expansion into Texas and Utah markets, and the launch of an AI-powered Loan Officer Assistant, which likely contributed to investor optimism and an initial upward movement in the stock price.
**2. Acquisition-Led Growth Strategy**
The company pursued an acquisition-led growth strategy, notably acquiring Prevu in November 2025 to expand its multi-state footprint and integrated realty and mortgage services. This strategy, also evidenced by earlier acquisitions like Hyperfast Title and AiChat in 2024, indicated a commitment to expanding its market presence and service offerings in the real estate technology sector.
**3. Nasdaq Minimum Bid Price Compliance Concerns**
In November 2025, ReAlpha received a 180-day extension from Nasdaq to regain compliance with the minimum bid price rule. This development, while providing a grace period, highlighted the ongoing challenge of maintaining Nasdaq listing standards due to the stock's low trading price, potentially exerting downward pressure on investor sentiment.
**4. Public Offering and Potential Dilution**
A public offering in July 2025 priced shares and warrants at $0.15 per share, aiming to raise approximately $2 million. This offering at a significantly low price, coupled with the issuance of warrants, likely raised concerns among investors about potential shareholder dilution and the company's valuation, contributing to price volatility.
**5. Widening Net Losses and Cash Position**
Despite impressive revenue growth, ReAlpha Tech experienced widening net losses, reporting a $4.1 million net loss in Q2 2025 and a $26.02 million net loss for FY2024. Additionally, its cash position significantly decreased. These financial challenges, including high cash burn, likely tempered investor enthusiasm and contributed to the stock's overall volatility and limited sustained upward momentum.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| AIRE Return | � | � | � | � | 45% | -84% | � |
| Peers Return | � | � | -73% | 94% | 19% | 146% | � |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| AIRE Win Rate | � | � | � | 0% | 33% | 25% | |
| Peers Win Rate | � | 48% | 32% | 52% | 45% | 48% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| AIRE Max Drawdown | � | � | � | � | -70% | -95% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | � | � | -76% | -13% | -38% | -30% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: COMP, OPEN, EXPI, REAX, HOUS.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
AIRE has limited trading history. Below is the Real Estate sector ETF (XLRE) in its place.
| Event | XLRE | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -37.9% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 61.0% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -39.3% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 64.7% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 393 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -13.5% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 15.7% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 43 days | 120 days |
Compare to
In The Past
Real Estate Select Sector SPDR Fund (The)'s stock fell -37.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/31/2021. A -37.9% loss requires a 61.0% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to AIRE. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | MPW | Medical Properties Trust | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | -3.6% | -3.6% | -5.8% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | MPW | Medical Properties Trust | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | -3.6% | -3.6% | -5.8% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for ReAlpha Tech
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 8.04 |
| Mkt Cap | 1.6 |
| Rev LTM | 4,699 |
| Op Inc LTM | -14 |
| FCF LTM | 87 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 37 |
| CFO LTM | 94 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 67 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 14.8% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -0.1% |
| Rev Chg Q | 15.3% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 3.7% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -0.6% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -2.9% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 2.8% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 2.6% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 2.6% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 1.9% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 1.6 |
| P/S | 0.6 |
| P/EBIT | -80.5 |
| P/E | -49.6 |
| P/CFO | 13.6 |
| Total Yield | -3.3% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 6.2% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | 0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 2.2% |
| 3M Rtn | -17.2% |
| 6M Rtn | 49.4% |
| 12M Rtn | 19.1% |
| 3Y Rtn | 226.5% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 1.4% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -19.6% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 36.8% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 6.3% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 144.5% |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/12/2025 | 2.7% | -18.4% | -11.7% |
| 8/14/2025 | 1.7% | -5.3% | 304.6% |
| 5/16/2025 | -17.3% | -24.3% | -38.4% |
| 2/21/2025 | -9.8% | -21.7% | -31.0% |
| 11/12/2024 | 6.0% | -2.0% | 16.0% |
| 8/15/2024 | -3.5% | 2.7% | 9.7% |
| 3/12/2024 | -10.6% | -23.5% | -35.8% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| # Negative | 4 | 6 | 4 |
| Median Positive | 2.7% | 2.7% | 16.0% |
| Median Negative | -10.2% | -20.0% | -33.4% |
| Max Positive | 6.0% | 2.7% | 304.6% |
| Max Negative | -17.3% | -24.3% | -38.4% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11122025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8142025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5162025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 4022025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11122024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8142024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 4192024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 3122024 | 10-KT 12/31/2023 |
| 10312023 | 12182023 | 10-Q 10/31/2023 |
| 7312023 | 9122023 | S-11/A 7/31/2023 |
| 4302023 | 8082023 | S-11 4/30/2023 |
| 1312023 | 5262023 | S-1/A 1/31/2023 |
| 4302022 | 4182023 | S-1 4/30/2022 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |