Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -107%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -146%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -17 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -4.5%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Advanced Manufacturing. Themes include Additive Manufacturing Services, Rapid Prototyping, and On-Demand Production.
  Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 54%
2   Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -1.0%
3   Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.2%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.0%
4   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -73%
5   High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 118%
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Advanced Manufacturing. Themes include Additive Manufacturing Services, Rapid Prototyping, and On-Demand Production.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -107%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -146%
3 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -17 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -4.5%
4 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 54%
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -1.0%
6 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.2%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.0%
7 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -73%
8 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 118%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

FTHM Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points highlighting why Fathom (FTHM) stock moved by -38.2% in the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025:

1. Public Offering in September 2025: Fathom Holdings completed an underwritten public offering on September 22, 2025, issuing 3,000,000 shares of common stock at $2.00 per share and receiving net proceeds of approximately $5.4 million. This offering likely contributed to stock dilution and could have been perceived negatively by the market, putting downward pressure on the share price.

2. Q3 2025 Earnings Per Share Miss: On November 11, 2025, Fathom Holdings reported its third-quarter 2025 results, revealing a GAAP net loss of $4.4 million, or $0.15 per share. While revenue increased significantly by 37.7% year-over-year, the reported loss per share was higher than the anticipated -$0.03, indicating a significant earnings miss that likely concerned investors.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
FTHM Return--43%-79%-16%-57%-23%-97%
Peers Return4%10%-39%72%-13%74%80%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
FTHM Win Rate80%25%25%50%42%30% 
Peers Win Rate50%48%40%52%38%25% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
FTHM Max Drawdown--51%-81%-48%-61%-54% 
Peers Max Drawdown-29%-21%-47%-10%-23%-32% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: OPEN, MAYS, GBR, GYRO, CLBZ.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventFTHMS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-95.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven2343.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-26.8%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven36.6%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven20 days148 days

Compare to OPEN, MAYS, GBR, GYRO, CLBZ


In The Past

Fathom's stock fell -95.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/12/2021. A -95.9% loss requires a 2343.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Fathom (FTHM)

Better Bets than Fathom (FTHM)

Latest Trefis Analyses

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Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to FTHM. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
MPW_10312025_Short_Squeeze10312025MPWMedical Properties TrustSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
8.5%8.5%-5.8%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
MPW_10312025_Short_Squeeze10312025MPWMedical Properties TrustSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
8.5%8.5%-5.8%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Fathom

Peers to compare with:

Financials

FTHMOPENMAYSGBRGYROCLBZMedian
NameFathom Opendoor.J. W. Ma.New Conc.Gyrodyne Collab Z  
Mkt Price1.236.9438.500.769.50-6.94
Mkt Cap0.05.10.10.00.0-0.0
Rev LTM3904,7192205214
Op Inc LTM-17-204-0-0-30-1
FCF LTM-168870-0-210
FCF 3Y Avg-141,3490049-0
CFO LTM-128993-0-210
CFO 3Y Avg-111,3742049-2

Growth & Margins

FTHMOPENMAYSGBRGYROCLBZMedian
NameFathom Opendoor.J. W. Ma.New Conc.Gyrodyne Collab Z  
Rev Chg LTM19.2%-4.5%4.1%4.1%-1.2%-4.1%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-1.0%-31.7%1.7%5.8%2.1%-1.7%
Rev Chg Q36.1%-33.6%3.0%8.1%-1.8%-72.9%0.6%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM9.0%-8.9%0.7%2.0%-0.2%-14.4%0.3%
Op Mgn LTM-4.5%-4.3%-0.7%-166.9%-50.0%18.1%-4.4%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-6.1%-5.4%-0.9%-141.8%-153.7%--6.1%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.8%-0.4%-0.2%-1.3%2.6%-28.2%-0.3%
CFO/Rev LTM-3.2%19.1%11.2%-26.5%-43.8%44.8%4.0%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-3.1%15.2%9.2%0.0%1,138.1%-9.2%
FCF/Rev LTM-4.0%18.8%0.6%-26.5%-43.8%42.3%-1.7%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-3.8%14.8%0.3%0.0%1,136.7%-0.3%

Valuation

FTHMOPENMAYSGBRGYROCLBZMedian
NameFathom Opendoor.J. W. Ma.New Conc.Gyrodyne Collab Z  
Mkt Cap0.05.10.10.00.0-0.0
P/S0.11.33.438.20.2-1.3
P/EBIT-1.4-32.7-600.8-22.9-0.5--22.9
P/E-1.4-18.7-562.2-94.623.9--18.7
P/CFO-2.86.630.4-144.3-0.5--0.5
Total Yield-69.2%-5.4%-0.2%-1.1%4.2%--1.1%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%-0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-31.3%60.3%0.1%0.1%3,141.7%-0.1%
D/E0.70.30.40.014.6-0.4
Net D/E0.50.10.3-0.13.6-0.3

Returns

FTHMOPENMAYSGBRGYROCLBZMedian
NameFathom Opendoor.J. W. Ma.New Conc.Gyrodyne Collab Z  
1M Rtn-11.5%-8.6%0.7%-17.0%-5.1%--8.6%
3M Rtn-37.9%35.3%1.3%-21.8%-6.9%--6.9%
6M Rtn-3.9%1,005.8%3.1%-22.8%15.0%-3.1%
12M Rtn-42.3%221.3%-8.3%-34.4%1.7%--8.3%
3Y Rtn-75.9%305.8%-20.7%-41.9%7.8%--20.7%
1M Excs Rtn-11.5%-8.5%0.8%-17.0%-5.0%--8.5%
3M Excs Rtn-38.9%11.1%-4.0%-28.7%-12.5%--12.5%
6M Excs Rtn-18.6%991.1%-11.6%-37.6%0.3%--11.6%
12M Excs Rtn-50.8%183.0%-21.9%-50.1%-17.8%--21.9%
3Y Excs Rtn-145.9%208.5%-93.3%-117.7%-66.1%--93.3%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Real Estate Brokerage325391314  
Corporate and other services9107  
Mortgage7107  
Technology332  
Single Segment   177111
Total345413330177111


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Real Estate Brokerage620  
Other non-cash items and transaction costs-0-0-1  
Technology-2-1-1  
Mortgage-2-3-1  
Depreciation and amortization-6-5-3  
Corporate and other services-6-10-7  
Stock based compensation-13-9-4  
Total-23-27-16  


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity334,828
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-23.2%
Average Daily Volume260,197
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.29
Basic Shares Quantity27,487,816
Short % of Basic Shares1.2%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025812202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025513202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024328202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241112202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024813202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024513202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023319202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231109202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023810202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023511202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022330202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221108202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022809202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022509202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021309202210-K 12/31/2021
93020211110202110-Q 9/30/2021