Fathom (FTHM)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $1.21 | Market Cap: $33.3 MilSector: Real Estate | Industry: Real Estate Services
Fathom (FTHM)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $1.21Market Cap: $33.3 MilSector: Real EstateIndustry: Real Estate Services
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -107%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -146% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -17 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -4.5% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Advanced Manufacturing. Themes include Additive Manufacturing Services, Rapid Prototyping, and On-Demand Production. | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 54% | |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -1.0% | ||
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.2%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.0% | ||
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -73% | ||
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 118% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Advanced Manufacturing. Themes include Additive Manufacturing Services, Rapid Prototyping, and On-Demand Production. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -107%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -146% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -17 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -4.5% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 54% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -1.0% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.2%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.0% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -73% |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 118% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
FTHM Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are five key points highlighting why Fathom (FTHM) stock moved by -38.2% in the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025:
1. Public Offering in September 2025: Fathom Holdings completed an underwritten public offering on September 22, 2025, issuing 3,000,000 shares of common stock at $2.00 per share and receiving net proceeds of approximately $5.4 million. This offering likely contributed to stock dilution and could have been perceived negatively by the market, putting downward pressure on the share price.
2. Q3 2025 Earnings Per Share Miss: On November 11, 2025, Fathom Holdings reported its third-quarter 2025 results, revealing a GAAP net loss of $4.4 million, or $0.15 per share. While revenue increased significantly by 37.7% year-over-year, the reported loss per share was higher than the anticipated -$0.03, indicating a significant earnings miss that likely concerned investors.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| FTHM Return | - | -43% | -79% | -16% | -57% | -23% | -97% |
| Peers Return | 4% | 10% | -39% | 72% | -13% | 74% | 80% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| FTHM Win Rate | 80% | 25% | 25% | 50% | 42% | 30% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 50% | 48% | 40% | 52% | 38% | 25% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| FTHM Max Drawdown | - | -51% | -81% | -48% | -61% | -54% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -29% | -21% | -47% | -10% | -23% | -32% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: OPEN, MAYS, GBR, GYRO, CLBZ.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | FTHM | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -95.9% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 2343.7% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -26.8% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 36.6% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 20 days | 148 days |
Compare to OPEN, MAYS, GBR, GYRO, CLBZ
In The Past
Fathom's stock fell -95.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/12/2021. A -95.9% loss requires a 2343.7% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to FTHM. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | MPW | Medical Properties Trust | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | 8.5% | 8.5% | -5.8% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | MPW | Medical Properties Trust | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | 8.5% | 8.5% | -5.8% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Fathom
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 6.94 |
| Mkt Cap | 0.0 |
| Rev LTM | 14 |
| Op Inc LTM | -1 |
| FCF LTM | 0 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 0 |
| CFO LTM | 0 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 2 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 4.1% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 1.7% |
| Rev Chg Q | 0.6% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 0.3% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -4.4% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -6.1% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.3% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 4.0% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 9.2% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -1.7% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 0.3% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 0.0 |
| P/S | 1.3 |
| P/EBIT | -22.9 |
| P/E | -18.7 |
| P/CFO | -0.5 |
| Total Yield | -1.1% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 0.1% |
| D/E | 0.4 |
| Net D/E | 0.3 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -8.6% |
| 3M Rtn | -6.9% |
| 6M Rtn | 3.1% |
| 12M Rtn | -8.3% |
| 3Y Rtn | -20.7% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -8.5% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -12.5% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -11.6% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -21.9% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -93.3% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Estate Brokerage | 325 | 391 | 314 | ||
| Corporate and other services | 9 | 10 | 7 | ||
| Mortgage | 7 | 10 | 7 | ||
| Technology | 3 | 3 | 2 | ||
| Single Segment | 177 | 111 | |||
| Total | 345 | 413 | 330 | 177 | 111 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Estate Brokerage | 6 | 2 | 0 | ||
| Other non-cash items and transaction costs | -0 | -0 | -1 | ||
| Technology | -2 | -1 | -1 | ||
| Mortgage | -2 | -3 | -1 | ||
| Depreciation and amortization | -6 | -5 | -3 | ||
| Corporate and other services | -6 | -10 | -7 | ||
| Stock based compensation | -13 | -9 | -4 | ||
| Total | -23 | -27 | -16 |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 6302025 | 8122025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5132025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3282025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11122024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8132024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5132024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 3192024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11092023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8102023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5112023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3302023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11082022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8092022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5092022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3092022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
| 9302021 | 11102021 | 10-Q 9/30/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |