Agilon Health (AGL)


Market Price (9/24/2026): $84.72 | Market Cap: $1.4 BilSector: Health Care | Industry: Health Care Facilities

Agilon Health (AGL)


Market Price (9/24/2026): $84.72
Market Cap: $1.4 Bil
Sector: Health Care
Industry: Health Care Facilities

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -11%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Aging Population & Chronic Disease, and Digital Health & Telemedicine. Themes include Geriatric Care, Health Data Analytics, Show more.

Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -52%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -155%

Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -273 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -4.6%

Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 692%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 205%

Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.2%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.8%

Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 958%

Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -21%

High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 168%

Key risks
AGL key risks include [1] an inability to accurately forecast and manage medical costs, Show more.

0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -11%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Aging Population & Chronic Disease, and Digital Health & Telemedicine. Themes include Geriatric Care, Health Data Analytics, Show more.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -52%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -155%
3 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -273 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -4.6%
4 Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 692%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 205%
5 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.2%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.8%
6 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 958%
7 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -21%
8 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 168%
9 Key risks
AGL key risks include [1] an inability to accurately forecast and manage medical costs, Show more.

AGL in ETFs

Weight = AGL's share of each fund

VTI0.00%
ITOT0.00%
IWM0.04%
FNDA0.20%
IHF0.14%
IWO0.07%
VTWO0.03%
SCHA0.02%
+3 more covered ETFs

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Updated on 9/21/2026

Agilon Health (AGL) stock has lost about 10% since 5/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Profit-taking after significant year-to-date rally and "sell the news" reaction to strong fiscal Q2 2026 earnings. Agilon Health experienced a massive year-to-date gain of 450-460% before July 2026, which likely led to profit-taking by investors. Despite reporting strong fiscal Q2 2026 results on August 5, 2026, where adjusted EPS of $1.04 beat analyst estimates of $0.14 by 642.86% and revenue increased 7% year-over-year to $1.49 billion, the stock saw a significant intraday drop of 19.49%. This suggests a "buy the rumor, sell the news" event, where the positive news was already priced into the stock following its substantial run-up.

2. Concerns over declining membership despite strategic focus on profitability. While Agilon Health's strategy to prune unprofitable contracts and prioritize profitability led to improved financial guidance and a swing to positive medical margin and Adjusted EBITDA in fiscal Q2 2026, it also resulted in a 10% year-over-year decrease in total members to 549,000 as of June 30, 2026. This decline in membership, though a strategic move, may have raised long-term growth concerns for some investors, tempering enthusiasm despite the improved financial metrics.

Show more
Updated on 9/21/2026

Agilon Health (AGL) stock has lost about 10% since 5/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Profit-taking after significant year-to-date rally and "sell the news" reaction to strong fiscal Q2 2026 earnings. Agilon Health experienced a massive year-to-date gain of 450-460% before July 2026, which likely led to profit-taking by investors. Despite reporting strong fiscal Q2 2026 results on August 5, 2026, where adjusted EPS of $1.04 beat analyst estimates of $0.14 by 642.86% and revenue increased 7% year-over-year to $1.49 billion, the stock saw a significant intraday drop of 19.49%. This suggests a "buy the rumor, sell the news" event, where the positive news was already priced into the stock following its substantial run-up.

2. Concerns over declining membership despite strategic focus on profitability. While Agilon Health's strategy to prune unprofitable contracts and prioritize profitability led to improved financial guidance and a swing to positive medical margin and Adjusted EBITDA in fiscal Q2 2026, it also resulted in a 10% year-over-year decrease in total members to 549,000 as of June 30, 2026. This decline in membership, though a strategic move, may have raised long-term growth concerns for some investors, tempering enthusiasm despite the improved financial metrics.

3. Broader macroeconomic headwinds impacting growth stocks. A general "risk-off" sentiment in the broader market in late August contributed to Agilon Health's stock pullback. This period saw rising oil prices tied to renewed U.S.-Iran hostilities, a spike in the 10-year Treasury yield above 4.75%, and hawkish Federal Reserve commentary. These macroeconomic factors collectively pressured growth and high-multiple equities, including healthcare peers, impacting AGL's valuation.

4. Analyst re-evaluation and valuation concerns post-peak. Following its rally to a 52-week high of $129.84 in July 2026, the stock's valuation came under scrutiny. Despite subsequent positive analyst actions, such as Bernstein SocGen Group upgrading the stock to Outperform with a raised price target of $125 on September 15, 2026, the significant gains leading up to July likely prompted some investors to reassess Agilon Health's fair value. This re-evaluation contributed to a correction from its peak levels, leading to the net loss observed over the specified period.

Show less
Holding a concentrated position? Know your true downside before the momentum shifts.
Protect Your Wealth →

Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The -8.4% change in AGL stock from 5/31/2026 to 9/23/2026 was primarily driven by a -9.3% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)53120269232026Change
Stock Price ($)92.2884.56-8.4%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)5,8205,9201.7%
P/S Multiple0.30.2-9.3%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1717-0.6%
Cumulative Contribution-8.4%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

5/31/2026 to 9/23/2026
ReturnCorrelation
AGL-8.4% 
Market (SPY)1.8%20.3%
Sector (XLV)13.4%18.9%

Fundamental Drivers

The 474.0% change in AGL stock from 2/28/2026 to 9/23/2026 was primarily driven by a 479.4% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)22820269232026Change
Stock Price ($)14.7384.56474.0%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)5,9335,920-0.2%
P/S Multiple0.00.2479.4%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1717-0.7%
Cumulative Contribution474.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

2/28/2026 to 9/23/2026
ReturnCorrelation
AGL474.0% 
Market (SPY)12.5%14.7%
Sector (XLV)6.3%8.4%

Fundamental Drivers

The 164.3% change in AGL stock from 8/31/2025 to 9/23/2026 was primarily driven by a 165.8% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)83120259232026Change
Stock Price ($)32.0084.56164.3%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)5,9015,9200.3%
P/S Multiple0.10.2165.8%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1717-0.9%
Cumulative Contribution164.2%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

8/31/2025 to 9/23/2026
ReturnCorrelation
AGL164.2% 
Market (SPY)20.3%18.1%
Sector (XLV)25.0%8.0%

Fundamental Drivers

The -80.9% change in AGL stock from 8/31/2023 to 9/23/2026 was primarily driven by a -89.5% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)83120239232026Change
Stock Price ($)443.0084.56-80.9%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)3,1885,92085.7%
P/S Multiple2.30.2-89.5%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1617-1.7%
Cumulative Contribution-80.9%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

8/31/2023 to 9/23/2026
ReturnCorrelation
AGL-80.9% 
Market (SPY)77.0%9.3%
Sector (XLV)33.2%11.6%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
AGL Return-13%-40%-22%-85%-64%404%-89%
Peers Return30%-24%-7%-24%8%37%3%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%13%107%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
AGL Win Rate44%50%58%33%33%44% 
Peers Win Rate45%53%48%35%52%40% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%56% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
AGL Max Drawdown--46%-63%-88%-91%-69% 
Peers Max Drawdown-44%-59%-47%-53%-50%-46% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: PRVA, ASTH, PIII, ALHC, INNV.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 9/23/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventAGLS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-41.2%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven70.0%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven356 days79 days
2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind
  % Loss-16.1%-7.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven19.2%8.5%
  Time to Breakeven235 days18 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-45.9%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven84.9%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven418 days427 days

Compare to PRVA, ASTH, PIII, ALHC, INNV

In The Past

Agilon Health's stock fell -41.2% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 70.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventAGLS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-41.2%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven70.0%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven356 days79 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-45.9%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven84.9%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven418 days427 days

Compare to PRVA, ASTH, PIII, ALHC, INNV

In The Past

Agilon Health's stock fell -41.2% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 70.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Agilon Health (AGL)

Agilon Health (AGL) is a healthcare company that partners with primary care physicians to deliver comprehensive healthcare services specifically tailored for senior citizens across communities in the United States. The company's fundamental business model involves enabling local physician groups to transition to and thrive within value-based care frameworks, focusing on improving health outcomes and managing the total cost of care for their senior patient populations.

The core service offered by Agilon Health is a strategic partnership and operating platform designed to support these primary care practices. This platform helps physicians manage the health of their senior patients more proactively and holistically, moving beyond traditional fee-for-service models. Through this collaboration, Agilon Health provides the necessary infrastructure, technology, and support for doctors to deliver coordinated, preventive, and patient-centered care to the elderly.

Agilon Health's primary customers are senior members, predominantly those enrolled in Medicare. This includes a significant number of Medicare Advantage members, who receive their benefits through private insurance plans, as well as Medicare fee-for-service beneficiaries. As of December 31, 2021, the company served approximately 238,000 senior members across these segments, underscoring its focus on the rapidly growing market of senior healthcare.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are a few brief analogies for Agilon Health:

  • Like **Oak Street Health** for independent primary care doctors.
  • **VillageMD** for primary care doctors serving seniors.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Medicare Advantage Healthcare Services: Comprehensive healthcare management and coordination services for seniors enrolled in Medicare Advantage plans, delivered in partnership with local primary care physicians.
  • Medicare Fee-for-Service Healthcare Services: Healthcare management and coordination services for seniors covered under traditional Medicare (Fee-for-Service), provided in collaboration with primary care physicians.

AI Analysis | Feedback

```html

Agilon Health (AGL) primarily sells its healthcare services to individuals.

Its major customer categories are:

  • Medicare Advantage Members: Seniors enrolled in Medicare Advantage plans who receive healthcare services managed by Agilon Health's network of primary care physicians.
  • Medicare Fee-for-Service Beneficiaries: Seniors receiving healthcare services under traditional Medicare (fee-for-service) through Agilon Health's partnered primary care providers.
```

AI Analysis | Feedback

null

AI Analysis | Feedback

Ron Williams, Executive Chairman

Ron Williams is a co-founder of agilon health and has served as a director and chairman of the board since 2017. He currently holds the position of Executive Chairman, leading an interim "Office of the Chairman" that assumed the responsibilities of the CEO in August 2025 while the Board searches for a permanent CEO. Mr. Williams brings extensive leadership experience from the healthcare industry, including his tenure as Chairman and CEO of Aetna. He is also Chairman and CEO of RW2 Enterprises, an operating advisor to the private equity firm Clayton Dubilier & Rice (CD&R), and chairman of apree health. Agilon Health's early development and ownership were significantly influenced by CD&R, and Mr. Williams' role as an operating advisor to CD&R suggests a pattern of involvement with private equity-backed companies.

Jeff Schwaneke, Chief Financial Officer

Jeff Schwaneke was appointed Chief Financial Officer of agilon health, effective July 1, 2024. He possesses over 27 years of finance and operational expertise, with 15 years in the managed care sector. Prior to joining agilon health, Mr. Schwaneke spent 13 years at Centene Corporation, where he served as Executive Vice President, Health Care Enterprises, overseeing the pharmacy business, including Medicare Part D, dental and vision companies, and company-owned clinics. At Centene, he also held positions as Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer, and Corporate Controller and Chief Accounting Officer. During his time at Centene, he was instrumental in the company's growth, which included raising capital, leading acquisitions, and integrating newly acquired companies, and saw revenues grow from $20 billion to $125 billion.

Ben Shaker, Chief Markets Officer

Ben Shaker serves as the Chief Markets Officer at agilon health, overseeing physician partnerships across more than 30 communities throughout the United States. He joined agilon health in January 2017 as Ohio Market President and was appointed Chief Markets Officer in September 2020. Before his time at agilon health, Mr. Shaker was Vice President and Chief Operating Officer for Mount Carmel Health Partners, a clinically integrated network within Trinity Health.

Heidi Hittner, Chief Business Operations Officer

Heidi Hittner is the Chief Business Operations Officer at agilon health. Previously, she served as the company's Chief Experience Officer, where she was responsible for initiatives aimed at improving medical quality, managing costs, and driving organic growth. Before joining agilon health, Ms. Hittner held senior leadership roles at Fresenius Medical Care North America, where she advanced value-based care strategies, and at Concentra, where she led national operations.

Veeral Desai, Chief Strategy & Development Officer

Veeral Desai is a co-founder of agilon health, which was established in 2016. He has served as the Chief Strategy & Development Officer since September 2020. Mr. Desai joined agilon health in April 2017 as President of Enterprise Operations. His prior experience includes several senior executive roles at Vantage Oncology, most notably as President of Operations and Chief Operating Officer for Vantage Cancer Care Network. He also worked as a consultant at Bain & Company.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The key risks to Agilon Health (AGL) primarily revolve around its ability to manage healthcare costs and navigate the complex regulatory environment of value-based care for seniors.

  1. Elevated Medical Cost Trends and Limited Visibility: Agilon Health consistently faces challenges with higher-than-expected medical expenses, particularly from inpatient stays, specialist visits, and Part B drugs, which negatively impact its medical margins and adjusted EBITDA. The company has also reported limited claims visibility, making it difficult to accurately predict future medical costs and leading to conservative reserving. For example, in Q4 2025, the company recorded a medical cost trend assumption of 7.4%, contributing to a full-year 2025 cost trend of approximately 6.5%, and it projects a gross trend of 7.5% for 2026.
  2. Regulatory Uncertainty and Risk Adjustment Headwinds: Changes in healthcare regulations, particularly those from the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) regarding Medicare Advantage advanced rate notices and risk adjustment factors, pose significant financial risks. Lower-than-expected risk adjustment revenue has directly impacted the company's financial performance, contributing to financial uncertainty. Management has voiced concern over potential lower-than-expected 2027 rate increases and new normalization factors that could cloud risk-adjustment revenue.
  3. Profitability Challenges and Execution Risk in Turnaround Strategy: Agilon Health has consistently reported net losses and negative adjusted EBITDA, indicating ongoing profitability hurdles. While the company has embarked on a strategic repositioning, including exiting unprofitable contracts and markets to focus on achieving breakeven adjusted EBITDA by 2026 and cash flow breakeven by 2027, there are significant execution risks associated with delivering these ambitious targets. Achieving these improvements hinges on favorable outcomes across multiple variables, including risk adjustment accuracy, quality performance, and medical cost trend management.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The accelerating trend of major health insurance payers (e.g., UnitedHealth Group, Humana, CVS Health/Aetna) vertically integrating by acquiring and developing their own extensive primary care clinic networks, particularly those focused on senior populations and value-based care. This strategy could reduce the pool of independent primary care physicians and health systems available for Agilon Health to partner with, and directly competes with Agilon Health's role in enabling these practices to succeed in value-based care. The direct ownership of primary care assets by payers may lead them to internalize functions currently offered by Agilon Health, potentially disintermediating its business model.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Agilon Health (AGL) focuses on providing healthcare services for seniors through primary care physicians in the United States, primarily through Medicare Advantage (MA) and traditional Medicare (fee-for-service) models. The addressable markets for their main products and services in the U.S. are substantial.

Medicare Advantage (MA)

As of March 1, 2025, approximately 34.6 million beneficiaries were enrolled in Medicare Advantage plans in the United States. This represents 51.5% of the 68.1 million people eligible for Medicare.

The global Medicare Advantage market size was estimated at USD 445.97 billion in 2025, with projections to expand to USD 1,060.04 billion by 2034.

Traditional Medicare (Fee-for-Service)

The total U.S. Medicare market, which includes both Medicare Advantage and traditional Medicare fee-for-service beneficiaries, comprised an estimated 62 million U.S. residents in 2023. This number is projected to grow to 78 million by 2033. As of 2025, about 62.8 million people were enrolled in Medicare Parts A and B.

In 2024, the total Medicare program saw an increase of 1.5 million new beneficiaries, with traditional Medicare enrollment growing by about 200,000 beneficiaries.

Agilon Health also extends its value-based care approach to traditional Medicare fee-for-service beneficiaries through its participation in the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services' ACO REACH Model.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Agilon Health (AGL) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key initiatives and market dynamics:

  1. Growth in Medicare Advantage (MA) Membership: Agilon Health consistently targets expansion in its Medicare Advantage member base. This growth is anticipated from both new market entry and increased penetration within existing geographies. For instance, in Q1 2024, MA membership increased by 43% year-over-year. The "Class of 2025" is projected to add over 60,000 Medicare Advantage members across five physician groups and more than 30 communities. For fiscal year 2026, the company expects total members live on its platform to be between 525,000 and 540,000.
  2. Expansion into New Markets and Deepening Existing Relationships: The company's growth strategy includes extending its network reach into new states and strengthening its presence in current markets to enhance member acquisition and retention. The ongoing addition of new "classes" of markets, such as the Class of 2024, has been a primary driver of year-over-year revenue growth.
  3. Improved Contract Economics and Payer Relations: Agilon Health is focused on disciplined contracting and achieving more favorable economic terms with payers. The company anticipates an incremental benefit of $125 million from contracting improvements by 2026, partly through higher incentives tied to quality performance.
  4. Enhancement of Clinical Pathways and Data-Driven Programs: The company is investing in advancing its clinical pathways and quality programs, as well as leveraging technology for population health management. The "Burden of Illness" program, supported by improved data platforms and AI algorithms, is expected to enhance medical margins and contribute an estimated $22 million in benefits in 2026. Clinical pathways for conditions like heart failure, COPD, and dementia are being expanded across a significant portion of their markets to improve patient outcomes and manage costs effectively.
  5. Strategic Exits of Unprofitable Payer Contracts: While potentially leading to short-term membership adjustments, Agilon Health is strategically exiting unprofitable payer contracts and markets. This disciplined approach aims to optimize financial performance and focus resources on sustainable, higher-quality revenue streams, ultimately strengthening the company's overall profitability and long-term growth trajectory.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Share Repurchases

  • Agilon Health announced its intention to repurchase approximately $200 million of common stock from underwriters in May 2023, contingent on the completion of a secondary offering by a selling stockholder.

Share Issuance

  • Agilon Health completed an Initial Public Offering (IPO) in April 2021, raising approximately $1.2 billion and transitioning the company from private equity backing to broad institutional ownership.
  • In May 2023, a secondary public offering involved the sale of 70,000,000 shares of common stock by CD&R Vector Holdings, L.P., a selling stockholder.
  • The number of common shares outstanding was 414.73 million as of December 31, 2025.

Inbound Investments

  • Agilon Health's initial capital primarily came from a significant investment by the private equity firm Clayton, Dubilier & Rice (CD&R) at its founding in 2016.
  • Capital International Investors increased its stake in Agilon Health on December 31, 2024, acquiring an additional 9,346,295 shares at $1.90 per share, bringing its total holdings to 22,331,873 shares.
  • Various institutional investors, including CenterBook Partners LP, Connor Clark & Lunn Investment Management Ltd., Geode Capital Management LLC, SG Americas Securities LLC, and XTX Topco Ltd., notably increased their holdings in Agilon Health during 2024 and Q3 2025.

Outbound Investments

  • In March 2023, Agilon Health acquired mphrX, a healthcare technology company, for $45 million to enhance its enterprise technology platform, aiming for faster partner onboarding and clinical data integration.
  • Agilon Health sold its wholly-owned subsidiary, MDX Hawaii, to a private buyer in November 2023, to concentrate on its full-risk partnership model in core continental U.S. markets.

Capital Expenditures

  • Agilon Health reported capital expenditures of $3.0 million in the fourth quarter of 2025.
  • The trailing twelve months (TTM) capital expenditures were -$13.24 million as of December 31, 2025.
  • Annual capital expenditures were $2.89 million in 2023 and $6.56 million in 2024.

Better Bets vs. Agilon Health (AGL)

Peer Outperformance in Health Care Facilities

AGL has trailed 91% of its 23 Health Care Facilities peers over 5Y. Health Care Facilities ranks 4th of 10 industries in Health Care by median 5Y return.
Share of Health Care Facilities constituents that AGL has outperformed, by holding period. Peers without a full price history over a given window are excluded from that window.
1Y
97%
of 30 industry peers · 204.7% return
3Y
8%
of 25 industry peers · -81.6% return
5Y
9%
of 23 industry peers · -88.0% return
No Health Care Facilities peer with a comparable growth profile has beaten AGL by more than 20pp over 5Y.
Median price return by industry across the Health Care sector, ranked by 5Y. Health Care Facilities is AGL's own industry. Use this to see which corners of the sector have carried the returns.
Industry Names 1Y med3Y med5Y med Top 3 by 5Y
Health Care Distributors 6 11.6%44.3%89.1% CAH 382% · MCK 344% · COR 169%
Managed Health Care 8 33.1%-7.9%-0.7% OSCR 80% · HQY 37% · ELV 12%
Health Care Services 20 18.1%34.7%-2.4% HIMS 250% · RDNT 151% · DGX 68%
Health Care Facilities ← 24 5.4%11.5%-4.7% NHC 271% · THC 259% · ENSG 135%
Health Care Equipment 50 -1.9%-1.3%-20.7% POCI 11788% · UFPT 362% · GKOS 203%
Health Care Supplies 12 20.3%-6.4%-38.9% LNTH 271% · HAE 54% · MMSI 20%
Pharmaceuticals 63 -9.2%9.6%-40.4% LQDA 2252% · INDV 1097% · ETON 1010%
Life Sciences Tools & Services 113 4.7%-9.1%-68.4% SNWV 1820% · NTRA 231% · MEDP 211%
Health Care Technology 21 -26.8%-50.0%-78.6% SPOK 71% · HSTM 1% · VEEV -10%
Biotechnology 378 -4.0%-21.9%-79.0% CELZ 1291% · DNTH 1151% · ELVN 997%
Median of constituents with a full price history over each window. Top names are unfiltered by size in this render.

Latest Trefis Analyses

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

AGLPRVAASTHPIIIALHCINNVMedian
NameAgilon H.Privia H.Astrana .P3 Healt.Alignmen.InnovAge  
Mkt Price84.5619.1034.347.097.869.0014.05
Mkt Cap1.42.41.70.01.6-1.6
Rev LTM5,9202,3583,8441,5034,577-3,844
Op Inc LTM-27345100-14955-45
FCF LTM-10613194-131178-94
FCF 3Y Avg-12810488-105-0--0
CFO LTM-72131108-131206-108
CFO 3Y Avg-90104101-10535-35

Growth & Margins

AGLPRVAASTHPIIIALHCINNVMedian
NameAgilon H.Privia H.Astrana .P3 Healt.Alignmen.InnovAge  
Rev Chg LTM0.3%24.1%58.9%2.8%37.2%-24.1%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg25.9%16.2%44.5%10.1%41.4%-25.9%
Rev Chg Q7.2%21.4%48.5%8.6%31.6%-21.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.7%5.0%9.0%2.1%7.5%-5.0%
Op Inc Chg LTM27.4%128.8%43.4%52.0%322.6%-52.0%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg-49.1%64.8%0.6%-4.0%137.0%-0.6%
Op Mgn LTM-4.6%1.9%2.6%-9.9%1.2%-1.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-5.3%1.2%3.8%-14.5%-1.8%--1.8%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM2.3%0.3%0.2%5.3%0.4%-0.4%
CFO/Rev LTM-1.2%5.6%2.8%-8.7%4.5%-2.8%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-1.6%5.2%4.1%-7.1%-0.3%--0.3%
FCF/Rev LTM-1.8%5.6%2.5%-8.7%3.9%-2.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-2.3%5.2%3.5%-7.1%-1.5%--1.5%

Valuation

AGLPRVAASTHPIIIALHCINNVMedian
NameAgilon H.Privia H.Astrana .P3 Healt.Alignmen.InnovAge  
Mkt Cap1.42.41.70.01.6-1.6
P/S0.21.00.40.00.4-0.4
P/Op Inc-5.253.716.8-0.229.6-16.8
P/EBIT-5.853.713.2-0.129.6-13.2
P/E-6.185.741.6-0.240.1-40.1
P/CFO-19.518.415.6-0.27.9-7.9
Total Yield-16.4%1.2%2.5%-413.0%2.5%-1.2%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.1%0.0%0.0%-0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-7.5%3.8%5.5%-1,796.8%-3.1%--3.1%
D/E0.00.00.65.50.2-0.2
Net D/E-0.1-0.20.34.6-0.2--0.1

Returns

AGLPRVAASTHPIIIALHCINNVMedian
NameAgilon H.Privia H.Astrana .P3 Healt.Alignmen.InnovAge  
1M Rtn-9.8%-9.1%-9.9%-29.3%-41.5%-18.3%-14.1%
3M Rtn-20.9%-22.1%-18.8%-36.4%-63.8%-6.9%-21.5%
6M Rtn691.8%-7.0%40.3%128.0%-55.3%10.7%25.5%
12M Rtn204.7%-18.7%24.2%-20.7%-53.9%87.1%2.8%
3Y Rtn-81.6%-11.7%14.7%-90.7%19.1%33.5%1.5%
1M Excs Rtn-10.5%-9.8%-10.6%-30.0%-42.2%-19.0%-14.8%
3M Excs Rtn-25.7%-26.8%-23.5%-41.1%-68.5%-11.7%-26.2%
6M Excs Rtn656.5%-26.7%25.4%121.2%-72.4%-3.2%11.1%
12M Excs Rtn184.2%-31.7%11.7%-30.2%-69.1%66.7%-9.3%
3Y Excs Rtn-154.8%-92.1%-64.8%-164.6%-47.3%-45.4%-78.5%

Comparison Analyses

null

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Medical services revenue5,9216,0484,3072,3851,518
Other operating revenue1113933
Total5,9336,0614,3162,3881,521


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$84.56 
Market Cap ($ Bil)1.4 
First Trading Date04/15/2021 
Distance from 52W High-34.9% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$96.38$55.99
DMA Trendupdown
Distance from DMA-12.3%51.0%
 3M1YR
Volatility85.0%168.1%
Downside Capture207.07261.96
Upside Capture45.32348.03
Correlation (SPY)10.9%18.8%
AGL Betas & Captures as of 8/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta2.482.651.752.362.490.78
Up Beta0.761.271.89-0.111.110.23
Down Beta0.703.240.803.942.990.30
Up Capture307%214%220%1540%1277%102%
Bmk +ve Days10213268138427
Stock +ve Days9192963114347
Down Capture553%411%208%141%173%112%
Bmk -ve Days11213259113324
Stock -ve Days12233564135391

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with AGL
AGL200.6%167.8%1.28-
Sector ETF (XLV)25.2%16.1%1.208.4%
Equity (SPY)16.2%13.0%0.8818.7%
Gold (GLD)13.9%29.3%0.4413.4%
Commodities (DBC)46.6%20.7%1.75-1.2%
Real Estate (VNQ)4.5%13.7%0.0810.8%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-23.2%44.8%-0.4617.1%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with AGL
AGL-35.8%104.2%0.02-
Sector ETF (XLV)6.6%15.2%0.2516.7%
Equity (SPY)12.9%17.2%0.5716.3%
Gold (GLD)18.6%18.8%0.807.2%
Commodities (DBC)10.5%19.5%0.41-0.6%
Real Estate (VNQ)0.8%18.9%-0.0613.9%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)12.5%52.6%0.4114.5%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with AGL
AGL-19.9%101.0%0.03-
Sector ETF (XLV)10.8%16.7%0.5316.4%
Equity (SPY)15.5%17.9%0.7316.0%
Gold (GLD)12.1%16.4%0.606.9%
Commodities (DBC)8.5%18.1%0.38-0.1%
Real Estate (VNQ)4.9%20.7%0.2013.6%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)64.2%66.2%1.0413.6%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date8312026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity1.1 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 815202610.4%
Average Daily Volume0.2 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.6 days
Basic Shares Quantity16.7 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares6.5%

Earnings Returns History

Updated 9/8/2026
Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
8/5/2026-19.5%-20.0%-19.8%
5/6/2026117.8%158.6%247.8%
2/25/202618.9%39.7%-23.8%
11/4/20254.0%-14.6%-9.9%
8/4/2025-51.5%-52.4%-33.9%
5/6/2025-24.0%-39.5%-52.9%
2/25/2025-7.4%-12.7%24.5%
11/7/2024-34.1%-38.7%-19.7%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive1097
# Negative131416
Median Positive6.4%10.4%24.5%
Median Negative-10.3%-13.6%-19.5%
Max Positive117.8%158.6%247.8%
Max Negative-51.5%-52.4%-52.9%
Collapse to Preview
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
8/5/2026-19.5%-20.0%-19.8%
5/6/2026117.8%158.6%247.8%
2/25/202618.9%39.7%-23.8%
11/4/20254.0%-14.6%-9.9%
8/4/2025-51.5%-52.4%-33.9%
5/6/2025-24.0%-39.5%-52.9%
2/25/2025-7.4%-12.7%24.5%
11/7/2024-34.1%-38.7%-19.7%
8/6/2024-9.3%-10.3%-34.4%
5/7/20244.2%10.4%36.5%
2/27/2024-1.9%-7.7%-11.6%
1/5/2024-28.6%-34.3%-51.9%
11/2/2023-13.2%-30.9%-32.9%
8/3/20232.2%0.3%-6.6%
5/9/2023-3.9%-11.5%-19.3%
3/1/202316.0%15.9%10.8%
11/3/2022-10.3%-6.3%-8.2%
8/4/20220.3%0.9%-17.4%
5/5/2022-1.9%-5.6%8.6%
3/3/202213.7%15.0%35.5%
10/28/20211.4%3.9%-11.3%
8/4/2021-6.0%-12.4%-3.3%
5/26/20218.6%8.3%16.4%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive1097
# Negative131416
Median Positive6.4%10.4%24.5%
Median Negative-10.3%-13.6%-19.5%
Max Positive117.8%158.6%247.8%
Max Negative-51.5%-52.4%-52.9%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
06/30/202608/05/202610-Q
03/31/202605/06/202610-Q
12/31/202502/25/202610-K
09/30/202511/04/202510-Q
06/30/202508/04/202510-Q
03/31/202505/06/202510-Q
12/31/202402/25/202510-K
09/30/202411/07/202410-Q
06/30/202408/06/202410-Q
03/31/202405/07/202410-Q
12/31/202302/27/202410-K
09/30/202311/02/202310-Q
06/30/202308/03/202310-Q
03/31/202305/09/202310-Q
12/31/202203/01/202310-K
09/30/202211/03/202210-Q
Collapse to Preview
Report DateFiling DateFiling
06/30/202608/05/202610-Q
03/31/202605/06/202610-Q
12/31/202502/25/202610-K
09/30/202511/04/202510-Q
06/30/202508/04/202510-Q
03/31/202505/06/202510-Q
12/31/202402/25/202510-K
09/30/202411/07/202410-Q
06/30/202408/06/202410-Q
03/31/202405/07/202410-Q
12/31/202302/27/202410-K
09/30/202311/02/202310-Q
06/30/202308/03/202310-Q
03/31/202305/09/202310-Q
12/31/202203/01/202310-K
09/30/202211/03/202210-Q
06/30/202208/04/202210-Q
03/31/202205/05/202210-Q
12/31/202103/03/202210-K
09/30/202110/28/202110-Q
06/30/202108/04/202110-Q
03/31/202105/26/202110-Q
12/31/202004/16/2021424B4

Recent Forward Guidance

Updated 8/18/2026

Latest: Q2 2026 Earnings Reported 8/5/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricSourceLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q3 2026 Medicare Advantage MembersReported0.43 Mil0.44 Mil0.44 Mil   
Q3 2026 ACO REACH MembersReported0.11 Mil0.11 Mil0.11 Mil   
Q3 2026 Total Members Live on PlatformReported0.54 Mil0.55 Mil0.55 Mil   
Q3 2026 Avg. Medicare Advantage MembersReported0.45 Mil0.45 Mil0.46 Mil   
Q3 2026 Medical MarginReported1.05E10%1.1E10%1.15E10%-10.2% Lower NewActual: 1.225E10% for Q2 2026
Q3 2026 RevenueReported1.45 Bil1.46 Bil1.48 Bil0.3% Higher NewActual: 1.46 Bil for Q2 2026
Q3 2026 Adjusted EBITDAReported-5.00 Mil05.00 Mil-100.0% Lower NewActual: 20.00 Mil for Q2 2026
2026 Medicare Advantage MembersReported0.43 Mil0.44 Mil0.45 Mil   
2026 ACO REACH MembersReported0.10 Mil0.10 Mil0.10 Mil   
2026 Total Members Live on PlatformReported0.54 Mil0.54 Mil0.55 Mil   
2026 Avg. Medicare Advantage MembersReported0.44 Mil0.44 Mil0.44 Mil   
2026 Medical MarginReported4.65E10%4.85E10%5.05E10%29.3% RaisedGuidance: 3.75E10% for 2026
2026 RevenueReported5.78 Bil5.82 Bil5.86 Bil1.3% RaisedGuidance: 5.74 Bil for 2026
2026 Adjusted EBITDAReported75.00 Mil85.00 Mil95.00 Mil240.0% RaisedGuidance: 25.00 Mil for 2026


Prior: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 5/6/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricSourceLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q2 2026 Medical MarginReported1.15E10%1.225E10%1.3E10%   
Q2 2026 Total RevenuesReported1.44 Bil1.46 Bil1.48 Bil   
Q2 2026 Adjusted EBITDAReported15.00 Mil20.00 Mil25.00 Mil   
2026 Medical MarginReported3.5E10%3.75E10%4.0E10%15.4% RaisedGuidance: 3.25E10% for 2026
2026 Total RevenuesReported5.68 Bil5.74 Bil5.80 Bil4.5% RaisedGuidance: 5.50 Bil for 2026
2026 Adjusted EBITDAReported10.00 Mil25.00 Mil40.00 Mil  RaisedGuidance: 0 for 2026

Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/25/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricSourceLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q1 2026 Medical MarginReported1.15E10%1.225E10%    
Q1 2026 Total RevenuesReported1.35 Bil1.37 Bil    
Q1 2026 Adjusted EBITDAReported35.00 Mil40.00 Mil    
2026 Medical MarginReported3.0E10%3.25E10% 6400.0% Higher NewActual: 5.0E8% for 2025
2026 Total RevenuesReported5.41 Bil5.50 Bil -5.6% Lower NewActual: 5.82 Bil for 2025
2026 Adjusted EBITDAReported-15.00 Mil0   Higher NewActual: -257.50 Mil for 2025

Insider Activity

Updated 8/18/2026
Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Zamore, DeniseChief Legal OfficerDirectBuy31120260.005,535  Form
2Venkatachaliah, GirishChief Technology OfficerDirectBuy31120260.0018,448  Form
3Shaker, BenjaminChief Markets OfficerDirectBuy31120260.0018,448  Form
4Shaker, BenjaminChief Markets OfficerDirectBuy30320260.60500,000301,050823,477Form
5Wulf, John William DirectBuy13020260.6381,00050,941230,087Form
Collapse to Preview
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Zamore, DeniseChief Legal OfficerDirectBuy31120260.005,535  Form
2Venkatachaliah, GirishChief Technology OfficerDirectBuy31120260.0018,448  Form
3Shaker, BenjaminChief Markets OfficerDirectBuy31120260.0018,448  Form
4Shaker, BenjaminChief Markets OfficerDirectBuy30320260.60500,000301,050823,477Form
5Wulf, John William DirectBuy13020260.6381,00050,941230,087Form

Investor Activity (13F)

Updated Sep 24, 2026
13F holdings as of Mar 31, 2026 (Q1 2026)

Active managers (13F portfolio over $250M, at least 3 holdings) with a position over $5M that is either over 10% of their portfolio or held in a concentrated book of 50 or fewer total positions. Index/ETF, sovereign, bank, community-bank and charitable/donor-advised filers are excluded.

Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
North Peak Capital Management, LLC$12.2 Mil2.0%7TRIM -95.9%13F
Active Manager
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
North Peak Capital Management, LLC$12.2 Mil2.0%7TRIM -95.9%13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
North Peak Capital Management, LLC$12.2 Mil2.0%7TRIM -95.9%13F
Core Cache Last Updated: 9/23/2026