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InnovAge (INNV)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $5.88 | Market Cap: $797.3 Mil
Sector: Health Care | Industry: Health Care Facilities

InnovAge (INNV)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $5.88
Market Cap: $797.3 Mil
Sector: Health Care
Industry: Health Care Facilities

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 5.1%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -1.0%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -2.9 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -0.3%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Geriatric Care.
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -39%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -88%
Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 63%
2   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -6.6%
3   Key risks
INNV key risks include [1] a documented history of regulatory sanctions for compliance failures, Show more.
0 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 5.1%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Geriatric Care.
2 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -1.0%
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -39%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -88%
4 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -2.9 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -0.3%
5 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 63%
6 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -6.6%
7 Key risks
INNV key risks include [1] a documented history of regulatory sanctions for compliance failures, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

INNV Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

InnovAge (INNV) experienced significant stock movement between August 31, 2025, and December 18, 2025. This period saw a notable increase in the stock, with several key factors contributing to its performance.

1. Strong Fiscal First Quarter 2026 Financial Results: InnovAge reported robust financial results for its fiscal first quarter ended September 30, 2025. Total revenues increased approximately 15.1% year-over-year to $236.1 million. The company also turned a net loss of $5.7 million in the prior year's first quarter into a net income of $7.7 million, driven by increased capitation rates and member months. This strong performance exceeded analyst expectations for both earnings per share and revenue.

2. Positive Earnings Estimate Revisions: Following the strong fiscal first-quarter results, analysts revised their consensus EPS estimates for InnovAge higher. The consensus EPS estimate for the quarter was revised 20% higher over a 30-day period. A positive trend in earnings estimate revisions often correlates with near-term stock price appreciation.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
INNV Return44%-16%-34%41%
Peers Return
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
INNV Win Rate22%67%67%33%50% 
Peers Win Rate 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
INNV Max Drawdown-30%-28%-41%-33% 
Peers Max Drawdown 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ACHC, AMTU, AVG, MCTA, SRTA.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventINNVS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-86.6%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven644.0%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days

Compare to ACHC, AMTU, AVG, MCTA, SRTA


In The Past

InnovAge's stock fell -86.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/11/2021. A -86.6% loss requires a 644.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About InnovAge (INNV)

Better Bets than InnovAge (INNV)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to INNV. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.3%16.3%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-7.1%-7.1%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.6%3.6%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
1.6%1.6%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.3%16.3%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-7.1%-7.1%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.6%3.6%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
1.6%1.6%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for InnovAge

Peers to compare with:

Financials

INNVACHCAMTUAVGMCTASRTAMedian
NameInnovAge Acadia H.Amatuhi Anew Hea.Charming.Strata C. 
Mkt Price5.8814.53---5.135.88
Mkt Cap0.81.3---0.40.8
Rev LTM8853,26660--313599
Op Inc LTM-34447---352
FCF LTM36-347-22---56-39
FCF 3Y Avg-9-252----43-43
CFO LTM4433512---4228
CFO 3Y Avg2308----282

Growth & Margins

INNVACHCAMTUAVGMCTASRTAMedian
NameInnovAge Acadia H.Amatuhi Anew Hea.Charming.Strata C. 
Rev Chg LTM12.5%4.6%---54.0%12.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg8.4%9.0%---36.9%9.0%
Rev Chg Q15.1%4.4%---36.7%15.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM3.6%1.1%---4.4%3.6%
Op Mgn LTM-0.3%13.6%10.9%---11.3%5.3%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-2.9%16.2%----22.5%-2.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM1.6%-1.0%---1.0%1.0%
CFO/Rev LTM5.0%10.3%20.2%---13.5%7.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-0.0%10.2%----11.1%-0.0%
FCF/Rev LTM4.1%-10.6%-36.5%---18.0%-14.3%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-1.6%-7.8%----17.5%-7.8%

Valuation

INNVACHCAMTUAVGMCTASRTAMedian
NameInnovAge Acadia H.Amatuhi Anew Hea.Charming.Strata C. 
Mkt Cap0.81.3---0.40.8
P/S0.80.7---1.30.8
P/EBIT-41.88.2-----16.8
P/E-40.320.9---10.310.3
P/CFO15.86.7----9.86.7
Total Yield-2.5%4.8%---9.7%4.8%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%---0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-0.9%-7.6%-----4.2%
D/E0.11.1----0.6
Net D/E-0.01.0----0.5

Returns

INNVACHCAMTUAVGMCTASRTAMedian
NameInnovAge Acadia H.Amatuhi Anew Hea.Charming.Strata C. 
1M Rtn18.3%-7.2%---15.3%15.3%
3M Rtn18.1%-33.7%----1.3%-1.3%
6M Rtn55.1%-32.5%----11.3%
12M Rtn44.1%-63.3%-----9.6%
3Y Rtn-13.3%-82.8%-----48.1%
1M Excs Rtn17.6%-7.9%---14.5%14.5%
3M Excs Rtn14.6%-35.5%----13.4%-13.4%
6M Excs Rtn42.8%-44.9%-----1.1%
12M Excs Rtn21.4%-75.3%-----27.0%
3Y Excs Rtn-88.1%-150.9%-----119.5%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20252024202320222021
Program of All-Inclusive Care for the Elderly (PACE)763687697636565
All other11122
Total764688699638567


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity290,121
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-14.9%
Average Daily Volume175,536
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.65
Basic Shares Quantity135,592,487
Short % of Basic Shares0.2%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
9/9/2025-2.8%21.3%36.8%
5/6/202514.4%38.9%39.3%
2/4/2025-9.1%-8.9%-6.8%
9/10/2024-6.5%-3.7%-8.3%
5/7/20240.0%-5.6%13.4%
2/6/2024-3.9%-3.0%-8.1%
9/12/2023-2.9%8.0%-9.7%
5/9/20230.6%1.9%25.0%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive676
# Negative878
Median Positive4.0%8.0%21.4%
Median Negative-6.6%-8.9%-9.6%
Max Positive22.0%52.3%39.3%
Max Negative-24.9%-41.8%-43.9%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251104202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025909202510-K 6/30/2025
3312025506202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024204202510-Q 12/31/2024
93020241105202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024910202410-K 6/30/2024
3312024507202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023206202410-Q 12/31/2023
93020231107202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023912202310-K 6/30/2023
3312023509202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022207202310-Q 12/31/2022
93020221108202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022913202210-K 6/30/2022
3312022510202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021209202210-Q 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0SCARBROUGH MICHAEL ANTHONYPresident and COO11172025Sell4.9033,000161,700586,123Form