Tearsheet

Alignment Healthcare (ALHC)


Market Price (12/17/2025): $20.07 | Market Cap: $4.0 Bil
Sector: Health Care | Industry: Managed Health Care

Alignment Healthcare (ALHC)


Market Price (12/17/2025): $20.07
Market Cap: $4.0 Bil
Sector: Health Care
Industry: Managed Health Care

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 47%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0%
Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.8%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 47%
  Key risks
ALHC key risks include [1] persistent challenges in achieving sustained profitability and managing high leverage despite strong revenue growth.
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Aging Population & Chronic Disease, and Digital Health & Telemedicine. Themes include Geriatric Care, Health Data Analytics, Show more.
  
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 47%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 47%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Aging Population & Chronic Disease, and Digital Health & Telemedicine. Themes include Geriatric Care, Health Data Analytics, Show more.
3 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0%
4 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.8%
5 Key risks
ALHC key risks include [1] persistent challenges in achieving sustained profitability and managing high leverage despite strong revenue growth.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

ALHC Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The requested time period of August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025, falls in the future. Therefore, actual stock movements and their definitive explanatory factors for this specific period cannot be provided. However, recent news and analyst expectations for Alignment Healthcare (ALHC) within 2025 are available. 1. 1. Strong Q1 2025 Performance and Raised Outlook: Alignment Healthcare reported strong first quarter 2025 results, exceeding expectations across key metrics. Total revenue was up 47.5% year-over-year, reaching $926.9 million. The company also raised its full-year outlook for 2025, signaling positive momentum. 2. 2. Q2 and Q3 2025 Results Exceeding Guidance: Alignment Healthcare continued to report strong results in Q2 and Q3 2025, surpassing the high-end of its guidance across key metrics such as membership, revenue, adjusted gross profit, and adjusted EBITDA. For Q2 2025, total revenue reached $1.0 billion, with membership up 27.8% year-over-year. Q3 2025 revenue was $993.7 million, up 43.5% year-over-year. 3.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
ALHC Return-16%-27%31%78%
Peers Return6%39%4%-8%-25%3%10%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
ALHC Win Rate22%67%42%58%58% 
Peers Win Rate50%53%52%42%45%55% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
ALHC Max Drawdown-54%-56%-48%0% 
Peers Max Drawdown-35%-6%-13%-21%-30%-30% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: UNH, HUM, CVS, ELV, CNC.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventALHCS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-81.2%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven432.6%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days

Compare to UNH, HUM, CNC, MOH, ELV


In The Past

Alignment Healthcare's stock fell -81.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/21/2021. A -81.2% loss requires a 432.6% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Alignment Healthcare (ALHC)

Better Bets than Alignment Healthcare (ALHC)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to ALHC. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.3%16.3%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-7.1%-7.1%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.6%3.6%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
1.6%1.6%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.3%16.3%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-7.1%-7.1%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.6%3.6%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
1.6%1.6%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Alignment Healthcare

Peers to compare with:

Financials

ALHCUNHHUMCVSELVCNCMedian
NameAlignmen.UnitedHe.Humana CVS Heal.Elevance.Centene  
Mkt Price20.55331.67260.1677.90345.8238.87169.03
Mkt Cap4.1300.531.398.977.219.154.3
Rev LTM3,637435,159126,362394,084194,820185,857190,338
Op Inc LTM226,357-10,751-1,0955,923
FCF LTM15117,3721,5476,2933,7673,3563,562
FCF 3Y Avg-3018,9687326,4274,2953,0173,656
CFO LTM18220,9582,0459,1094,9124,0644,488
CFO 3Y Avg622,4431,4649,2775,5193,7614,640

Growth & Margins

ALHCUNHHUMCVSELVCNCMedian
NameAlignmen.UnitedHe.Humana CVS Heal.Elevance.Centene  
Rev Chg LTM47.4%10.5%9.9%6.8%12.0%14.9%11.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg38.8%11.4%11.4%7.7%8.4%9.6%10.5%
Rev Chg Q43.5%12.2%11.1%7.8%12.3%18.2%12.3%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM9.0%2.9%2.6%1.9%2.9%4.3%2.9%
Op Mgn LTM0.1%6.1%-2.7%-0.6%1.7%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-4.3%7.7%-3.3%-1.7%2.5%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.8%-1.2%-0.1%--0.5%-0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM5.0%4.8%1.6%2.3%2.5%2.2%2.4%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-0.7%5.8%1.4%2.5%3.1%2.3%2.4%
FCF/Rev LTM4.1%4.0%1.2%1.6%1.9%1.8%1.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-2.2%4.9%0.8%1.8%2.4%1.9%1.8%

Valuation

ALHCUNHHUMCVSELVCNCMedian
NameAlignmen.UnitedHe.Humana CVS Heal.Elevance.Centene  
Mkt Cap4.1300.531.398.977.219.154.3
P/S1.00.70.20.20.40.10.3
P/EBIT-7,893.211.913.316.08.5-4.210.2
P/E-166.917.824.2204.013.0-3.315.4
P/CFO19.114.915.310.514.74.314.8
Total Yield-0.6%8.1%5.5%4.0%9.8%-30.2%4.8%
Dividend Yield0.0%2.5%1.4%3.5%2.1%0.0%1.7%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-2.7%4.5%0.6%7.1%4.7%11.5%4.6%
D/E0.10.30.40.90.41.00.4
Net D/E-0.10.2-0.30.7-0.0-0.1-0.1

Returns

ALHCUNHHUMCVSELVCNCMedian
NameAlignmen.UnitedHe.Humana CVS Heal.Elevance.Centene  
1M Rtn28.1%4.2%11.1%-0.7%5.0%4.8%4.9%
3M Rtn23.2%-2.3%-3.1%6.1%12.7%21.4%9.4%
6M Rtn42.7%9.4%7.7%18.8%-7.0%-29.5%8.5%
12M Rtn89.8%-30.0%12.8%84.4%-3.8%-32.8%4.5%
3Y Rtn76.2%-33.1%-46.7%-8.5%-27.9%-52.2%-30.5%
1M Excs Rtn27.4%3.4%10.4%-1.4%4.3%4.1%4.2%
3M Excs Rtn23.3%-1.6%-2.8%4.2%8.7%19.5%6.5%
6M Excs Rtn30.3%-3.0%-4.7%6.4%-19.4%-41.9%-3.9%
12M Excs Rtn68.4%-45.8%-14.8%53.5%-18.7%-45.7%-16.7%
3Y Excs Rtn3.0%-104.3%-117.8%-84.3%-100.7%-123.7%-102.5%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil2024202320222021
Provide healthcare services to our seniors1,824   
Earned premiums 1,4321,167955
Other 314
Total1,8241,4341,168959


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity15,223,105
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520258.9%
Average Daily Volume2,660,382
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5.72
Basic Shares Quantity199,026,808
Short % of Basic Shares7.6%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/30/2025-1.5%-3.7%11.5%
7/30/20256.0%5.5%25.5%
2/27/202516.5%13.2%35.9%
10/29/20240.2%13.4%9.6%
8/1/20243.7%-2.3%4.5%
2/27/2024-18.2%-21.0%-30.8%
11/2/2023-5.2%-6.9%17.8%
8/3/202311.6%13.0%-0.5%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive878
# Negative787
Median Positive6.4%13.0%18.1%
Median Negative-5.2%-3.9%-11.7%
Max Positive16.5%18.7%41.2%
Max Negative-19.2%-30.6%-38.8%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251030202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025730202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025501202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024227202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241029202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024801202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024502202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023227202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231102202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023803202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023504202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022228202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221103202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022804202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022505202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021303202210-K 12/31/2021