Alignment Healthcare (ALHC)
Market Price (12/17/2025): $20.07 | Market Cap: $4.0 BilSector: Health Care | Industry: Managed Health Care
Alignment Healthcare (ALHC)
Market Price (12/17/2025): $20.07Market Cap: $4.0 BilSector: Health CareIndustry: Managed Health Care
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 47% | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0% | Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.8% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 47% | Key risksALHC key risks include [1] persistent challenges in achieving sustained profitability and managing high leverage despite strong revenue growth. | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Aging Population & Chronic Disease, and Digital Health & Telemedicine. Themes include Geriatric Care, Health Data Analytics, Show more. |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 47% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 47% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Aging Population & Chronic Disease, and Digital Health & Telemedicine. Themes include Geriatric Care, Health Data Analytics, Show more. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.8% |
| Key risksALHC key risks include [1] persistent challenges in achieving sustained profitability and managing high leverage despite strong revenue growth. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
ALHC Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
The requested time period of August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025, falls in the future. Therefore, actual stock movements and their definitive explanatory factors for this specific period cannot be provided. However, recent news and analyst expectations for Alignment Healthcare (ALHC) within 2025 are available. 1. 1. Strong Q1 2025 Performance and Raised Outlook: Alignment Healthcare reported strong first quarter 2025 results, exceeding expectations across key metrics. Total revenue was up 47.5% year-over-year, reaching $926.9 million. The company also raised its full-year outlook for 2025, signaling positive momentum. 2. 2. Q2 and Q3 2025 Results Exceeding Guidance: Alignment Healthcare continued to report strong results in Q2 and Q3 2025, surpassing the high-end of its guidance across key metrics such as membership, revenue, adjusted gross profit, and adjusted EBITDA. For Q2 2025, total revenue reached $1.0 billion, with membership up 27.8% year-over-year. Q3 2025 revenue was $993.7 million, up 43.5% year-over-year. 3.
Show moreStock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| ALHC Return | � | � | -16% | -27% | 31% | 78% | � |
| Peers Return | 6% | 39% | 4% | -8% | -25% | 3% | 10% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| ALHC Win Rate | � | 22% | 67% | 42% | 58% | 58% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 50% | 53% | 52% | 42% | 45% | 55% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| ALHC Max Drawdown | � | � | -54% | -56% | -48% | 0% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -35% | -6% | -13% | -21% | -30% | -30% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: UNH, HUM, CVS, ELV, CNC.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | ALHC | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -81.2% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 432.6% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
Compare to UNH, HUM, CNC, MOH, ELV
In The Past
Alignment Healthcare's stock fell -81.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/21/2021. A -81.2% loss requires a 432.6% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to ALHC. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 16.3% | 16.3% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -7.1% | -7.1% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.6% | 3.6% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 1.6% | 1.6% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.1% | 14.1% | -5.1% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 16.3% | 16.3% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -7.1% | -7.1% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.6% | 3.6% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 1.6% | 1.6% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.1% | 14.1% | -5.1% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Alignment Healthcare
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 169.03 |
| Mkt Cap | 54.3 |
| Rev LTM | 190,338 |
| Op Inc LTM | 5,923 |
| FCF LTM | 3,562 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 3,656 |
| CFO LTM | 4,488 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 4,640 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 11.2% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 10.5% |
| Rev Chg Q | 12.3% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.9% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 1.7% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 2.5% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 2.4% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 2.4% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 1.9% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 1.8% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 54.3 |
| P/S | 0.3 |
| P/EBIT | 10.2 |
| P/E | 15.4 |
| P/CFO | 14.8 |
| Total Yield | 4.8% |
| Dividend Yield | 1.7% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 4.6% |
| D/E | 0.4 |
| Net D/E | -0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 4.9% |
| 3M Rtn | 9.4% |
| 6M Rtn | 8.5% |
| 12M Rtn | 4.5% |
| 3Y Rtn | -30.5% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 4.2% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 6.5% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -3.9% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -16.7% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -102.5% |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 10/30/2025 | -1.5% | -3.7% | 11.5% |
| 7/30/2025 | 6.0% | 5.5% | 25.5% |
| 2/27/2025 | 16.5% | 13.2% | 35.9% |
| 10/29/2024 | 0.2% | 13.4% | 9.6% |
| 8/1/2024 | 3.7% | -2.3% | 4.5% |
| 2/27/2024 | -18.2% | -21.0% | -30.8% |
| 11/2/2023 | -5.2% | -6.9% | 17.8% |
| 8/3/2023 | 11.6% | 13.0% | -0.5% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 8 | 7 | 8 |
| # Negative | 7 | 8 | 7 |
| Median Positive | 6.4% | 13.0% | 18.1% |
| Median Negative | -5.2% | -3.9% | -11.7% |
| Max Positive | 16.5% | 18.7% | 41.2% |
| Max Negative | -19.2% | -30.6% | -38.8% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10302025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7302025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5012025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2272025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10292024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8012024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5022024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2272024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11022023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8032023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5042023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2282023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11032022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8042022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5052022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3032022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |