Tearsheet

Alignment Healthcare (ALHC)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $19.06 | Market Cap: $3.8 Bil
Sector: Health Care | Industry: Managed Health Care

Alignment Healthcare (ALHC)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $19.06
Market Cap: $3.8 Bil
Sector: Health Care
Industry: Managed Health Care

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 47%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -3.4%, Dist 3Y High is -3.4%
Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.8%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 48%
Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -18%
 
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Aging Population & Chronic Disease, and Digital Health & Telemedicine. Themes include Geriatric Care, Health Data Analytics, Show more.
  
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 47%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 48%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Aging Population & Chronic Disease, and Digital Health & Telemedicine. Themes include Geriatric Care, Health Data Analytics, Show more.
3 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -3.4%, Dist 3Y High is -3.4%
4 Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -18%
5 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.8%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

ALHC Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points for the movement of Alignment Healthcare (ALHC) stock for the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to today:

1. Strong Third Quarter 2025 Financial Performance: Alignment Healthcare reported robust financial results for the third quarter of 2025, surpassing its guidance metrics. The company achieved approximately 26% year-over-year growth in health plan membership and a 44% year-over-year increase in total revenue. This strong performance also led to an upward revision of its full-year 2025 guidance.

2. Positive Analyst Upgrades and Raised Price Targets: Several major financial institutions issued optimistic assessments for ALHC. Notably, JP Morgan upgraded Alignment Healthcare from Neutral to Overweight on November 24, 2025, and increased its price target from $18.00 to $20.00, indicating an 11.11% rise in expected value. Goldman Sachs also raised its price target for ALHC to $22.00 from $21.00 on November 3, 2025, maintaining a Buy rating and highlighting a 30% upside potential from the then-current price.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
ALHC Return---16%-27%31%70%36%
Peers Return19%38%7%-3%-21%-27%-2%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
ALHC Win Rate-22%67%42%58%50% 
Peers Win Rate55%57%52%47%45%48% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
ALHC Max Drawdown---54%-56%-48%0% 
Peers Max Drawdown-33%-7%-14%-19%-27%-40% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: UNH, HUM, CNC, MOH, ELV.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventALHCS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-81.2%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven432.6%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days

Compare to UNH, HUM, CNC, MOH, ELV


In The Past

Alignment Healthcare's stock fell -81.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/21/2021. A -81.2% loss requires a 432.6% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Alignment Healthcare (ALHC)

Better Bets than Alignment Healthcare (ALHC)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to ALHC. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.1%4.1%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-9.8%-9.8%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.0%6.0%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
9.7%9.7%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
6.2%6.2%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.1%4.1%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-9.8%-9.8%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.0%6.0%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
9.7%9.7%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
6.2%6.2%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Alignment Healthcare

Peers to compare with:

Financials

ALHCUNHHUMCNCMOHELVMedian
NameAlignmen.UnitedHe.Humana Centene Molina H.Elevance. 
Mkt Price19.10339.71256.9238.81149.09330.75203.00
Mkt Cap3.8307.830.919.17.873.925.0
Rev LTM3,637435,159126,362185,85744,550194,820156,110
Op Inc LTM226,357-1,0951,323-1,209
FCF LTM15117,3721,5473,356-5743,7672,452
FCF 3Y Avg-3018,9687323,0175194,2951,874
CFO LTM18220,9582,0454,064-4614,9123,054
CFO 3Y Avg622,4431,4643,7616195,5192,612

Growth & Margins

ALHCUNHHUMCNCMOHELVMedian
NameAlignmen.UnitedHe.Humana Centene Molina H.Elevance. 
Rev Chg LTM47.4%10.5%9.9%14.9%13.7%12.0%12.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg38.8%11.4%11.4%9.6%12.8%8.4%11.4%
Rev Chg Q43.5%12.2%11.1%18.2%11.0%12.3%12.3%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM9.0%2.9%2.6%4.3%2.6%2.9%2.9%
Op Mgn LTM0.1%6.1%-0.6%3.0%-1.8%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-4.3%7.7%-1.7%4.0%-2.8%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.8%-1.2%--0.5%-0.8%--0.7%
CFO/Rev LTM5.0%4.8%1.6%2.2%-1.0%2.5%2.4%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-0.7%5.8%1.4%2.3%2.0%3.1%2.1%
FCF/Rev LTM4.1%4.0%1.2%1.8%-1.3%1.9%1.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-2.2%4.9%0.8%1.9%1.7%2.4%1.8%

Valuation

ALHCUNHHUMCNCMOHELVMedian
NameAlignmen.UnitedHe.Humana Centene Molina H.Elevance. 
Mkt Cap3.8307.830.919.17.873.925.0
P/S1.00.70.20.10.20.40.3
P/EBIT-7,893.211.913.3-4.27.68.58.1
P/E-166.917.824.2-3.311.413.012.2
P/CFO19.114.915.34.3-21.814.714.8
Total Yield-0.6%8.1%5.5%-30.2%8.8%9.8%6.8%
Dividend Yield0.0%2.5%1.4%0.0%0.0%2.1%0.7%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-2.7%4.5%0.6%11.5%1.8%4.7%3.2%
D/E0.10.30.41.00.40.40.4
Net D/E-0.10.2-0.3-0.1-0.5-0.0-0.1

Returns

ALHCUNHHUMCNCMOHELVMedian
NameAlignmen.UnitedHe.Humana Centene Molina H.Elevance. 
1M Rtn13.4%1.8%-8.2%12.5%1.4%5.6%3.7%
3M Rtn17.0%11.0%-17.4%29.1%-15.8%2.8%6.9%
6M Rtn24.7%14.6%12.1%-29.4%-49.0%-12.1%-0.0%
12M Rtn52.2%-42.7%-10.5%-34.7%-52.2%-17.5%-26.1%
3Y Rtn48.1%-33.5%-51.5%-54.8%-55.4%-34.2%-42.9%
1M Excs Rtn13.5%1.8%-8.2%12.5%1.4%5.6%3.7%
3M Excs Rtn11.8%4.8%-22.7%30.1%-18.1%2.0%3.4%
6M Excs Rtn10.0%-0.1%-2.6%-44.1%-63.8%-26.8%-14.7%
12M Excs Rtn37.9%-56.7%-25.6%-48.9%-63.5%-30.8%-39.8%
3Y Excs Rtn-18.3%-105.6%-123.2%-127.1%-127.1%-105.5%-114.4%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity13,982,386
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120251.6%
Average Daily Volume1,953,666
Days-to-Cover Short Interest7.16
Basic Shares Quantity199,026,808
Short % of Basic Shares7.0%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251030202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025730202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025501202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024227202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241029202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024801202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024502202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023227202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231102202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023803202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023504202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022228202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221103202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022804202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022505202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021303202210-K 12/31/2021