Tearsheet

P3 Health Partners (PIII)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $4.57 | Market Cap: $14.9 Mil
Sector: Health Care | Industry: Health Care Facilities

P3 Health Partners (PIII)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $4.57
Market Cap: $14.9 Mil
Sector: Health Care
Industry: Health Care Facilities

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital Health & Telemedicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Remote Patient Monitoring, Health Data Analytics, Show more.
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -134%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -166%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -247 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -17%
1   Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.1%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -4.7%
2   Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -8.5%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -8.5%
3   Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 5516%
4   High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 5832%
5   Key risks
PIII key risks include [1] substantial doubt about its ability to continue as a going concern due to significant debt and a history of net losses, Show more.
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital Health & Telemedicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Remote Patient Monitoring, Health Data Analytics, Show more.
1 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -134%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -166%
2 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -247 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -17%
3 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.1%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -4.7%
4 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -8.5%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -8.5%
5 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 5516%
6 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 5832%
7 Key risks
PIII key risks include [1] substantial doubt about its ability to continue as a going concern due to significant debt and a history of net losses, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

PIII Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points explaining the stock movement for P3 Health Partners (PIII) from approximately August 31, 2025, to today, December 18, 2025: 1. 1. Poor Q3 2025 Earnings Performance: P3 Health Partners reported its third-quarter 2025 earnings on November 13, 2025, with an Earnings Per Share (EPS) of -$9.67, significantly missing the consensus analyst estimate of -$8.70. Quarterly revenue also fell short of expectations, coming in at $345.25 million against a consensus estimate of $346.64 million. 2. 2. Widening Losses and Revenue Decline in Q2 2025: In its Q2 2025 earnings reported on August 14, 2025, P3 Health Partners experienced a 6.2% year-over-year decline in revenue, reaching $355.79 million, and posted a substantially wider net loss of $43.66 million. Losses per share expanded to $6.23. 3.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
PIII Return-74%-23%-84%-59%
Peers Return
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
PIII Win Rate38%42%25%8%42% 
Peers Win Rate58% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
PIII Max Drawdown-76%-61%-87%-99% 
Peers Max Drawdown 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ACHC, SRTA, HCA, THC, UHS.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventPIIIS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-93.8%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven1509.5%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days

Compare to ACHC, SRTA, HCA, THC, UHS


In The Past

P3 Health Partners's stock fell -93.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/10/2021. A -93.8% loss requires a 1509.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About P3 Health Partners (PIII)

Better Bets than P3 Health Partners (PIII)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to PIII. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.3%16.3%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-7.1%-7.1%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.6%3.6%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
1.6%1.6%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.3%16.3%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-7.1%-7.1%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.6%3.6%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
1.6%1.6%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for P3 Health Partners

Peers to compare with:

Financials

PIIIACHCSRTAHCATHCUHSMedian
NameP3 Healt.Acadia H.Strata C.HCA Heal.Tenet He.Universa. 
Mkt Price4.5814.535.13471.85195.02224.90104.78
Mkt Cap0.01.30.4112.917.214.27.7
Rev LTM1,4453,26631372,69820,84616,99310,129
Op Inc LTM-247444-3511,0783,3471,9491,197
FCF LTM-123-347-567,2921,502950447
FCF 3Y Avg-95-252-435,7041,678773365
CFO LTM-123335-4211,9352,4781,9481,142
CFO 3Y Avg-95308-2810,4512,5501,641974

Growth & Margins

PIIIACHCSRTAHCATHCUHSMedian
NameP3 Healt.Acadia H.Strata C.HCA Heal.Tenet He.Universa. 
Rev Chg LTM-2.1%4.6%54.0%6.4%-0.6%10.2%5.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg15.8%9.0%36.9%6.6%3.1%8.7%8.8%
Rev Chg Q-4.7%4.4%36.7%6.4%3.2%13.4%5.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-1.2%1.1%4.4%1.6%0.8%3.2%1.3%
Op Mgn LTM-17.1%13.6%-11.3%15.2%16.1%11.5%12.5%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-16.3%16.2%-22.5%15.0%13.8%9.8%11.8%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM4.1%-1.0%1.0%0.1%0.4%0.5%0.4%
CFO/Rev LTM-8.5%10.3%-13.5%16.4%11.9%11.5%10.9%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-7.0%10.2%-11.1%15.4%12.3%10.5%10.3%
FCF/Rev LTM-8.5%-10.6%-18.0%10.0%7.2%5.6%-1.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-7.0%-7.8%-17.5%8.4%8.1%4.9%-1.1%

Valuation

PIIIACHCSRTAHCATHCUHSMedian
NameP3 Healt.Acadia H.Strata C.HCA Heal.Tenet He.Universa. 
Mkt Cap0.01.30.4112.917.214.27.7
P/S0.00.71.31.40.90.80.8
P/EBIT-8.2-9.35.06.57.4
P/E-0.220.910.317.113.29.411.8
P/CFO-0.26.7-9.88.57.26.66.6
Total Yield-448.3%4.8%9.7%6.5%7.6%11.1%7.1%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.7%0.0%0.4%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg--7.6%-6.4%13.5%6.1%6.2%
D/E-1.1-0.50.70.40.6
Net D/E-1.0-0.40.60.40.5

Returns

PIIIACHCSRTAHCATHCUHSMedian
NameP3 Healt.Acadia H.Strata C.HCA Heal.Tenet He.Universa. 
1M Rtn-23.4%-7.2%15.3%-1.0%1.4%-0.6%-0.8%
3M Rtn-47.1%-33.7%-1.3%18.3%6.3%20.1%2.5%
6M Rtn-26.1%-32.5%-25.6%16.4%31.6%16.4%
12M Rtn-52.9%-63.3%-54.5%47.1%23.7%23.7%
3Y Rtn-97.0%-82.8%-102.3%340.2%68.0%68.0%
1M Excs Rtn-24.1%-7.9%14.5%-1.7%0.6%-1.4%-1.5%
3M Excs Rtn-40.8%-35.5%-13.4%16.5%1.1%18.3%-6.1%
6M Excs Rtn-38.5%-44.9%-13.2%4.0%19.2%4.0%
12M Excs Rtn-66.4%-75.3%-40.4%31.6%9.4%9.4%
3Y Excs Rtn-166.0%-150.9%-31.2%272.6%9.2%9.2%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil202420232022
Capitated revenue1,2521,035 
Care coordination / management fees88 
Clinical fees & insurance revenue56 
Incentive fees10 
Shared risk 0 
Single Segment  146
Total1,2661,049146


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity16,209
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-11.0%
Average Daily Volume12,337
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.31
Basic Shares Quantity3,268,000
Short % of Basic Shares0.5%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/14/2025-12.6%-16.5% 
8/14/2025-2.4%5.3%24.3%
3/27/2025-4.6%-3.8%-2.0%
11/12/2024-36.0%-46.0%-45.3%
8/7/2024-4.2%-4.3%-25.4%
3/28/2024-14.1%-21.7%-54.5%
11/8/20236.1%0.0%-12.2%
8/7/20234.7%-13.6%-1.4%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive432
# Negative91011
Median Positive5.4%5.3%25.3%
Median Negative-4.6%-10.9%-21.1%
Max Positive18.5%6.8%26.4%
Max Negative-36.0%-46.0%-54.5%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251114202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025814202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025515202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024328202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241112202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024807202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024508202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023328202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231108202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023807202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023510202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022331202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221114202210-Q 9/30/2022
63020221021202210-Q 6/30/2022
33120221021202210-Q 3/31/2022
123120191021202210-K 12/31/2019