P3 Health Partners (PIII)
Market Price (6/19/2026): $10.87 | Market Cap: $35.7 MilSector: Health Care | Industry: Health Care Facilities
P3 Health Partners (PIII)
Market Price (6/19/2026): $10.87Market Cap: $35.7 MilSector: Health CareIndustry: Health Care Facilities
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Digital Health & Telemedicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Remote Patient Monitoring, Health Data Analytics, Show more. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -103%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -167% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -224 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -15% Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 841% Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 149% Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.8%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.8% Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 206% Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -362% High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 219% Key risksPIII key risks include [1] substantial doubt about its ability to continue as a going concern due to significant debt and a history of net losses, Show more. |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Digital Health & Telemedicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Remote Patient Monitoring, Health Data Analytics, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -103%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -167% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -224 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -15% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 841% |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 149% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.8%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.8% |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 206% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -362% |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 219% |
| Key risksPIII key risks include [1] substantial doubt about its ability to continue as a going concern due to significant debt and a history of net losses, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
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P3 Health Partners (PIII) stock has gained about 405% since 2/28/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. P3 Health Partners demonstrated a significant financial turnaround in fiscal Q1 2026, reporting a net income of $3.0 million, a substantial improvement from a net loss of $44.2 million in fiscal Q1 2025. This was further highlighted by an Adjusted EBITDA of $25.8 million (or $26 million), a dramatic swing from an Adjusted EBITDA loss of $22 million in the prior-year quarter and well above internal expectations, which signaled a successful culmination of two years of operational restructuring.
2. The company substantially raised its full-year fiscal 2026 Adjusted EBITDA guidance to a midpoint of $40 million, an increase from its initial midpoint of $10 million. This revised outlook, announced alongside strong fiscal Q1 2026 results, indicated management's confidence in sustained profitability and improved operational trajectory.
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P3 Health Partners (PIII) stock has gained about 405% since 2/28/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. P3 Health Partners demonstrated a significant financial turnaround in fiscal Q1 2026, reporting a net income of $3.0 million, a substantial improvement from a net loss of $44.2 million in fiscal Q1 2025. This was further highlighted by an Adjusted EBITDA of $25.8 million (or $26 million), a dramatic swing from an Adjusted EBITDA loss of $22 million in the prior-year quarter and well above internal expectations, which signaled a successful culmination of two years of operational restructuring.
2. The company substantially raised its full-year fiscal 2026 Adjusted EBITDA guidance to a midpoint of $40 million, an increase from its initial midpoint of $10 million. This revised outlook, announced alongside strong fiscal Q1 2026 results, indicated management's confidence in sustained profitability and improved operational trajectory.
3. Strategic operational improvements and contract restructuring led to enhanced financial performance. These included a deliberate 10% reduction in at-risk membership during fiscal Q1 2026 to shed unprofitable contracts, coupled with approximately a 15% year-over-year improvement in Medicare Advantage funding rates per member.
4. P3 Health Partners regained compliance with Nasdaq listing requirements and strengthened its balance sheet. As of May 20, 2026, the company was notified by Nasdaq of its compliance with listing rules, effectively resolving a previously disclosed non-compliance issue. This was further supported by a debt exchange agreement aimed at improving the balance sheet.
5. Analyst sentiment shifted dramatically, with significant upgrades to price targets and reinforced "Buy" ratings. Following the positive fiscal Q1 2026 earnings, both TD Cowen and Lake Street maintained "Buy" ratings and increased their price targets to $14 on May 22, 2026, and May 15, 2026, respectively. This reflected a strong vote of confidence in the company's turnaround and future prospects.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 407.1% change in PIII stock from 2/28/2026 to 6/18/2026 was primarily driven by a 400.7% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 2282026 | 6182026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 2.12 | 10.75 | 407.1% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1,445 | 1,472 | 1.9% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.0 | 0.0 | 400.7% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 3 | 3 | -0.6% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 407.1% |
Market Drivers
2/28/2026 to 6/18/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| PIII | 407.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | 9.2% | -15.6% |
| Sector (XLV) | -6.4% | -4.6% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 99.1% change in PIII stock from 11/30/2025 to 6/18/2026 was primarily driven by a 96.6% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 11302025 | 6182026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 5.40 | 10.75 | 99.1% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1,445 | 1,472 | 1.9% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.0 | 0.0 | 96.6% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 3 | 3 | -0.6% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 99.1% |
Market Drivers
11/30/2025 to 6/18/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| PIII | 99.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | 9.9% | -10.8% |
| Sector (XLV) | -4.4% | -7.2% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 45.5% change in PIII stock from 5/31/2025 to 6/18/2026 was primarily driven by a 48.0% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 5312025 | 6182026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 7.39 | 10.75 | 45.5% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1,485 | 1,472 | -0.9% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.0 | 0.0 | 48.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 3 | 3 | -0.9% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 45.5% |
Market Drivers
5/31/2025 to 6/18/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| PIII | 45.5% | |
| Market (SPY) | 28.1% | -8.3% |
| Sector (XLV) | 14.6% | -5.9% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -94.7% change in PIII stock from 5/31/2023 to 6/18/2026 was primarily driven by a -84.6% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 5312023 | 6182026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 202.50 | 10.75 | -94.7% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1,078 | 1,472 | 36.6% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.2 | 0.0 | -84.6% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 1 | 3 | -74.7% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -94.7% |
Market Drivers
5/31/2023 to 6/18/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| PIII | -94.7% | |
| Market (SPY) | 85.7% | 3.5% |
| Sector (XLV) | 22.9% | 4.9% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| PIII Return | -27% | -74% | -23% | -84% | -69% | 222% | -98% |
| Peers Return | 61% | -3% | 21% | 10% | 23% | 9% | 179% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 8% | 98% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| PIII Win Rate | 44% | 42% | 25% | 8% | 42% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 72% | 47% | 56% | 50% | 71% | 40% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| PIII Max Drawdown | - | -80% | -80% | -87% | -99% | -61% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -18% | -38% | -28% | -37% | -36% | -28% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: ACHC, GMRS, PARK, HCA, THC.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 6/18/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | PIII | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -98.6% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 6981.1% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 399 days | 79 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -32.9% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 49.1% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 7 days | 31 days |
In The Past
P3 Health Partners's stock fell -98.6% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 6981.1% gain to breakeven.
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| Event | PIII | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -98.6% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 6981.1% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 399 days | 79 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -32.9% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 49.1% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 7 days | 31 days |
In The Past
P3 Health Partners's stock fell -98.6% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 6981.1% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About P3 Health Partners (PIII)
P3 Health Partners Inc. (PIII) is a healthcare company dedicated to providing primary health care services. The company operates with a strong focus on population health management, which involves proactively managing the health and well-being of specific patient groups to improve outcomes and control costs.
Its main products and services encompass clinical operations, where it manages and delivers primary care, and the provision of senior wellness centers. These centers are specifically designed to cater to the health needs of the elderly population, making seniors its primary customer base. Through these offerings, P3 Health Partners aims to deliver comprehensive and coordinated primary care within a value-based care framework.
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Here are 1-2 analogies to describe P3 Health Partners (PIII):
- Like One Medical (acquired by Amazon) specifically tailored for seniors, emphasizing comprehensive and preventative primary care.
- A primary care network for seniors, similar to the clinic side of Kaiser Permanente, but focused on managing their health outcomes proactively.
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- Primary Health Care Services: Provides comprehensive medical care for common illnesses and preventive health maintenance.
- Clinical Operations Services: Manages and optimizes the day-to-day functions of healthcare facilities and practices.
- Population Health Management Services: Develops strategies and programs to improve health outcomes and reduce healthcare costs for specific patient populations.
- Senior Wellness Centers: Operates dedicated centers offering health and wellness programs specifically tailored for senior citizens.
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P3 Health Partners (PIII) primarily sells its integrated healthcare services, including clinical operations, population health management, and direct primary care, to health insurance companies. These insurance companies contract with P3 to manage the health and care of their members, particularly those enrolled in Medicare Advantage plans. Therefore, its major customers are leading health insurance providers:
- UnitedHealth Group (NYSE: UNH)
- Humana Inc. (NYSE: HUM)
- Elevance Health, Inc. (NYSE: ELV) (formerly Anthem)
- CVS Health Corporation (NYSE: CVS) (operates Aetna)
- Centene Corporation (NYSE: CNC)
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Dr. Aric Coffman, Chief Executive Officer
Dr. Aric Coffman was appointed Chief Executive Officer of P3 Health Partners on May 8, 2024. He has over two decades of experience leading provider organizations in value-based care. Prior to P3, Dr. Coffman served as CEO of Honest Medical Group, a startup that grew to serve over 120,000 Medicare lives and was a Rubicon Founders portfolio company. He also held leadership positions at The Everett Clinic and Northwest Physicians Network, part of OptumCare, where he doubled Medicare Advantage membership and expanded into full-risk market segments. His career also includes roles as Chairman of Surgery, Chief Medical Officer, and President of DaVita Medical Group New Mexico, and he was involved during the Optum acquisition of DaVita Medical Group.
Leif Pedersen, Chief Financial Officer
Leif Pedersen will assume the role of Chief Financial Officer for P3 Health Partners effective October 1, 2024, succeeding Atul Kavthekar. He brings more than 25 years of experience in finance, accounting, and operations within large-scale, publicly traded organizations, including 9 years in value-based care and 6 years of "Big Four" public accounting. Most recently, Pedersen served as Vice President of Finance & CFO Shared Services for Optum Health, a division of UnitedHealth Group. Before Optum Health, he was Vice President of Finance & CFO IT at DaVita Medical Group, where he led the financial separation of DaVita's IT organization from its parent enterprise. He began his career as a Senior Assurance Manager at Arthur Andersen/KPMG.
Amir Bacchus, MD, MBA, Chief Medical Officer & Co-Founder
Dr. Amir Bacchus is a co-founder of P3 Health Partners and serves as its Chief Medical Officer. With 23 years of experience, he has operated, managed, and guided physician groups, focusing on healthcare delivery and promoting improved quality, access, and cost of care. Prior to co-founding P3, Dr. Bacchus was the Chief Medical Officer and Co-Founder of HealthCare Partners (HCP) Desert Region, as well as the company's National Corporate Medical Director. He also recently served as Chief Medical Officer for Ascension Medical Group through a consulting agreement with P3.
William Bettermann, Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer
William Bettermann is the Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer of P3 Health Partners. He has nearly 25 years of healthcare leadership experience with a strong track record of success in the value-based care arena.
Todd M. Smith, Chief Legal and Compliance Officer
Todd M. Smith serves as the Chief Legal and Compliance Officer for P3 Health Partners.
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Key Risks to P3 Health Partners (PIII)
P3 Health Partners faces significant business risks, primarily centered on its financial viability, the complex regulatory environment of the healthcare sector, and its ability to effectively manage membership and medical costs.
The most pressing risk to P3 Health Partners is its **financial health and the substantial doubt about its ability to continue as a going concern**. The company has a consistent history of net losses and anticipates continued losses in the foreseeable future. Financial reports indicate substantial net losses for full year 2024 and the first quarter of 2025, coupled with a significant cash burn rate. The company's financial strength is rated poorly, marked by considerable debt levels, and its liquidity is concerning, as evidenced by low current and quick ratios and a high debt-to-equity ratio. Furthermore, its Altman Z-Score places it within the "distress zone," signaling a potential risk of bankruptcy. There is also a risk that the company may not comply with its debt covenants in the future.
A second significant risk stems from the **regulatory landscape and intense market competition within the healthcare industry**. The sector in which P3 Health Partners operates is highly competitive, demanding continuous adaptation to maintain market share. The company is subject to stringent government regulations, and evolving healthcare policies present a constant challenge to its operations. Being heavily reliant on federal government healthcare programs, P3 Health Partners is vulnerable to changes in policies or reimbursement rates, which could materially impact its financial performance. The value-based care market, a core focus for P3, is also becoming increasingly saturated with numerous competitors.
Finally, **membership and cost management** pose a key operational risk to P3 Health Partners. The company faces ongoing challenges from elevated medical utilization costs, particularly concerning Part B services and increased unit costs, which require continuous attention to improve financial performance. P3 has experienced decreases in its at-risk membership due to strategic rationalization of its network and payer relationships. Attracting and retaining both new members and physician partners is an ongoing critical hurdle for the company.
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The rapid expansion and acquisition strategies of well-capitalized retail and technology giants (e.g., Amazon, CVS, Walgreens) into primary care, particularly focused on value-based care models and senior health. These entrants are leveraging significant capital, technological expertise, and existing customer bases to build integrated, tech-enabled primary care networks and population health management capabilities (e.g., Amazon's acquisition of One Medical, CVS's acquisition of Oak Street Health, Walgreens' partnership with VillageMD), which directly compete with and aim to disrupt traditional primary health care providers and senior wellness centers like P3 Health Partners by offering new models of convenient, data-driven, and often more cost-effective care.
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P3 Health Partners Inc. (symbol: PIII) operates in several addressable markets related to healthcare services, primarily within the United States. The company's main products and services include primary health care, population health management, and senior wellness centers.
- Primary Health Care Services: The U.S. primary care market was valued at approximately $128.0 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach $228.0 billion by 2035. Another estimate indicates the U.S. primary care physicians market size was approximately $290.91 billion in 2025 and is expected to grow to $357.86 billion by 2030.
- Population Health Management Services: The U.S. population health management market size was estimated at $36.04 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach $210.18 billion by 2033. Other estimates place the U.S. market at $25.6 billion in 2025, reaching $124.9 billion by 2034, or $12.08 billion in 2024, exceeding $62.96 billion by 2034.
- Senior Wellness Centers: P3 Health Partners provides senior wellness centers in regions like Nevada. The broader global seniors health and wellness market was valued at approximately $1.4 trillion in 2024 and is projected to reach over $2.7 trillion by 2033. Within the U.S., the senior living market, which encompasses various services including wellness, was valued at $923.75 billion in 2023 and is projected to reach around $1,391.23 billion by 2033.
- Clinical Operations: P3's "clinical operations" refer to the management and delivery of care within their clinics, which are intrinsically linked to their primary care and population health management services. While there is a global "clinical operations and development market" valued at $89.07 billion in 2024, projected to grow to $176.29 billion by 2034, this market primarily pertains to the planning, execution, and management of clinical trials for new drugs and medical treatments. Therefore, this market size may not directly reflect P3's specific operational scope for primary care and wellness centers. The U.S. clinical trials support services market was valued at $10.19 billion in 2024 and is predicted to reach around $22.22 billion by 2034.
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- Growth in Medicare Advantage (MA) Membership: P3 Health Partners anticipates increasing its Medicare Advantage membership. For instance, the company provided full-year 2024 guidance projecting Medicare Advantage members to be between 125,000 and 135,000. Furthermore, there is an expectation of adding an additional 25,000 Medicare Advantage lives to the pipeline for 2026.
- Expansion to New Markets and Strategic Partnerships/Joint Ventures: The company plans to grow through strategic collaborations and entering new geographical areas. P3 Health Partners has a robust pipeline of strategic partnerships aimed at driving growth. An example is the joint venture with Commonwealth Primary Care ACO, which expands value-based care services across multiple states, including an increased footprint in Maricopa County, Arizona. This strategic joint venture is expected to add approximately 13,000 ACO members.
- Improved Medical Cost Management and Operational Efficiencies: P3 Health Partners is focused on enhancing its operational effectiveness and managing medical costs more efficiently. The company has identified a $120 million to $170 million EBITDA expansion opportunity for 2026 through operational gains. Management has highlighted that operational improvement plans are embedded in the business, leading to over $100 million in EBITDA improvement year-over-year. This includes rationalizing their provider network to improve margin performance by exiting groups that do not align clinically or economically and growing where their Care Enablement Model delivers strong outcomes.
- Premium Rate Improvements: The company expects to benefit from improvements in premium rates. Management has indicated expectations for a 5% base rate improvement in premiums across its four markets for 2026, with further guidance on coding improvement impacts to be provided.
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Share Issuance
- P3 Health Partners completed a 1-for-50 reverse stock split, effective April 11, 2025. This action was taken to consolidate shares and increase the per-share trading price to maintain compliance with Nasdaq's minimum bid price requirement.
- In May 2024, the company completed a private placement, raising $39.8 million net of offering costs.
- P3 Health Partners has engaged in multiple financing transactions with VBC Growth SPV entities, issuing promissory notes to raise capital.
Inbound Investments
- The company is in discussions with its largest shareholder for a proposed financing transaction in February 2025, involving an additional $30 million unsecured promissory note and warrants. This transaction is expected to be similar to a financing transaction completed in December 2024.
- P3 Health Partners secured a $25 million financing deal to support its working capital needs, as reported in a previous 8-K filing.
Capital Expenditures
- P3 Health Partners is focused on leveraging its existing infrastructure to achieve operating efficiencies.
- The company is making technology investments and focusing on operational efficiencies to create measurable cost savings, margin expansion, and enhanced revenue opportunities.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Date | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| P3 Health Partners Earnings Notes | 12/16/2025 | |
| P3 Health Partners Stock Drop Looks Sharp, But How Deep Can It Go? | 10/17/2025 |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 21.55 |
| Mkt Cap | 8.6 |
| Rev LTM | 12,620 |
| Op Inc LTM | 2,113 |
| FCF LTM | 1,632 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 1,039 |
| CFO LTM | 2,274 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,649 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 6.6% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 7.8% |
| Rev Chg Q | 5.9% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.4% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | 17.8% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | 1.5% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 13.7% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 14.9% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.7% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 11.2% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 11.1% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 2.3% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 1.0% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Single Segment | 1,459 | 59 | |||
| Capitated revenue | 1,484 | 1,252 | 1,035 | ||
| Care coordination / management fees | 11 | 8 | 8 | ||
| Clinical fees & insurance revenue | 6 | 5 | 6 | ||
| Incentive fees | 0 | 1 | 0 | ||
| Shared risk | 0 | ||||
| Total | 1,459 | 1,500 | 1,266 | 1,049 | 59 |
| $ Mil | 2025 |
|---|---|
| Single Segment | -323 |
| Total | -323 |
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 |
|---|---|---|
| Single Segment | 657 | 121 |
| Assets held for sale | 0 | |
| Cash | 39 | |
| Clinic fees, insurance and other receivable | 4 | |
| Intangible assets, net | 574 | |
| Other long-term assets | 19 | |
| Prepaid expenses and other current assets | 14 | |
| Property and equipment, net | 6 | |
| Restricted cash | 5 | |
| Total | 657 | 783 |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $10.75 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 0.0 | |
| First Trading Date | 04/06/2021 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -34.7% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $7.38 | $5.76 |
| DMA Trend | up | up |
| Distance from DMA | 45.7% | 86.5% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 391.6% | 220.1% |
| Downside Capture | -756.56 | -125.73 |
| Upside Capture | 37.19 | -26.04 |
| Correlation (SPY) | -17.0% | -7.8% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | -40.84 | -16.88 | -5.09 | -2.68 | -1.54 | 7.83 |
| Up Beta | -8.85 | 0.21 | 1.45 | 1.91 | 0.71 | 10.03 |
| Down Beta | -138.56 | -112.10 | -10.80 | -8.23 | -3.72 | -0.43 |
| Up Capture | 163% | -11% | 32% | -19% | -21% | 154% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 13 | 28 | 36 | 67 | 141 | 432 |
| Stock +ve Days | 10 | 19 | 32 | 51 | 107 | 311 |
| Down Capture | -10447% | -6781% | -2697% | -551% | -291% | 114% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 7 | 13 | 27 | 57 | 109 | 318 |
| Stock -ve Days | 10 | 22 | 31 | 73 | 139 | 414 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with PIII | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PIII | 78.3% | 220.5% | 0.94 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLV) | 14.0% | 15.0% | 0.66 | -6.1% |
| Equity (SPY) | 26.5% | 12.4% | 1.61 | -8.3% |
| Gold (GLD) | 24.2% | 27.5% | 0.77 | -3.2% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 19.8% | 18.8% | 0.83 | 1.6% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 11.0% | 13.7% | 0.52 | -8.8% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -38.3% | 42.4% | -1.02 | 2.6% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with PIII | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PIII | -53.2% | 2,619.2% | 0.43 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLV) | 5.4% | 14.7% | 0.19 | 3.8% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.5% | 17.1% | 0.62 | 2.7% |
| Gold (GLD) | 17.1% | 18.3% | 0.76 | -1.5% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 7.5% | 19.4% | 0.29 | 0.2% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 1.9% | 18.9% | 0.00 | 5.3% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 11.6% | 54.2% | 0.41 | 1.4% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with PIII | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PIII | -31.4% | 2,571.4% | 0.43 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLV) | 9.4% | 16.6% | 0.46 | 3.8% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.3% | 18.0% | 0.73 | 2.7% |
| Gold (GLD) | 12.3% | 16.1% | 0.63 | -1.5% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 5.9% | 18.0% | 0.26 | 0.2% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.3% | 20.7% | 0.22 | 5.2% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 60.4% | 66.8% | 1.00 | 1.4% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Updated 6/17/2026| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 5/14/2026 | 180.1% | 243.9% | 190.1% |
| 3/26/2026 | 5.4% | -7.9% | -3.2% |
| 11/14/2025 | -12.6% | -16.5% | -33.0% |
| 8/14/2025 | -2.4% | 5.3% | 24.3% |
| 5/15/2025 | -3.7% | -8.3% | -21.7% |
| 3/27/2025 | -4.6% | -3.8% | -2.0% |
| 11/12/2024 | -36.0% | -46.0% | -45.3% |
| 8/7/2024 | -4.2% | -4.3% | -25.4% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 8 | 6 | 4 |
| # Negative | 10 | 12 | 14 |
| Median Positive | 5.0% | 6.1% | 68.3% |
| Median Negative | -4.0% | -12.8% | -23.3% |
| Max Positive | 180.1% | 243.9% | 190.1% |
| Max Negative | -36.0% | -46.0% | -45.3% |
| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 5/14/2026 | 180.1% | 243.9% | 190.1% |
| 3/26/2026 | 5.4% | -7.9% | -3.2% |
| 11/14/2025 | -12.6% | -16.5% | -33.0% |
| 8/14/2025 | -2.4% | 5.3% | 24.3% |
| 5/15/2025 | -3.7% | -8.3% | -21.7% |
| 3/27/2025 | -4.6% | -3.8% | -2.0% |
| 11/12/2024 | -36.0% | -46.0% | -45.3% |
| 8/7/2024 | -4.2% | -4.3% | -25.4% |
| 5/8/2024 | -1.9% | -17.7% | -24.9% |
| 1/10/2024 | 4.1% | -14.8% | -19.3% |
| 11/8/2023 | 6.1% | 0.0% | -12.2% |
| 8/7/2023 | 4.7% | -13.6% | -1.4% |
| 5/10/2023 | 4.1% | 52.7% | 100.9% |
| 3/15/2023 | -6.1% | -13.0% | 35.6% |
| 1/11/2023 | 18.5% | 6.8% | -26.0% |
| 11/14/2022 | -2.8% | 3.7% | -26.8% |
| 4/14/2022 | 2.6% | -12.7% | -32.6% |
| 1/12/2022 | -0.2% | -9.2% | -6.2% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 8 | 6 | 4 |
| # Negative | 10 | 12 | 14 |
| Median Positive | 5.0% | 6.1% | 68.3% |
| Median Negative | -4.0% | -12.8% | -23.3% |
| Max Positive | 180.1% | 243.9% | 190.1% |
| Max Negative | -36.0% | -46.0% | -45.3% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 05/14/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 03/26/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/14/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/14/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/15/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 03/28/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/12/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/07/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/08/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 03/28/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/08/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/07/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/10/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 03/31/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/14/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 10/21/2022 | 10-Q |
| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 05/14/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 03/26/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/14/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/14/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/15/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 03/28/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/12/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/07/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/08/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 03/28/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/08/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/07/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/10/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 03/31/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/14/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 10/21/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 10/21/2022 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2019 | 10/21/2022 | 10-K |
Recent Forward Guidance
Updated 6/1/2026Latest: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 5/14/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 At-risk Members | 0.10 Mil | 0.11 Mil | 0.11 Mil | -4.9% | Lowered | Guidance: 0.11 Mil for 2026 | |
| 2026 Total Revenues | 1.50 Bil | 1.57 Bil | 1.65 Bil | -1.6% | Lowered | Guidance: 1.60 Bil for 2026 | |
| 2026 Medical Margin | 1.9E10% | 2.1E10% | 2.3E10% | 16.7% | Raised | Guidance: 1.8E10% for 2026 | |
| 2026 Adjusted EBITDA | 20.00 Mil | 40.00 Mil | 60.00 Mil | 300.0% | Raised | Guidance: 10.00 Mil for 2026 | |
| 2026 Medical Margin PMPM | 14900.0% | 16450.0% | 18000.0% | ||||
Prior: Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 11/14/2025
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2025 At-risk Members | 0.11 Mil | 0.11 Mil | 0.12 Mil | 0.4% | Affirmed | Guidance: 0.11 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2025 Total Revenues | 1.40 Bil | 1.43 Bil | 1.45 Bil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 1.43 Bil for 2025 | |
| 2025 Medical Margin | 6.7E9% | 7.45E9% | 8.2E9% | -46.4% | Lowered | Guidance: 1.39E10% for 2025 | |
| 2025 Adjusted EBITDA | -110.00 Mil | -102.50 Mil | -95.00 Mil | 89.8% | Lowered | Guidance: -54.00 Mil for 2025 | |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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