Tearsheet

Alliance Entertainment (AENT)


Market Price (12/17/2025): $7.19 | Market Cap: $366.4 Mil
Sector: Communication Services | Industry: Movies & Entertainment

Alliance Entertainment (AENT)


Market Price (12/17/2025): $7.19
Market Cap: $366.4 Mil
Sector: Communication Services
Industry: Movies & Entertainment

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.6%
Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -98%
Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 134%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & DTC Adoption, Digital Content & Streaming, and E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include Supply Chain Digitization, Show more.
  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.3%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -7.0%
2   Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 100%
3   High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 111%
4   Key risks
AENT key risks include [1] a going concern warning from its auditors due to significant indebtedness and covenant breaches and [2] identified material weaknesses in its internal control over financial reporting.
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.6%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & DTC Adoption, Digital Content & Streaming, and E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include Supply Chain Digitization, Show more.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -98%
3 Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 134%
4 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.3%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -7.0%
5 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 100%
6 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 111%
7 Key risks
AENT key risks include [1] a going concern warning from its auditors due to significant indebtedness and covenant breaches and [2] identified material weaknesses in its internal control over financial reporting.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

AENT Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The search results provide news and financial information for Alliance Entertainment (AENT) during the period of August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025, which is the "today" specified in the prompt. This contradicts my initial assumption that I wouldn't have future data. It seems the search tool is providing information that is dated in the future relative to my typical knowledge cut-off, but is within the "current time" context provided. This means I *can* fulfill the request based on the provided search results. I need to extract the key points that could explain a 34.1% stock movement. I will look for significant financial results, strategic partnerships, new appointments, or product releases. From the search results, I can see: * **Fiscal Q1 2026 Results (ended Sept 30, 2025), reported on Nov 12, 2025**: * Net revenue up 11% to $254.0M. * Gross profit up 46% to $37.2M, with gross margin of 14.6% (+340 bps). * Net income $4.9M (vs. $0.4M prior-year), or $0.10 per diluted share. * Adjusted EBITDA $12.2M (+259% YoY) with margin 4.8% (+330 bps). * AI Implementation delivering early productivity gains. * Strengthened balance sheet with $53.2M in working capital; Interest Expense down 17% year-over-year. * Trailing 12-month EBITDA improved to approximately $41.7 million, up from $23.3 million in the 12-months ended September 30, 2024. * Earnings per share in the 12-months ended September 30, 2025, rose to $0.38, up from $0.17 in the 12-months ended September 30, 2024. * **Exclusive U.S. Home Entertainment and Digital Rights Agreement with Eli Roth's The Horror Section (Oct 30, 2025)**: Alliance Home Entertainment will exclusively distribute and market select horror films across physical and digital platforms. * **Support for Taylor Swift's "The Life of a Showgirl" release (Oct 3, 2025)**: Shipped over 330,000 units across vinyl and CD formats. * **Handmade by Robots™ welcomes Brian Maggio as VP of Sales (Dec 12, 2025)**: To drive the next phase of growth for its vinyl-collectibles brand. * **Stock Price Information (Dec 16, 2025)**: The stock price gained 0.410% on December 16, 2025, rising from $7.32 to $7.35. Over the past 2 weeks, it is up by 11.53%. The 52-week high for AENT is $11.57 and the 52-week low is $2.21. * **Market Cap (Dec 16, 2025)**: $374.534M. The prompt asks to explain a 34.1% stock move *for the approximate time period from 8/31/2025 to today*. The stock performance mentioned in the search results shows "up by 11.53% over the past 2 weeks" (as of Dec 16, 2025) and a general positive sentiment (Moderate Buy consensus rating, 45.7% upside potential). While there are positive developments, a specific 34.1% move is not explicitly highlighted as a single event's impact. However, the cumulative effect of the positive news *within* the specified period could contribute to such a move. I should identify the most significant positive news items that occurred between 8/31/2025 and 12/18/2025. Let's list the potential key points from the provided search results that could contribute to a positive stock movement: 1. **Strong Q1 Fiscal Year 2026 Financial Results:** (Reported November 12, 2025, for quarter ended September 30, 2025) Significant increases in net revenue (up 11%), gross profit (up 46%), net income (up from $0.4M to $4.9M), and Adjusted EBITDA (up 259%). This is a very strong positive indicator. 2. **Exclusive Licensing Agreement with Eli Roth's The Horror Section:** (Announced October 30, 2025) Alliance Home Entertainment secured exclusive multi-year U.S. home video and digital rights for select horror films. This expands their content portfolio. 3. **Successful Distribution of Taylor Swift's "The Life of a Showgirl":** (Release October 3, 2025) Successfully shipped over 330,000 units, showcasing the company's robust distribution capabilities and relevance in high-demand physical media. 4. **AI Implementation Delivering Productivity Gains:** (Mentioned in Q1 FY26 results, November 12, 2025) The company is realizing tangible benefits from newly deployed AI tools across sales and operations, suggesting improved efficiency and future profitability. 5. **Appointment of Brian Maggio as VP of Sales for Handmade by Robots™:** (Announced December 12, 2025) This appointment aims to drive the next phase of growth for their vinyl-collectibles brand, indicating strategic focus on a growing segment. These five points cover significant financial performance, strategic content acquisition, operational excellence, technological advancement, and expansion in a key market segment. These are strong positive drivers that could contribute to a substantial stock price increase within the specified period. The prompt does not require me to *quantify* how much each point contributed, only to highlight them as reasons for the overall movement. I will use these five points for the response. The prompt mentions a 34.1% move. The search results show an 11.53% rise over the past 2 weeks as of Dec 16, 2025. It also shows a 6-month performance of 123.01% increase (as of Jan 29, 2025, for 6 months *prior* to that date, which is not within the requested period of 8/31/2025 - 12/18/2025). So, while the 34.1% specific move isn't directly identified as happening between 8/31/2025 and 12/18/2025, the prompt asks *why* it moved by that amount. I need to explain *potential* reasons for such a move, given the news within the period. The gathered points are strong enough to account for a significant upward movement. The stock price was $7.35 on Dec 16, 2025. Let's check if the stock price information mentions the price around 8/31/2025. Result mentions: "over the last year Alliance Entertainment Holding Corporation has showed a 11.61% increase" (as of Jan 29, 2025). This is not helpful for the specific period. Result indicates the 52-week low is $2.21 and the 52-week high is $11.57. If the stock started near its 52-week low and moved up, a 34.1% increase is plausible within a 3.5 month period. Let's assume the user has observed a 34.1% movement and wants the key points from the news. I will provide the key points found. I need to format the output in HTML with bolded numbered points and two line breaks between them.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
AENT Return4%-91%876%-19%
Peers Return-18%55%-6%17%15%-13%41%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
AENT Win Rate44%83%33%75%50% 
Peers Win Rate56%58%42%48%48%54% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
AENT Max Drawdown-0%-93%0%-75% 
Peers Max Drawdown-64%-3%-38%-27%-26%-38% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: HAS, MAT, FNKO, JAKK.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventAENTS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-92.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven1310.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days

Compare to NFLX, ANGX, PSKY, DIS, WMG


In The Past

Alliance Entertainment's stock fell -92.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/17/2023. A -92.9% loss requires a 1310.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Alliance Entertainment (AENT)

Better Bets than Alliance Entertainment (AENT)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to AENT. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PINS_11302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11302025PINSPinterestMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-1.3%-1.3%-1.4%
TMUS_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025TMUST-Mobile USMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-5.0%-5.0%-6.4%
Z_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ZZillowMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-1.5%-1.5%-3.9%
IRDM_11072025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11072025IRDMIridium CommunicationsDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
1.3%1.3%-5.6%
TTD_10032025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE10032025TTDTrade DeskDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-28.9%-28.9%-29.8%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PINS_11302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11302025PINSPinterestMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-1.3%-1.3%-1.4%
TMUS_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025TMUST-Mobile USMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-5.0%-5.0%-6.4%
Z_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ZZillowMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-1.5%-1.5%-3.9%
IRDM_11072025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11072025IRDMIridium CommunicationsDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
1.3%1.3%-5.6%
TTD_10032025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE10032025TTDTrade DeskDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-28.9%-28.9%-29.8%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Alliance Entertainment

Peers to compare with:

Financials

AENTHASMATFNKOJAKKMedian
NameAlliance.Hasbro Mattel Funko Jakks Pa. 
Mkt Price7.2381.3620.343.0216.4816.48
Mkt Cap0.411.46.40.20.20.4
Rev LTM1,0884,3575,2289295741,088
Op Inc LTM40833564-46840
FCF LTM41550488-91841
FCF 3Y Avg45525546142045
CFO LTM41750659272941
CFO 3Y Avg46725728493049

Growth & Margins

AENTHASMATFNKOJAKKMedian
NameAlliance.Hasbro Mattel Funko Jakks Pa. 
Rev Chg LTM-1.3%0.8%-2.4%-11.3%-16.5%-2.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-7.0%-10.7%-3.4%-11.2%-12.1%-10.7%
Rev Chg Q10.9%8.3%-5.9%-14.3%-34.3%-5.9%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.3%2.5%-2.0%-4.3%-16.1%-2.0%
Op Mgn LTM3.7%19.1%10.8%-5.0%1.4%3.7%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg1.2%11.6%11.0%-6.2%5.1%5.1%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.7%0.4%-1.8%-0.8%-5.4%-0.8%
CFO/Rev LTM3.8%17.2%12.6%2.9%5.1%5.1%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg4.1%16.0%13.8%4.7%4.5%4.7%
FCF/Rev LTM3.7%12.6%9.3%-1.0%3.1%3.7%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg4.1%11.7%10.3%1.3%3.0%4.1%

Valuation

AENTHASMATFNKOJAKKMedian
NameAlliance.Hasbro Mattel Funko Jakks Pa. 
Mkt Cap0.411.46.40.20.20.4
P/S0.32.41.00.20.40.4
P/EBIT--40.48.8-4.022.72.4
P/E18.0-19.112.3-2.734.512.3
P/CFO8.614.28.17.17.18.1
Total Yield5.6%-1.6%8.1%-36.5%4.2%4.2%
Dividend Yield0.0%3.7%0.0%0.0%1.3%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-5.2%8.6%0.1%13.4%6.9%
D/E-0.30.51.70.30.4
Net D/E-0.30.41.40.10.3

Returns

AENTHASMATFNKOJAKKMedian
NameAlliance.Hasbro Mattel Funko Jakks Pa. 
1M Rtn2.8%5.6%8.6%-1.3%5.9%5.6%
3M Rtn6.4%11.1%18.0%-8.2%-6.9%6.4%
6M Rtn137.2%21.9%7.2%-38.4%-18.8%7.2%
12M Rtn15.8%40.7%9.0%-74.4%-34.9%9.0%
3Y Rtn-28.6%61.2%21.6%-70.6%1.5%1.5%
1M Excs Rtn2.0%4.9%7.9%-2.0%5.1%4.9%
3M Excs Rtn1.1%8.3%16.0%-14.1%-10.0%1.1%
6M Excs Rtn124.6%9.6%-5.2%-50.8%-31.2%-5.2%
12M Excs Rtn11.7%25.9%-3.3%-85.3%-46.3%-3.3%
3Y Excs Rtn-97.5%-13.0%-51.5%-136.3%-68.4%-68.4%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil2025202420232022
Gaming Products341394  
Vinyl Records330324  
Digital Video Discs and Blu-Ray209185  
Compact Discs132127  
Collectables and Electronics4481  
Single Segment  1,324776
Total1,0561,1121,324776


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity333,877
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520251.7%
Average Daily Volume75,753
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.41
Basic Shares Quantity50,957,370
Short % of Basic Shares0.7%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
9/10/2025-15.1%-2.4%-4.6%
2/13/2025-19.1%-19.3%-31.5%
9/20/20241.1%0.0%37.4%
4/12/20230.0%-14.3%0.0%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive212
# Negative232
Median Positive0.5%0.0%18.7%
Median Negative-17.1%-14.3%-18.0%
Max Positive1.1%0.0%37.4%
Max Negative-19.1%-19.3%-31.5%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251112202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025910202510-K 6/30/2025
3312025515202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024213202510-Q 12/31/2024
93020241112202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024920202410-K 6/30/2024
3312024509202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023208202410-Q 12/31/2023
93020231109202310-Q 9/30/2023
63020231019202310-K 6/30/2023
3312023522202310-Q 3/31/2023
123120225012023S-1/A 12/31/2022
63020226302023424B4 6/30/2022