Adient (ADNT)
Market Price (12/20/2025): $19.48 | Market Cap: $1.6 BilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Automotive Parts & Equipment
Adient (ADNT)
Market Price (12/20/2025): $19.48Market Cap: $1.6 BilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Automotive Parts & Equipment
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 13% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -89%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -116% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 92% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, and Advanced Materials. Themes include EV Manufacturing, Autonomous Driving Technology, Show more. | Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.0% | |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 77% | ||
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -22% | ||
| Key risksADNT key risks include [1] reduced market share in China following the sale of a major joint venture, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 13% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, and Advanced Materials. Themes include EV Manufacturing, Autonomous Driving Technology, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -89%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -116% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 92% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.0% |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 77% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -22% |
| Key risksADNT key risks include [1] reduced market share in China following the sale of a major joint venture, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
ADNT Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
1. Adient Missed Q4 2025 EPS Estimates, Leading to Negative Market Sentiment.
On November 5, 2025, Adient (ADNT) released its fourth-quarter fiscal year 2025 financial results. While the company's revenue of $3.688 billion slightly exceeded analyst estimates of $3.649 billion, its non-GAAP Earnings Per Share (EPS) of $0.52 fell short of the estimated $0.5409. This mixed outcome, with profitability missing expectations, led to an immediate negative market reaction, with the stock trading over 4% lower in pre-market sessions.
2. Cautious FY26 Outlook and Anticipated Margin Compression.
Adient's forward-looking guidance for fiscal year 2026 contributed to the stock's decline. The company anticipated that improved business performance would be offset by lower customer production volumes and increased growth investments. Furthermore, Adient projected margin compression in China due to growth with domestic OEMs and volume headwinds from luxury global OEMs. Stifel, an investment firm, noted that Adient's management appeared to incorporate a "relatively negative scenario" regarding production disruptions from customer supply chain issues in its FY26 outlook.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| ADNT Return | 64% | 38% | -28% | 5% | -53% | 12% | -9% |
| Peers Return | 31% | 13% | -24% | 6% | -31% | 1% | -18% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| ADNT Win Rate | 67% | 67% | 42% | 33% | 8% | 42% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 63% | 53% | 38% | 45% | 33% | 50% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| ADNT Max Drawdown | -69% | -10% | -42% | -13% | -54% | -40% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -50% | -8% | -39% | -16% | -35% | -36% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: LEA, MGA, GNTX, THRM, CVGI. See ADNT Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/19/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | ADNT | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -47.8% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 91.7% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -77.0% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 335.2% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 243 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -85.4% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 583.6% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 120 days |
Compare to BWA, ALSN, MOD, LCII, APTV
In The Past
Adient's stock fell -47.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/3/2021. A -47.8% loss requires a 91.7% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to ADNT. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BBWI | Bath & Body Works | Dip Buy | DB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider BuyingBuying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 13.7% | 13.7% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | HRB | H&R Block | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.8% | 5.8% | -0.1% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.6% | 3.6% | -4.4% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 18.4% | 18.4% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | MTN | Vail Resorts | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 11.9% | 11.9% | -1.6% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BBWI | Bath & Body Works | Dip Buy | DB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider BuyingBuying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 13.7% | 13.7% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | HRB | H&R Block | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.8% | 5.8% | -0.1% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.6% | 3.6% | -4.4% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 18.4% | 18.4% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | MTN | Vail Resorts | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 11.9% | 11.9% | -1.6% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Adient
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 30.34 |
| Mkt Cap | 3.3 |
| Rev LTM | 8,483 |
| Op Inc LTM | 451 |
| FCF LTM | 337 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 338 |
| CFO LTM | 533 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 543 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -1.5% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 5.0% |
| Rev Chg Q | 2.7% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 0.7% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 4.2% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 4.2% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 7.0% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 6.0% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 3.9% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 2.6% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 3.3 |
| P/S | 0.3 |
| P/EBIT | 9.6 |
| P/E | 13.9 |
| P/CFO | 6.6 |
| Total Yield | 6.1% |
| Dividend Yield | 1.1% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 7.2% |
| D/E | 0.5 |
| Net D/E | 0.3 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 8.0% |
| 3M Rtn | -4.2% |
| 6M Rtn | 26.4% |
| 12M Rtn | 4.8% |
| 3Y Rtn | -25.4% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 5.1% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -4.7% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 12.5% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -10.3% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -98.8% |
Comparison Analyses
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/5/2025 | -16.7% | -14.3% | -22.8% |
| 8/6/2025 | 3.5% | 3.7% | 10.6% |
| 5/7/2025 | -0.5% | 25.8% | 24.2% |
| 1/28/2025 | 3.7% | -5.3% | -3.1% |
| 11/8/2024 | 2.2% | 2.6% | -0.9% |
| 8/6/2024 | -6.0% | -10.2% | -2.8% |
| 5/3/2024 | -9.3% | -4.4% | -7.0% |
| 1/22/2024 | 3.6% | 6.3% | 3.7% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 11 | 14 | 10 |
| # Negative | 13 | 10 | 14 |
| Median Positive | 3.6% | 6.7% | 11.4% |
| Median Negative | -6.2% | -6.4% | -4.5% |
| Max Positive | 33.1% | 44.6% | 51.9% |
| Max Negative | -16.7% | -16.7% | -27.1% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11182025 | 10-K 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8062025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5072025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 1282025 | 10-Q 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11182024 | 10-K 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8062024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5032024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2072024 | 10-Q 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11172023 | 10-K 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8022023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5032023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2072023 | 10-Q 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11222022 | 10-K 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8052022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5062022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2042022 | 10-Q 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |