Tearsheet

Gentherm (THRM)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $37.15 | Market Cap: $1.1 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Automotive Parts & Equipment

Gentherm (THRM)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $37.15
Market Cap: $1.1 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Automotive Parts & Equipment

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 6.4%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -65%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -116%
Key risks
THRM key risks include [1] its largest customer, Show more.
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 37%
  
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, and Electrification of Everything. Themes include EV Manufacturing, Autonomous Driving Technology, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 6.4%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 37%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, and Electrification of Everything. Themes include EV Manufacturing, Autonomous Driving Technology, Show more.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -65%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -116%
4 Key risks
THRM key risks include [1] its largest customer, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

THRM Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Gentherm (THRM) stock movement during the approximate period from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025, was influenced by several key factors.

1. Strong Third Quarter 2025 Financial Performance: Gentherm reported its third-quarter 2025 financial results on October 23, 2025, announcing non-GAAP earnings per share (EPS) of $0.73, which surpassed the estimated $0.65. The company also achieved a record quarterly revenue of $387 million.

2. Positive Analyst Sentiment and Upgrade: On December 17, 2025, Gentherm Inc. stock was upgraded to a "Buy Candidate." The company holds a consensus "Moderate Buy" rating from analysts, with an average 12-month price target of $39.0, representing a potential upside of 5.58% from recent prices.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
THRM Return47%33%-25%-20%-24%-7%-17%
Peers Return37%9%-19%15%-25%15%20%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
THRM Win Rate58%58%42%50%42%50% 
Peers Win Rate63%53%38%47%35%57% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
THRM Max Drawdown-36%-6%-43%-40%-27%-42% 
Peers Max Drawdown-63%-9%-41%-14%-37%-29% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: PATK, VC, CVGI, APTV, MGA.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventTHRMS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-60.2%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven151.5%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-42.3%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven73.4%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven228 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-27.4%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven37.7%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven436 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-89.5%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven852.2%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1,701 days1,480 days

Compare to PATK, VC, CVGI, APTV, MGA


In The Past

Gentherm's stock fell -60.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/14/2022. A -60.2% loss requires a 151.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Gentherm (THRM)

Better Bets than Gentherm (THRM)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to THRM. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
13.0%13.0%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
6.4%6.4%-0.1%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%-4.4%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
17.1%17.1%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-1.6%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
13.0%13.0%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
6.4%6.4%-0.1%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%-4.4%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
17.1%17.1%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-1.6%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Gentherm

Peers to compare with:

Financials

THRMPATKVCCVGIAPTVMGAMedian
NameGentherm Patrick .Visteon Commerci.Aptiv Magna In. 
Mkt Price37.11111.6499.971.4976.7553.6065.17
Mkt Cap1.13.62.70.116.715.13.2
Rev LTM1,4693,8733,75965819,79441,7903,816
Op Inc LTM105258341-42,0891,988300
FCF LTM67183366-51,6572,036275
FCF 3Y Avg5329025871,3411,133274
CFO LTM12430149562,3423,526398
CFO 3Y Avg106372384242,1653,218378

Growth & Margins

THRMPATKVCCVGIAPTVMGAMedian
NameGentherm Patrick .Visteon Commerci.Aptiv Magna In. 
Rev Chg LTM-0.1%6.1%-4.0%-12.8%-1.0%-2.0%-1.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg10.6%-7.3%3.0%-11.9%7.7%4.0%3.5%
Rev Chg Q4.1%6.1%-6.4%-11.2%3.1%1.8%2.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.1%1.5%-1.6%-2.8%0.8%0.4%0.6%
Op Mgn LTM7.1%6.7%9.1%-0.6%10.6%4.8%6.9%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg7.1%7.2%7.9%1.9%9.8%4.6%7.2%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.6%-0.3%0.1%-0.0%0.1%-0.0%-0.0%
CFO/Rev LTM8.5%7.8%13.2%0.9%11.8%8.4%8.5%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg7.3%10.0%9.9%3.2%11.0%7.6%8.8%
FCF/Rev LTM4.5%4.7%9.7%-0.8%8.4%4.9%4.8%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg3.6%7.9%6.7%0.8%6.8%2.7%5.1%

Valuation

THRMPATKVCCVGIAPTVMGAMedian
NameGentherm Patrick .Visteon Commerci.Aptiv Magna In. 
Mkt Cap1.13.62.70.116.715.13.2
P/S0.70.90.90.10.90.30.8
P/EBIT13.714.38.8-10.49.67.19.2
P/E33.927.810.6-0.918.512.915.7
P/CFO8.311.16.68.88.03.88.2
Total Yield2.9%5.2%9.4%-108.7%5.4%11.8%5.3%
Dividend Yield0.0%1.6%0.0%0.0%0.0%4.1%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg4.1%13.3%8.0%-2.9%6.5%8.6%7.2%
D/E0.20.50.12.40.40.60.5
Net D/E0.10.5-0.11.80.40.50.4

Returns

THRMPATKVCCVGIAPTVMGAMedian
NameGentherm Patrick .Visteon Commerci.Aptiv Magna In. 
1M Rtn6.9%15.6%-0.4%-1.0%-0.1%12.1%3.4%
3M Rtn4.4%5.7%-19.8%-20.7%-7.4%15.8%-1.5%
6M Rtn35.2%25.5%10.6%12.0%13.4%45.5%19.5%
12M Rtn-6.0%29.0%12.0%-37.0%32.6%29.1%20.5%
3Y Rtn-43.8%187.0%-24.0%-77.9%-17.9%6.0%-21.0%
1M Excs Rtn6.2%14.9%-1.1%-1.7%-0.9%11.4%2.7%
3M Excs Rtn0.5%3.0%-22.7%-24.5%-11.4%13.0%-5.5%
6M Excs Rtn22.9%13.1%-1.8%-0.4%1.1%33.1%7.1%
12M Excs Rtn-22.2%15.4%-3.2%-52.2%21.3%15.8%6.1%
3Y Excs Rtn-115.8%137.8%-97.7%-146.8%-88.6%-67.0%-93.1%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Automotive1,4231,1621,005870920
Medical4643424351
Corporate and other unallocated expenses 0   
Total1,4691,2051,046913972


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Automotive186118163138141
Medical-22-4-21-6
Corporate and other unallocated expenses-86-66-46-50-51
Total77481158984


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity717,533
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520255.4%
Average Daily Volume164,143
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.37
Basic Shares Quantity30,480,000
Short % of Basic Shares2.4%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/23/20258.2%7.9%-4.8%
7/24/20252.7%1.8%8.3%
2/19/2025-7.7%-6.5%-15.8%
10/30/20241.6%6.9%1.4%
7/31/20249.7%-0.3%-0.2%
2/21/202420.0%15.8%9.4%
10/26/2023-15.6%-25.6%-11.7%
8/1/202310.5%8.3%2.2%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive121011
# Negative101211
Median Positive6.2%8.1%10.7%
Median Negative-4.0%-5.9%-5.9%
Max Positive20.0%15.8%28.3%
Max Negative-15.6%-25.6%-37.1%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251023202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025724202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025424202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024219202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241030202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024731202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024430202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023221202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231026202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023801202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023427202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022224202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221103202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022802202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022504202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021217202210-K 12/31/2021