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ADC Therapeutics (ADCT)


Market Price (11/8/2025): $4.2 | Market Cap: $477.7 Mil
Sector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology

ADC Therapeutics (ADCT)


Market Price (11/8/2025): $4.2
Market Cap: $477.7 Mil
Sector: Health Care
Industry: Biotechnology

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -32%
Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -81%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -126 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -163%
1   Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 218%
2   Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -165%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -166%
3   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -41%
4   High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 117%
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -32%
1 Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -81%
2 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -126 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -163%
3 Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 218%
4 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -165%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -166%
5 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -41%
6 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 117%

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

ADCT Stock


Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
ADCT Return--37%-81%-57%20%109%-87%
Peers Return-15%-9%-6%-3%-3%-18%-44%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
ADCT Win Rate29%33%25%33%33%70% 
Peers Win Rate18%15%23%31%22%62% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
ADCT Max Drawdown--40%-86%-88%0%-45% 
Peers Max Drawdown-20%-13%-14%-15%-30%-27% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: VRTX, APM, BBOT, GDTC, HIND.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/7/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventADCTS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-98.6%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven7174.1%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-50.5%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven102.1%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days148 days

Compare to VRTX, APM, BBOT, GDTC, HIND


In The Past

ADC Therapeutics's stock fell -98.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/25/2021. A -98.6% loss requires a 7174.1% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About ADC Therapeutics (ADCT)

Better Bets than ADC Therapeutics (ADCT)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to ADCT. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
GDRX_10312025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG10312025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
-7.7%-7.7%-7.7%
DXCM_10312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10312025DXCMDexComMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-5.5%-5.5%-5.5%
ACHC_10242025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10242025ACHCAcadia HealthcareDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-16.6%-16.6%-16.6%
PBH_10102025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10102025PBHPrestige Consumer HealthcareDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-1.7%-1.7%-1.9%
REGN_10032025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10032025REGNRegeneron PharmaceuticalsDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
9.6%9.6%-7.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
GDRX_10312025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG10312025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
-7.7%-7.7%-7.7%
DXCM_10312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10312025DXCMDexComMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-5.5%-5.5%-5.5%
ACHC_10242025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10242025ACHCAcadia HealthcareDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-16.6%-16.6%-16.6%
PBH_10102025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10102025PBHPrestige Consumer HealthcareDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-1.7%-1.7%-1.9%
REGN_10032025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10032025REGNRegeneron PharmaceuticalsDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
9.6%9.6%-7.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for ADC Therapeutics

Financials

ADCTVRTXAPMBBOTGDTCHINDMedian
NameADC Ther.Vertex P.Aptorum BridgeBi.CytoMed .Vyome  
Mkt Price4.04409.471.3812.151.885.514.78
Mkt Cap0.5104.7----52.6
Rev LTM7711,723-0--77
Op Inc LTM-126-92--93---93
FCF LTM-1283,337--60---60
FCF 3Y Avg-1262,064----969
CFO LTM-1273,718--60---60
CFO 3Y Avg-1252,419----1,147

Growth & Margins

ADCTVRTXAPMBBOTGDTCHINDMedian
NameADC Ther.Vertex P.Aptorum BridgeBi.CytoMed .Vyome  
Rev Chg LTM15.7%10.3%----13.0%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg16.1%10.5%----13.3%
Rev Chg Q8.2%11.0%----9.6%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.9%2.7%----2.3%
Op Mgn LTM-163.5%-0.8%-----82.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-141.8%26.2%-----57.8%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.6%1.0%----0.8%
CFO/Rev LTM-164.8%31.7%-----66.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-145.9%23.1%-----61.4%
FCF/Rev LTM-165.6%28.5%-----68.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-147.4%19.8%-----63.8%

Valuation

ADCTVRTXAPMBBOTGDTCHINDMedian
NameADC Ther.Vertex P.Aptorum BridgeBi.CytoMed .Vyome  
Mkt Cap0.5104.7----52.6
P/S5.98.9----7.4
P/EBIT-3.923.5----9.8
P/E-2.728.5----12.9
P/CFO-3.628.1----12.3
Total Yield-37.0%3.5%-----16.7%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%----0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-50.0%2.3%-----23.9%
D/E0.30.0----0.1
Net D/E-0.3-0.0-----0.2

Returns

ADCTVRTXAPMBBOTGDTCHINDMedian
NameADC Ther.Vertex P.Aptorum BridgeBi.CytoMed .Vyome  
1M Rtn-11.0%-2.8%-42.7%1.0%-13.4%-6.1%-8.6%
3M Rtn50.7%11.7%9.5%-0.5%-10.6%
6M Rtn218.1%-3.7%60.3%--15.3%-28.3%
12M Rtn37.9%-18.5%7.8%--26.0%--5.3%
3Y Rtn-2.4%33.6%-78.9%----2.4%
1M Excs Rtn-11.9%-1.2%-41.7%-1.7%-16.4%0.3%-6.8%
3M Excs Rtn45.2%3.8%-8.4%--1.1%-1.3%
6M Excs Rtn199.2%-22.5%41.4%--34.2%-9.4%
12M Excs Rtn16.1%-34.4%-14.9%--44.7%--24.7%
3Y Excs Rtn-81.2%-46.9%-157.1%----81.2%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Product revenue, net6975   
Royalties00   
License revenues 135   
Single segment  34 2
Total7021034 2


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single segment   514 
Total   514 


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date10152025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity6,374,485
Short Interest: % Change Since 930202520.3%
Average Daily Volume1,307,881
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.87
Basic Shares Quantity113,743,358
Short % of Basic Shares5.6%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
8/12/20259.7%20.9%20.5%
3/27/2025-3.8%-15.8%-15.8%
11/7/2024-8.4%-11.9%-2.2%
8/6/20241.7%-9.8%-3.1%
5/6/2024-9.2%-12.2%-28.6%
1/4/202413.3%31.3%116.9%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive322
# Negative344
Median Positive9.7%26.1%68.7%
Median Negative-8.4%-12.1%-9.5%
Max Positive13.3%31.3%116.9%
Max Negative-9.2%-15.8%-28.6%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025812202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025514202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024327202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241107202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024806202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024506202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023313202410-K 12/31/2023
9302023110720236-K 9/30/2023
630202380820236-K 6/30/2023
331202350920236-K 3/31/2023
12312022315202320-F 12/31/2022
9302022110820226-K 9/30/2022
630202280920226-K 6/30/2022
331202250920226-K 3/31/2022
12312021317202220-F 12/31/2021
9302021110220216-K 9/30/2021

Insider Activity

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