ABM Industries (ABM)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $43.93 | Market Cap: $2.7 BilSector: Industrials | Industry: Environmental & Facilities Services
ABM Industries (ABM)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $43.93Market Cap: $2.7 BilSector: IndustrialsIndustry: Environmental & Facilities Services
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.1%, Dividend Yield is 2.2% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -39%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -70% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 53% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 30% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Smart Buildings & Proptech, Sustainable & Green Buildings, and Electrification of Everything. Themes include Building Management Systems, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.1%, Dividend Yield is 2.2% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 30% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Smart Buildings & Proptech, Sustainable & Green Buildings, and Electrification of Everything. Themes include Building Management Systems, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -39%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -70% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 53% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
ABM Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key points explaining the approximate -10.1% movement in ABM Industries' stock from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025:
1. Q3 2025 Earnings Miss: ABM Industries reported its fiscal third-quarter 2025 adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.82 on September 5, 2025, which fell short of analysts' consensus estimates of $0.95 or $0.96. This represented a −10.32% earnings surprise.
2. Lowered Fiscal Year 2025 Adjusted EPS Outlook: Following the Q3 results, management projected the full-year adjusted EPS for fiscal 2025 to be at the lower end of their previously provided guidance range of $3.65 to $3.80.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| ABM Return | 2% | 10% | 11% | 3% | 16% | -14% | 29% |
| Peers Return | -1% | 23% | -38% | 16% | 26% | 3% | 14% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| ABM Win Rate | 42% | 50% | 75% | 50% | 67% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 72% | 50% | 29% | 40% | 38% | 38% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| ABM Max Drawdown | -46% | -2% | -6% | -12% | -11% | -20% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -24% | -13% | -45% | -19% | -19% | -25% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: FTDR, BV, MEG, MDRN, SEAH. See ABM Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | ABM | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -29.3% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 41.5% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 659 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -49.6% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 98.3% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 232 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -42.2% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 72.9% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 803 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -61.3% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 158.1% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 2179 days | 1480 days |
Compare to FTDR, BV, MEG, MDRN, SEAH
In The Past
ABM Industries's stock fell -29.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/22/2022. A -29.3% loss requires a 41.5% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to ABM. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 7.3% | 7.3% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.3% | 2.3% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.8% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 1.6% | 1.6% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 7.3% | 7.3% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.3% | 2.3% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.8% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 1.6% | 1.6% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for ABM Industries
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 35.00 |
| Mkt Cap | 2.0 |
| Rev LTM | 2,370 |
| Op Inc LTM | 197 |
| FCF LTM | 65 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 121 |
| CFO LTM | 196 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 212 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 8.0% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 6.0% |
| Rev Chg Q | 10.1% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.7% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 4.0% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 3.9% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.4% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 10.1% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 6.9% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 5.0% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 2.9% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 2.0 |
| P/S | 0.9 |
| P/EBIT | 12.0 |
| P/E | 22.0 |
| P/CFO | 12.1 |
| Total Yield | 4.4% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 6.2% |
| D/E | 0.5 |
| Net D/E | 0.4 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 2.8% |
| 3M Rtn | -9.9% |
| 6M Rtn | -11.5% |
| 12M Rtn | -15.1% |
| 3Y Rtn | 44.9% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 2.8% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -16.6% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -26.3% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -29.4% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -29.4% |
Comparison Analyses
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 7312025 | 9052025 | 10-Q 7/31/2025 |
| 4302025 | 6062025 | 10-Q 4/30/2025 |
| 1312025 | 3122025 | 10-Q 1/31/2025 |
| 10312024 | 12192024 | 10-K 10/31/2024 |
| 7312024 | 9062024 | 10-Q 7/31/2024 |
| 4302024 | 6062024 | 10-Q 4/30/2024 |
| 1312024 | 3072024 | 10-Q 1/31/2024 |
| 10312023 | 12182023 | 10-K 10/31/2023 |
| 7312023 | 9072023 | 10-Q 7/31/2023 |
| 4302023 | 6072023 | 10-Q 4/30/2023 |
| 1312023 | 3082023 | 10-Q 1/31/2023 |
| 10312022 | 12212022 | 10-K 10/31/2022 |
| 7312022 | 9092022 | 10-Q 7/31/2022 |
| 4302022 | 6092022 | 10-Q 4/30/2022 |
| 1312022 | 3092022 | 10-Q 1/31/2022 |
| 10312021 | 12222021 | 10-K 10/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |