How Low Can Autodesk Stock Go In A Market Crash

ADSK: Autodesk logo
ADSK
Autodesk

Autodesk has consistently underperformed the S&P 500 during major market crashes, with an average decline of 51%. In various crises, Autodesk’s declines exceeded those of the S&P 500, such as a 77% fall during the Global Financial Crisis compared to 57% for the index. The time taken to reach lows varied, with significant lagging: 15 months for the Global Financial Crisis and 10 months for the Inflation Shock. Recovery times have also been uneven; it struggled for 59 months post-Global Financial Crisis and has yet to recover from the Inflation Shock. Overall, Autodesk’s historical performance demonstrates its vulnerability and sensitivity to market downturns, rather than resilience.

Autodesk Stock Performance In Market Crashes:

ADSK S&P 500
   
Dot-Com Bubble    
% Change from Pre-Recession Peak -65% -37%
# of Months for Full Recovery 4 69
   
Global Financial Crisis    
% Change from Pre-Recession Peak -77% -57%
# of Months for Full Recovery 59 49
   
2018 Correction    
% Change from Pre-Recession Peak -25% -20%
# of Months for Full Recovery 2 4
   
Covid Pandemic    
% Change from Pre-Recession Peak -35% -34%
# of Months for Full Recovery 3 5
   
Inflation Shock    
% Change from Pre-Recession Peak -52% -25%
# of Months for Full Recovery Yet to Recover 15

Worried that ADSK is yet to hit the bottom? You could take a look at the Trefis High Quality (HQ) Portfolio, with a collection of 30 stocks, has a track record of comfortably outperforming the S&P 500 over the last 4-year period. Why is that? As a group, HQ Portfolio stocks provided better returns with less risk versus the benchmark index; less of a roller-coaster ride, as evident in HQ Portfolio performance metrics.

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