Clear Secure Stock To $54?

YOU: Clear Secure logo
YOU
Clear Secure

Clear Secure (YOU) stock has jumped 13% during the past day, and is currently trading at $41.08. Our multi-factor assessment suggests that it may be time to buy more shares of YOU stock. We have, overall, a positive view of the stock, and a price of $54 may not be out of reach. We believe there is not much to fear in YOU stock given its overall Strong operating performance and financial condition. Considering stock’s Moderate valuation, we think it is Attractive.

Below is our assessment:

  CONCLUSION
What you pay:
Valuation Moderate
What you get:
Growth Very Strong
Profitability Strong
Financial Stability Very Strong
Downturn Resilience Very Weak
Operating Performance Strong
 
Stock Opinion Attractive

Asset allocation is a smarter path than stock picking. The asset allocation strategies of Trefis’ Boston-based, wealth management partner yielded positive returns during the 2008-09 period when the S&P lost more than 40%. And now, Trefis High Quality Portfolio is part of it.

Let’s get into details of each of the assessed factors but before that, for quick background: With $4.0 Bil in market cap, Clear Secure provides a member-centric secure identity platform and a virtual queuing technology offering flexible queuing options at home or on the move in the United States.

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[1] Valuation Looks Moderate

  YOU S&P 500
Price-to-Sales Ratio 3.7 11.4
Price-to-Earnings Ratio 17.7 37.5
Price-to-Free Cash Flow Ratio 11.1 54.0

This table highlights how YOU is valued vs broader market. For more details see: YOU Valuation Ratios

[2] Growth Is Very Strong

  • Clear Secure has seen its top line grow at an average rate of 31.0% over the last 3 years
  • Its revenues have grown 18% from $735 Mil to $866 Mil in the last 12 months
  • Also, its quarterly revenues grew 15.5% to $229 Mil in the most recent quarter from $198 Mil a year ago.

  YOU S&P 500
3-Year Average 31.0% 12.2%
Latest Twelve Months* 17.8% 13.2%
Most Recent Quarter (YoY)* 15.5% 15.9%

This table highlights how YOU is growing vs broader market. For more details see: YOU Revenue Comparison

[3] Profitability Appears Strong

  • YOU last 12 month operating income was $167 Mil representing operating margin of 19.2%
  • With cash flow margin of 35.9%, it generated nearly $311 Mil in operating cash flow over this period
  • For the same period, YOU generated nearly $182 Mil in net income, suggesting net margin of about 21.0%

  YOU S&P 500
Current Operating Margin 19.2% 37.5%
Current OCF Margin 35.9% 35.5%
Current Net Income Margin 21.0% 27.6%

This table highlights how YOU profitability vs broader market. For more details see: YOU Operating Income Comparison

[4] Financial Stability Looks Very Strong

  • YOU Debt was $114 Mil at the end of the most recent quarter, while its current Market Cap is $4.0 Bil. This implies Debt-to-Equity Ratio of 3.5%
  • YOU Cash (including cash equivalents) makes up $531 Mil of $1.1 Bil in total Assets. This yields a Cash-to-Assets Ratio of 47.1%

  YOU S&P 500
Current Debt-to-Equity Ratio 3.5% 2.7%
Current Cash-to-Assets Ratio 47.1% 16.0%

[5] Downturn Resilience Is Very Weak

YOU has fared much worse than the S&P 500 index during various economic downturns. We assess this based on both (a) how much the stock fell and, (b) how quickly it recovered.

2022 Inflation Shock

  • YOU stock fell 73.4% from a high of $62.10 on 2 August 2021 to $16.51 on 30 October 2023 vs. a peak-to-trough decline of 25.4% for the S&P 500.
  • The stock is yet to recover to its pre-Crisis high
  • The highest the stock has reached since then is $41.08 on 12 December 2025 $41.08

  YOU S&P 500
% Change from Pre-Recession Peak -73.4% -25.4%
Time to Full Recovery Not Fully Recovered 464 days

 

But the risk is not limited to major market crashes. Stocks fall even when markets are good – think events like earnings, business updates, outlook changes. Read YOU Dip Buyer Analyses to see how the stock has recovered from sharp dips in the past.

The Trefis High Quality (HQ) Portfolio, with a collection of 30 stocks, has a track record of comfortably outperforming its benchmark that includes all 3 – the S&P 500, S&P mid-cap, and Russell 2000 indices. Why is that? As a group, HQ Portfolio stocks provided better returns with less risk versus the benchmark index; less of a roller-coaster ride, as evident in HQ Portfolio performance metrics.