Can Western Digital Stock Hold Up When Markets Turn?

-45.09%
Downside
280
Market
154
Trefis
WDC: Western Digital logo
WDC
Western Digital

Western Digital (WDC) stock is up 10.7% in a day. The rally reflects robust AI-driven data growth and strong data center demand for storage, but big moves like this often invite a tougher question: is the stock truly resilient when markets reverse?

Before judging its downturn reslience, let’s look at where Western Digital stands today.

  • Size: Western Digital is a $98 Bil company with $13 Bil in revenue currently trading at $279.70.
  • Fundamentals: Last 12 month revenue growth of 39.2% and operating margin of 21.1%.
  • Liquidity: Has Debt to Equity ratio of 0.05 and Cash to Assets ratio of 0.15
  • Valuation: Western Digital stock is currently trading at P/E multiple of 52.4 and P/EBIT multiple of 45.6
  • Has returned (median) 59.9% within a year following sharp dips since 2010. See WDC Dip Buy Analysis.

These metrics point to a Strong operational performance, alongside Very High valuation – making the stock Relatively Expensive. For details, see Buy or Sell WDC Stock

That brings us to the key consideration for investors chasing this rally: how resilient is WDC stock if markets turn south? This is where our downturn resilience framework comes in. Suppose WDC stock falls 20-30% to $196 – can investors comfortably hold on? Turns out, the stock has fared worse than the S&P 500 index during various economic downturns, based on (a) how much the stock fell and, (b) how quickly it recovered. Below, we dive deeper into each such downturn.

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2022 Inflation Shock

  • WDC stock fell 60.9% from a high of $77.17 on 4 June 2021 to $30.21 on 28 December 2022 vs. a peak-to-trough decline of 25.4% for the S&P 500.
  • However, the stock fully recovered to its pre-Crisis peak by 29 May 2024
  • Since then, the stock increased to a high of $279.70 on 28 January 2026 $279.70

  WDC S&P 500
% Change from Pre-Recession Peak -60.9% -25.4%
Time to Full Recovery 518 days 464 days

 
2020 Covid Pandemic

  • WDC stock fell 58.8% from a high of $70.93 on 23 January 2020 to $29.19 on 18 March 2020 vs. a peak-to-trough decline of 33.9% for the S&P 500.
  • However, the stock fully recovered to its pre-Crisis peak by 1 March 2021

  WDC S&P 500
% Change from Pre-Recession Peak -58.8% -33.9%
Time to Full Recovery 348 days 148 days

 
2018 Correction

  • WDC stock fell 67.1% from a high of $106.45 on 16 March 2018 to $35.06 on 24 December 2018 vs. a peak-to-trough decline of 19.8% for the S&P 500.
  • However, the stock fully recovered to its pre-Crisis peak by 19 September 2025

  WDC S&P 500
% Change from Pre-Recession Peak -67.1% -19.8%
Time to Full Recovery 2,461 days 120 days

 
2008 Global Financial Crisis

  • WDC stock fell 75.2% from a high of $39.98 on 5 June 2008 to $9.93 on 20 November 2008 vs. a peak-to-trough decline of 56.8% for the S&P 500.
  • However, the stock fully recovered to its pre-Crisis peak by 16 December 2009

  WDC S&P 500
% Change from Pre-Recession Peak -75.2% -56.8%
Time to Full Recovery 391 days 1,480 days

 
Feeling jittery about WDC stock? Consider portfolio approach.

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Individual stocks can soar or tank but one thing matters: staying invested. The right portfolio can help you stay invested, capture upside and mitigate the downside associated with any individual stock.

The Trefis High Quality (HQ) Portfolio, with a collection of 30 stocks, has a track record of comfortably outperforming its benchmark that includes all 3 – the S&P 500, S&P mid-cap, and Russell 2000 indices. Why is that? As a group, HQ Portfolio stocks provided better returns with less risk versus the benchmark index; less of a roller-coaster ride, as evident in HQ Portfolio performance metrics.