RGLD Stock Surges 17% With A 9-day Winning Spree On Goldman Gold Forecast
Royal Gold (RGLD) – a precious metal streaming and royalty management company – hit 9-day winning streak, with cumulative gains over this period amounting to a 17%. The company market cap has surged by about $3.6 Bil over the last 9 days, and currently stands at $24.3 Bil.
The stock has YTD (year-to-date) return of 26.0% compared to 0.4% for S&P 500. This calls for a re-evaluation of the stock’s valuation to find out whether this is an opportunity, or a trap.
What Triggered The Rally?
[1] Goldman Sachs Lifts 2026 Gold Price Forecast
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- Forecast Raised To $5,400/oz
- Spot Gold Surged To New Peak
- Impact: Sector-Wide Buying Momentum, New 52-Week High
[2] Increased Dividend and Institutional Buying
- Dividend Payment on Jan 16 2026
- Reports of Institutional Accumulation
- Impact: Heightened Investor Confidence, Sustained Price Appreciation
Opportunity or Trap?
Below is our take on valuation.
There is not much to fear in RGLD stock given its overall Strong operating performance and financial condition. But given its Very High valuation, the stock appears Relatively Expensive (For details, see Buy or Sell RGLD).
But here is the real interesting point.
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Returns vs S&P 500
The following table summarizes the return for RGLD stock vs. the S&P 500 index over different periods, including the current streak:
| Return Period | RGLD | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1D | 0.7% | 1.2% |
| 9D (Current Streak) | 15.2% | -0.7% |
| 1M (21D) | 25.3% | 1.5% |
| 3M (63D) | 44.3% | 2.1% |
| YTD 2026 | 26.0% | 0.4% |
| 2025 | 70.4% | 16.4% |
| 2024 | 10.4% | 23.3% |
| 2023 | 8.7% | 24.2% |
However, big gains can follow sharp reversals – but how has RGLD behaved after prior drops? See RGLD Dip Buyer Analysis to learn more.
Gains and Losses Streaks: S&P 500 Constituents
There are currently 28 S&P constituents with 3 days or more of consecutive gains and 34 constituents with 3 days or more of consecutive losses.
| Consecutive Days | # of Gainers | # of Losers |
|---|---|---|
| 3D | 11 | 12 |
| 4D | 4 | 13 |
| 5D | 4 | 2 |
| 6D | 2 | 2 |
| 7D or more | 7 | 5 |
| Total >=3 D | 28 | 34 |
Key Financials for Royal Gold (RGLD)
Last 2 Fiscal Years:
| Metric | FY2023 | FY2024 |
|---|---|---|
| Revenues | $605.7 Mil | $719.4 Mil |
| Operating Income | $303.2 Mil | $429.9 Mil |
| Net Income | $239.4 Mil | $332.0 Mil |
Last 2 Fiscal Quarters:
| Metric | 2025 FQ2 | 2025 FQ3 |
|---|---|---|
| Revenues | $209.6 Mil | $252.1 Mil |
| Operating Income | $141.8 Mil | $175.1 Mil |
| Net Income | $132.3 Mil | $126.8 Mil |
While RGLD stock looks attractive given its winning streak, investing in a single stock without detailed, thorough analysis can be risky. The Trefis High Quality (HQ) Portfolio, with a collection of 30 stocks, has a track record of comfortably outperforming its benchmark that includes all 3 — the S&P 500, S&P mid-cap, and Russell 2000 indices. Why is that? As a group, HQ Portfolio stocks provided better returns with less risk versus the benchmark index; less of a roller-coaster ride, as evident in HQ Portfolio performance metrics.