Stocks, Bonds, Gold, Crypto: Market Update 1/27/2026
Here is a quick snapshot of how different asset classes moved yesterday, last week, and the last month.
- Equity rose 0.4% yesterday and also gained over the last week and month.
- Bonds fell 0.07% yesterday, after rising 0.5% in the week and 0.2% in the month.
- Gold returned 2.5% yesterday and increased over the past week and month as well.
- Commodities investors earned 1.4% yesterday and posted gains in the past week and month.
- Real Estate dropped 0.03% yesterday, following a 0.6% weekly decline and a 1.8% monthly rise.
- Bitcoin grew 0.3% yesterday and is up for both the week and month.
| ETF | 1D | 1W | 1M | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity | SPY | 0.4% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Bonds | AGG | -0.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Gold | GLD | 2.5% | 8.9% | 15.6% |
| Commodities | DBC | 1.4% | 4.9% | 8.8% |
| Real Estate | VNQ | -0.0% | -0.6% | 1.8% |
| Bitcoin | BTCUSD | 0.3% | 0.3% | 1.1% |
Why does it matter?
- See where capital is flowing: Asset class performance reveals investor sentiment, from risk-on rallies to flight-to-safety moves.
- Track shifts in correlation: Rising correlations reduce diversification benefits and increase portfolio risk during stress.
- Spot early signs of rotation: Leadership changing across stocks, bonds, or commodities often precedes macro regime shifts.
Trefis works with Empirical Asset Management – a Boston area wealth manager – whose asset allocation strategies yielded positive returns during the 2008-09 period when the S&P lost more than 40%. Empirical has incorporated the Trefis HQ Portfolio in this asset allocation framework to provide clients better returns with less risk versus the benchmark index; less of a roller-coaster ride, as evident in HQ Portfolio performance metrics.
Capital Flow Patterns Have Governed Historical Risk-Return Profile
| ETF | Return | Volatility | Sharpe | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity | SPY | 15.8% | 15.0% | 89.8% |
| Bonds | AGG | 1.9% | 5.1% | -11.7% |
| Gold | GLD | 16.4% | 15.4% | 91.0% |
| Commodities | DBC | 8.9% | 16.5% | 47.8% |
| Real Estate | VNQ | 5.9% | 17.6% | 26.9% |
| Bitcoin | BTCUSD | 72.5% | 75.7% | 103.5% |
Figures are on annualized basis, based on monthly return data for last 10 years
How Stable Is Correlation Between Different Asset Classes?
| Equity | Bonds | Gold | Commodities | Real Estate | Bitcoin | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity | – | 12% | 20% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 12% | 3.1% | 34% | 24% | 37% | 73% | 69% | 64% | 25% | 38% | 40% |
| Bonds | 12% | 20% | 8.4% | – | 34% | 33% | 7.9% | -0.3% | -2.9% | -14% | 28% | 38% | 35% | 11% | 7.6% | -4.6% |
| Gold | 5.5% | 12% | 3.1% | 34% | 33% | 7.9% | – | 27% | 35% | 35% | 13% | 19% | 8.4% | 10% | 8.9% | 7.7% |
| Commodities | 34% | 24% | 37% | -0.3% | -2.9% | -14% | 27% | 35% | 35% | – | 24% | 16% | 25% | 9.8% | 11% | 22% |
| Real Estate | 73% | 69% | 64% | 28% | 38% | 35% | 13% | 19% | 8.4% | 24% | 16% | 25% | – | 17% | 25% | 21% |
| Bitcoin | 25% | 38% | 40% | 11% | 7.6% | -4.6% | 10% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 11% | 22% | 17% | 25% | 21% | – |
The figures above are correlations for last 10Y, 5Y and 1Y, in same order
Which Assets Have Seen Most Money Rotation During Market Crashes?
| ETF | Inflation Shock | Covid Pandemic | 2018 Correction | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity | SPY | -23.0% | -30.4% | -19.3% |
| Bonds | AGG | -14.1% | -2.1% | 1.4% |
| Gold | GLD | -7.7% | -6.3% | 5.0% |
| Commodities | DBC | 20.5% | -23.7% | -16.5% |
| Real Estate | VNQ | -29.8% | -41.6% | -11.1% |
| Bitcoin | BTCUSD | -56.0% | -33.5% | -37.4% |
The table shows return of different asset classes during market crises – specifically during the period where S&P fell and bottomed
The Trefis High Quality (HQ) Portfolio, with a collection of 30 stocks, has a track record of comfortably outperforming its benchmark that includes all 3 – S&P 500, Russell, and S&P midcap. Why is that? As a group, HQ Portfolio stocks provided better returns with less risk versus the benchmark index; less of a roller-coaster ride, as evident in HQ Portfolio performance metrics.