SkyWest Stock To $110?

SKYW: SkyWest logo
SKYW
SkyWest

SkyWest (SKYW) stock has fallen by 13.3% in less than a month, from $99.30 on 17th Apr, 2026 to $86.09 now. What comes next? We believe there is a good chance of a stock rebound considering history of recovery post-dips and our current Attractive opinion of the stock. Read Buy or Sell SkyWest Stock to see how we arrive at this opinion.

Dip buying is a viable strategy for quality stocks that have a history of recovering from dips. As it turns out, SKYW stock passes basic quality checks. Historically, the median return for the 12-month period following sharp dips was 21%, with median peak return reaching 40%. We define sharp dip as stock going down 20% or more, in less than 30 day period.

Below, we get into details of historical dips and subsequent returns.

Trefis: SKYW Stock Insights

 
Historical Median Returns Post Dips
 

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Period Past Median Return
1M 1.4%
3M -1.3%
6M 7.7%
12M 20.8%

 
Historical Dip-Wise Details
 
SKYW had 20 events since 1/1/2010 where the dip threshold of -20% within 30 days was triggered

  • 40% median peak return within 1 year of dip event
  • 312 days is the median time to peak return after a dip event
  • -22% median max drawdown within 1 year of dip event

30 Day Dip SKYW Subsequent Performance
Date SKYW SPY 1Y Peak
Return
Max
Drop
# Days
to Peak
Median     21% 40% -22% 312
10102025 -21% 1% -11% 12% -11% 139
3062025 -23% -6% 0% 39% -11% 173
9132022 -21% -4% 126% 133% -22% 352
6132022 -25% -9% 68% 70% -32% 365
2042022 -27% -4% -37% 12% -50% 5
12012021 -22% -0% -52% 13% -58% 7
7192021 -23% 1% -39% 40% -45% 78
10282020 -21% -3% 66% 119% 0% 138
7172020 -24% 4% 23% 101% -13% 241
2252020 -22% -4% 19% 20% -76% 364
12142018 -21% -4% 41% 44% -5% 347
10102018 -21% -4% 10% 24% -16% 287
1072016 -23% -7% 123% 142% -13% 348
8062014 -23% -1% 91% 92% -22% 364
2052014 -22% -4% 13% 19% -39% 355
4262012 -22% 1% 66% 87% -28% 340
3052012 -20% 4% 37% 34% -43% 364
8192011 -22% -16% -27% 17% -47% 168
7062010 -23% -5% 33% 50% 0% 267
2052010 -20% -5% 11% 20% -18% 336

1Y Refers to 1 year or time since recent dip, whichever is smaller
 
SkyWest Passes Basic Financial Quality Checks

Revenue growth, profitability, cash flow, and balance sheet strength need to be evaluated to reduce the risk of a dip being the sign of a deteriorating business situation.

Quality Metrics Value Quality Check
Revenue Growth (LTM) 15.0% Pass
Revenue Growth (3-Yr Avg) 11.0% Pass
Operating Cash Flow Margin (LTM) 23.2% Pass
Leverage (see below) Pass
=> Interest Coverage Ratio 6.4  
=> Cash To Interest Expense Ratio 6.8  

Not sure if you can take a call on SKYW stock? Consider portfolio approach

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