CMG, YUM Look Smarter Buy Than Starbucks Stock

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Trefis
SBUX: Starbucks logo
SBUX
Starbucks

CMG, YUM are Starbucks’s peers in Restaurants industry that have:

1) Lower valuation (P/OpInc) compared to Starbucks stock
2) But higher revenue and operating income growth

This disconnect between valuation and performance could mean that you are better off buying CMG, YUM stocks vs. SBUX stock

Individual stocks can soar or tank but one thing matters: staying invested. High Quality Portfolio helps you do that.

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Key Metrics Compared

Metric SBUX CMG YUM
P/OpInc* 25.2x 22.8x 16.5x
LTM OpInc Growth -30.1% 2.9% 6.9%
3Y Avg OpInc Growth -4.7% 24.5% 5.9%
LTM Revenue Growth 0.6% 7.3% 11.6%
3Y Avg Revenue Growth 4.7% 11.9% 6.4%

OpInc = Operating Income, P/OpInc = Price To Operating Income Ratio

But do these numbers tell the full story? Read Buy or Sell SBUX Stock to see if Starbucks still has an edge that holds up under the hood. As a quick background, Starbucks (SBUX) operates as a roaster, marketer, and retailer of specialty coffee, offering beverages, roasted beans, single-serve, and ready-to-drink products through thousands of global stores.

This is just one approach to evaluate investments. Trefis High Quality Portfolio evaluates much more, and is designed to reduce stock-specific risk while giving upside exposure

Is The Mismatch In Stock Price Temporary

One way to check if Starbucks stock is expensive now versus the other tickers would be to see how these metrics compared across companies exactly a year ago. Specifically, if there has been a marked reversal in the trend for Starbucks in the last 12 months, then there is a chance that the current mismatch is likely to reverse. On the other hand, a persistent underperformance in revenue and operating income growth for Starbucks would reinforce the conclusion that the stock is expensive compared to its peers, but may not revert soon

Key Metrics Compared 1 Yr Prior

Metric SBUX CMG YUM
P/OpInc* 25.7x 41x 15.5x
LTM OpInc Growth -21.3% 8.1% 5.4%
3Y Avg OpInc Growth -2.1% 28.8% 5.6%
LTM Revenue Growth -0.5% 8.6% 11.3%
3Y Avg Revenue Growth 5.2% 12.5% 5.9%

OpInc = Operating Income

Additional Metrics To Consider

Metric SBUX CMG YUM
P/S 2.8x 4.4x 5.2x
Market Cap (Current) $ 96.8 Bil $ 45.6 Bil $ 41.0 Bil
LTM Revenue $ 36.69 Bil $ 11.79 Bil $ 8.06 Bil
LTM Opinc $ 3.84 Bil $ 2.00 Bil $ 2.49 Bil
LTM Op Margin 10.5% 16.9% 30.8%

OpInc = Operating Income

Alternate buying based on valuation, while attractive, needs to be evaluated carefully from multiple angles. Such multi-factor analysis is exactly how we construct Trefis portfolio strategies. If you want upside with a smoother ride than an individual stock, consider the High Quality portfolio, which has outperformed the its benchmark – a combination of S&P 500, Russell, and S&P midcap index.