Why Rocket Lab Stock Jumped 100%?
Rocket Lab (RKLB)’s stock skyrocketed over 100%, fueled not just by steady revenue gains but a near doubling in investor optimism. Behind this surge: a stellar earnings beat, bold growth forecasts, a strategic acquisition, record orders—and a launch delay stirring intrigue. Let’s unpack what really moved the needle.
| 5152025 | 11112025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 25.2 | 51.2 | 103.2% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 466.0 | 504.3 | 8.2% |
| P/S Multiple | 27.4 | 52.3 | 91.3% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 505.6 | 515.1 | -1.9% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 103.1% |
So what is happening here? The stock price surged 103%, driven by an 8.2% rise in revenue and a 91% boost in the P/S multiple. Let’s explore the key events behind these impressive shifts.
Before we get into details of events that led to stock surge, here is what market wisdom says: A single stock can be risky, but there is a huge value to a broader, diversified approach we take with the Trefis High Quality Portfolio. Trefis works with Empirical Asset Management — a Boston area wealth manager — whose asset allocation strategies yielded positive returns during the 2008-09 period when the S&P lost more than 40%. Empirical has incorporated the Trefis HQ Portfolio in this asset allocation framework to provide clients with higher returns while taking on lower levels of risk versus the benchmark index.
Here Is Why Rocket Lab Stock Moved
- Q3 Earnings Beat: Record Q3 2025 revenue of $155.08M, 48% YoY growth, beat estimates with reduced net loss.
- Strong Q4 Guidance: Company provided strong Q4 2025 revenue guidance of $170-180M, boosting investor confidence.
- Geost Acquisition: Acquisition of Geost for up to $325M completed, expanding national security capabilities.
- Record Electron Orders: Secured 17 Electron launch contracts in Q3 2025, a record, with over $1.1B backlog.
- Neutron Launch Delay: First Neutron rocket launch delayed to Q1 2026 for testing, impacting timelines.
Our Current Assesment Of RKLB Stock
Opinion: We currently find RKLB stock relatively expensive. Why so? Have a look at the full story. Read Buy or Sell RKLB Stock to see what drives our current opinion.
Risk: A good way to gauge RKLB’s risk is to check its fall during major market crises. It dropped only about 3% during the Covid pandemic, which is relatively mild. But during the inflation shock, the stock plunged over 82%. That’s a huge hit, showing that despite positive factors, RKLB can still face severe drawdowns when market conditions turn. Even with promising outlooks, volatility is very real for this name.
RKLB stock may have seen strong gains recently, but investing in a single stock without detailed, thorough analysis can be risky. The Trefis High Quality (HQ) Portfolio, with a collection of 30 stocks, has a track record of comfortably outperforming its benchmark that includes all 3 — the S&P 500, S&P mid-cap, and Russell 2000 indices. Why is that? As a group, HQ Portfolio stocks provided better returns with less risk versus the benchmark index; less of a roller-coaster ride, as evident in HQ Portfolio performance metrics.