Pure Storage Stock To $48?

PSTG: Pure Storage logo
PSTG
Pure Storage

Pure Storage (PSTG) stock has fallen 27% during the past day, and is currently trading at $68.85. Our multi-factor assessment suggests that it may be time to sell PSTG stock. We have, overall, a pessimistic view of the stock, and a price of $48 may not be out of reach. We believe there are only a couple of things to fear in PSTG stock given its overall Moderate operating performance and financial condition. But keeping in mind its High valuation, we think that the stock is Unattractive.

Below is our assessment:

  CONCLUSION
What you pay:
Valuation High
What you get:
Growth Strong
Profitability Weak
Financial Stability Very Strong
Downturn Resilience Weak
Operating Performance Moderate
 
Stock Opinion Unattractive

Equities is not the only thing we do. Is a portfolio of 10% commodities, 10% gold, and 2% crypto in addition to equities and bonds – likely to return more and protect you better? We have crunched the numbers.

Let’s get into details of each of the assessed factors but before that, for quick background: With $23 Bil in market cap, Pure Storage provides data storage technologies and products, including FlashArray for block storage and FlashBlade for unstructured data workloads, serving both traditional and modern applications globally.

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[1] Valuation Looks High

  PSTG S&P 500
Price-to-Sales Ratio 5.6 3.2
Price-to-Earnings Ratio 134.6 23.5
Price-to-Free Cash Flow Ratio 34.1 20.5

This table highlights how PSTG is valued vs broader market. For more details see: PSTG Valuation Ratios

[2] Growth Is Strong

  • Pure Storage has seen its top line grow at an average rate of 9.7% over the last 3 years
  • Its revenues have grown 11% from $3.0 Bil to $3.4 Bil in the last 12 months
  • Also, its quarterly revenues grew 12.7% to $861 Mil in the most recent quarter from $764 Mil a year ago.

  PSTG S&P 500
3-Year Average 9.7% 5.5%
Latest Twelve Months* 11.3% 6.1%
Most Recent Quarter (YoY)* 12.7% 7.1%

This table highlights how PSTG is growing vs broader market. For more details see: PSTG Revenue Comparison

[3] Profitability Appears Weak

  • PSTG last 12 month operating income was $76 Mil representing operating margin of 2.3%
  • With cash flow margin of 23.9%, it generated nearly $802 Mil in operating cash flow over this period
  • For the same period, PSTG generated nearly $139 Mil in net income, suggesting net margin of about 4.2%

  PSTG S&P 500
Current Operating Margin 2.3% 18.8%
Current OCF Margin 23.9% 20.5%
Current Net Income Margin 4.2% 13.1%

This table highlights how PSTG profitability vs broader market. For more details see: PSTG Operating Income Comparison

[4] Financial Stability Looks Very Strong

  • PSTG Debt was $223 Mil at the end of the most recent quarter, while its current Market Cap is $23 Bil. This implies Debt-to-Equity Ratio of 1.2%
  • PSTG Cash (including cash equivalents) makes up $1.5 Bil of $4.0 Bil in total Assets. This yields a Cash-to-Assets Ratio of 38.2%

  PSTG S&P 500
Current Debt-to-Equity Ratio 1.2% 20.4%
Current Cash-to-Assets Ratio 38.2% 7.0%

[5] Downturn Resilience Is Weak

PSTG has fared worse than the S&P 500 index during various economic downturns. We assess this based on both (a) how much the stock fell and, (b) how quickly it recovered.

2022 Inflation Shock

  • PSTG stock fell 41.1% from a high of $28.90 on 12 February 2021 to $17.03 on 12 May 2021 vs. a peak-to-trough decline of 25.4% for the S&P 500.
  • However, the stock fully recovered to its pre-Crisis peak by 24 November 2021
  • Since then, the stock increased to a high of $98.70 on 2 November 2025 , and currently trades at $68.85

  PSTG S&P 500
% Change from Pre-Recession Peak -41.1% -25.4%
Time to Full Recovery 196 days 464 days

 
2020 Covid Pandemic

  • PSTG stock fell 55.6% from a high of $19.74 on 12 February 2020 to $8.76 on 18 March 2020 vs. a peak-to-trough decline of 33.9% for the S&P 500.
  • However, the stock fully recovered to its pre-Crisis peak by 24 November 2020

  PSTG S&P 500
% Change from Pre-Recession Peak -55.6% -33.9%
Time to Full Recovery 251 days 148 days

 

But the risk is not limited to major market crashes. Stocks fall even when markets are good – think events like earnings, business updates, outlook changes. Read PSTG Dip Buyer Analyses to see how the stock has recovered from sharp dips in the past.

The Trefis High Quality (HQ) Portfolio, with a collection of 30 stocks, has a track record of comfortably outperforming its benchmark that includes all 3 – the S&P 500, S&P mid-cap, and Russell 2000 indices. Why is that? As a group, HQ Portfolio stocks provided better returns with less risk versus the benchmark index; less of a roller-coaster ride, as evident in HQ Portfolio performance metrics.