Pure Storage (PSTG)
Market Price (12/20/2025): $69.05 | Market Cap: $22.8 BilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals
Pure Storage (PSTG)
Market Price (12/20/2025): $69.05Market Cap: $22.8 BilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 24%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 129x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 175x |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Artificial Intelligence, and Cloud Computing. Themes include Data Centers & Infrastructure, Infrastructure as a Service (IaaS), Show more. | Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13% |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 78% | |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.6% | |
| Key risksPSTG key risks include [1] declining operating margins as rising R&D and sales expenses outpace revenue growth, Show more. |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 24%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Artificial Intelligence, and Cloud Computing. Themes include Data Centers & Infrastructure, Infrastructure as a Service (IaaS), Show more. |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 129x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 175x |
| Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13% |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 78% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.6% |
| Key risksPSTG key risks include [1] declining operating margins as rising R&D and sales expenses outpace revenue growth, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
PSTG Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Between August 31, 2025, and December 20, 2025, Pure Storage (PSTG) experienced a notable stock decline, largely influenced by its fiscal Q3 2026 earnings report and subsequent market reactions in early December.
1. Lower-than-expected GAAP Earnings: Pure Storage's stock experienced a significant drop after its Q3 fiscal 2026 earnings report on December 2, 2025. While adjusted earnings per share (EPS) met expectations at $0.58, the GAAP EPS of $0.16 fell short of the estimated $0.24.
2. Concerns over Increased Spending Outlook: A key factor weighing on shares was the company's announcement of plans for "significant incremental investments in R&D and sales and marketing" for fiscal year 2027. This raised investor concerns about potential pressures on future margin expansion.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| PSTG Return | 32% | 44% | -18% | 33% | 72% | 9% | 292% |
| Peers Return | 31% | 55% | -19% | 84% | 65% | 18% | 487% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| PSTG Win Rate | 67% | 58% | 42% | 42% | 50% | 67% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 60% | 65% | 42% | 65% | 65% | 53% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| PSTG Max Drawdown | -49% | -25% | -31% | -17% | -2% | -39% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -36% | -6% | -33% | -7% | -5% | -29% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: DELL, NTAP, HPE, IBM, NVDA. See PSTG Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/19/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | PSTG | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -41.1% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 69.7% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 196 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -55.6% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 125.3% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 251 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -54.6% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 120.3% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 556 days | 120 days |
Compare to IBM, DELL, STX, WDC, NTAP
In The Past
Pure Storage's stock fell -41.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/12/2021. A -41.1% loss requires a 69.7% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to PSTG. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 15.3% | 15.3% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 10.2% | 10.2% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.6% | 14.6% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.6% | 9.6% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 8.4% | 8.4% | 0.0% |
| 03312025 | PSTG | Pure Storage | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 87.3% | 56.2% | -16.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 15.3% | 15.3% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 10.2% | 10.2% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.6% | 14.6% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.6% | 9.6% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 8.4% | 8.4% | 0.0% |
| 03312025 | PSTG | Pure Storage | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 87.3% | 56.2% | -16.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Pure Storage
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 119.16 |
| Mkt Cap | 58.7 |
| Rev LTM | 49,849 |
| Op Inc LTM | 4,284 |
| FCF LTM | 3,062 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 3,091 |
| CFO LTM | 5,008 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 5,685 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 12.0% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 4.6% |
| Rev Chg Q | 12.6% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 3.1% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 12.2% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 11.8% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.4% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 22.1% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 22.6% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 17.2% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 17.8% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 58.7 |
| P/S | 3.8 |
| P/EBIT | 22.3 |
| P/E | 40.0 |
| P/CFO | 16.4 |
| Total Yield | 3.7% |
| Dividend Yield | 1.8% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 5.9% |
| D/E | 0.2 |
| Net D/E | 0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 4.8% |
| 3M Rtn | -2.7% |
| 6M Rtn | 17.9% |
| 12M Rtn | 17.9% |
| 3Y Rtn | 143.4% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 1.9% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -6.5% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 3.5% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 0.1% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 53.8% |
Comparison Analyses
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 12/2/2025 | -27.3% | -25.9% | |
| 8/27/2025 | 32.3% | 29.4% | 35.4% |
| 5/28/2025 | -2.7% | -0.8% | 0.5% |
| 2/26/2025 | -14.8% | -16.4% | -22.4% |
| 12/3/2024 | 22.1% | 12.6% | 20.0% |
| 8/28/2024 | -15.8% | -21.5% | -17.3% |
| 5/29/2024 | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.9% |
| 2/28/2024 | 25.0% | 35.2% | 23.4% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 14 | 14 | 13 |
| # Negative | 10 | 10 | 11 |
| Median Positive | 8.9% | 9.7% | 20.0% |
| Median Negative | -11.2% | -14.6% | -13.9% |
| Max Positive | 32.3% | 35.2% | 35.4% |
| Max Negative | -27.3% | -25.9% | -22.4% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | 12102025 | 10-Q 10/31/2025 |
| 7312025 | 9102025 | 10-Q 8/3/2025 |
| 4302025 | 6112025 | 10-Q 4/30/2025 |
| 1312025 | 3272025 | 10-K 1/31/2025 |
| 10312024 | 12122024 | 10-Q 11/3/2024 |
| 7312024 | 9112024 | 10-Q 8/4/2024 |
| 4302024 | 6132024 | 10-Q 4/30/2024 |
| 1312024 | 4012024 | 10-K 1/31/2024 |
| 10312023 | 12152023 | 10-Q 11/5/2023 |
| 7312023 | 9142023 | 10-Q 8/7/2023 |
| 4302023 | 6162023 | 10-Q 5/7/2023 |
| 1312023 | 4032023 | 10-K 1/31/2023 |
| 10312022 | 12152022 | 10-Q 11/6/2022 |
| 7312022 | 9152022 | 10-Q 8/7/2022 |
| 4302022 | 6162022 | 10-Q 5/8/2022 |
| 1312022 | 4072022 | 10-K 1/31/2022 |
Industry Resources
| Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals Resources |
| The Verge |
| TechRadar |
| Tom’s Hardware |
| PCMag |
| CNET |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |