Is Paychex’s Dividend Enough To Make Up For Its Lagging Stock?

PAYXYTD+4.4%SPYYTD+11.4%XLIYTD+8.5%
Analyze PAYX →

For questions about this article or underlying research, email help@trefis.com.

Paychex (PAYX) provides human resources, payroll, and benefits services to businesses and pays a quarterly cash dividend. The stock offered a 4.2% dividend yield at the October 29, 2026 close. Over the past five years, though, the share price has fallen far behind the S&P 500. Once every dividend is counted, in Paychex and in the market, what would you guess a Paychex holder made over those five years?

Image from Pixabay

How Far Has Paychex Stock Trailed The Market?

Measured by price alone, Paychex stock fell 10.6% in the five years to October 29, 2026, while the S&P 500 climbed 69.6%. This gap places Paychex 80.2 percentage points behind the broader index. Judged by the share price alone, the market was by far the better holding.

How Much Did Paychex’s Dividends Add?

Factoring in reinvested dividends, Paychex delivered a 5.4% return over the same five years. The distributions added 16.1 percentage points to the total. All of a Paychex holder’s five-year gain came from these payouts, which also compensated for the drop in the share price.

Did The Dividends Close The Gap For Paychex Holders?

Answering that requires comparing the Paychex return with dividends against the S&P 500 return with dividends.

Return from Oct 21, 2021 to Oct 29, 2026 On price alone With dividends reinvested
The stock -10.6% +5.4%
S&P 500 +69.6% +80.9%

Before taxes and costs. The S&P 500 is measured through the SPDR S&P 500 ETF.

The S&P 500 generated an 80.9% return once dividends were included, with its own payouts contributing 11.3 percentage points to that figure. Although Paychex received a larger boost from its dividends than the broader market did, the stock still trails the S&P 500 by 75.5 points. The distributions narrowed the distance between Paychex and the market only slightly, because the broader index also paid dividends.

What This Means If You Own Paychex For Income

Paychex dividends added 4.8 percentage points to its return over the past year, a span that held five of its quarterly payouts, while S&P 500 dividends added about 1 point. This calculation includes both the cash distribution and the price change on the newly purchased shares. The larger dividend boost accompanied a share price that has trailed the market badly over the last five years. Even with dividends included, Paychex lost 7.0% in the past year, while the S&P 500 gained 12.9%.

Paychex funds its dividend with earnings from its payroll and HR work, and in fiscal Q1 2027 most of its revenue came from its Management Solutions business. Free cash flow equaled 30.5% of its revenue over the four fiscal quarters ended August 31, 2026. During its September 23, 2026 call, management named sustained dividend growth among the drivers of long-term shareholder returns within its control.

Cash adds value only when a company puts it to work. For example, Tesla holds over $45 billion in cash and investments, yet the Big Story argues it has passed up a free ride for 1 in 10 US families with kids, which it estimates would cost about $340 million. Read Trefis Big Story: Musk’s Massive Marketing Miss Cost $10 Trillion.

For anyone holding Paychex for income, the figure that matters is the stock’s return with dividends compared against the S&P 500’s return with dividends, rather than the dividend on its own.

How To Act On PAYX?

Now you know Paychex better. Our purpose is to inform you so you can decide for yourself, and acting on one stock, in either direction, carries its own risk.

If you would rather own a portfolio built to spread that risk, the Trefis High Quality (HQ) Portfolio holds 30 quality companies in equal weight. Since its inception in September 2020 it has returned 105%, ahead of a benchmark that combines the S&P 500, S&P Mid-cap and Russell 2000.

See How The HQ Portfolio Works

Spot an error or want more like this? Tell us in 10 seconds.