Time To Buy The Dip In Oscar Health Stock?
Oscar Health (OSCR) stock has fallen by 11.6% in less than a month, from $15.05 on 4th Mar, 2026 to $13.30 now. Should you buy this dip?
Dip buying is a viable strategy for quality stocks that have a history of recovering from dips. As it turns out, OSCR stock passes basic quality checks. Historically, the median return for the 12-month period following sharp dips was 3.3% , with median peak return reaching 41%. We define sharp dip as stock going down 20% or more, in less than 30 day period.
Below, we get into details of historical dips and subsequent returns.
Historical Median Returns Post Dips
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| Period | Past Median Return |
|---|---|
| 1M | -2.4% |
| 3M | -7.1% |
| 6M | -9.0% |
| 12M | 3.3% |
Historical Dip-Wise Details
OSCR had 15 events since 1/1/2010 where the dip threshold of -20% within 30 days was triggered
- 41% median peak return within 1 year of dip event
- 84 days is the median time to peak return after a dip event
- -27% median max drawdown within 1 year of dip event
| 30 Day Dip | OSCR Subsequent Performance | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | OSCR | SPY | 1Y | Peak Return |
Max Drop |
# Days to Peak |
||
| Median | 3% | 41% | -27% | 84 | ||||
| 2232026 | -26% | -1% | 7% | 21% | -1% | 9 | ||
| 11102025 | -24% | 3% | -9% | 24% | -16% | 16 | ||
| 8012025 | -28% | 4% | -2% | 65% | -10% | 67 | ||
| 3132025 | -23% | -8% | 3% | 74% | -10% | 208 | ||
| 12162024 | -21% | 6% | 8% | 62% | -17% | 295 | ||
| 10232024 | -23% | 5% | 23% | 41% | -27% | 349 | ||
| 6272024 | -23% | 5% | 16% | 32% | -34% | 84 | ||
| 3252024 | -24% | 4% | -0% | 72% | -5% | 57 | ||
| 7312023 | -21% | 4% | 135% | 210% | -36% | 295 | ||
| 3272023 | -27% | -2% | 296% | 408% | 0% | 325 | ||
| 9222022 | -22% | -11% | 10% | 90% | -58% | 264 | ||
| 5052022 | -24% | -7% | 2% | 8% | -71% | 102 | ||
| 11112021 | -28% | 8% | -76% | 0% | -81% | 0 | ||
| 7122021 | -21% | 5% | -76% | 6% | -79% | 9 | ||
| 4152021 | -28% | 9% | -64% | 16% | -77% | 53 | ||
Oscar Health Passes Basic Financial Quality Checks
Revenue growth, profitability, cash flow, and balance sheet strength need to be evaluated to reduce the risk of a dip being the sign of a deteriorating business situation.
| Quality Metrics | Value | Quality Check |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue Growth (LTM) | 27.5% | Pass |
| Revenue Growth (3-Yr Avg) | 42.1% | Pass |
| Operating Cash Flow Margin (LTM) | 9.4% | Pass |
| Leverage (see below) | – | Pass |
| => Interest Coverage Ratio | -23.8 | |
| => Cash To Interest Expense Ratio | 226.7 |
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