Valvoline or O’Reilly Automotive: Which Stock Has More Upside?

ORLY: O'Reilly Automotive logo
ORLY
O'Reilly Automotive

O’Reilly Automotive surged 8.4% during the past Day. You may be tempted to buy more, or may want to reduce your exposure. But there is an entirely different perspective you might be missing. Is there a better alternative? Turns out, its peer Valvoline gives you more. Valvoline (VVV) stock offers superior revenue growth across key periods, better profitability, and relatively lower valuation vs O’Reilly Automotive (ORLY) stock, suggesting you may be better off investing in VVV

  • VVV’s quarterly revenue growth was 11.5%, vs. ORLY’s 7.8%.
  • In addition, its Last 3-Year Average revenue growth came in at 11.2%, ahead of ORLY’s 7.3%.
  • VVV’s 3-year average margin is stronger: 20.6% vs. ORLY’s 19.7%.

These differences become even clearer when you look at the financials side by side. The table highlights how ORLY’s fundamentals stack up against those of VVV on growth, margins, momentum, and valuation multiples.

Trefis: ORLY Stock Insights

Valuation & Performance Overview

  ORLY VVV Preferred
     
Valuation      
P/EBIT Ratio 24.2 15.7 VVV
     
Revenue Growth      
Last Quarter 7.8% 11.5% VVV
Last 12 Months 6.4% 5.9% ORLY
Last 3 Year Average 7.3% 11.2% VVV
     
Operating Margins      
Last 12 Months 19.5% 15.4% ORLY
Last 3 Year Average 19.7% 20.6% VVV
     
Momentum      
Last 3 Year Return 62.5% -3.8% ORLY

Note: For “Last 3 Year Return” metric, preferred stock is one with higher returns unless the returns are too high (>300%) which creates risk of sell off.

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See detailed fundamentals on Buy or Sell VVV Stock and Buy or Sell ORLY Stock. Below we compare market return and related metrics across years.

Historical Market Performance

  2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 Total [1] Avg Best
Returns
ORLY Return 56% 20% 13% 25% 15% 1% 204%   <===
VVV Return 64% -11% 15% -4% -20% 11% 44%    
S&P 500 Return 27% -19% 24% 23% 16% 4% 90%    
Monthly Win Rates [3]
ORLY Win Rate 75% 50% 58% 75% 58% 25%   57%  
VVV Win Rate 75% 33% 42% 33% 33% 50%   44%  
S&P 500 Win Rate 75% 42% 67% 75% 67% 50%   62% <===
Max Drawdowns [4]
ORLY Max Drawdown -6% -19% -9% -3% 0% -4%   -7% <===
VVV Max Drawdown -2% -32% -10% -8% -20% -1%   -12%  
S&P 500 Max Drawdown -1% -25% -1% -2% -15% -7%   -9%  

[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] 2026 data is for the year up to 4/30/2026 (YTD)
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year

No matter how good the numbers, stock investment is never a smooth ride. There is a risk you must factor in. Read VVV Dip Buyer Analyses and ORLY Dip Buyer Analyses to see how these stocks have fallen and recovered in the past.

Still not sure about ORLY or VVV? Consider portfolio approach.

Portfolios Beat Stock Picking

Individual stocks are unpredictable. A smart portfolio helps you invest, limits downside shocks, and provides upside exposure.

Beating the market consistently is hard, but the Trefis High Quality (HQ) Portfolio makes it look achievable. By selecting 30 high-conviction stocks, the HQ strategy has historically outpaced the S&P 500, S&P Mid-cap, and Russell 2000. See how this curated selection delivers superior risk-adjusted returns in our detailed performance factsheet.