After A 22% Slide, Is ORLA Stock Worth A Look?
Orla Mining stock has fallen by 22.0% in less than a month, from levels of $12.63 on 7/22/2025 to $9.85 now. Should you buy this dip? Dip buying is a viable strategy for quality stocks that have a history of recovering from dips.
As it turns out, Orla Mining passes basic quality checks and has returned (median) 45% in one year, and 44% as peak return following sharp dips (>30% in 30 days) historically.
That said, if you seek upside with lower volatility than individual stocks, the Trefis High Quality portfolio presents an alternative – having outperformed the S&P 500 and generated returns exceeding 91% since its inception.
Historical Median Returns Post Dips
| Period | Past Median Return |
|---|---|
| 1M | 3.3% |
| 3M | 16.1% |
| 6M | 23.1% |
| 12M | 44.6% |
Historical Dip-Wise Details
ORLA had 4 events since 1/1/2020 where the dip threshold of -30% within 30 days was triggered
- 44% median peak return within 1 year of dip event
- 248 days is the median time to peak return after a dip event
- -14% median max drawdown within 1 year of dip event
| 30 Day Dip | ORLA Subsequent Performance | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | ORLA | SPY | 1Y | Peak Return |
Max Drop |
# Days to Peak |
||
| Median | 45% | 44% | -14% | 248 | ||||
| 10042023 | -33% | -3% | 37% | 44% | -14% | 230 | ||
| 6302022 | -33% | -7% | 52% | 78% | -13% | 266 | ||
| 2172021 | -33% | 6% | -1% | 29% | -20% | 100 | ||
| 3132020 | -33% | -18% | 246% | -5% | 298 | |||
Orla Mining Passes Basic Financial Quality Checks
Revenue growth, profitability, cash flow, and balance sheet strength need to be evaluated to reduce the risk of a dip being the sign of a deteriorating business situation.
| Quality Metrics | Value | Quality Check |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue Growth (LTM) | 67.1% | Pass |
| Revenue Growth (3-Yr Avg) | 152.3% | Pass |
| Operating Cash Flow Margin (LTM) | 133.7% | Pass |
| Leverage (see below) | – | Pass |
| => Interest Coverage Ratio | 14.9 | |
| => Cash To Interest Expense Ratio | 24.7 |
Dip buying, while attractive, needs to be evaluated carefully from multiple angles. Such multi-factor analysis is exactly how we construct Trefis portfolio strategies. If you want upside with a smoother ride than an individual stock, consider the High Quality portfolio, which has outperformed the S&P, and clocked >91% returns since inception.