Has ODD Stock Become A Bargain After Dropping 24%?
ODDITY Tech stock has fallen by 24.1% in less than a month, from levels of $76.01 on 7/7/2025 to $57.72 now. Should you buy this dip? Dip buying is a viable strategy for quality stocks that have a history of recovering from dips.
As it turns out, ODDITY Tech passes basic quality checks and has returned (median) 18% in one year, and 44% as peak return following sharp dips (>30% in 30 days) historically. ODD a consumer tech platform transforming the global beauty and wellness market, established in 2013 with headquarters in Tel Aviv-Jaffa and U.S. representation in New York.
That said, if you seek upside with lower volatility than individual stocks, the Trefis High Quality portfolio presents an alternative – having outperformed the S&P 500 and generated returns exceeding 91% since its inception.
Historical Median Returns Post Dips
| Period | Past Median Return |
|---|---|
| 1M | -3.4% |
| 3M | 17.2% |
| 6M | 21.8% |
| 12M | 17.9% |
Historical Dip-Wise Details
ODD had 2 events since 1/1/2020 where the dip threshold of -30% within 30 days was triggered
- 44% median peak return within 1 year of dip event
- 168 days is the median time to peak return after a dip event
- -17% median max drawdown within 1 year of dip event
| 30 Day Dip | ODD Subsequent Performance | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | ODD | SPY | 1Y | Peak Return |
Max Drop |
# Days to Peak |
||
| Median | 18% | 44% | -17% | 168 | ||||
| 4242024 | -31% | -2% | 41% | 56% | -2% | 232 | ||
| 9132023 | -30% | -2% | -5% | 31% | -31% | 105 | ||
ODDITY Tech Passes Basic Financial Quality Checks
Revenue growth, profitability, cash flow, and balance sheet strength need to be evaluated to reduce the risk of a dip being the sign of a deteriorating business situation.
| Quality Metrics | Value | Quality Check |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue Growth (LTM) | 26.8% | Pass |
| Revenue Growth (3-Yr Avg) | 32.8% | Pass |
| Operating Cash Flow Margin (LTM) | 20.8% | Pass |
Dip buying, while attractive, needs to be evaluated carefully from multiple angles. Such multi-factor analysis is exactly how we construct Trefis portfolio strategies. If you want upside with a smoother ride than an individual stock, consider the High Quality portfolio, which has outperformed the S&P, and clocked >91% returns since inception.