NVIDIA Stock Surged 70%, Here’s Why

NVIDIA (NVDA)’s stock surged 74%, fueled by soaring revenues and a rising P/E multiple, despite tighter margins. Behind the move: impressive earnings beats, bold CES 2025 reveals, AI leadership, and cautious investor reactions to US-China trade. Let’s dive into what truly drove this momentum.

So what is happening here? The stock price jumped 74%, driven by a 46% revenue increase and a 26% boost in P/E multiple, despite a 5.9% dip in net margin. Let’s explore the key events behind these shifts.

Before we get into details of events that led to stock surge, here is what market wisdom says: If you seek an upside with less volatility than holding an individual stock, consider the High Quality Portfolio (HQ) – HQ has outperformed its benchmark – a combination of S&P 500, Russell, and S&P midcap index, and achieved returns exceeding 105% since its inception. Risk management is key – consider, what could long-term portfolio performance be if you blended 10% commodities, 10% gold, and 2% crypto with HQ’s performance metrics.

Here Is Why NVIDIA Stock Moved

• Q1 FY25 Earnings Beat: Strong Q1 FY25 results (reported May 28, 2025), record Data Center revenue, stock split & dividend increase.
• Q2 FY26 Strong Results: NVIDIA reported robust Q2 FY26 earnings (Aug 27, 2025), revenue up 56% YoY, strong Blackwell sales.
• CES 2025 Announcements: Unveiling of RTX 50-series GPUs and Blackwell AI processor at CES 2025 in January, influencing early 2025.
• AI Market Dominance: Continued leadership in AI chip market, high demand for GPUs, market cap reaching $5T by Oct 2025.
• US-China Trade Concerns: Export restrictions on H20 chips to China in April 2025 impacted stock, but later hopes of resolution.

Our Current Assesment Of NVDA Stock

Opinion: We currently find NVDA stock attractive but volatile. Why so? Have a look at the full story. Read Buy or Sell NVDA Stock to see what drives our current opinion.

Risk: A good way to gauge risk with NVDA is to check how much it fell during major market sell-offs. It plunged about 85% in the Global Financial Crisis and nearly 68% in the Dot-Com crash. The 2018 correction and Inflation Shock both saw drops over 55%. Even during the Covid pandemic, which was shorter, NVDA still pulled back around 38%. Solid fundamentals matter, but during big market shocks, NVDA has shown it can take a hard hit.

Picking winners on a consistent basis is not an easy task – especially given the volatility associated with a single stock. Instead, the Trefis High Quality (HQ) Portfolio, with a collection of 30 stocks, has a track record of comfortably outperforming the S&P 500 over the last 4-year period. Why is that? As a group, HQ Portfolio stocks provided better returns with less risk versus the benchmark index; less of a roller-coaster ride, as evident in HQ Portfolio performance metrics.