NDSN Stock Surges 13% With 11-day Spree On KeyBanc PT Hike To $295
Nordson (NDSN) – a provider of automated adhesive and fluid dispensing systems – hit 11-day winning streak, with cumulative gains over this period amounting to a 13%. The company market cap has surged by about $1.8 Bil over the last 11 days, and currently stands at $15 Bil.
The stock has YTD (year-to-date) return of 13.1% compared to 1.4% for S&P 500. This calls for a re-evaluation of the stock’s valuation to find out whether this is an opportunity, or a trap.
What Triggered The Rally?
[1] Analyst Price Target Hikes
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- KeyBanc Target To $295
- DA Davidson Target to $290
- Impact: Sustained Buying Pressure, Multiple New 52-Week Highs
[2] Q4 2025 Earnings Beat
- Adjusted EPS of $3.03 vs $2.93 est
- Record FY2025 Free Cash Flow
- Impact: Positive Institutional Sentiment, Increased Investor Confidence
Opportunity or Trap?
Below is our take on valuation.
There is a near-equal mix of good and bad in NDSN stock given its overall Moderate operating performance and financial condition. But keeping in mind its High valuation, we think that the stock is Unattractive (For details, see Buy or Sell NDSN).
But here is the real interesting point.
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Returns vs S&P 500
The following table summarizes the return for NDSN stock vs. the S&P 500 index over different periods, including the current streak:
| Return Period | NDSN | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1D | 0.0% | -0.1% |
| 11D (Current Streak) | 13.1% | 1.4% |
| 1M (21D) | 15.0% | 2.1% |
| 3M (63D) | 17.6% | 4.7% |
| YTD 2026 | 13.1% | 1.4% |
| 2025 | 17.0% | 16.4% |
| 2024 | -20.1% | 23.3% |
| 2023 | 12.4% | 24.2% |
However, big gains can follow sharp reversals – but how has NDSN behaved after prior drops? See NDSN Dip Buyer Analysis to learn more.
Gains and Losses Streaks: S&P 500 Constituents
There are currently 102 S&P constituents with 3 days or more of consecutive gains and 49 constituents with 3 days or more of consecutive losses.
| Consecutive Days | # of Gainers | # of Losers |
|---|---|---|
| 3D | 38 | 16 |
| 4D | 17 | 11 |
| 5D | 22 | 12 |
| 6D | 0 | 5 |
| 7D or more | 25 | 5 |
| Total >=3 D | 102 | 49 |
Key Financials for Nordson (NDSN)
Last 2 Fiscal Years:
| Metric | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|
| Revenues | $2.7 Bil | $2.8 Bil |
| Operating Income | $674.0 Mil | $724.3 Mil |
| Net Income | $467.3 Mil | $484.5 Mil |
Last 2 Fiscal Quarters:
| Metric | 2025 FQ3 | 2025 FQ4 |
|---|---|---|
| Revenues | $741.5 Mil | $751.8 Mil |
| Operating Income | $200.0 Mil | $214.6 Mil |
| Net Income | $125.8 Mil | $151.6 Mil |
While NDSN stock looks attractive given its winning streak, investing in a single stock without detailed, thorough analysis can be risky. The Trefis High Quality (HQ) Portfolio, with a collection of 30 stocks, has a track record of comfortably outperforming its benchmark that includes all 3 — the S&P 500, S&P mid-cap, and Russell 2000 indices. Why is that? As a group, HQ Portfolio stocks provided better returns with less risk versus the benchmark index; less of a roller-coaster ride, as evident in HQ Portfolio performance metrics.