Marathon Petroleum Stock 6-Day Losing Spree: Stock Falls -12%
Marathon Petroleum (MPC) stock hit day 6 of a continuous streak of days with losses, with cumulative losses over this period amounting to a -12% return. The company has lost about $8.1 Bil in value over the last 6 days, with its current market capitalization at about $58 Bil. The stock remains 23.2% above its value at the end of 2024. This compares with year-to-date returns of 15.2% for the S&P 500.
Marathon Petroleum’s recent streak saw shares pressured by a broad energy sector downturn, largely fueled by crude prices hitting multi-year lows. This coincided with a CFO appointment, sparking profit-taking and amplifying investor concerns after a Q3 earnings miss on elevated maintenance costs.
What is the point? Sustained weakness can be more than noise. It often signals shifting sentiment or deeper concerns. A multi-day losing streak may warn of further downside, or present an opportunity to buy if fundamentals are intact. Our take: There are several things to fear in MPC stock given its overall Very Weak operating performance and financial condition. Hence, despite its Low valuation, we think that the stock is Unattractive (see Buy or Sell MPC).
For quick background, MPC operates as an integrated downstream energy company offering refining, transportation, storage, and marketing of crude oil and refined products across multiple U.S. regions.
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Comparing MPC Stock Returns With The S&P 500
The following table summarizes the return for MPC stock vs. the S&P 500 index over different periods, including the current streak:
| Return Period | MPC | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1D | -3.7% | 0.8% |
| 6D (Current Streak) | -12.1% | -1.6% |
| 1M (21D) | -15.8% | 2.4% |
| 3M (63D) | -8.9% | 1.7% |
| YTD 2025 | 23.2% | 15.2% |
| 2024 | -4.1% | 23.3% |
| 2023 | 30.5% | 24.2% |
| 2022 | 86.6% | -19.4% |
Take a look at what history tells you about whether past dips like this have been buying opportunities or traps: MPC Dip Buyer Analysis.
Gains and Losses Streaks: S&P 500 Constituents
There are currently 24 S&P constituents with 3 days or more of consecutive gains and 60 constituents with 3 days or more of consecutive losses.
| Consecutive Days | # of Gainers | # of Losers |
|---|---|---|
| 3D | 14 | 39 |
| 4D | 4 | 6 |
| 5D | 1 | 10 |
| 6D | 0 | 4 |
| 7D or more | 5 | 1 |
| Total >=3 D | 24 | 60 |
Key Financials for Marathon Petroleum (MPC)
Last 2 Fiscal Years:
| Metric | FY2023 | FY2024 |
|---|---|---|
| Revenues | $148.4 Bil | $138.9 Bil |
| Operating Income | $12.6 Bil | $5.2 Bil |
| Net Income | $9.7 Bil | $3.4 Bil |
Last 2 Fiscal Quarters:
| Metric | 2025 FQ2 | 2025 FQ3 |
|---|---|---|
| Revenues | $33.8 Bil | $34.8 Bil |
| Operating Income | $1.9 Bil | $1.7 Bil |
| Net Income | $1.2 Bil | $1.4 Bil |
The losing streak MPC stock is currently on doesn’t inspire much confidence among investors. In contrast, Trefis High Quality (HQ) Portfolio, with a collection of 30 stocks, has a track record of comfortably outperforming its benchmark that includes all 3 — the S&P 500, S&P mid-cap, and Russell 2000 indices. Why is that? As a group, HQ Portfolio stocks provided better returns with less risk versus the benchmark index; less of a roller-coaster ride, as evident in HQ Portfolio performance metrics.